Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Thursday - May 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (3/4/10/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/10/5/6)-(3/4/10/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/10/5/6)-(10/3/2/12/1)-(12) 25 $0.50 $12.50 
LRL-2   WIN (10/3/2/12/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/2/12/1)-(10/3/2/12/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (10/3/2/12/1)-(12) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (10/3/2/12/1)-(12)-(2/1/3) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
LRL-3   WIN (12) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (12)-(12/8/10/1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (12)-(2/1/3)-(7/4/1) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
LRL-4   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/11/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(7/4/1)-(5/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LRL-5   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(5/10)-(5/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-6   WIN (5/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/10)-(5/10/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/10)-(5/3/4/7)-(5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
LRL-7   WIN (5/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-8   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/6/8/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/6/8/3/1)-(5/6/8/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   05/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBSWORTH Apr01 Dec11       (rivera )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 20.00    
2  BAR DOWN EXPRESS Sep04         (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 113 8.00    
3  DIALER Apr13 Mar19 Feb26 Feb10   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
4  ALLIGATOR ARMS Apr16 Mar31       (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
5  GENERAL J R Apr06 Mar12 Jan07 Dec10 Nov20 (robb j)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 7% 12.60    
6  GREAT GOOGLYMOOGLY Mar31         (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  BAND CAMP Mar25         (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 124 10.00    
8  MOON SIGN Apr06 Mar12 Mar04 Feb20 Jan27 (pradena)BRICENO GREGOR 124 15.00    
9  LUNAR GHOST Mar10 Feb11       (howard dav)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 30.00    
10  RUN FOR YOUR LIFE Mar31         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
 
LRL-2   05/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT-12:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNSELECTRICRIDE Mar10 Feb05 May22 Apr22 Apr01 (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  PATRIOTIC PARTY Apr13 Apr06 Feb24 Jan06 Nov20 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 126 5.00 10% 9.40    
3  STREET HUSTLE Mar18 Feb25       (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 4.50 21% 3.80    
4  CAVALRY COMMAND Apr02 Mar25 Oct14 Sep10 Jul28 (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 10.00    
5  MISS YOU AJAX Apr04 Mar19 Feb19 Jan22 Jan01 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 109 6.00    
6  PRESSING CONCERN Apr06 Mar25 Mar18 Feb25 Feb10 (mohan r)HIRALDO JOHN 122 20.00    
7  HE ROLLS Apr13 Apr01 Feb19 Feb10 Jan27 (dove ke)BRICENO GREGOR 126 15.00    
8  NOTION TO TAPIT Apr13 Mar31 Mar25 Jan13 Jan06 (serey mar)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
9  THRUSTER Apr13 Mar25 Feb25 Feb05 Jan20 (barr h)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
10  NOTIMELIKEPRESENT Apr01 Mar19 Feb19 Jan28 Jan07 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
11  NEVER SILENCED Apr14 Feb02 Jan20 Dec29 Dec04 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00    
12  HIS ROYAL G Apr13 Mar18 Feb25 Oct02 Jul14 (magana jos)RIVERA R 115 12.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  BLACKWATER FALLS Apr17 Mar29 Feb14 Jan31 Jan11 (bryant donald)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 6.00    
SCR  DAREDAVITE Mar25 Feb17 Jan13 Dec10 Nov20 (albert l)ARAUJO DENIS 118 20.00    
 
LRL-3   05/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 M/F PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITALIAN WAR CRY Apr07 Mar10 Jul08     (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  BROOKLYN GIRL Apr16 Mar26 Mar03 Feb03 Jan22 (milosevic m)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 6.00    
3  GOLD DIGGING BROAD Mar05 Feb10 Dec30 Nov24 Nov06 (vera miguel)ARAUJO DENIS 118 12.00    
4  HAINT BLUE (FR) Mar26 Mar11 Aug17     (smith hamil)CONCEPCION AXEL null      
5  TANKA TOUGH Apr08 Nov13 Oct20 Sep16 Aug12 (mcdermott s)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
6  DETERMINED LILLY Dec30 Oct28       (schoentha)CARRASCO R 118 12.00    
7  I CAN DO IT Feb25 Jan13 Dec04 Nov04 Oct06 (gamber rober)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 15.00    
8  TIME GOES FAST Oct28 Oct14 Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 (juarez)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 ★    
9  KRONE Mar29 Feb23 Feb10 Jan26 Dec11 (shuman mar)RIVERA R 115 20.00    
10  CHEZ SOLEIL May25         (lawrence jame)ALVELO C 126 8.00 ★    
11  BRING THE MAGIC Feb10 Jan16 Nov27 Oct23 Sep30 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00    
12  THUNDER BOSS Apr02 Feb26 Jan13 Dec04 Nov14 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00 35% 1.80    
13  POLICE WOMAN Jan29 Dec29 Dec09 Dec02 Nov19 (woodit joseph)DELGADO A 122 15.00    
SCR  AUNTIE RONA Apr16 Mar24       (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 118 6.00    
SCR  MONDEUSE Jun17 May21 Feb19 Feb04   (de horacio)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 10.00    
SCR  PRIZE DEBATE Mar24 Mar02 Feb04 Dec12 Oct22 (rubley)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 12.00    
 
LRL-4   05/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  NORTHERN THUNDER Apr02 Feb26 Jan29 Dec18 Nov22 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  BRILLIANT CHASE Mar22 Feb04 Nov30 Apr21 Apr05 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.50    
2  SEANOW Jul04 May15 May08 Apr21 Apr03 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 39% 1.60    
3  HONOR THE FLEET Apr15 Mar03 Feb11 Jan18 Jan06 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 5.00 14% 6.20    
4  BAHAMA CHANNEL Apr02 Mar17 Feb26 Feb18 Feb03 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
SCR  FORLOVEOFCOUNTRY Apr14 Mar12 Feb20 Feb04 Jan08 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 123 12.00    
SCR  WILD BEHAVIOR Apr06 Feb20 Feb05 Dec31 Nov27 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00    
7  ROYAL SPY Feb10 Jan28 Jan11 Dec11 Nov21 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 10.00    
8  BADGER TOOTH Apr02 Mar12 Feb19 Jan27 Jan08 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 119 12.00    
9  REMEMBERING WILBUR Apr13 Mar12 Mar04 Feb22 Feb10 (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 10.00    
10  PEPE AND HEYWOOD Mar25 Mar03 Feb05 Dec09 Nov14 (nazario pedr)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00 ★    
11  GHOSTLIGHTER Mar12 Jan29 Jan14 Dec17 Nov24 (campbell will)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 ★    
 
LRL-5   05/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 3 ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN BUCKY RUN         (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  UPSIDEDOWN MAN         (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 124 15.00    
3  CALMING STORM         (bailes rober)PEREZ XAVIER 124 12.00    
4  RUNAHOLIC Apr13 Jul09 Jun27 Jun15   (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  DORIS' SLAYING IT         (cortez e)MONTERREY R 119 20.00    
SCR  SURF CITY GOLD Jan20         (buckley)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 20.00    
7  BOX N BEN Apr14 Mar11 Aug06 Jul01   (lynch catha)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 1.80 52% 0.90    
8  STORMY SEAS         (jenkins r)CARRASCO R 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  GREAT COCKTAIL Mar24         (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 12.00 ★    
SCR  HE'S PURE TALENT Apr14 Feb26 Jan27     (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 120 6.00    
11  ADMIT NOTHING Apr14         (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 124 15.00    
12  GREAT HEAVENS         (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 12.00    
 
LRL-6   05/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL ART Jan28 Jan13 Dec03 Nov19   (shuman mark)CRUZ ANGEL 115 20.00    
2  ISABELLA'S GLORY Apr07 Mar04 Jan22 Jan13 Dec02 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 123 15.00    
3  FLIMSY (GB) Mar04 Feb03 Jan20 Nov18 Oct20 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50 ★    
4  MAP EM UP Dec02 Oct29 Sep23 Aug24 Aug15 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 15.00 ★    
5  SHE IS WISKY Apr14 Mar18 Feb03 Jan13 Dec09 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  NAVAL EMPIRE Mar10 Feb11 Jan20 Sep07 Aug09 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 10.00    
SCR  PROPER STORM Mar04 Feb03 Jan01     (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 123 12.00    
8  CYNERGY'S ELECTRA Apr15 Mar10 Jan22 Dec30 Dec03 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 115 15.00    
SCR  FIVECOMMATWO Mar19 Feb24 Nov19 Oct22 Oct08 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 115 15.00    
10  DOWNTOWN KATIE Nov06 Oct22 Sep23 Sep10 Aug24 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  EVANGELINE ALLONS Dec03 Nov06 Oct22 Oct06 Sep16 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 8.00    
SCR  EXCEPT TEMPTATION Mar11 Oct20 Sep22 Sep02 Aug05 (albertrani tho)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.50    
 
LRL-7   05/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORRACHO Apr13 Mar18 Feb25 Jun20 May25 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50    
2  EXCULPATORY Mar19 Feb25 Jan21 Jan07 Dec10 (merryman edwin)CEDENO CAROL 123 5.00    
3  GOING TO THE LEAD Apr07 Mar18 Mar04 Feb25 Feb04 (gorham mi)CARRASCO R 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
4  WHERE PARADISE LAY Mar29 Feb26 Feb11 Jan13 Dec14 (downing willi)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50 11% 8.40    
5  CHATEAU Apr23 Apr13 Mar04 Feb10 Dec30 (jacobson dav)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 3.00 27% 2.80    
6  WHISKEY AND YOU Apr13 Mar19 Feb25 Feb12 Feb04 (peacoc)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00    
7  HUNTER JOE Apr13 May13 Apr29 Apr08 Mar13 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00 5% 18.40    
 
LRL-8   05/04/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERHOUSE Aug20 Aug07 Jul15     (milosevic )RIVERA R 115 30.00 ★    
2  MOON STORM Apr16 Sep03       (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 20.00    
3  KING SABAN         (milosevic m)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 15.00 ★    
4  DR. SNYDER Mar24 Feb26 Jan22     (de horacio)GOMEZ KEVIN 113 8.00    
5  TAKE CHARGE TOO Mar26 Dec30 Dec09 Nov25 Oct22 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 1.80 72% 0.40    
6  BLAME B B Nov05 Sep07 Aug23 Aug01 Jul03 (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 122 3.50 ★    
7  WILL'S MUSIC         (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 117 15.00    
8  LUV YA BYE BYE Apr01 Mar11 Feb19 Dec30 Dec09 (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 12.00 ★    
9  RUSH TO CANDY Mar26         (pickett)BRICENO GREGOR 126 20.00    
10  RYDER T         (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 117 12.00    
11  SURPRISE HELLO Feb18 Jan08 Jul16 Jun25 Jun17 (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 126 20.00    
SCR  MISSION MAN Mar19 Dec10 Oct29 Sep17   (hendriks m)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 5.00    
13  ODINSON         (meyers madi)CONCEPCION AXEL 108 12.00    
SCR  FUN NOTION         (white alexa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 117 15.00    
SCR  THEOLOVESAWINNER Sep07 Aug22 Aug01 Jul18 Jun25 (cooney s)RUIZ JORGE 117 12.00    
SCR  CATCHING STARS Mar24 Mar11 Feb10     (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 113 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.