Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - August 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7)-(5/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/7)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(6/4)-(4/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(4/1/5)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(1/9/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (1/9/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/3)-(1/9/8/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/3)-(1/9/8/3/10)-(1/9/8/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/9/8/3)-(1/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/8/3)-(1/2/5/3)-(3/9/10/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/3)-(3/9/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (3/9/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/10/5)-(3/9/10/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/10/5)-(3/9/10/2/5)-(3/9/10/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL ME CARMELITA Jul19 Jul03 Jun19 May24 May08 (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 4.00    
2  KATERI EMPIRE Jul05 Jun21 May31 May17 Nov02 (cabrera josep)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  FUNNY PURSUIT Aug01 Jul24 Jun19 May24 Apr24 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 11% 8.30    
4  COMFORTABLE CAT Aug01 Sep22 Aug08 Jul12   (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
5  SUBSIDIARY Aug01 May31 May17 Jun13 May24 (clarke dylan)DAVILA A 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
6  KAUFY FUTURES Aug01 Jul03 Jun19 May24 May08 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 8.00    
7  LA CAFETERA Jul31 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 Jun06 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 6.00 8% 11.10    
 
FL-2   08/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONS LAST CALL Jul26 Jul05 Jun12 May20 May03 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 2.00    
2  ALARRA Aug01 Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 May17 (clarke dylan)FRET STEVEN 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
3  FRANKIE C Aug02 Jun13 May31 May16 May02 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00    
4  INDYAN PENNY Aug02 Jul19 Jun27 Jun14 May31 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 120 6.00    
5  PRETTY MISS PENNY Aug01 Jul11 Jun13 Sep27   (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  CANCELLEDCAPTIVITY Aug01 Jul11 Jun27 May30 Nov21 (monserrate ma)DAVILA A 120 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
FL-3   08/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JITTER JUICE Jun12 Nov01 Sep28 Aug22 Aug09 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 5.00    
2  AMERICA'S JUSTICE Jul24 Jul10 Oct17 Sep27 Sep13 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 8.00    
SCR  DR BLARNEY Jul12 Jun19 May15 Apr24 Nov25 (grusmark)DAVIS A 124 1.80    
4  CIVIL SERVICE Jul26 Jun27 Nov23 Nov01 Oct18 (ferraro michael)DIAZ J 114 6.00 27% 2.70    
5  BAR FOURTEEN Jul13 Jun17 May21 Apr27 Mar01 (sells)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 4.00    
6  BROTHER JEREMIAH Jul24 Jun20 Nov15 Oct24 Sep28 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
FL-4   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR FIRST LADY Jul18 Jun26 May22 Nov08 Oct12 (acquila)NAVARRO J 120 2.50 ★    
  (by RACE DAY out of BELONGS TO DIXIE by BELONG TO ME)
1A  HAPPY TIME Jul17 Jun26 May29 Dec29 Dec04 (acquilano j)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 2.50 16% 5.30    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEADLINE by FLAT OUT)
SCR  FEISTY MARIE Jul18         (goodwin )DAVIS A 120 4.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of WARRIOR MARIE by DESERT WARRIOR)
3  WITT LASTING SPEED Jun26 Jun12 May29 Nov21 Nov07 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SMART EYES by MIDAS EYES)
4  RUBYS MISSION Jul31 May22 Nov08 Sep05 Aug22 (shaffer ri)DE EMANUEL 120 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of REDDY FOR RUBYS by PRECISE END)
5  WHO ASKED YOU         (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
  (by WILL GEER ROAD out of SKY BALLET by BUDDHA)
SCR  BABI DREAMS Jul31 Jul17 Jun26 May22 May02 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of ASCENDED DREAMS by THUNDER GULCH)
7  TINTAGEL Jun13 May31 Nov01 Oct10 Sep26 (smith julie)FRET STEVEN 124 6.00    
  (by EDITORIAL out of OLYMPIC MEDALLIST by MEDALLIST)
 
FL-5   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINTER SIREN Aug01 Jul05 Jun27 Jun12 May24 (lopez rober)PAREDES JHOVANY 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  CLIFDEN PUNCH Jul31 Jul19 Jul03 Jun19 Jun06 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  HOLMDEL PARK Jul17 Jun21 May24 May08 Jan11 (ferraro )DAVIS A 122 6.00    
4  BETTY RUBBLE Aug01 Jul17 Jul04 Jun06 May22 (bond brent)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00    
5  DOSAGE AND MIMOSAS Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 May24 Nov21 (ferraro an)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.50 8% 11.70    
6  LET'S MAGA Aug01 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 May29 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
7  CAT GLASSES KATHY Jul24 Jul04 Jun19 Nov14 Oct18 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00    
8  CHRISTMAS DINNER Jun27 May24 May08 Oct05 Sep12 (breed d)NAVARRO J 122 6.00    
 
FL-6   08/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZENTICING Aug01         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 4.00 39% 1.50    
  (by ENTICED out of SHEZASTONECOLDINGO by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  STONE POWER         (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of SHUFFLE THE DECK by HIGH YIELD)
3  IXODES Aug01         (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of SMARTLEE AWAY by SKIP AWAY)
4  CITI KITTY         (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 120 12.00    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of CATS HALO by FREUD)
5  JOYFUL SOUL         (ferraro an)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 10.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CAUSEWAY GHOST by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  REDWINEANDWHISKEY         (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 12.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of U AND TEQUILA by HELLO BROADWAY)
7  HARLEE Aug01         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 20.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of TIZNOWORNEVER by FREUD)
8  ELLA SPEED         (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 5% 18.20    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DEAREST ELLA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
9  MAGGY'S PALACE         (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SISTER MARGARET by PULPIT)
10  MOON CHARIOT         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00 ★    
  (by ORB out of DELANTERA by BERNSTEIN)
 
FL-7   08/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANTY SHACK Jul25 Jul10 Jun21 May09 Oct18 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  TIZ LUCKY Aug02 Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 May30 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 120 2.50    
2  DR. KRAFT Jun26 May14 Apr22 Mar31 Feb25 (englehar)DAVIS A 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
3  COLOR COMMISH Jul25 Jun28 Jan01 Dec11 Nov16 (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAPTAINOFMYHEART Aug02 Jul10 Jun19 May30 May15 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 10.00    
5  HYPER SPEED Jul24 Jun21 May23 Apr27 Apr08 (englehart jer)DAVILA R 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
6  PARTY NEWS Aug02 Jul24 Dec28 Dec14 Nov23 (maver eduardo)ROHENA JR 124 12.00    
7  ASAP RESTORATION Aug05 Jul10 Jun27 Jun02 May24 (ronen assaf)HARKIE K 124 5.00    
 
FL-8   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON HUNTER Aug01 Jul18 Jul10 May26 Dec17 (sells)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 12.00    
2  CODYS EXPRESS Aug01 Jul18 Jul10 Jun12 May29 (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 124 4.00 ★    
3  COUSIN GREG Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 May23 Nov21 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 6.00 55% 0.80    
4  M. C. DOUBLE R Aug02 Jul19 Jul10 Jun12 May24 (huertas )DAVIS A 120 15.00    
5  THUNDERING MARCH Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Nov23 Nov09 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAGIC PRO Aug01 Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 May31 (lopez arcad)PAREDES JHOVANY 117 20.00    
7  KOBE'S LEGACY Nov23 Nov08 Oct17 Sep26 Sep12 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 5.00    
SCR  GAMBLING MAN Oct12 Sep23 Sep02 Aug17 Jul08 (smith julie)ROHENA JR 124 8.00    
9  BAD WATER Jul18 May20 Apr23 Mar31 Jan04 (smith troy)HARKIE K 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
10  BUMBLE MONSTER Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 May16 May02 (grusmark kar)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 3.00 7% 12.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.