Handicappers' Racing Form

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Emerald Downs
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-2   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-3   Win (9/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
EMD-5   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-6   Win (5/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-7   Win (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EMD-1   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERCY'S SIS Jul21 Jul03 Jun11 Jun26 Jun05 (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.80 45% 1.20    
CALIFORNIA HALO Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 Jul23 Jul09 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 2.50 21% 3.80    
SENSUOUS KITTY Jul28 Jul14 Jul02 Jun11 May21 (essex charles)VALDES ALEXIS 125 8.00    
VANDULIE Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 May28 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 3.50 7% 13.50    
AUNT NOREEN Jul30 Jul07 Jun16 May21 May04 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 125 4.50    
YOUGOTTAWANTIT Jul16         (metz jeffr)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00    
 
EMD-2   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTARANDO Jul21 Jun25 May28 Dec04 Nov11 (perez hilario)ENRIQUEZ D 123 4.00    
SLICE OF PIE Aug04 Jul03 May21 Sep18 Aug20 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
BIG MAMA THORNTON Aug04 Jul16 Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.50 14% 6.00    
MO CONNELLY Aug05 Jul03 Jun16 Jun04 May28 (metz jeffrey)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
BIG FASHION Aug04 Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 Aug27 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 125 6.00    
SCR  QUEEN BREEZY Jun10 May21 May14 Jul29 Jul16 (velasquez rigober)CRUZ M 125 2.50    
 
EMD-3   08/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT-11:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONNECTER Jul30 Jul09 Jun25     (gibson vince)RADKE K 120 12.00    
TERNI VALENTINO Jul23 Jul09       (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 120 8.00    
RALLIFIED         (van debb)OROZCO E 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
DERBY BOY Jul23         (gibson vince)NEGRON LUIS 120 15.00    
JACOB YEN         (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 120 10.00 24% 3.10    
MIRRORED Jul23         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 120 3.50 7% 14.20    
CONRAD MEADOWS Jul30 Jul09       (navarro )DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 120 12.00    
GENERAL CROOK Jul30 Jun18 May06 Apr15   (kereluk edward)ANAYA V 120 4.50    
VICTOR ALY Aug05 Jul09       (cryderman candice)CRUZ M 120 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
EMD-4   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-11:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REIGN OF FIRE Aug04 Jul02 Jun23 Jun04 Apr22 (velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 123 2.50 66% 0.50    
YOU GO GIRL Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 May20 (bullock steve)OROZCO E 125 3.50    
MY LEGAL BET Jun03 May07 Mar31 Feb25 Oct02 (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 1.80    
YOUR ROYAL COIL Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 May21 (perez hila)AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00    
IN THE VAULT Jul30 Jul09 Jun04 May06 Apr17 (velasquez rigober)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
FRISCO FRILLS Aug04 Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 May20 (balcom cliff)RADKE K 123 10.00    
 
EMD-5   08/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIG Jul28 Jul15 Jun17 May27 Sep11 (simkins rosie)RADKE K 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
BEAU MISCHIEF Jul15 Jun25 May27 May14 Sep02 (wright blaine)OROZCO E 121 1.80 24% 3.20    
SMOKEN SHADOW Jul28 Jul09 Jan07 Dec14 Aug14 (peery debb)AMADOR RUIZ 123 10.00    
CORN POP Jul21 Jun03 Apr29 Apr01 Mar18 (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 3.50 53% 0.90    
NAPOLETANO Jul21 Jun10 May27 Sep11 Sep03 (patino faustino)NEGRON LUIS 125 4.50    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD HEAT Aug13 Feb18 Feb10 Jan12   (chattong vich)ORTIZ A 123 20.00    
SCR  AWESOME MOVE Aug04 Jul09 Dec03 Oct30   (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 125 3.00    
 
EMD-6   08/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNCEY Jul23 Jul02 Jun23 Jun09 May20 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 3.50 6% 14.60    
HARBOR OUTLAW Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 Sep10 Sep02 (jenne bonnie)CRUZ M 123 10.00    
EXECUTIVE CHEF Jul15 Jul08 May28 May12 Apr23 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.50    
LEPRINO Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 Jan26 Dec09 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
BRADY BOY Jul28 Jul09 May29 Apr17 Sep03 (wright blaine)RADKE K 125 2.50 51% 1.00    
OVERLY FAST Sep02 Jul30 Jul24 Jul03 Jun12 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 123 3.00 17% 4.70    
HOLIDAY HUSTLE Jul28 Jul08 Jun10 May21 Apr30 (belvoir howard)VALDES ALEXIS 123 15.00    
 
EMD-7   08/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CANDIED LUTE Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun09 Jun03 (simkins rosie)OROZCO E 125 4.50    
BOB'S SNIPER Aug05 Jul22 Apr16 Mar25 Jan07 (perez hilario)ORTIZ A 125 12.00    
KHAIKY'S COMMAND Jan26 Dec15 Nov28 Oct22 Oct08 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 125 2.50 54% 0.90    
SIX BLESSINGS Jul23 Jul02 Jun10 Sep09 Aug28 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 125 5.00    
SCR  TUMAC MOUNTAIN Aug06 Jul16 Mar08 Jan30 Dec26 (nunnally jennifer)NEGRON LUIS 125 10.00    
J T'S A. T. M. Jul15 Jun10 May28 Apr26 Apr04 (kereluk edward)VALDES ALEXIS 125 4.00 21% 3.80    
DENNARD Aug06 Jul03 Jun09 Sep03 Aug21 (essex charles)RADKE K 125 8.00    
MISO FAST Aug06 Jul22 Jul14 Jun18 Jun09 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.