Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(1/6/4)-(4/3/9/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-2   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(4/3/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(4/3/9/1)-(1/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-3   WIN (4/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/9/1)-(4/3/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/9/1)-(4/3/9/1)-(4/3/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/9/1)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/9/1)-(1/6/3)-(3/1/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-4   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(3/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(3/1/4/8)-(4/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-5   WIN (3/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/8)-(3/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/8)-(3/1/4/8)-(3/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/4/8)-(4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4/8)-(4/5/6)-(5/3/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-6   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(5/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(5/3/2/7)-(1/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-7   WIN (5/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/7)-(1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-8   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOME IS NINE Aug03 Jul13 Jun24 May31 May05 (serey jr)MENA E 121 8.00    
DAILY BRIEFING Aug05 Jul13 Jun24 Jun14 May25 (arriagada j)VILLASMIL EDGAR 121 6.00 11% 7.80    
KIRBY Jul21 Jul05 Jun10 May25 Apr29 (neilson wall)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 8.00    
PROTOMAGIC Jul27 Jul14 Jun28 Jun17 Apr27 (simoff andrew)ROJAS MARTINA 114 1.80 38% 1.60    
MOON ME AGAIN Jul27 Jul13 Jun30 Jun14 May25 (sullivan elli)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
FRAME THIS Jul12 Jun26 Jun10 May16 May02 (velazquez daniel)CASTILLO A 121 3.50    
 
DEL-2   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MATCHING ENERGY Jul20         (stidham michae)CEDENO CAROL 119 2.00 41% 1.50    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SILENT TRIUMPH by CITY ZIP)
STYLISH ANNA         (arriagada )MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 10.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of AIN'T IT SWEEP by END SWEEP)
POWER SQUEEZE         (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 119 4.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CALLMETHESQUEEZE by AWESOME AGAIN)
SPEIGHTFULELECTION         (motion graham)ROSE J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LANDSLIDE ELECTION by ARTIE SCHILLER)
NEOLITHICA         (dilodovico damo)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 8.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of ECLIPTICALSPHARAOH by ECLIPTICALSPRALINE)
OLD BAY Aug02         (shuman mark)ARROYO S 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of MANHATTAN MADAM by NOT FOR LOVE)
BAILINTIN         (pino michae)VASQUEZ WILFRED 119 8.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of MANDOLIN by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
 
DEL-3   08/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LYING JEFF Jul13 Jun21 Jun02 Nov20 Oct08 (allard t)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 12.00 10% 9.40    
MAKOTO Aug02 Jul08 Jun30 Jun14 Oct08 (saleem gor)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 20.00    
LAST SECOND LOUIE Aug02 Jul13 Jun21 May28 Feb01 (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
JOE BRAINS Jul15 Jun21 Jun02 Mar22 Mar03 (downing william)CENTENO E 122 6.00 35% 1.90    
CARICO Jul22 Apr30       (barboza j)CASTILLO A 120 8.00    
MAYBE IT'S TIME Aug02 Jul12 Jun24 Jan14 Dec10 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 122 15.00    
SCR  MR. COWBOY BRADLEY Jul07 Jun21 May31 Mar19 Mar11 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 20.00    
DISTORTED TIMES Jul15 Apr28 Apr12 Mar24 Mar05 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 122 30.00    
SPANISH CZAR Aug02 Jul13 Sep22 Sep09 Aug20 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  ANDREZ CONQUIST Jul15         (ovando mel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 30.00    
SCR  STEELE MONEY Aug10 May18 Apr16 Mar03 Dec17 (sanchez-salo)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
SCR  BOINTHEBACK Jul26 Jul11 Jun18 Jun04 May19 (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00    
SCR  HUSBAND MATERIAL Jul22 Jun30 May29 Apr15 Feb25 (toner j)CENTENO E 122 3.50    
SCR  SAL N LOUIE Aug18 Aug09 Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 122 10.00    
 
DEL-4   08/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIA DE SOL Jul18 Jun28 Apr26 Apr14 Mar25 (velazquez al)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  CHALK HILL Jul26 Jun30 Jun10 Jun01 Apr14 (ramirez jo)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 8.00    
ALONG THE WAY Jul14 Jun22 May24 May06 Apr19 (sullivan )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
CHINA CAT May27 May06 Apr08 Mar04 Feb11 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
HELEONORTIZ Jul05 Jun17 Jun02 May20 May03 (iannotti tho)ARROYO S 122 6.00    
SUIKO Jun30 Jun02 Dec07 Nov23 Nov03 (ritchey f)ROSE J 122 1.80 24% 3.20    
 
DEL-5   08/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAY'S GONE ASTRAY Jul06 Jun01       (smith g)ROSE J 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
VENTILATOR Jul05 Jun18 Apr17     (lake a)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 15.00    
PRINCE OF CHILL Jul03 Oct12       (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.00 38% 1.70    
HOLLA AT YOUR BOY Aug02 Jun15 Jun01 May06   (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 3.50 16% 5.10    
ALBOROTO Jul06 Jun17       (lopez mari)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00    
SCR  EXTRA MONEY Aug02         (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
CADDY MAN Jun27 Apr06 Mar25 Mar09 Nov05 (lake a)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00    
MR. ANTONELLI         (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 120 6.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  MATARO Aug06 Oct27 Aug22 Aug05 Jun26 (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
SCR  FACTUM LOVE STYLE Jul26 Jul12 Jul01 Jun21 Jan17 (nicholson jun)TORRES WESLEY 124 20.00    
 
DEL-6   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELTA RIDGE Jul22 Jun30 Jun14 Jun02 Apr28 (hayford jennif)CEDENO CAROL 124 3.50    
THE COLORA KID Jul26 Jul07 Jun01 May24 Apr04 (smith collie)ALICEA JEREMY 109 8.00    
SCR  OROCOVIX Jul29 Jul22 Jul08 Jun23 Jun14 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 114 8.00    
GRAND PICK Jul25 Jun30 Mar22 Jan28 Dec21 (barboza vict)ARROYO S 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
ALVY Jun30 Jun21 May31 May18 May05 (moysey chelsey )CENTENO E 118 1.80 20% 4.10    
HELLMAN Jul30 Jun23 May25 May14 Mar18 (farrior anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 6.00 10% 9.30    
 
DEL-7   08/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($28K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORA PEARL Jun15 Apr01 Feb24 Dec08 Oct22 (brinkman brett)ROSE J 117 10.00    
ABOVE THE LIMIT Jul09 Jun15 May19 Apr20 Nov09 (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 121 6.00 10% 9.10    
LADY IRVINE Jul15 Jul02 May27 Feb12 Jan15 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 119 2.00 15% 5.50    
LADY ZETA Jul02 Jun19 May22 May02 Apr18 (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
TWIRLING SAVI Jun15 Oct22 Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
STILL MY BABE Jul16 Jun10 May19 Nov26 Oct07 (lynch cat)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 4.00    
ORGANIZED CHAOS Jul21 Jul13 Jun02 May11 Apr20 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-8   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLEAMING BRUTALITY Jul13 Jul01 May06 Apr15 Mar25 (klesaris steve)CEDENO CAROL 121 1.60 41% 1.40    
MO STYLISH Jun28 Jun09 May25 Feb11 Nov16 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 3.00    
SCR  SIRENETTA Aug09 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 (gallimore tre)TORRES WESLEY 119 8.00    
KARATS AND GOLD Oct28 Oct15 Sep30 Jul30 Jul14 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 10.00    
SCR  PEACH BE WITH Q Jul04 Jun07 May06 Apr05 Mar17 (soto- martin)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 3.50    
STOPWATCHSONNY Aug04 Jun01 May11 Apr20 Apr06 (pickett crys)ARROYO S 121 8.00 17% 4.70    
RED PRIESTESS Aug02 Jul13 May26 Apr27 Mar30 (nambo ce)RODRIGUEZ L 114 10.00 17% 4.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.