Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-2   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(2/7/5/4)-(4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CTM-3   WIN (2/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/4)-(4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CTM-4   WIN (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/8)-(4/8/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/8)-(4/8/6)-(4/8/6) 4 $1.00 $2.00 
CTM-5   WIN (1/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-6   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6/4/2)-(3/1/6/4/2) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(9/6/5)-(1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTM-7   WIN (9/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/5)-(9/6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/6/5)-(9/6/5/1)-(9/6/5/1) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (9/6/5)-(1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTM-8   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/10/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/10/6/5)-(1/7/10/6/5) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-2   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWHITESPORTSCOAT Mar08 Feb25 Feb04 Jan07 Dec01 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 127 3.50 42% 1.40    
2  BORKAN Apr29 Mar05 Feb12 Jan29 Jan13 (cone rodne)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 127 4.50 12% 7.60    
3  YORKTOWN Oct29 Sep30 Sep23 Sep03 Jul16 (petrowski j)MARTI ALEXANDER 127 10.00    
4  FAST EH May06 Oct29 Oct07 Sep30 Aug20 (davies deanne)NELSON DANE 127 2.50    
SCR  LONE PIONEER Nov05 Oct15 Sep18 Sep02 Aug05 (rycro)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 8.00    
6  EL NOBLE Apr18 Mar18 Feb15 Jan23 Oct29 (baker )ASENCIO MARIANO 127 5.00    
7  SCHOCHOH Apr15 Mar31 Feb19 Feb05 Nov13 (o'h)GONZALEZ ALONZO 127 4.00 13% 6.70    
 
CTM-3   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADDYDIDIT Oct29 Sep23 Sep02 Aug20 Jul29 (o'hagan colle)ZENTENO EDGAR 125 5.00    
2  SHE LOVES WINNIN Nov04 Sep24 Aug27 Jul29 Jun24 (walper deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  DEFINITE PLEASURE Jul31 Jul16 Jul10 Jun18 Jun04 (kingston ro)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 8.00    
4  IT'S ALEXUS Oct29 Sep18 Sep02 Aug12 Jul30 (rycroft t)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00 11% 7.80    
5  FLORIST Oct28 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Aug27 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 4.00 14% 6.20    
6  TAKE CHARGE GWEN Oct29 Oct15 Sep24 Aug07 Jul17 (robertson )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 12.00    
7  MI REYNA Apr03 Mar19 Mar04 Feb20 Jan19 (baker )ASENCIO MARIANO 127 1.80 19% 4.30    
 
CTM-4   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDIAN GIRL Sep30 Sep03 Aug06 Jul08   (petrowski joan)MARTIN ANDRE 127 8.00    
SCR  LENT ME FIFTY Oct29 Oct15       (smith c)CHASE RICHARD 112 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  SUNDROP (JPN) Oct15 Oct08 Sep10 Aug27   (mckenzie robe)FRASER MEAGAN 117 15.00    
4  STUBBORN LOVE Nov04 Oct21 Aug12 Jul15 Jun10 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 127 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  LANA'S PRETTY GIRL Nov04 Oct14 Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 127 10.00    
6  SUBLIME EUPHORIA Aug27 Aug19 Jul16     (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.00 ★    
7  DYLAN'S SAVE Jul15 May13       (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 127 8.00    
8  SHES MY DESTINY         (josep)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 12.00 6% 14.60    
 
CTM-5   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTIFUL ROSE Oct29 Oct08 Sep10 Aug19 Aug06 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  NIGHT FLYER Oct15         (smith craig)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 8.00 11% 8.40    
3  QUEEN RHONDA Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 Sep23 Sep02 (smith ron)ZENTENO JR 125 12.00 8% 11.10    
4  THRILL OF THE NITE Oct22 Oct07 Sep19 Aug31 Aug09 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 2.50 19% 4.20    
5  MOHAYMEN DAY Mar17 Feb17 Jan14 Dec09 Oct17 (robertson )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 127 8.00    
6  LILBITSPICY Oct22 Oct07 Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 (payne jode)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 10.00    
7  FAMOUS LAST WORDS Nov05 Oct22       (josep)GASKIN ZAVIER 115 15.00    
8  SOFIA D 'AMORE Mar09 Feb10 Oct29 Oct01 Sep16 (frey carson)BRYAN D 122 4.00    
 
CTM-6   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAZZLING CHIC Oct08 Sep02 Aug13 Jul22 Jul09 (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 127 15.00 18% 4.50    
2  BABS DELIGHT Nov05 Oct01 Sep17 Jul22 Jul02 (grieves ro)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 127 8.00 ★    
3  OUT FRONT Jun17 Jun04 May13 Apr30   (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 127 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  BIG CYN Apr15 Apr01 Mar13 Feb27 Feb15 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 127 3.50 ★    
5  MY EXPRESSION Apr03 Mar21 Mar12 Feb19 Jan23 (rycro)GASKIN ZAVIER 122 4.00    
6  EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE Nov04 Oct08 Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 (biggs s)CHASE RICHARD 117 20.00 7% 12.50    
7  KISSABLE U Oct28 Oct07 Aug27 Aug12 Jul22 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 127 12.00    
8  TALA Nov05 Oct07 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 (biggs seymour)MARTIN ANDRE 127 5.00    
9  ENTITLED STAR May06 Nov05 Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 (mckenzie robe)FRASER MEAGAN 122 12.00    
 
CTM-7   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST BASE Oct07 Sep18 Aug20 Jul29 Jul15 (petrowski j)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 15.00 ★    
SCR  AWESOME MEMORIES Nov05 Oct28 Oct15     (cone rodney)BRYAN D 120 12.00    
3  CHARMING VINTAGE Oct22 Oct15 Oct07 Sep30 Sep18 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 125 3.50    
4  AMEER Oct28 Oct15 Oct07 Oct01 Sep10 (joseph lionel)LUNAN RICHARD 125 20.00    
5  AGENT C Oct29 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10   (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
6  AMUSING WAY Nov04 Oct21 Oct07 Sep24 Sep10 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 5.00 21% 3.80    
7  ICE BOX INDY Oct29 Oct07 Sep18 Aug06   (leech william)ZENTENO EDGAR 125 2.00    
8  JAKE THE RAKE Oct22 Sep30 Sep17 Aug19 Jul02 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 12.00    
9  KEEP YOUR COOL Sep18 Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 (h)GRIFFITH DELANE 115 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
CTM-8   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMARTY RIVER PANTS Oct28 Oct08 Sep24 Sep10 Aug05 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  DRINKING AGAIN May14 Feb17 Jan28     (frey carson)ZENTENO EDGAR 125 15.00    
3  ESCROW STYLE Feb25 Feb09 Dec29 Dec08 Nov11 (frey carson)MARTIN ANDRE 125 20.00    
4  FLASHFORDANI Sep10 Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 Jun04 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00    
5  ABOVE AND BEYOND Oct22 Sep30 Sep10 Aug20 Jul29 (payne jode)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 12.00 ★    
6  HARD TO COME HOME Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 6.00 ★    
7  GLAVA Oct29 Oct15 Sep24 Sep09 Aug20 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 4.50 32% 2.10    
8  IMPERIAL BIRD Apr16 Mar17 Feb15 Jan15 Dec23 (smith crai)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 127 12.00    
9  COUNTRIFIED Oct29 Oct08 Sep10 Aug20 Jul22 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 125 3.00    
10  BON PRIX Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 (wyness jame)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.