Handicappers' Racing Form

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Lone Star Park
Tuesday - July 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LS-1   Win (5/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LS-2   Win (3/4/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LS-3   Win (1/9/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LS-4   Win (12/5/1/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LS-5   Win (3/6/1/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LS-6   Win (4/10/3/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LS-7   Win (4/1/12/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LS-8   Win (8/2/10/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LS-9   Win (8/5/6/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LS-1   07/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAME PLATA Jun11 May12 Apr25 Mar07 Feb20 (bravo francis)WETHEY JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SONNEMAN May29 May06 Mar24 Mar03 Feb11 (bro)DE CRUZ 120 2.00    
CARLEA'S DREAM Jun03 May13 Apr22 Mar05 Jan20 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
MR. NIGHTBLINGER Jun15 May14 Mar18 Jan20 Sep07 (clary )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 30.00    
GOLD PILOT Apr30 Mar25 Feb18 Jan20 May27 (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 120 1.80 71% 0.40    
COWBOY MISCHIEF May09 Apr26 Apr05 Mar05 Dec02 (young scott )ERAMIA E 120 15.00    
CATDADDY Apr30 Mar26 Mar03 Feb10 Jan28 (petalino joe)FUENTES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
HERN Apr29 Apr08 Mar24 Mar05 Jan28 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 3.00    
 
LS-2   07/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 6:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL SWEET THANG Jun03 May06 Mar23 Feb18 Jan28 (willis mindy)ERAMIA E 122 4.50 11% 7.90    
GUITAR BOY Jun15 May13 Apr15 Mar25 Feb18 (ashford h)GONCALVES R 122 6.00    
BAY BE GONE May28 Apr29 Apr13 Mar19 Feb26 (garza e)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50 42% 1.40    
FORT HOOD Jun08 May14 Apr30 Apr07 Feb20 (davids)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00 22% 3.60    
TAPITURE JONES Jun15 May13 Apr23 Apr14 Mar25 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00    
FARM DOG Jun02 May07 Apr08 Mar17 Jul23 (gustafs)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 5.00    
RED SUMMERBIRD Jun15 May13 Apr23 Apr07 Mar05 (willis mindy)WETHEY JR 122 20.00    
NOISE COMPLAINT May07 Apr15 Mar26 Feb26 Jan07 (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
VILLAGE WAY Jun08 May13 Apr29 Mar17 Feb10 (asmussen steve)FUENTES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-3   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPERLITE         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  VINO BIANCO Jun08 May21       (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 2.50    
DELTA FRONT Jun18         (gelner jayd)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 15.00    
WHAT THE HEY         (tri)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 119 30.00 6% 15.20    
SCR  MACHO GRANDE Jun18         (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
SCR  DEACON JONES Jun18 Jun05       (ortiz javie)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 12.00    
TOOTHMAN         (dupuy )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00    
CAT STORM Jun18         (diodoro robert)FUENTES A 119 4.00    
HOLUS BOLUS         (pish danny)ERAMIA E 119 12.00 7% 13.10    
10  THIRD STREET Jun08         (davis h)ALVAREZ L 119 10.00    
11  PURE MALICE         (bro)DE CRUZ 119 15.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  MEXITEXAFORNIA Jun08         (crumley jevon)JUDE JOHN 119 20.00    
 
LS-4   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 7:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STHENIC         (pish danny)ERAMIA E 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
HAULIN HAY Jun22         (roberson ke)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00    
KATIES SPIRIT         (gelner jayde )WETHEY JR 119 6.00    
TIZ MEDAGLIA         (castellanos j)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
COPPER BOUND         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
KENTUCKY ANGEL         (bustam)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00    
MOON RIDGE Jun22         (montano w)GONCALVES R 119 30.00    
LADY ZEPHYR         (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 119 10.00    
SWISS DANCER         (kee)DE CRUZ 119 8.00    
10  CHAINSAW CITY Jun04         (davis shawn)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 4.00    
11  SARAH EXPRESS Y G         (mendoza)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
12  CURLIN'S MAGIC         (diodoro robert)FUENTES A 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
LS-5   07/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPMOVINGFORWARD May11         (schneider e)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 30.00 8% 12.00    
MORO TRENDSETTER Jun02 May21 Apr23 Apr08 Mar19 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 118 8.00    
TEAM GORMLEY Jun16 Jun02 Feb11     (scholl kevin)MORA GERARDO 118 2.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  GOLD CAPO Jun04 May07 Apr29 Apr13 Apr07 (echeverria hector)VALDEZ S 123 30.00    
MR. VALENTINO Jun17 Jun04 May11 Apr15 Mar31 (keen dallas)BARANDELA SOFIA 118 12.00 7% 14.30    
TEXAS CLUBMAN Jun18 May27 Apr07 Mar19 Mar05 (gustafson)GONCALVES R 118 3.50 15% 5.70    
JOHN LOUIS' BEVO Jun16 Jun02 May18 Apr23 Apr08 (butler )MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.50    
MODOC Jun16 May21 Apr23     (dodson )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 113 15.00    
KING SAUL         (garza e)SORENSON D 118 20.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  TITO May21 Apr29 Apr13 Feb19 Jan13 (chaparro gayla)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00    
11  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Jun16 Jun02 May21 Apr29 Apr07 (kotara ronald)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00    
 
LS-6   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST AVENUE Jun19 May14 Apr08 Mar24 Feb23 (hurley rena)MORA GERARDO 120 30.00    
IT MAKES SENSE Jun11 May12 Mar24 Nov22 Sep25 (davis )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00 11% 8.10    
AMERICAN XPERIMENT Jun11 May28 Mar19 Feb18 Feb05 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 11% 7.70    
JACKMAN Jun11 May29 Apr23 Apr07 Mar12 (bro)DE CRUZ 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
UNDER THE GUN May27 Apr29 Apr08 Mar31 Mar10 (villafranco f)WETHEY JR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Jun24 Jun03 Apr02 Feb18 Feb04 (broberg karl)ERAMIA E 120 15.00    
CHATTALOT May29 Apr23 Apr15 Mar11 Jan29 (asmussen steve)FUENTES A 120 12.00    
SCR  ERNIE BANKER May29 Apr25 Mar31 Feb20 Feb04 (caldwell r)VALDEZ S 120 4.50    
SILENCE D'ORO Jun16 Mar03 Dec16 Nov04 Sep16 (keen dallas)BARANDELA SOFIA 120 30.00    
10  IMPRESSED Jun11 Apr30 Mar24 Mar03 Feb25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 2.50 12% 7.50    
 
LS-7   07/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVINGSTON Jun25 May06       (bro)DE CRUZ 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  GWYNETH'S MALIBU May06 Mar11       (willis mindy)ERAMIA E 118 30.00    
RAH ORPHANA Jun17         (bravo francis)WETHEY JR 123 30.00    
DAWSON CITY Jun04 May13 Apr13 Mar18 Feb05 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 118 3.00 36% 1.70    
MOHAYMEN HOLIDAY Jun04 Oct18 Oct11 Jul24 Jun25 (green greg)MORA GERARDO 118 5.00    
GOLDEN FLASH Jun18 May27 Apr15 Mar22 Feb20 (villafr)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
WILD WING May21 May13 Apr13 Mar24   (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
DIXIE MOONSHINE Jun08 May21 May06 Mar18 Feb12 (eoff te)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 113 30.00    
SHAMEFUL ALLIANCE Jun17         (northrop de)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 30.00    
10  JUST BATTLE Jun09         (ritter shannon)ALVAREZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  STORM MAN         (craddock )GONCALVES R 118 12.00    
12  IT'LL DO Jun04 May13 Apr13 Feb11   (davis shawn)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 118 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
LS-8   07/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALE'S ANGEL Jun02 May07 Apr22 Mar12 Feb19 (villafranco f)WETHEY JR 124 2.50    
PRINCESS PHONE Apr21 Sep27 Sep11 Jul16 Jun24 (roubio)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00 21% 3.70    
MY GOLDEN BLING Jun17 Jun02 May07 Apr23 Apr08 (chacaltana )RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 8.00    
SOUL SET FREE May27 Apr22 Apr07 Feb11 Jan06 (tuley rhonda)SANCHEZ M 122 4.50    
GIRONA Jun11 Jun02 May07 Mar28 Jan31 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
GANGSTER RAP Jun02 May14 Apr30 Apr21 Mar26 (hurley )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 30.00    
FOR FUN Jun25 Jun09 May20 May07 Apr23 (green greg)FUENTES A 122 5.00 14% 6.40    
SCARLET POSITION May27 May10 May01 Apr03 Mar21 (davidson b)ERAMIA E 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
BROADWAY DISH May20 Apr29 Mar28 Mar14   (smith a)DIEGO V 119 20.00    
10  LEGENDARY GIFT May13 Apr29 Apr15 Mar18 Feb11 (bro)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
11  HIT'EM UP May27 May20 May05 Apr21 Feb12 (tuley rhonda)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 50.00    
12  MISSISZIPPY BLING Jun25 Jun04 May27 May14 Apr13 (davidson nico)ELLIOTT S 124 20.00    
 
LS-9   07/04/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY EMPEROR Jun24 Jun16 May28 May14 Apr29 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 8.00    
TAPADINE Jun25 Apr08 Mar18 Feb03 Jan13 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 116 12.00 5% 18.80    
WHITAKER Jun22 May07 Apr14 Mar22 Feb10 (broberg karl)WETHEY JR 123 4.50    
GOLDBRIDGE Jun23 May28 May03 Apr10 Mar21 (fullerton kri)BARANDELA SOFIA 121 30.00    
COLOR FAST Jun22 Jun16 May03 Apr22 Mar01 (bro)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 20% 4.10    
FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Jun24 Jun10 May20 Apr29 Mar04 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
PHARME'S PHAITH Jun10 May28 Apr22 Mar31 Mar03 (jacks e)DIEGO V 123 15.00    
STRICTLY CONFIDENT Jun10 May28 May07 Mar17 Feb18 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 116 3.00 28% 2.60    
JOHN DOUGH Jun10 May20 May05 Mar04 Jan14 (pish danny)SORENSON D 121 6.00    
10  R DOC Jun24 Apr30 Apr15 Jan21 Dec16 (durham danele)FUENTES A 121 20.00 6% 14.40    
11  FAST TRAFFIC Jun17 May12 Apr16 Mar19 Feb07 (ashford h)GONCALVES R 116 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.