Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Timonium
Friday - August 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TIM-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(3/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/6/2)-(7/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TIM-2   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(7/5/3)-(5/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TIM-3   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/5/3)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/5/3)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3)-(5/4/6)-(2/7/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TIM-4   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(2/7/5)-(1/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TIM-5   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(1/5/2)-(4/1/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TIM-6   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(4/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TIM-7   WIN (4/1/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/8)-(9/4/1/10/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/8)-(4/1/6)-(4/9/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TIM-8   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/1/10/8/6)-(4/1/3/2/6)-(4/1/3/2/6) 72 $0.50 $36.00 
    DD (9/4/1/10/8/6)-(8/4/9/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TIM-9   WIN (4/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/7)-(4/9/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/7)-(4/9/7/2)-(4/9/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TIM-1   08/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($15K) 35 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION LEAGUE Jul07 Apr15 Apr01 Jan08 Nov18 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.80 47% 1.10    
SCR  REMASTERED Aug18 Jul21 May14 Mar09   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 1.60 27% 2.70    
3  TO LIVE IS TO LOVE Mar23 Feb15 Jan27 Dec17 Aug17 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 126 15.00    
4  ANNIESALLINCLUSIVE Aug11 May11 Mar31 Feb20 Feb03 (delgado p)DELGADO A 121 15.00    
5  A THOUSAND IDOLS Jul27 Jul07 Jun22 May26 May06 (harting chri)BATISTA A 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  SPUNKY IRISHMAN Jul30 Jul07 Apr30 Apr16 Mar31 (eubanks)BRICENO GREGOR 121 3.50 ★    
 
TIM-2   08/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLIE VICTORINA Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 May18 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 117 6.00    
2  RIDE THE RAPIDS Dec11 Nov25 Nov12 Oct27 Sep25 (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00 10% 8.50    
3  THUNDER BOSS Aug13 Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 Jun24 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.60 44% 1.30    
SCR  WATCH ME DISAPPEAR Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 May26 May07 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 10.00 12% 7.00    
5  MYSISTERNANCY Aug05 Jul15 Jun11 May27 May06 (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 4.00    
6  I HAVE COURAGE Aug03 Jul14 Jun18 May29 May07 (mancilla ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 2.50 12% 7.60    
 
TIM-3   08/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PRACTICAL SENSE Aug03 Jul07 Feb24 Jan28 Jan22 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50 ★    
SCR  BY ITS ABSENCE Jul15 Jun10 Apr30 Apr13 Mar25 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 3.50    
2  NORTH HIGHLAND Aug11 Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 Jun02 (smith h)BRICENO GREGOR 121 6.00    
3  VICTIM OF THE NITE Aug03 Dec04 Nov13 Oct15   (geralis emanuel )CRUZ ANGEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GREAT DAYS AHEAD Jul15 Jun23 May14 Apr20 Apr06 (parram derr)CHATRIE E 111 3.00 51% 1.00    
5  NICK'S LITTLE BOY Jul07 Jun16       (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  PRIDE OF PAYTON Jul22 Jun24 May25 Mar25 Feb05 (keefe t)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 12.00    
7  MORETHANREADYEDDIE Jul15 May14 Mar11 Feb02 Jun09 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
TIM-4   08/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORETHANASTORM Aug11 Aug02 Jul12 Jun10 May25 (bentley fe)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 10.00    
2  STORMIN' AMANDA Aug11 Aug02 Jul01 Jun09 May27 (salazar ma)URDANETA J 121 4.00    
3  SAINT FOXY Aug16 Aug08 Jul26 Jul04 Jun19 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 110 4.50    
4  CONNECTING FLIGHT Aug10 Jun17 May13 Apr23 Mar31 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 3.50 19% 4.30    
5  CORA'S CHOICE Aug13 Jul28 Jul21 Jul08 Jun25 (shankle joanne)CRUZ ANGEL 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
6  MISS ANTIETAM Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 May27 Apr16 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 2.50 8% 10.90    
 
TIM-5   08/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAGLER Aug18 Aug05 Jul27 Jul06 Jun24 (ginter )ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 15.00    
2  HIS NAME IS SUE Aug10 Jul15 Jun30 May28 May12 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.00 46% 1.20    
3  ONE MORE FACTOR Aug06 Jul16 Apr27 Apr07 Mar17 (atkins )BRICENO GREGOR 122 20.00    
4  ANTIPOISON Aug12 Aug03 Jul06 Jun24 May29 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 124 6.00    
5  TOP BOSS Apr29 Mar31 Mar11 Mar05 Feb18 (mohan david)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 2.50 9% 10.60    
6  SEANOW Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 May27 May04 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00    
7  VELVET GHOST Aug12 Jul27 Jun04 May20 Apr29 (corrales j)URDANETA J 122 4.50 14% 6.40    
 
TIM-6   08/25/2023 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SPICY MARGARITA May12 Apr15 Mar12 Mar03 Feb18 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.60 72% 0.40    
SCR  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) Aug06 Jun23 May26 Apr15 Feb08 (magee kieron)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.60    
2  ANONYMOUSLY Aug12 Jun04 May12 Jan28   (corrales jo)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MINER'S GEM Jul22 Apr20 Apr01 Mar05 Feb11 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 2.50    
4  ALWAYS SOMETHING Jun02 May02 Mar01 Jan28 Dec08 (patterson kevin)ACOSTA D 122 2.00    
5  INSIGHTFUL Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun14   (nambo cesar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CLAIRE'S DARLING Aug06 Jun23 May27 May06 Oct29 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00    
 
TIM-7   08/25/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($31.5K) 2 F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAPATUDE Aug02         (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 4.50 11% 8.30    
2  TRUE SUNSHINE         (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
3  CLOUDY NIGHT         (frock c)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 6.00    
4  G'S FIREBALL Jul01 Jun10       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 1.60 27% 2.70    
5  CUNDI Aug11 Jul26 Jul14 Jul01   (corrales j)URDANETA J 120 30.00    
6  BEACH ISLAND         (raven kerri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 8.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  DIVINE MAGIC Aug05 Jun25 May23 May05   (salzman timot)ALVELO C 120 5.00    
8  FEELIN SO LUCKY         (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 10.00 10% 8.80    
 
TIM-8   08/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Aug12 Jul16 Jun23 May19 May06 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
2  SHE'SAROLLINGSTONE Mar26 Jan13 Dec03 Nov11 Oct07 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.50 ★    
3  GENIEINABRIDLE Aug05 Jul15 Jun09 May14 Mar10 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 117 8.00 ★    
4  TWEET AWAY ROBIN Jun23 Jun04 Apr06 Dec07 Nov09 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  SIX THE HARD WAY Aug04 Jul29 Jul15 Jun23 May14 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 117 15.00    
6  PRIZE DEBATE Jul21 Jun15 May12 Mar24 Mar02 (rubley)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOT LOOKIN ROYAL Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 May14 Jan16 (eubanks ann)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 8.00    
SCR  ISABELLA'S GLORY Aug19 Jul21 Jun23 May28 May04 (corrale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAZARDOUS HUMOR Jul22 Jun18 May20 Apr06 Feb17 (russo j)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  VODKATINI Jun15 May04 Apr13 Mar31 Jan20 (gorham mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TIM-9   08/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOME IS NINE Aug03 Jul13 Jun24 May31 May05 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 124 8.00    
2  CHICA RABIOSA Aug12 Aug05 Jul21 Jul05 Dec31 (shankle joa)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.50 ★    
3  FLAVA'S DREAM Aug06 Jul18 Apr01 Mar12 Feb23 (woodit jose)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 115 15.00    
4  PERFORMANCEANXIETY Aug18 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May28 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 126 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  LIFE IN FLASH Aug12 May20 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
SCR  SALTY SAUL Aug12 Jul13 Jun16 May06 Apr14 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 30.00    
7  GOLD TIME VIXEN Jul21 Jun23 May26 May04 Apr15 (kee willie )CHATRIE E 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VIKING QUEEN Aug06 May26 Apr14 Mar26 Mar17 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
9  BAD TEMPER Jul21 Jul07 Jun10 May28 May07 (p)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 116 8.00 7% 13.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.