Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - August 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/3/1)-(8/2/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(8/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(8/2/5/1)-(1/6/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (8/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/1)-(8/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/1)-(8/2/5/1)-(8/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/5/1)-(1/6/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/4)-(7/8/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (7/8/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/1)-(7/8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/1)-(7/8/2/1)-(7/8/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/1)-(2/8/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/1)-(2/8/7/6)-(6/8/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6)-(2/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/6)-(6/8/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (6/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   08/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTINROXY Jul24 Jun26 Jun05 May12 Apr16 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 4.00    
MISS STONES Jul09 May21 Apr29     (barrow paul)DAVILA R 120 2.00 59% 0.70    
MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Jul25 Jun12 May29 May16 Mar24 (marino e)ROHENA JR 120 6.00    
JACKSON AVENUE Jul16 Jun06 May15 Apr24 Nov22 (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
TEKILA Jul24 Apr27 Feb05 Jan13 Dec15 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 5.00    
ROAD TO ROYALTY Jun06 May23 May08 Nov22 Oct31 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
 
FL-2   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DROSEL DIEM Jul26 Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 May22 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 5.00    
MARGARITA SUNRISE Jul11 Jun20 May23 May09 Nov22 (tasso mark)ALVARADO R 122 15.00    
STUCK UP Jul18 Jul03 Jun14 May16 Oct25 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
RUN CASPER RUN Jul26 Jun20 May24 Nov21 Oct25 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.50    
WAR OF THRONES Jul11 Jun13 May23 Nov14 Oct04 (acquilano jame)COA J 122 2.00 19% 4.40    
OUR MAN MIKE Jul19 Jul03 Jun14 May29 Nov15 (ferraro mich)BARBOSA CARLOS 115 4.50 31% 2.20    
 
FL-3   08/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY PLAY Jun19 May29 May08 Apr25 Mar17 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
BEHIND THE COUCH Jun26 May16 Mar05 Feb18 Feb05 (gutterson kat)DAVILA R 122 2.50    
SWEET SHALLOTS Jul05 Jun14 May31 May22 May09 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  SNIFF Jun26 May22 Aug01 Jun21 Jun01 (huertas )DAVIS A 122 6.00    
NO CHALK Jul12 Jun14 May22 May09 Mar15 (iorio jr)PEREZ E 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
ISLE STORM Jun26 May09 Oct26 Oct18 Oct04 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 5.00    
 
FL-4   08/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICHIE'S B L Jul05 Jun26 May24 May08 Apr24 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 May24 Oct25 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 2.50 25% 2.90    
VINNY TWO CENTS Jul18 Jun20 Jun12 May29 May15 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 5.00    
STORMY NEW YORK Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 May30 May17 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 15.00    
ROYAL KAZ Jul25 Jul05 Jun26 May30 May17 (sells rachel)SONE Y 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
DR. CERFOLIO Jul19 Jul04 Jun21 Oct31 Oct17 (acquilano jame)COA J 124 4.00    
BENCH WALK Jul12 Jun28 Jun12 May17 May02 (huertas )DAVIS A 122 6.00    
MISAWA Jul04 Dec08 Sep04 Aug18 Jun30 (chamberlin tina)FRATES D 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
FL-5   08/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE TWO ZONE Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 May18 Mar07 (trites la)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 2.00 55% 0.80    
HOLY COWBOY Jul26 Jun13 May23 May09 Apr25 (breed debr)DE EMANUEL 124 20.00    
SCR  NOBLE ENDEAVOR Dec13 Nov14 Oct25 Oct11 Aug08 (sells rache)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 6.00    
PAPA TOM B Sep21 May25 Feb25 Jan09   (barrow paul)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
HEYITSNRICOPALAZO Jul11 Jun27 Jun05 Nov16 Oct18 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
BUSTIN THE RULES Jul05 Jun20 Feb05 Jan14 Jan05 (gutierrez lu)BARBOSA CARLOS 117 5.00 22% 3.50    
BOWING SNOWMAN Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 Jun05 May23 (muller thom)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.00    
DEAN VERDILE Jul18 Nov16 Oct05 Sep20 Aug30 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
 
FL-6   08/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROFESSOR DAVE Jul11 Jun20 May23 May02 Oct18 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
DR. LLOYD Jul03 Jun20 Jun05 May17 May02 (dominguez car)DAVILA A 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
MO CRAZY BLUES Jul17 Jun27 Jun13 May30 May17 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 124 15.00    
GANONDAGAN Jul11 Jun20 Jun05 May16 May02 (sells rache)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 20.00    
STONE GUITAR May02 Nov14 Oct31 Oct19 Oct04 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00    
SPECIAL STORY Jun27 Jun13 May23 Oct25 Oct05 (torelli stacy)FRET STEVEN 124 4.00    
CAVARADOSSI Jul11 Jun27 Jun05 May09 Jan12 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
MAGNIFICENT CHROME Jul11 Jun20 May23 May09 Apr15 (breed ronal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
FL-7   08/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETTERCARRIERHENRY Jul18 Jul03 Jun14 Oct18 Oct04 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00    
ALMENDRO Jul10 Jun13 Apr24 Nov22 Nov07 (ubbink s)DAVIS A 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
MASS APPEAL Jul18 Jul03 Jun14 Nov15 Nov02 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 8.00    
SCR  NIGHT ESCORT Jul11 Jun20 Nov14 Oct25 Oct03 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
DOUBLE SHOT Mar25 Mar11 Feb11 Jan19 Jan05 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.00    
TOMMY THE TORCH Jul12 Jul03 Jun13 May16 Apr24 (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
MASSEY HALL Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 May30 May16 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 120 15.00 12% 7.40    
PRODUCTION CREDIT Jul18 Jul03 Jun14 May17 May08 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
FL-8   08/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOUR QUARTZ Jun26 Jun14 May16 Mar03 Feb18 (thompson marcu)VENTURA JOSE 116 20.00    
INDE SYMPHONY Jul04 Apr29       (gutterson k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOLD BEE BEE Jul31         (buckley)NAVARRO J 120 15.00    
IRISH EMPRESS Jul16 Jun26 Jun03 May13 Dec02 (rodriguez gu)HARKIE K 120 4.00    
SCOUTING PARTY Jul25 Jun26 May29     (sells rache)CAMILO D 120 10.00    
SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Jul25 Jun26 May29 May16 Apr25 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
GLORY BOUND CLARA         (bartlett)DAVIS A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SASSY TALLAHASSEE Jul18 Jun26 Jun12 May29 May16 (sells rachel)COA J 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.