Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(2/5/6/10/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(5/2/6/11/10)-(6/1/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-2   WIN (5/2/6/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/11/10)-(5/2/6/11/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/10/11)-(2/5/6/10/11)-(2/5/6/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/6/11/10)-(6/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/11/10)-(6/1/5)-(1/9/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-3   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(1/5/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(1/9/10/5)-(1/3/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/9/10/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/10/5)-(1/9/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/10)-(1/5/9/10)-(1/5/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/9/10)-(1/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/10/5)-(1/3/5/4)-(14/2/1/9/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/5)-(1/2/4/9/14) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5/4)-(14/2/1/9/4)-(3/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (14/2/1/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (14/2/1/9/4)-(14/2/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/9/14)-(1/2/4/9/14)-(1/2/4/9/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/4/9/14)-(2/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (14/2/1/9/4)-(3/2/7)-(3/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-7   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(2/3/5/6/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LRL-8   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE ENGINE Jun17 Feb24 Jan29 Dec30 Dec02 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.00 44% 1.30    
SIR SMOAK Jun21 May18 May11 May05 Apr29 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
LITTLE BAY Jun17 May27 May13 May06 Apr16 (vick m)DELGADO A 122 20.00    
SUPERSTITIEUX Jun17 May28 May18 May05 Apr06 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 5.00    
ISLAND D'LITE May27 May07 Feb17 Jan14 Dec17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60 10% 8.90    
POLITICAL DECISION Jun17 Jun02 May13 Apr15 Mar25 (murtaugh)BUTTERFLY L 122 15.00    
 
LRL-2   07/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STELLAR LUTE May31 May06 Oct07 Sep03   (shuman)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 30.00    
HAY CHIEF Jun17 May26 Apr30 Mar12   (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
IMAGINE IT Jun17 May26 Apr30 Feb11 Jan21 (jenkins rodney)MONTERREY R 120 12.00    
NORTH HIGHLAND Jun25 Jun02 Apr30 Mar31 Mar10 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
AWESOME STRIKE Jun18 Apr15 Apr01 Feb25 Nov30 (bailes rober)CEDENO CAROL 126 3.00 42% 1.40    
GIANTSBANE Jun17 Oct09 Aug19 Jul13 Jun05 (nagle sarah)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.50 7% 13.00    
SCR  REMASTERED May14 Mar09       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.60    
SILK PRINCE Jun17 May26 Apr15 Mar31   (rose orland)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00    
LONGWORTH Jun18 May27 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 (voss katha)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 8.00    
10  ELUSIVE May26 Oct15 Aug30 Aug09 Jul13 (fout dougla)KARAMANOS A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  GETTIN'DOWNONIT Jun23 May31 May19 Nov13 Sep29 (beecher mar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SNIP THE ROSES Jun23 May26 May05 Mar31 Mar10 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 30.00    
SCR  PRALINE'S CAT May31 Apr23 Apr07 Mar25 Mar08 (posadas ped)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00    
SCR  PHOTO COPY Jun21 Jun02 Nov05 Oct21 Sep24 (mcdermott s)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 12.00    
 
LRL-3   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPONSORED Jun23 May14 Mar26 Jan22 Nov12 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 122 3.50 19% 4.10    
CARBONITE Jun18 May29 Jan14 Dec16 Nov24 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 126 1.80    
SCR  ABUELO PAPS Jun11 May25 Mar31 Mar19 Jul22 (salazar)BRICENO GREGOR 126 10.00    
MUNGO MAGIC Jun24 Jun16 Apr30 Apr16 Mar25 (mohan david)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 116 30.00    
PHRA PHROM May14 Apr20 Mar26 Mar18 Mar05 (c)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
B WEST Jun24 May05 Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 (russel)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
STREET HUSTLE Jun16 May26 May04 Mar18 Feb25 (eubanks ann)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 4.50    
 
LRL-4   07/09/2023 5940ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO BY TWO Jun18 Jun02 May09 Mar19 Feb17 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.60 47% 1.10    
1A  BRILLIANT CHASE Jun18 May07 Mar22 Feb04 Nov30 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.60    
SUPER E Jun11 May25 Nov07 Oct22 Oct15 (smith a)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00    
SCR  WALK AWAY JOE Jun09 May27 Apr29 Mar12 Feb20 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 6.00    
PAPAL LAW Jun18 May29 Oct30 Oct16 Sep23 (wolfe jr)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 2.50    
DOWN COLD Jun23 May05 Apr20 Mar19 Jan14 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIXIE DRAWL Jun18 May18 Apr07 Mar17 Feb24 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.00    
SCR  MAXIMUM IMPACT May26 Apr21 Jan20 Jan14 Jan05 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 2.00    
TRANSIT Oct23 Sep25 Sep10 Aug15 Jul23 (voss elizab)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 30.00    
GUNSLINGER (IRE) Jun09 May24 May12 Sep16 Aug17 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 25% 3.10    
10  DANCING TIL DUSK Jun24 May20 Nov06 Oct16 Sep30 (white alexandra)DELGADO A 118 12.00 5% 17.60    
SCR  CLUBMAN Jun23 Jun09 May12 Apr29 Apr02 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 1.60    
 
LRL-5   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONNIE'S DANCE Jun03 Mar26       (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80 38% 1.70    
  (by LONG RIVER out of PASSIONATE DANCER by CAT THIEF)
HAINT BLUE (FR) Jul08 Jun03 May04 Mar26 Mar11 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON null      
  (by DONE TALKING out of QUEEN MOON by LAWMAN (FR))
HOW SWEET SHE IS Jun02 May12 Jan01 Nov19   (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 2.50 16% 5.40    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
KENTUCKY REIGN May02 Apr19 Mar25 Aug13 Jul31 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of DARK WOMAN by PRIVATE THOUGHTS)
GOLDRUSH HOTTIE Jun02 May12       (howard c)CRUZ ANGEL 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of HAPPY HAILEY by ROCK SLIDE)
LADY ENSIGN Jun10 May14       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 124 3.50    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SISTER STATE by A.P. INDY)
ITALIAN WAR CRY Jun03 May04 Apr07 Mar10 Jul08 (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 20.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of WALKING THE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
LRL-6   07/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 M/F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARMEL SUNRISE Jun25 May29 Apr19 Mar18 Feb15 (mcmahon hugh )TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
KRONE Jun18 May27 May04 Mar29 Feb23 (shuman)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 3.00 27% 2.70    
TANKA TOUGH Jun23 May27 May04 Apr08 Nov13 (mcdermott sean)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00    
CATCH THE KITTEN Jun10 May27       (keil d)KARAMANOS A 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
NAMI Jun17 May14 Apr16 Mar24   (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00    
SMOKE N SIN May27 May14 Apr07 Jan13 Nov14 (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 126 50.00    
NUWANDA Jun18 Aug17 Aug03 Jun19   (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 120 5.00    
SCR  TWO SPOT Jun17 Mar30       (graham l)BOYCE FOREST 122 20.00    
FORGOTTEN GIFT Jun17         (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  ALWAYS FORWARD May27 Mar05 Feb12 Dec31 Dec04 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 116 50.00    
SCR  IRISH ZAPPER Jun22 Jun03 May04 Dec30 Dec04 (samaniego jose)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
12  GINGER GIRL Jun18 Jun02 May12 Apr15 Apr01 (shankle joann)ALVELO C 116 15.00    
13  TIME GOES FAST May27 May04 Oct28 Oct14 Sep03 (juarez calixto)DELGADO A 122 20.00    
14  QUEEN OF THE DANCE Jun12 May24       (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 4.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  INTRO Feb17 Jan11 Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 126 15.00    
 
LRL-7   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLOAT ON Jun06 Apr04 Mar08 Feb20 Jan30 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00    
PIT STOP MAN Jun11 May12 Mar31 Mar26 Mar11 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 126 2.50 17% 4.90    
INDIAN LAKE Jun11 May25 Apr29 Feb25 Feb05 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.00 55% 0.80    
CYNERGY'S STAR Jun17 May25 Apr29 Nov26 Oct22 (cox m)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 8.00    
STEINBECK May12 Apr08 Mar19 Feb26 Feb10 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 3.50    
SCR  SAVOY Jun24 May13 May07 Apr15 Mar25 (mohan david)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 30.00    
WHISKEY AND YOU Jun11 May04 Apr13 Mar19 Feb25 (peacoc)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-8   07/09/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BY THE SEY SHORE Jun09 Nov04 Aug29 Aug15 Jul15 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 126 4.00    
SCR  YOUNGEST OF FIVE Jul02 Jun11 May06 Sep04 Aug13 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.50 16% 5.30    
SPYCRAFT May23 May03 Nov12 Sep24 Aug05 (sharp joe)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 2.50 12% 7.40    
BOSS IS A PAL Jun11 May29 Oct21 Sep25 Sep11 (stettinius suza)CENTENO E 126 8.00    
SEMPER FI Jun11 May29 May18 Apr01 Mar17 (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AIR TOKEN Jun23 May29 Mar25 Jan29 Jan21 (cash l)KARAMANOS A 126 1.60 7% 13.20    
HUNTER JOE Jun24 May19 May04 Apr13 May13 (smith hamilton)ROSADO JOHAN 123 5.00    
SCR  COLBALOAF Jun18 May18 Oct25 Oct10 Sep14 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00    
VALIANT VINNY May29 Dec31 Dec03 Aug31 Aug20 (nuesch patric)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.00    
10  SO STREET Jan12 Dec08 Oct22 Sep24 Aug13 (matz r)RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00    
SCR  CRYO Jun11 May14 Mar19 Nov09 Oct25 (russel)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.40 42% 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.