Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(7/3/6)-(8/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(8/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(8/5/2)-(4/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/2)-(8/5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/2)-(8/5/4/2)-(8/5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/2)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/2)-(4/5/6)-(8/7/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(8/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(8/7/1/6)-(7/8/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6)-(8/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/1/6)-(7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/6)-(7/8/2)-(6/8/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/2)-(7/8/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/2)-(7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/2)-(6/8/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2)-(6/8/10)-(4/1/7/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/10)-(6/8/7/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/10)-(6/8/7/2/10)-(6/8/7/2/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/8/10)-(4/1/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/1/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/9)-(4/1/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/9)-(4/1/7/9)-(4/1/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY SPECTACULAR Jul29 Jul20 Jul08 Jun17 May27 (ramos ago)BOCACHICA J 113 20.00    
2  WICKED WISDOM Aug03 Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 Jul30 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.40 26% 2.80    
3  TIZBIT Aug05 Jul20 Jul01 May20 Apr28 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 124 2.50    
4  MOIRAINE Aug12 May25 Apr28 Apr13 Nov26 (spriggs tosc)MARRERO CARLOS 124 15.00 14% 6.10    
5  MY SISTER PAM Jul20 Jul06 Jun16 May05 Apr13 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
6  BOCA BIRDIE Aug12 Jul22 Jun23 May12 Apr28 (atkins michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
 
CT-2   08/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I B NASTY Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 May11 Apr20 (racanel)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
2  ULTIMATE BREEZE Aug04 Jul07 Jun15 May06 Apr15 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00    
3  SULTRY SALLY H Jul29 Jul13 Jun16 Jun02 May04 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 1.40 22% 3.60    
4  SISTER SPIRIT Aug05 Jul15 Jun17 May27 May06 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00    
5  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Aug04 Jun30 Jun10 May27 May20 (hillegass alexandr)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
6  IRISH SAMURAI Jul07 May27 May06 Apr15 Mar31 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 21% 3.70    
7  MIDNIGHT REGRET Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 May04 Oct26 (schiano-dic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
CT-3   08/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAM'S GAL Aug04 Apr07 Feb17 Jan11 Dec14 (pennella m)CECIL Y 122 30.00    
2  KYMMIES CHARDONNAY Aug04 Nov03 Sep21 Aug26 Aug13 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SWEET SPIN Jul13 Jun15 May04 Mar30 Feb09 (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
4  SEEMS TO WHISPER Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 May28 May20 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 4.50 ★    
5  HOWSAFEAREMYCOLORS Aug04 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Nov30 (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 120 5.00 7% 13.50    
6  DAPPLESANDDIAMONDS Aug18 Aug03 Jul15 Apr20 Mar04 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00    
7  SMOOKIE Aug16         (smith osborne)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
8  RUNNING FREE Aug18 Jul27 Jul08 Jun16 May04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 66% 0.50    
 
CT-4   08/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIENTE LA BRISA Aug05 Jul20 Apr21 Mar25 Feb18 (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00    
2  CEDAR'S WISH Jul27 Jul06 May27 Apr29 Mar23 (grams timothy )ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50    
3  RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW Jul14 May12 Mar30 Mar04 Dec17 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
4  RIVER REWARDS RVF Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 May20 Mar09 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.00 52% 0.90    
5  PURE NONSENSE Jul20 Jul07 May18 Sep17 Aug27 (mckee e)CECIL Y 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  I'M A TOTAL DIVA Jul14 Apr29 Jul01 Apr14 Mar17 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGICAL EXPRESS Jul30 Mar13 Feb15 Jan26 Dec28 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 11% 7.80    
2  RIGHTEOUS MAN Aug03 Jul14 Jun24 May12 Mar25 (kirlew )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
3  SCOTTSDALE Aug05 Jul15 Aug18 Jul28 Jul08 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
4  MAKE WAY Aug04 Jul14 Jul01 May18 Apr27 (barber do)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
5  YABBA DABBA DUDE Jul27 Dec14 Nov03 Oct13 Oct01 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 10.00    
6  INDIANA RED Aug05 May20 Feb01 Jan12 Nov10 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00 5% 18.60    
7  MOON OVER MONTANA May06 Apr15 Mar01 Jan19 Dec04 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
8  ELVIRUS Jul26 Jun15 May20 Apr27 Apr07 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 36% 1.80    
 
CT-6   08/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAGER WORTHY Jun16 May26 Apr21 Mar24 Feb24 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 6.00    
2  SARAH'S WARRIOR Jun16 May12 Apr13 Mar10 Feb08 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Jul13 Jun17 May18 Apr07 Mar23 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  HERETODAYGONMANANA Aug19 Jul28 Jul20 Jun16 Jun02 (boggs joanna)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50    
5  WISHING FOR SPRING Jul20 May18 Apr13 Mar23 Feb04 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 111 15.00    
6  LADY SPARROW Aug04 Jan20 Nov09 Oct19 Sep22 (conn p)RIOS-CONDE A 122 50.00    
7  PEARLY GHOST Jul20 Jun16 May12 Apr21 Mar10 (viands)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
8  BLUE MOUNTAIN Aug05 Jul28 Jul06 Jun17 May18 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
9  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Aug19 Aug05 Jul14 May05 Apr28 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
 
CT-7   08/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE CANDY CASTLE Jul13 May26 Apr29 Mar30 Mar10 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 116 10.00    
2  SPARKED A NOTION Feb01 Jan07 Nov26 Nov02 Oct15 (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 6.00 ★    
3  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Aug05 Jul21 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00    
4  DONNIE B Aug05 Jul15 Jun03 May13 Mar30 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
5  CATS DIAMOND BOY Jul15 Jun24 May13 Apr28 Mar30 (rangel ricardo)RIOS-CONDE A 120 8.00    
6  CHASENJOHNATHAN Jun03 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16   (viands gregor)SIMPSON JASON 116 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  GEORGE Aug05 Jul15 Jun10 May13   (walters l)PELTROCHE F 116 6.00 ★    
8  BORN TO SIN Mar10 Feb17 Jan27     (grams )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 4.00 32% 2.10    
9  TURTLE DOVE Jun30 Jun03 May11 Apr20 Mar30 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 116 4.50    
10  IN HIGH GEAR Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Apr28 (mcdonald ti)ESQUILIN J 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   08/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY GANGSTER Aug04 Jun17 Jun01 May20 Apr29 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
2  OWLHOOT Aug04 Apr07       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
3  LOCKDOWN VANNA Jun17 May25 Apr29 Mar31 Feb24 (locklear ja)ESQUILIN J 120 3.50    
4  SMOKIN LADY Jul27 Jul01 Jun01 May11 Apr07 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 67% 0.50    
5  VIESTE Aug04 Jul27 Jul08 Jun23 Oct13 (schiano-d)BOCACHICA J 111 20.00    
6  MIRACLE SONDE Jul08         (bourne j)LARROSA G 122 10.00    
7  PLAYING FOR TWO Aug18 Aug12 Jul27 Jan06   (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  BOWMANS LAZY GIRL Jul27 Jul08 Jun17 May25 Apr13 (bowman d)ADAMS L 115 6.00    
9  JUNIPER GRACE Aug04 Jul08 Nov24     (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.