Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (4/8/6/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/10/1)-(4/8/6/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/10/1)-(4/8/6/10/1)-(4/8/6/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/8/6/10/1)-(2/4/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/10/1)-(2/4/3/7)-(4/5/8/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-2   WIN (2/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/7)-(4/5/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/7)-(4/5/8/2)-(6/2/5/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-3   WIN (4/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/2)-(4/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/2)-(4/5/8/2)-(4/5/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/8/2)-(6/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/2)-(6/2/5/1)-(8/9/7/1/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(8/9/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/1)-(8/9/7/1/3)-(6/5/4/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-5   WIN (8/9/7/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/7/1/3)-(8/9/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/7/1/3)-(8/9/7/1/3)-(8/9/7/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/7/1/3)-(6/5/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/7/1/3)-(6/5/4/1)-(5/8/1/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-6   WIN (6/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1)-(6/5/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/1)-(5/8/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/1)-(5/8/1/7)-(3/6/7/2/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-7   WIN (5/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/1/7)-(3/6/7/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/7)-(3/6/7/2/4)-(1/8/3/4/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-8   WIN (3/6/7/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2/4)-(3/6/7/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2/4)-(3/6/7/2/4)-(3/6/7/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/7/2/4)-(1/8/3/4/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
EVD-9   WIN (1/8/3/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/4/9)-(1/8/3/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/4/9)-(1/8/3/4/9)-(1/8/3/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   07/29/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRUMMER Jul01 Jun05 Feb20 Nov25 Oct12 (gelner scott)ROSIER R 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TOP TEN DUCHESS Jul03 May04 Apr13 Mar05 Feb20 (thomas lee)ALBERT S 110 20.00    
SCR  HUSHED COURT ROOM Jul20 May29 May21 Apr01 Mar18 (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
4  MISS JANA Jul01 May18 May04 Mar26 Feb24 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 112 2.50 34% 1.90    
5  US SECOND CUTE PIE Jul07 Jun16 May26 Feb28 Feb15 (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 120 10.00    
6  BROKEN PROPOSAL Jul14 Jun24 Jun02 May13 Apr28 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 9% 9.70    
7  MY LITTLE JEN Jul07 Jun16 May18 Apr28 Apr13 (richards coral)THORNTON G 120 3.00    
8  HONORARY GUEST Jul08 May28 Apr28 Feb24 Jan19 (delany sarah)MAGNON H 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
9  LIMITLESS MAZIE Nov23 Sep06 Aug07 Jul19 Jul11 (bruno d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
10  HAL'S DREAM Jul20 Jun25 Jun11 May13 Mar26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-2   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGINALD AURELIUS Jul07 Jun23 May05     (averett ro)ALBERT S 113 4.50    
2  KIT KAT KIDD Jun02 May18 Aug06 Jun04   (castille ca)MELANCON JANSEN 118 5.00 31% 2.20    
3  PALANTE Jul07 May19 Apr29 Jun30 Jun10 (woodley j)POMPELL L 123 2.50 18% 4.60    
4  SWIFT N TRAFFIC Jun24 Jun02 Apr27 Apr08 Feb03 (mouton chadw)BARRERA J 113 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  PETEY Jun23 Feb11 Jan20 Dec10 Nov04 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 12.00    
6  JACKIE MOON Jul07 Jun02 May19 May05 Apr23 (gonzalez adri)VARGAS P 123 4.00    
7  MULETRAIN Jun15 May25 Apr27 Apr13 Feb25 (bernard john)MCMAHON J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-3   07/29/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R T'S GEM Jul06 Jun10 Apr26 Feb28 Feb17 (sam thomas)ALBERT S 113 8.00    
2  SUPER ET Jul08 Sep25 Sep12 Jul06 May12 (govea cesar)BARRERA J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  FOLLOW THE SAINT Jun29 May21 Feb24 Feb11 Jan04 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 123 4.00    
4  ADDI BUG Mar25 Feb23 Jan07 Dec10 Nov18 (gomez c)FUSILIER C 118 4.50 37% 1.70    
5  PICKIN ANA GRINNIN Jun23 May11 Apr15 Mar10 Feb17 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
6  DIXIE FARMER Jun24 Jun10 May20 Apr26 Feb23 (landry ray)STOKES J 118 5.00    
SCR  ASHLEY'S GIRL Jul06 May11 Apr26 Apr07 Mar15 (zenon shelto)MAGNON H 123 12.00    
8  COPPER MOON Jun29 May20 Apr22 Mar12 Feb10 (richards coral)THORNTON G 118 3.50 12% 7.40    
 
EVD-4   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTIE'S DEAL Jun09 Mar24       (cuccia j)ALBERT S 110 10.00 7% 12.90    
2  PORTO DEL ACE Jul07 Jun23 May19 May06   (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 21% 3.70    
3  MALLY'S MONSOON Jun18 May10 Mar18 Feb09 Jan13 (cormier donald)ROSIER R 118 2.50    
4  SANDY AUSTIN Jul14         (giangrosso)WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 20.00    
5  NICELY UNIFIED Jul14 May27 Dec02 Nov05   (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 4.00 18% 4.50    
6  GOLD PLUS Jun22 May10 Mar24 Mar08   (bourgeois ke)BARRERA J 113 1.80 27% 2.70    
7  BAYOU BEAUTY Mar12 Feb12 Jan21 Dec09   (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 115 12.00    
 
EVD-5   07/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON DAY Jun24 May10 Apr07 Mar26 Jan14 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAZING MARK Jul07 Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 Dec26 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 115 2.50    
3  DOUBLE ON THE RED Jul08 Jun03 May13 Apr27 Feb24 (zenon shelto)MAGNON H 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  F J'S FLACO Jul15 May25 Apr08 Mar16 Aug03 (maturin chad)POMPELL L 115 15.00    
5  CAJUN AMI Jun24         (landry ray)STOKES J 112 12.00    
6  ITS WILD AGAIN May13 Apr28 Mar26 Mar10 Feb02 (terre david)MCMAHON J 117 12.00    
7  GLUCKSTADT Jun24 May25 Apr22 Mar12 Mar01 (sanchez jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 8% 12.00    
8  BUTLER CABIN Jul09 Jun11 May25 Apr28 Apr08 (wilson shane)THORNTON G 115 4.50 50% 1.00    
9  TARAASHOQ Jul13 Jun24 May19 Apr01 Mar16 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 6.00 14% 6.10    
10  LITTLE ROCKY Jun09 Apr29 Mar01 Jan21 Dec20 (diodoro robertin)FUSILIER C 115 15.00    
SCR  SUMMER LOVER Jul01 Jun16 May28 May07 Mar31 (govea cesar)VARGAS P 120 8.00    
 
EVD-6   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEVER PRINCE Jun30 May19 Apr27 Feb25 Feb01 (bonin jr)STOKES J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COUNT ON RAIN Jul07 Jun10 May25 May10 Feb28 (benoit james)POMPELL L 123 5.00    
3  PERFECT STRIKE Jun24 May10 Apr14 Mar08 Feb10 (mojica edi)MARQUEZ L 123 15.00    
4  MR. BUTCH WOMBLE Jun26 Jun18 May07 Apr22 Feb18 (bruno j)ROSIER R 118 6.00 16% 5.30    
5  TRADER PRICE Jun22 May19 Apr21 Mar26 Feb24 (david b)BARRERA J 118 10.00 28% 2.60    
6  RAZZ Jul06 Jun15 May13 Apr19 Mar26 (prejean raymond)MELANCON G 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
7  SILVER CHALICE Jun30 Jun02 May10 Apr14 Feb25 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 2.00    
8  CALLEN FEELS GOOD Jun30 Jun02 May19 Apr27 Feb09 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 123 4.50    
 
EVD-7   07/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUPIE CUTIE Feb15 Aug25 Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 (huitron joel)EDISON JOCELYN 118 10.00 13% 6.50    
2  LAKE BALI Jun23         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 5.00    
3  A. P. STYLE Jul13 Jun17 Jun02 May11 Apr20 (dison ma)ROSIER R 123 20.00    
4  SUM CHARM Jul20 Jun29 Jun09 May11 Feb20 (ney john)VARGAS P 123 3.50    
5  NATURALBORNSENDER Jul15 Jul01 Jun16 May27 Apr12 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  PERIPHERAL VISION Jun17 May18 May03 Apr20 Mar16 (ladner joh)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 12.00    
7  AMELIES DREAMER Jun17 Jun02 May03 Apr19 Feb18 (segura kearney)STOKES J 123 8.00 6% 17.20    
8  SCRAPPY Jul23 Jul08 Jun16 May12 Feb13 (bernard john)STOKES A 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
 
EVD-8   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASHAAB Jun16 May27 Dec30 Dec06 Nov18 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 20.00    
2  BILOXI Jun16 May19 May05 Feb23 Nov10 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
3  RICKY BOBBY Jul01 May27 Mar18 Feb25 Jan29 (schwandt emile)POMPELL L 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
4  UNION DATA Jun22 May28 Apr29 Feb25 Jan28 (gelner j)ROSIER R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DREWMAZING Jul14 Mar01 Feb10 Jan19 Dec21 (briley lonn)MELANCON JANSEN 117 15.00    
6  MALIBU S S Jun19 May14 Apr15 Feb23 Jan26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 4.50 20% 4.00    
7  DOUBLE EDGE SWORD May12 Apr08 Dec14 Nov16   (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.00 19% 4.40    
8  B W P SPIRIT May26 May05 Apr22 Feb19 Jan28 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 115 12.00    
9  MOTAWAAFEQ Jun16 May06 Apr19 Mar16 Feb18 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 115 12.00    
10  CHARLIE'S CREED Jul15 Feb12 Dec29 Nov25 Jan28 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
 
EVD-9   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL MISS SUNSHINE Jun25 Jun02 May12 Mar18 Feb02 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 3.00 55% 0.80    
2  FINISHWHATUSTARTED Jun24 May06 Apr07 Mar16 Feb25 (gonzalez adr)BARRERA J 113 8.00    
3  DORGENOIS Jun26 May13 Apr19 Mar18 Dec22 (delany sarah)MAGNON H 115 20.00 6% 15.00    
4  WHO DAT GINGER Jun10 Apr26 Feb17 Jan27 Jan14 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  APRIORITY GIRL Jul08 Jun24 Jun01 May12 Nov10 (west henry)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 5.00    
6  SECRET MELODY Jan29 Nov19 Sep25 Jul23 Jun18 (williams m)MELANCON G 123 4.50    
7  BRIGHTNMORNINGSTAR Jun23 May12 Mar26     (necaise larry)ROSENDO J 123 15.00    
8  MISSHEARTBREAKER Jun24 Dec07 Aug28 Jun29   (delahoussaye bre)FUSILIER C 123 10.00 13% 6.60    
9  OUR CLOVER GAL Jun17 Feb28 Jan19 Jan05 Dec21 (gonzalez ad)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  TDZ CORRIENDA STAR Jun24 May19 May03 Apr20 Mar18 (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 115 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.