Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - August 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/4/2)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2)-(4/1/3)-(4/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(4/1)-(3/4/6) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-3   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(3/4/6)-(4/1/2/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(4/1/2/8)-(2/7/4/1/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
ASD-5   WIN (4/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    PK3 (4/1/2/8)-(2/7/4/1/8)-(9/5/2/7) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-6   WIN (2/7/4/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/1/8)-(2/7/4/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/1/8)-(2/7/4/1/8)-(2/7/4/1/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/1/8)-(9/5/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-7   WIN (9/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/7)-(9/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/7)-(9/5/2/7)-(9/5/2/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADAM'S CREED Jun28 Jun21 May30 Apr28 Apr16 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 123 4.00    
DAMN THE TORPEDOES Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 Apr09 Mar18 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
FRENCH ROSE Jul05 Jun06 May23 Aug29 Aug02 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 123 1.20 30% 2.40    
WAIT A SEC Jul05 Jun06 May22 Mar29 Jan30 (buffalo marvin)BALROOP SVEN 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
TEXAS RAIN Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 Sep26 Sep12 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 121 12.00    
 
ASD-2   08/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTINCT APPROVAL Jul19 Jul11 Sep25 Sep23 Sep11 (zawislak dale)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 3.00 15% 5.50    
ARTISAN DANCER Jul18 Jul04 Jun19 Jun07 May22 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 123 5.00    
BLUEGRASS SOUL Jun25 Jun11 May21 May14 Jun12 (hanson deborah)AEBLY FRASER 118 8.00 14% 6.30    
LIA'S ON TUNE Jul18 Jun06 Sep28 Aug30 Aug08 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 0.80 44% 1.30    
LADY SUNSET Jul25 Jul04 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (stanford maria)BELLE SHAVON 123 25.00    
L L COOL GREY Jun25 May20 May05 Apr23 Mar26 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 123 10.00    
 
ASD-3   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKIN ATTHE PARTY Jun18 Aug23 Jul31 Jul03 Jun25 (hanson deborah)CHOW CHAVION 124 10.00 18% 4.40    
PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Jul03 Jun10 May28 May07 Apr16 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.50    
A LOT TO LIKE Jul12 Jun28 Jun14 Sep19 Aug30 (hrymak br)CHADEE JR 117 15.00    
NEVER HAD I EVER Jun17 May28 May14 Apr22 Mar26 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  DADDYSRAREEDITION Jul03 Sep06 Aug03 Jun14 Jun01 (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
ARROGANCE Jul19 Jul10 Jun26 May23 Oct14 (brown shelley)BALROOP SVEN 119 6.00    
 
ASD-4   08/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZIGS STAR STORM Jul12 Jun28 Jun20 Apr07 Mar17 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 110 1.60    
THE COMRIE RULE Jul10 Jun28 Jun07 Apr04 Mar20 (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 20.00    
TIPSY AT THE BAR Jun24 Jun11 Jun11 May20 Jun26 (hanson deborah)CHOW CHAVION 123 6.00 48% 1.10    
CUSS'N CAT Jul11 Jun28 May29     (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 117 4.00 13% 6.70    
OTTER POP Jun09 Apr28 Apr07 Mar24 Mar04 (anderson wendy)CARRENO J 117 2.50    
NEXT THING YA KNOW Jul04         (pruitt lise)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 10.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  DIVAESQUE Jul12 Jul01 Jun02 May12 Apr16 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 15.00    
 
ASD-5   08/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZL'N MISCHIEF Jul18 Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 Sep28 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.00 13% 6.70    
LUCKY BREAK Jul10 Jun28 Jun12 Jun05 May23 (gourneau )CHADEE JR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
FELLER Jul26 Jul05 Jun27 Jun20 Jun07 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 15.00    
TIZ FUNNY Jul25 May30 Jun21 Jun06   (brown al)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.60 64% 0.60    
SCR  SMASH FACTOR Jul23 Apr08       (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
MANDREW Sep23 Sep18 Sep03 Jul13   (zawislak dale)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 30.00    
ALPHABETICAL Jul12 Jun21 Jun12 May23 Mar26 (mooney bill)BELLE SHAVON 124 25.00    
PUCKER Jul19 Jul12 Jul05 Jun21 May30 (brown shelley)AEBLY FRASER 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ASD-6   08/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Manitoba Oaks Purse ($50K) 3 F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLIVE'S CANDY Jul12 Jun27 Jun14 May22 Apr06 (gardipy jr)AEBLY FRASER 114 15.00 13% 6.70    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of EILEEN'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
NIGHT FLYER Jul07 Jun16 May12 Oct15   (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by MR. Z out of DEVIL HOUSE by CHESTER HOUSE)
DIAMOND GRAND Jul10 Jun02 May13 Apr30 Apr16 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 6.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of SURELY GRAND by GRAND SLAM)
REASONABLY LOVELY Jul10 Jun27 Jun20 Apr21 Mar29 (keplin s)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CONQUEST SWEETRIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
DUBD SAINT ANGEL Jul17         (fraser lorne)MARTIN ANDRE 119 40.00    
  (by SINGING SAINT out of SWEET ANGEL GIRL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SPARKLING SILVER Jul12 Jun19 Jun07 May22 Dec09 (anderson carl)TARASENCO P 114 20.00    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of ESSENCE OF SILVER by ESSENCE OF DUBAI)
I'VE GOT ALL NITE Jul17         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 114 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of HEART'S OF GOLD by GOLDEN MISSILE)
WHERE'S THE PUMPS Jul10 Jun27 Apr29 Feb10 Dec23 (brown jared)CARRENO J 119 10.00 6% 14.60    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of PREACH IT by SAINT BALLADO)
GOVERNOR ANN Jul10 Jun11 May18 Apr27 Apr08 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 114 30.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of VOLANT by WILD SURF (IRE))
 
ASD-7   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAY SUZANNE Jul25 Jun14 May30 Oct21 Sep12 (jordan jennife)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 30.00    
KICKALITTLEBOOTY Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 Jun07 Sep28 (gitten)LEWIS ANTHONY 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RUBYINTHESTARS Jul12 Jun28 Jun19 Jun05 May22 (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 20.00    
M AND M GIRL Jul19 Jan11 Dec27 Nov15 Sep29 (sanderson)CHADEE JR 123 5.00    
KNOW WHAT I MINA Jul19 Jul05 Jun07 May22 Sep28 (nault michael)CHOW CHAVION 123 4.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  INSPIRATUS Jul18 Sep19 Aug31 Aug24 Aug09 (desjarla)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 15.00    
BARBIE'S QUEST Jul05 Jun21 Jun06 Sep26 Sep07 (johnson mari)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
WHAT UP NOW J T Jul19 Jul05 Jun20 May22 Sep28 (anderson wendy)AEBLY FRASER 118 2.50    
TWO STEPS FASTER Jul19 Jul03 Jun21 Jun07 May22 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  ENJAY'S BRASS Jul25 Jul11 Jun20 Sep28 Sep12 (senebald donal)BELLE SHAVON 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.