Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-6   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(4/1/3)-(2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-7   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/1)-(2/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-8   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/5/1)-(6/7/4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-9   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(6/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(6/7/4/1)-(6/4/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-10   WIN (6/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1)-(6/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/4/1)-(6/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/1)-(6/4/5/3)-(3/2/4/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRM-11   WIN (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/3)-(3/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-12   WIN (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-6   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($22.67K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT RULES Jun05 May19 Oct01 Sep11 Aug08 (clark r)CORBETT W 122 3.50    
FRANKLY EPIC May19 Sep30 Sep03 Aug15 Aug01 (mcshane davi)JORDAN R 122 3.00    
WARRIOR'S RUN May29 Aug15 Jul16 Jun25 May28 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 128 2.00 56% 0.80    
SOLE SURVIVOR May28 Sep16 Aug20 Aug01 Jul10 (tibbitts dave)TOHILL S 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
LAWLESS JOHN May26 May13 Sep19 Aug29   (murphy swan)NOLL S 118 6.00 12% 7.60    
UNCLE SINGH May29 May12 Apr28     (donlin larry )PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00    
 
PRM-7   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COST BASIS May27 Apr14 Mar18 Feb03 Jan07 (martin timot)JORDAN R 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
FEROCITY Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 Feb18 Dec08 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 6.00    
OCEAN RIDE May21 Apr02 Mar19 Mar03 Jan28 (arnett g)BIRZER E 123 3.50 12% 7.40    
WOBBERJOD May20 May04 Apr08 Mar04 Feb03 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 1.80 37% 1.70    
PEACE DOG May27 May06 Apr23 Mar23 Jan21 (flores oscar)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 4.00    
SCR  AMERICAIN JOEY Jun12 May21 Sep24 Sep04 Jul29 (clark r)CORBETT W 123 10.00    
 
PRM-8   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A GIRL LIKE ME May29 Mar31 Mar04 Jan20 Jan01 (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 2.50 11% 8.50    
DISTORTED SECRETS Apr28 Apr15 Mar18 Mar05 Feb11 (martin timot)JORDAN R 123 4.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  BODE BY YOU May19 Mar26 Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 (arnett g)BIRZER E 125 1.80 49% 1.10    
SIERRA SUMMER May06 Feb04 Jan14     (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 123 6.00    
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Feb07 Jan09 Dec15 Nov23 Nov05 (rollins scott)CORBETT W 123 10.00    
SIMONA'S CHOICE Jun05 May13 Apr29 Mar31 Mar05 (jacquot g)DE CRUZ 123 5.00    
 
PRM-9   06/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($45.864K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYLEYWICK May19 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Sep26 (foley sea)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
KAYLA May22 Oct01 Sep12 Aug26 Aug07 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
SCR  DIXIE TRIXIE Jun04 May14 Apr21 Mar25 Mar18 (dieter dalton)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 8.00    
RAINBOW DASH Jun04 May12 Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 (dieter dalton)ZIMMERMAN R 122 3.00    
SASSY AIN'T I May28 Oct01 Sep26 Sep05 Aug15 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
REBEL RISING May22 Sep26 Aug29 Aug12 Jul15 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 2.50    
 
PRM-10   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOD'S PICK May28 May06 Apr22 Apr01 Mar18 (schutz pam)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
KOSELIO May19 May06 Apr29 Apr15 Mar25 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 125 2.50    
CAPTAIN DON May28 May12 Apr15 Apr01 Mar04 (dieter da)DE CRUZ 123 3.00    
AWESOME FAMILY Apr01 Feb25 Feb11 Jan08 Dec16 (donlin la)TRIANA JR 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
HUNK OF A HIT May28 Apr22 Mar25 Mar18 Mar03 (crabtree jas)SALAZAR TERESA 118 15.00    
NEW STRIPE Jun11 May28 Apr28 Apr15 Apr01 (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
HOLIDAY TICKET May22 Apr30 Apr15 Nov22 Nov14 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
PRM-11   06/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSIAN TO WIN May14 Apr27 Mar25 Feb18 Jan20 (garcia amalio)ZIMMERMAN R 124 4.00    
THREE FOR THREE Jun02 Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 124 15.00    
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) May05 Apr08 Mar20 Mar01 Feb06 (mcfarlane dan)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
MEGATAP Jun02 May20 Mar19 Feb05 Sep23 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
WHISKEY WEDNESDAY Jun02 Oct01 Sep04 Aug13 Jul18 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.50 18% 4.60    
ALYANAABI May26 Mar18 Mar05 Feb05 Dec31 (arnett g)BIRZER E 126 2.00 26% 2.90    
AXTON May29 Apr14 Mar12     (von hemel)DE CRUZ 118 6.00    
 
PRM-12   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILY WADE May28 Aug22 Jul11 Jun20   (mcshane davi)JORDAN R 118 10.00    
  (by DANZA out of SCARLETT'S SEQUEL by WILDCAT HEIR)
RAYS BIG DREAM May26 Sep30       (von kelly)TOHILL S 118 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of CRIMSON JAMAR by ADDED EDGE)
MACHO FORTY FIVE May13         (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by MACHO UNO out of JAFMILS PERSUADER by JAFMIL)
TAP ON BY May26 May13 Sep30 Sep19 Sep03 (hemba brad)WELLINGTON KYLIE 113 12.00 9% 10.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of FRIENDLY EMMA by FRIENDLY LOVER)
TEMPLE CITY RUN Jun05 May26 Sep19 Sep03 Aug22 (guillory )TRIANA JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of RUN WITH THE BAND by GULCH)
POE MANS RIDE Sep30 Sep03 Jul23     (curtis norman )ZIEGLER ZACK 124 6.00    
  (by SING BABY SING out of HAZY DAWN by CANAVERAL (GB))
NATIVE HELLRAISER May26 Oct01 Sep16 Aug26 Aug01 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 124 4.00    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of JEFFELL by SAARLAND)
SPANISH KISS May26         (tracy tanner)BIRZER E 118 5.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of KISSIMMEE by KISSIN KRIS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.