Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - July 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(4/3/5)-(5/1/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(5/1/4/2)-(6/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/4/2)-(6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/2)-(6/5/2)-(4/6/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-5   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(4/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2)-(4/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/2)-(8/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-7   WIN (8/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/1)-(8/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/2/1)-(8/2/1)-(8/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/2/1)-(7/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1)-(7/3/6)-(6/1/10/8/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
FL-8   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(6/1/10/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FL-9   WIN (6/1/10/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/10/8/7)-(6/1/10/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/10/8/7)-(6/1/10/8/7)-(6/1/10/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   07/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD WATER May20 Apr23 Mar31 Jan04   (smi)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 2.00 15% 5.90    
2  COUSIN GREG Jun20 May23 Nov21 Nov08 Oct18 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00 65% 0.50    
3  HARDLY WORKING Jul04 Jun20 May23 Apr25 Nov21 (lopez rober)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 8.00    
4  MARCH MADNEZ PARTY Jun27 Jun12 May24 May15 Nov22 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  LORENZEN Jun20 Jun12 May24 Nov14 Oct26 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
6  MOON HUNTER Jul10 May26 Dec17 Nov12 Oct20 (sells rachel)COA J 124 4.50    
 
FL-2   07/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUPS DE PARTY Jul05 Jun20 May31 Nov16 Nov01 (babcock ed)DE EMANUEL 122 4.50    
2  TRACI'S GIRL Jul05 Jun20 May31 May22 May09 (sparling way)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 10.00    
3  IOVA Jul05 Jan03 Nov23 Nov01 Oct05 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.00 61% 0.70    
4  WILLOW GROVE Jul05 Jun21 May31 Nov15 Oct12 (ficarella brooke)GOMEZ O 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
5  AFTER ALPHA Jul05 Jun13 May30 May17 Aug08 (huertas nir)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 4.00    
6  RENNINAS ROSE Jul05 Jun21 May31 May22 May09 (falk jac)DAVIS A 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-3   07/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO IS JARETT Jun20 Jun05 Sep19 Aug30 Aug16 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00    
2  ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE Jun27 Jun13 May16 May02 Nov14 (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00    
3  DOUBLE VISION Jul05 Jun27 Jun05 May23 May09 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
4  BOWING SNOWMAN Jul05 Jun27 Jun05 May23 May09 (muller thom)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
5  DEAN VERDILE Nov16 Oct05 Sep20 Aug30 Aug16 (marino e)GOMEZ O 124 8.00 11% 8.30    
6  DREMAS BOY Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 Aug30 Aug02 (bartlett)DAVIS A 124 8.00    
 
FL-4   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SUGAR BABY Jun20 May24 May08 Apr24 Jan20 (englehart jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
2  WABAUNSEE Jul04 Jun20 May23 May08 Nov22 (sells rachel)SONE Y 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BECKY'S MISSION Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 May24 Nov16 (bireta donna)CRUZ JOEL 124 10.00    
4  SUPER SLIDE Jun21 May15 Apr25 Mar24 Dec18 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.50 7% 12.60    
5  AMORE FIRE Jun21 May15 Apr24 Jul17 Jul04 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
6  JACKIEGIRL Jun20 Sep26 Aug24 Aug15 Jul12 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00    
7  KITTY TIN TIN Jun13 Nov01 Sep06 Aug23 Aug15 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00    
 
FL-5   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN PIETRE Jun27 May24 May08 Mar24 Feb16 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 5.00    
2  MASSEY HALL Jul03 Jun13 May30 May16 Nov08 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 118 10.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  MAJOR SPIN Jun28 Jun14 May07 Apr14 Mar03 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 122 3.00    
4  SOUTH AFRICA Jun14 May29 Dec29 Dec04 Nov15 (huertas )DAVIS A 118 6.00    
5  SAMAY (PER) Jul03 Jun13 May29 May15 Dec09 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
6  MASKED MARAUDER Jun27 Jun05 May11 Apr01 Feb17 (miller-saul beth)BAEZ JOSE 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
7  MASS APPEAL Jul03 Jun14 Nov15 Nov02 Oct19 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 8.00    
 
FL-6   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF DARKNESS Jul03 Jun05 May22 May09 Apr24 (sells rachel)COA J 122 8.00    
2  PRODUCTION CREDIT Jul03 Jun14 May17 May08 Apr24 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00 6% 14.70    
3  LETTERCARRIERHENRY Jul03 Jun14 Oct18 Oct04 Sep06 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 3.50    
4  WAHEEL Jun14 Jan12 Dec10 Nov22 Nov09 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  NUTSIE Jun19 May15 Dec08 Sep06 Aug24 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 122 8.00    
6  STUCK UP Jul03 Jun14 May16 Oct25 Oct11 (miller-saul)CAMILO D 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
7  MACHO MIAH May17 Nov15 Nov02 Oct18 Oct03 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 6.00 11% 8.50    
8  DROSEL DIEM Jul03 Jun13 May22 May09 Apr24 (sabine michae)DAVILA R 120 12.00    
 
FL-7   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEISTY MARIE         (goodwin )DAVIS A 120 10.00 10% 8.90    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of WARRIOR MARIE by DESERT WARRIOR)
2  MADDIE'S SURPRISE Jul05 Aug31 Aug12     (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 124 2.50 16% 5.40    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of STEWPER by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
SCR  STARR'S DELIGHT         (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 120 4.00 17% 4.70    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of JITNEY by UTOPIA (JPN))
4  MY INNER VOICE Jun02 May12 Apr20 Mar31 Feb17 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MISS BODINE by VINDICATION)
5  PAJAMA JAM Jul05 Jun26 Jun12 Sep05 Aug01 (bond brent)ROHENA JR 124 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of FREUDA by FREUD)
6  SASSY TALLAHASSEE Jun26 Jun12 May29 May16 Sep26 (sells rachel)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 6.00    
  (by A SHIN FORWARD out of MISS TALLAHASSEE by SILVER DEPUTY)
7  OUR FIRST LADY Jun26 May22 Nov08 Oct12   (acquila)NAVARRO J 120 8.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BELONGS TO DIXIE by BELONG TO ME)
8  GEARED UP May22 Sep29 Sep07 Aug23 Aug10 (miller-saul be)COA J 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by CUPID out of SHUSH UP by SILENT NAME (JPN))
 
FL-8   07/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIMMEDAMONEY Jul03 Jun05 May22 May02 Nov22 (lecesse )DAVIS A 122 3.50    
2  LABAN M MO Jun13 May22 May09 Dec09 Nov01 (sells rachel)COA J 122 4.00    
3  MISTER LARRY Jul03 Jun20 May31 May16 Apr25 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 5.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  KONG LOVES A FIGHT Jun12 Apr29 Apr08 Feb12 Jan21 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00    
5  CANDYROCK Jul03 Jun21 Jun05 Nov15 Oct10 (donegan l)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 10.00    
6  ACH DU LIEBER Jun28 May31 May15 Nov21 Oct25 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHARED SUCCESS Jul03 Jun21 Jun05 Nov15 Oct25 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
 
FL-9   07/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHTER KITE Jun28 May16 Nov15     (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 4.50 20% 4.10    
2  BRODY'S WAR Jul04 May16 May04 Apr21 Apr04 (acquila)NAVARRO J 120 6.00    
SCR  SMART STORM Jul04 Jun20 May31 May16 May02 (gutterson ka)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 8.00    
4  THUNDERING MARCH Jul04 Jun20 Nov23 Nov09 Oct25 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 124 12.00    
5  VINNY TWO CENTS Jun20 Jun12 May29 May15 Oct06 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 15.00    
6  HANGOUT Jun20 May29 May16 Apr25 Nov22 (mas)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  HANGAR ONE Jun28 Jun12 May23 May02 Jun07 (pettine m)GOMEZ O 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  RILEY BEE Jul04 Jun03 May14 Apr27 Mar17 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 10.00 9% 10.10    
9  MAGIC PRO Jul04 Jun20 May31 May16 May02 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 124 25.00    
10  CODYS EXPRESS Jul10 Jun12 May29 Oct10 Sep26 (torelli stacy)FRET STEVEN 124 3.00 16% 5.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.