Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(4/3/5)-(6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(6/3)-(3/2/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-3   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(3/2/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(3/2/4/5)-(6/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-4   WIN (3/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5)-(3/2/4/5) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/5)-(6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/5)-(6/5/7)-(6/2/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-5   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/1) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(6/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(6/2/7/4)-(2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-6   WIN (6/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/4)-(2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/4)-(2/6)-(5/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
EVD-7   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (2/6)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6)-(5/2/7)-(8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-8   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7/1)-(5/2/7/1) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EVD-9   WIN (8/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/6)-(8/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/6)-(8/6/5)-(8/6/5) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   05/13/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOM SUNSHINE         (pomier chase)MAGNON H 118 3.50    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of SYNAPSE by SYNASTRY)
2  LONG LEGGED LADY         (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of MYKINDALADY by BODEMEISTER)
3  C C LLAM         (courville )MARQUEZ L 118 5.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of FLASHY PRODUCT by RUN PRODUCTION)
4  RUNNING ARGUMENT         (robbins hanc)BARRERA J 113 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by CLOSING ARGUMENT out of RUN JAMAICAN'S RUN by CHEROKEE RUN)
5  CAJUN ROCK STAR         (ali anci)MCMAHON J 118 4.00    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of BROKEN LINK by TIME BANDIT)
SCR  UNA MARGARITA         (ali andrea )MELANCON JANSEN 118 8.00 5% 17.70    
  (by MY PAL CHARLIE out of RUN MARGARITA by RUN PRODUCTION)
 
EVD-2   05/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIENNA BREEZE Apr27 Apr19 Mar18 Feb26 Jan29 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 120 2.00    
2  LOVERS NEVER SAY Mar08 Feb11 Jan21 Nov26 Oct28 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 115 8.00    
3  GALAXY THIRTYSIX Apr19 Mar26 Mar04 Jan27 Jan06 (ney john)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
4  TUGBOAT Apr19 Jan19 Dec28 Dec01 Oct20 (ramirez eduardo)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 37% 1.70    
5  SHELLI'S ANGEL Mar22 Feb20 Dec31 Dec03 Nov18 (ladner chad)THORNTON G 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
6  SOPHIE'S PRAYER Feb26 Jan12 May29 May11 Apr23 (zenon shelto)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
 
EVD-3   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE IS MAKING RIP Dec30 Dec09       (nelson eri)WEATHERLY BAILEY 108 20.00    
2  UNITEDAPPEAL Apr22 Jan21 Dec09     (nelson eric )BARRERA J 113 12.00    
3  FOOLISH STEVE Jan07 Dec09 May14 Feb14 Jan16 (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 1.40 32% 2.20    
4  UNCLE BRAD Feb16 Jan20 Dec10 Nov22 Oct21 (ward ronnie)HERNANDEZ V 120 8.00    
5  LIKEN IT Apr28 Apr15 Feb28 Feb16 Jan19 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 123 4.00 ★    
6  FIRED UP TIGER Dec09 Nov12 Sep24 Aug09 Jun29 (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
EVD-4   05/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUERIDGE MOUNTAIN Apr14 Mar22 Sep15 Aug25 Aug02 (richards coral)THORNTON G 118 2.50    
2  RUN ROCKET Apr29 Mar24 Mar10 Jan29 Dec17 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 115 5.00 21% 3.80    
3  ONE TIME GEM May03 Feb11 Jan15 Aug19 Jul09 (bourgeois k)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  BAYOU JAM Apr26 Mar26 Mar05 Feb04 Dec27 (fuselier jonah)STOKES J 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
5  GUITAR TRIBUTE Mar24 Feb21 Jan29 Jan01 Nov27 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 115 10.00 7% 12.90    
6  CHAOSMOS Apr20 Mar10 Dec28 Dec14 Sep27 (richard russell )MELANCON G 118 4.50    
SCR  COLONIST Apr20 Mar12 Feb19 Oct15 Aug29 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 113 12.00    
 
EVD-5   05/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEZA CHAIN BREAKER Dec11         (ladner j)FUSILIER C 123 2.00 ★    
2  COLE'S SENSATION Feb09 Jan13 Dec22 Dec10 Oct29 (delahoussa)ALBERT S 118 10.00    
3  FRIEND'S DO CARE Apr28 Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 Feb21 (pennino fran)BARRERA J 118 6.00    
4  CAJUN CARLOS Feb21 Feb09 Jan26     (granger randall)STOKES A 119 20.00    
5  POPPA BEAR         (woodley car)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
6  WHISKEY RED         (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
7  BELLAMY BROTHER         (ali anci)MCMAHON J 118 4.50 19% 4.30    
 
EVD-6   05/13/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE A HOT MESS Jan12 Sep19 Aug30 Jul29 Jun01 (brinkman br)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00    
2  ALLIACEOUS Mar17 Jan22 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 117 3.50 16% 5.40    
3  SERIOUSLY SAM Apr15 Mar22 Mar01 Jan29 Jan15 (david b)THORNTON G 117 12.00    
4  GURKHA GOLD (IRE) Apr21 Feb24 Jan13 Dec15 Nov15 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 120 10.00 5% 17.30    
5  COINMAKER Apr28 May27 May11 Apr21 Mar16 (schwandt emi)BARRERA J 115 6.00    
6  GLANCE Apr28 Feb20 Jan06 Dec09 Aug20 (richards cor)MAGNON H 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
7  BROKEN PROPOSAL Apr28 Jan14 Dec04 Nov17 Oct30 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 12% 7.00    
 
EVD-7   05/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAND BOSS Apr26 Mar16 Feb21 Nov24 Oct22 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 117 4.50 ★    
2  BIG MONEY MACHINE Apr19 Mar24 Mar10 Jan27 Dec15 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  BASSETT Apr15 Mar26 Feb10 Jan25 Dec14 (pomier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 10.00    
4  MIND ON MY MONEY Apr26 Jan14 Dec15 Nov22   (mojica edith)BARRERA J 110 6.00    
SCR  OUTLAW X. Apr29 Apr19 Feb28 Jan26 Jan07 (gonzalez v)MCMAHON J 115 2.50 17% 4.90    
6  HUMPHREY Apr19 Feb16 Jan26 Dec19 Nov25 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  LIAM SKYE Feb22 Jan28 Jan06 Dec15 Nov03 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 115 20.00    
 
EVD-8   05/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS WILD AGAIN Apr28 Mar26 Mar10 Feb02 Nov24 (terre david)MCMAHON J 123 3.50 ★    
2  VETERANS DAY Mar26 Mar08 Dec10     (landry ray)STOKES J 115 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  MY LIL DUDE Apr22 Feb25 Jan14 Dec22 Dec01 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 15.00    
4  RUN ON ACES Apr20 Mar26 Feb24 Jan22 Jan05 (perron gerard)STOKES A 120 4.00    
5  DOUBLE ON THE RED Apr27 Feb24 Jan22 Jan05 Jul01 (zenon shelto)MAGNON H 123 2.50 37% 1.70    
6  MI SOLUTION Apr28 Feb17       (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
7  FIELD OF VISION Apr15 Feb18 Jan28 Jan01 Dec11 (courville )MARQUEZ L 120 10.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  TRADER PRICE Apr21 Mar26 Feb24 Jan26 Dec11 (david b)THORNTON G 120 5.00    
 
EVD-9   05/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARKANSAS ZONG Apr14 Mar25 Feb23 Jan18 Dec02 (dison phil)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 2.50    
2  MARVINS' WARRIOR Apr16 Mar19 Feb20 Jan21 Jan07 (gelner scot)MELANCON JANSEN 118 12.00    
3  RED ON THE HEAD Feb16         (pike l)THORNTON G 123 20.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY JIM Apr27 Apr13 Mar10 Feb21   (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 10.00 21% 3.80    
5  WICKED TOUGH Apr14 Feb16 Jan18 Dec20 Dec08 (west henry)ALBERT S 118 4.00 ★    
6  RAZZ Apr19 Mar26 Feb16 Jan26 Jan12 (prejean raymond)MELANCON G 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
7  SMOOTH CUSTOM Jan21 Nov02 Oct07 Mar17   (ali a)EDISON JOCELYN 115 15.00    
8  ROLL ON OUT Apr14 Dec01 Jul31 Jun26   (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 1.60 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.