Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-2   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-3   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-4   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(3/7/6/2)-(7/1/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-5   WIN (3/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/2)-(7/1/5/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-6   WIN (7/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   05/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Nebraska HBPA Stallion Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECORDER Apr22 Apr15 Mar18 Feb25 Sep24 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 119 0.80 34% 2.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of SHEZA ROUNDER by STAR DABBLER)
2  FRIENDOFTHECOURT Apr22 Apr01 Mar10 Feb22 Jan25 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 119 12.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of WHATA FRIEND by MY FRIEND MAX)
3  BARSTOW Apr22 Apr08 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 (condon schuyle)MCNEIL BRYAN 119 8.00    
  (by MASTERY out of SHRIEK by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  DEBONNAIRE DUDE Apr29 Apr15 Apr07 Feb26 Feb01 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 119 4.50 30% 2.40    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of FORMAL DESIRE by FORMAL DINNER)
5  G'S TURN May06 Apr23 Apr14 Apr01 Mar10 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 119 2.50 11% 7.90    
  (by ALTERNATION out of MEADOW ASHLEE by MEADOWLAKE)
 
FON-2   05/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRYSPELL Apr02 Mar19 Feb25 Nov03 Oct01 (chavez juan)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
2  DAVE Apr21 Apr02 Mar11 Sep19 Aug09 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 21% 3.80    
3  JUST RIGHT MIKE May06 Apr29 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 20% 3.90    
4  GRAYDAR'S DREAM Apr23 Mar26 Feb25 Oct03 Sep19 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 4.50    
5  CHILLY WILLIS         (coughlin chri)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00    
6  EXPECT ROYAL Apr21 Apr02 Mar19 Feb11 Jun24 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 33% 2.00    
 
FON-3   05/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GRAY DEHERE Apr30 Apr08       (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 45% 1.20    
2  CHERUBIM Apr29 Mar11 Feb25 Oct04 Oct01 (radford raymo)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SOUTHERN SMOKE Apr16 Apr01 Mar03 Feb12 Sep27 (dieter dalton)RAMOS B 125 3.00    
4  SUBSCRIPTION Apr29 Apr15 Mar26 Mar11 Feb19 (thompson grady)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
5  OGA BEAR Apr23 Mar18 Mar11 Feb23 Jan27 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50    
6  GETALOADOFTHIS Oct01 Jul24 Jul04 May21 May01 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
FON-4   05/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYZEE Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Jun19 May07 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 4.00    
2  CALL THE SHOTS Apr30 Mar03 Oct03 Sep20 Aug29 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 8% 12.20    
3  RACHIE RACH Apr14 Mar31 Feb26 Jan18 Dec10 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  FASHION FACT Apr22 Apr14 Mar31 Mar18 Feb26 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
5  RED RED WINE (ARG) Apr08 Feb25 Feb17 Jul02 May27 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
6  HOT HABANERO Apr14 Jul24 Jul03 Jun25 Jun01 (suter milton )FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
 
FON-5   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. BIG SHOT May05 Apr22 Apr16 Mar18 Mar05 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
2  PICKELJUICE Sep05 Aug09 Jul12 Jun18 May28 (musquiz j)BETHKE A 125 12.00 5% 17.50    
3  NAME THE PRICE Apr15 Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Apr30 (dieter dalton)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  JOY FOREVER Apr30 Apr16 Mar25 Mar03 Feb12 (hoffman robert)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 15.00    
5  REPORT TO DUTY Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Jun19 May20 (musquiz j)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
6  PICKLES N ME Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Jun18 Jun11 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 11% 8.10    
7  KENHEDOIT Apr22 Apr16 Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 (dieter dalt)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.40 20% 4.00    
 
FON-6   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HESACALENDARBOY Mar12 Feb18 Jan11 Dec28 Nov30 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 15% 5.90    
2  AFTER BURN Apr29 Apr21 Apr07 Mar17 Nov11 (womochil jeff)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
SCR  HANDY BOY Mar26 Mar03 Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 (dolphus junior)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00    
4  GREAT REALIZATION Apr23 Apr10 Mar27 Mar07 Dec17 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 2.00    
5  STAR OF STARS Sep14 Aug18 Jul30     (russell natha)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 11% 8.50    
6  SCOOTER FLASH Mar19 Jun26 Jun18     (dolphus junior)GARNETT G 121 15.00    
7  DOUBLETROUBLE BEAR Apr21 Apr02 Mar12 May21 Apr23 (hawley joe)RAMOS B 125 3.50 47% 1.10    
8  BRADSTREET Apr23 Apr01 Mar24 Jan14 Jun05 (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 121 8.00 7% 14.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.