Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/8)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8)-(2/5/6)-(6/7/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(6/7/3)-(4/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(4/2/6)-(4/5/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(4/5/3/2)-(7/9/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (4/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/2)-(7/9/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/2)-(7/9/8/5)-(1/5/9/3/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-6   WIN (7/9/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/8/5)-(7/9/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/8/5)-(7/9/8/5)-(7/9/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/8/5)-(1/5/9/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/9/8/5)-(1/5/9/3/8)-(1/4/6/8/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/5/9/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/3/8)-(1/5/9/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/3/8)-(1/5/9/3/8)-(1/5/9/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/9/3/8)-(1/4/6/8/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
HAW-8   WIN (1/4/6/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/8/5)-(1/4/6/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/8/5)-(1/4/6/8/5)-(1/4/6/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   07/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUICK AND DIRTY Jun20         (campbell joel)EMIGH A 124 4.00    
SCR  ONACOUNTA         (irion heather)COLON H 120 5.00    
3  HURRYUPANDBYE May31 Apr30 Apr06     (witthauer jo)TAVARES JAVIER 120 15.00    
4  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Jul06 Jun21 Jun04 May25 Apr09 (ramirez carlo)HERNANDEZ K 124 6.00    
5  SANGFROID Jun29 Jun15 May31 May21 May04 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.00    
6  TEXAS PRINCESS Jun29 Jun04 Mar30 Mar15   (cristel j)FELIX E 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
7  BOBTAIL CANETTE Jun21 May30       (bahena fer)SIMPSON M 120 12.00 31% 2.20    
8  HOLY STAR Jul09 Jun22 Jun15 May31   (weir geor)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-2   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONGENOUGHSTORM Jun29 May25 May14 Apr27 Apr06 (reyes martin)TAVARES JAVIER 124 8.00    
2  SONG OF AMERICA Jun21 May11 Apr20 Mar16 Jan18 (campbell michael)FELIX E 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
3  EVIE JEAN Jul09 Jun29 Jun15 May31 May14 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 124 10.00    
4  UNGLUED Jun25 Jun05 May12 Sep16 Aug21 (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 115 15.00    
5  TWICK OR TWEAT Jul09 Jun15 Jun04 May11 Apr20 (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 10.00 14% 6.20    
6  SHE APPEALS HOLY Jun22         (weir geor)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  BE MY BESTIE Jun21 May25 May04 Apr02 Mar12 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 0.60    
 
HAW-3   07/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEEALEA Jun25 Jun08 Jun01 May14 Apr27 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 12.00    
2  LAVENDER EARL Jun22 May18 Apr27 Apr16 Mar23 (ramirez c)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
3  BOOTDADDY JUSTICE Apr18 Feb11 Jan19 Dec17 Dec03 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 8.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  GAME BOY BENNY Jun29 May19 Apr13 Feb10 Jan13 (winebaugh ch)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00    
SCR  BLOOD MOON Jul05 Jun11 Jun04 May12 Apr03 (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 6.00    
6  MOMENT Jun21 Jun11 May18 Apr27 Apr06 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.60 41% 1.40    
7  DANVILLE Jun29 Jun08 May18 Apr20 Mar25 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
HAW-4   07/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG RED WAVE         (delong be)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of FOLLOW YOUR BLISS by THUNDER GULCH)
2  SHE CAN SCAT         (winebaugh cher)COLON H 119 5.00 14% 5.90    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SCATMEIFUCAN by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  GO MARGIE GO         (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 119 2.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LIL SUPER BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
4  MOMS CHANNEL         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MOMS CHOICE by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  MISS SAINT Jul09         (spraggins ken)HERNANDEZ K 119 12.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of PASSAGE OF TIME by EL CORREDOR)
6  SWEET SMILA         (robertson hugh)FELIX E 119 6.00 7% 12.60    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of SMILA'SSENSEOFSNOW by TRAPPE SHOT)
7  REALISTIC GOAL         (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 119 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of REALGOODLOOKIN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  BECCA BELLE         (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 119 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of RARE MEDAL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
HAW-5   07/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIO GUAPO Jun14 Dec17 Nov25 Oct22 Oct01 (reyes marti)ORTEGA O 120 30.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of INDIAN ANGEL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  MONEY AGENT Jun25 Jun08       (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 120 8.00 12% 7.70    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of QUEST TO PEAK by DISTANT VIEW)
3  EVEN THE WIND Jun29 Jun08 May04 Mar31 Feb18 (block chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 13% 6.80    
  (by GORMLEY out of TWELVE BELOW by FORT PRADO)
4  WOLF HUNTER Jun25 Jun08 May11 Mar18 Mar09 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 2.50 36% 1.70    
  (by THE FACTOR out of QUEEN DIDO by THUNDER GULCH)
5  REGIMENTAL Jul06 May25 Apr08 Nov26 Sep10 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SYNKROS by TAPIT)
6  COOL AND COLLECTED Jun08         (block chris)COLON H 120 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of FORT PRADA by FORT PRADO)
7  J J'S SOLUTION Jun29 Jun15 May28 May11 Apr16 (rednour jr)EMIGH A 124 6.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
8  C V JERSEY BEE         (gonzalez lil)GILES EMMANUEL 115 12.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of LOU'S ANGEL by CACTUS RIDGE)
 
HAW-6   07/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOGAN Jun27 Jun06       (lynch harr)SIMPSON M 119 12.00    
  (by LOOKING COOL out of MISS GOODTHING by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
2  ADIOS COOL ARROWS         (delong ben)COLON H 119 10.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of EASY A by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  GIMME A KISS         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 3.50    
  (by GREATNESS out of KISSES FOR JEANNE by BRING THE HEAT)
4  STANCE Jul09         (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BYLIA by BANDINI)
5  HEDGEHOGINTHEFOG         (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of SIEGE GUN by CONGRATS)
6  STROPE Jul09         (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 114 20.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of JULMAE by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  GIMME THE CANDY         (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RICHIE'SLILWILDCAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
8  CHISPARRAJOS Jul09         (gutierrez fa)TAVARES JAVIER 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by BLAME out of AMAZING SHOES by EMPIRE MAKER)
9  GOOD LIKE MAGIC         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STAR SILVER by ALDEBARAN)
 
HAW-7   07/23/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVIANO May14 Apr27 Mar31 Mar17 Feb18 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50 61% 0.60    
2  MODIFIER Jul06 Jun14 Jun04 May18 May11 (perez man)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00    
3  SPORT PEPPER Jun22 Jun14 Mar19 Jan01   (zavash kerry)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  VERRAZANOINTHESKY May31 May11 Apr16 Mar26 Dec24 (winebaugh ch)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00    
5  FORWARD CURVE Jun14 May25 Dec02 Nov04 Oct14 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 8.00 9% 10.70    
6  EL RAYO (ARG) Jul11 Jun17 May27 Apr09 Sep30 (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 12.00    
7  COMING UP ACES Jun21 May14 Apr27 Mar19 Dec30 (miller r)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00    
8  FASTBYTE Jul06 May22 Mar04 Dec02 Oct29 (ballard f)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  GATE CREW Jun14 May25 Apr20 Apr02 Mar16 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 6.00 5% 17.40    
 
HAW-8   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPSON BAY Jun14 Jul07 May26 May07   (robertson hugh)FELIX E 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
2  UNCLE DICK Jul05 Jun18 May31 May04 Apr02 (gonzalez lil)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
3  ROUGH JUSTICE Jul06 Jun18 Jun25     (rodriguez hugo)LOPEZ A 122 20.00    
4  SWISS GUARD May03 Apr20 Mar19 Jan07 Dec09 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 4.50 18% 4.70    
5  DASTARDLY DEEDS Jul06 Jun21 Jun14 Apr06 Mar23 (flores j)REYES FRANK 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  SNOWMOBILE Jun25 Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 Dec09 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 8.00 10% 8.70    
7  LAMELO Jul06 Jun07 May22 Feb17 Jul31 (clay pat)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
8  LIMA ZULU Jul06 Jun10 Apr25 Apr09 Jan20 (hernandez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 10% 8.80    
9  FABRICATOR Jul05 Jun14 May25 Apr30 Mar11 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.