Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - August 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(7/6/3)-(6/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(6/2/4)-(3/6/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(2/1/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/4)-(2/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/4)-(2/1/3/8)-(1/2/3/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/8)-(1/2/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/8)-(1/2/3/7)-(7/3/8/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/7)-(7/3/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/7)-(7/3/8/2)-(1/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/2)-(7/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/2)-(7/3/8/2)-(7/3/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/8/2)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISE A RUCKUS Jul22 Jul06 Jun10 Nov26   (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 124 15.00    
2  TO THE TOP Jul21 Jun01 Nov02 Oct06 Sep16 (king yolond)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 50.00    
3  CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Jul13 Jun16 May18 Apr27   (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
4  BOP ZAPPER Jul13 Sep24       (jones e)BOCACHICA O 120 1.80    
5  METALLIC CAT         (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 14% 6.40    
6  WINDSOR'S STAR Jul13 Jun23 May20 Mar24 Jan06 (comi w)RODRIGUEZ V 118 3.50 9% 10.30    
 
CT-2   08/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRIMETIME JET Jul14 May26 Apr21 Apr01 Mar10 (patterson kevi)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
2  BARB'S PRIDE Jul14 May25 May05 Apr14 Apr01 (frock c)BRICENO GREGOR 118 10.00    
3  HELL'S KITTEN Jul20 Jun22 Apr15 Feb09 Jan14 (pennella rhea )RIOS-CONDE A 122 30.00 8% 11.70    
4  DIVINING DANCER Feb08 Jan04 Dec03 Nov24 Sep30 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
5  UNCLE REMI Jul14 Jul09 Jun19 Jun09 May31 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00    
6  DOC ELM Jul14 May20 Apr21 Mar10 Feb18 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.50 8% 11.30    
7  DRINKWITHTHESTARS Jul14 May05 Mar31 Mar17 Feb02 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 0.60 63% 0.60    
 
CT-3   08/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDSUMMER NIGHTS Mar09 Feb25 Jan25 Jan13 Dec02 (shanley mar)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 15.00    
2  FIDDLERSHOTPLEASUR Jul28 Jul15 Jun24 May12 Apr20 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 114 5.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  LADY IN WAITING Apr08 Mar01       (collins t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
4  DAPPLESANDDIAMONDS Jul15 Apr20 Mar04 Feb09 Dec08 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  EVERYDAYISAGIFT May12 Apr08 Mar17     (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
6  TALENTED CORINNA Jul15 Jun23 May25 May04 Apr15 (brown ronne)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 1.40 62% 0.60    
7  TIPSY TOURIST Jul02 Jun10 May26 May07 Apr02 (eubanks)BRICENO GREGOR 124 2.00    
 
CT-4   08/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET OFF MY CLOUD Jul07 Jun22 Jun03 May11 Apr13 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
2  IN JUBALATION Apr22 Jan07 Sep22 Apr27   (curtis f)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00    
3  AIR MEDAL Jun22 Jun01 Apr22 Mar25 Mar16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
4  SIENTE EL AMOR Jun22 May26 Apr06 Mar10 Feb24 (wilhelm tabit)SIMPSON JASON 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLUE N GOLD Jun22 May25 Apr27 Nov05 Oct05 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 7% 13.70    
6  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Jul07 Jun16 May26 May06 Apr06 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
7  JUST A FLIRT Jul13 Jun01 May19 Apr27 Apr14 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
 
CT-5   08/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SULEMAN Jul05 May18 Mar25 Mar04 Feb10 (laguna ho)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  STRONG HEART Jul14 Jul07 May26 May05 Apr14 (smith o)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
3  STAVANGER Jul13 Jun22 Jun03 May18 Apr14 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROCKY DICE Jul13 Jul07 May26 May04 Apr20 (murdock stephen)ACOSTA D 122 2.50    
5  ADARA Jul13 Jun15 May25 May05 Apr22 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 5.00    
6  ANVIL Jul27 Jul07 Jun24 Apr28 Mar03 (ramos ago)BOCACHICA J 110 12.00    
7  POWER (BRZ) Jul05 Jun02 May19 Apr30 Apr08 (morzan javier )ARAUJO DENIS 120 20.00    
8  RIGHTEOUS MAN Jul14 Jun24 May12 Mar25 Mar04 (kirlew lenwor)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   08/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXY SISTA Jul01 Jun02 May19     (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 43% 1.30    
2  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Jul01 May25 May06 Apr13 Mar17 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
3  MISS LAUREN Jul06 Jun01 May25 Apr13 Mar09 (grams timothy )MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  UNUSUALLY LUCKY Jun23         (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 116 6.00    
5  REVEIRS MINUTE Jul20 Jun16 May20 Apr06 Mar04 (hess jaco)BOCACHICA J 110 5.00    
6  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Jul01 Jun10 Apr29 Apr08 Mar16 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.50    
7  FRENCHIES GOLD Jun10 May25 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   08/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO CHANGE Jul08 May19 Apr22 Mar11 Nov12 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00    
2  EASTERN BAY Jul08 Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 12.00 9% 10.40    
3  COASTAL MISSION Jun30 Apr22 Apr08 Mar18 Feb17 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  SOUND OFF Jul08 Apr11 Feb08 Jan31 Jan20 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00    
5  OUTLIER Jul16 Jul08 Jun21 Jun04 May18 (ginter )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 6.00    
6  DONTMESAWITHME Jul23 Jul08 Jun09 Nov23 Nov08 (stites w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
7  CLASSIER Jul08 May25 Apr29 Apr07 Mar19 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
8  SOCIAL CHIC May19 Apr22 Mar18 Feb09 Dec10 (runco jeff )CONCEPCION AXEL 115 5.00 12% 7.10    
 
CT-8   08/03/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED WISDOM Oct07 Sep15 Aug25 Jul30 Jul08 (dillow h)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
2  GREAT DEVOTION Jul14 Jun22 Jun01 Apr20 Mar30 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 2.50    
3  AMERICAS WOMAN Jul13 Jun23 Jun02 Jan05 Dec14 (shanley t)BOCACHICA J 110 6.00    
4  COMIDA COMIDA Jul13 Jun16 May12     (picket)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
5  TAKE CHARGE LISA Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 Apr20 Mar30 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 9% 10.60    
6  QUEEN OF KANTHAROS Jul13 Jun22 Apr20 Apr07 Feb15 (davis b)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
SCR  HEARDITALL Jun17 May07 Apr20 Apr01 Feb05 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  MIDNIGHT PASS Jul14 Jul08 Jun24 May12 Mar09 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.