Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - May 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(1/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(1/3/7/4)-(1/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4)-(1/3/7/4) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7/4)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/4)-(1/5/6)-(7/8/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(7/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(7/8/6)-(6/7/8/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/4)-(7/8/6/4) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/6)-(6/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6)-(6/7/8/5)-(4/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/5)-(4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/5)-(4/6/5)-(3/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(3/7/5)-(1/8/3/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5/2/6)-(3/7/5/2/6) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/5)-(1/8/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/8/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/10)-(1/8/3/10/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/10)-(1/8/3/10/7)-(1/8/3/10/7) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   05/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUSCIOUS Apr23 Mar31 Dec23 Nov23 Aug29 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 117 4.50    
2  BLAME BISHOP Apr19 Mar29 Mar12 Sep15 Sep03 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 1.40    
3  RULING FRONT Oct14 Sep25 Sep11 Aug24 Aug10 (munoz carlo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 8.00    
4  ADIOS BOBBY Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 Aug03 (fisher david)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 5.00 9% 9.80    
5  TEN MILES HIGH Mar05         (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.50 53% 0.90    
6  HENRY'S WORLD Feb05 Nov26 Oct28 Aug13 Jul30 (wasiluk peter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 8% 11.80    
 
TAM-2   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INCREDIBLE BILL Apr21 Apr02 May25 Apr20 Mar05 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 1.60 40% 1.50    
2  MIKES MYTH         (seale christoph)MENA E 118 10.00    
3  TOYI Apr21 Mar23 Feb19 Jan15 Dec11 (hernandez sand)CAMACHO SAMY 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
4  KENRIC Apr12 Mar19 Dec28 Nov09 Oct19 (davis n)FERRER C 125 8.00 6% 16.00    
5  KADAR INDY         (gonza)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 15.00    
6  SHAKEN AND SHIMMY         (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 6.00    
7  DISCREET DEVIL Apr15 Mar12 Feb05 Jan04 Aug29 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 4.00 9% 9.80    
 
TAM-3   05/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC WIZARD Apr19 Apr05 Dec23 Oct19 Oct06 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 126 2.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  SICILIANO Apr07 Mar08 Feb22 Feb05 Jan27 (ochoa gerard)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 10.00    
3  SOUTHERN CIVILITY Mar24 Feb22 Jan11 Nov30 Oct08 (o'connell kat)SOSA LAUREANO 119 1.60    
4  GOD GIVEN RIGHTS Apr15 Apr02 Mar18 Feb05 Jan18 (seale christoph)MENA E 116 12.00    
5  PAT'SSEWINGMACHINE         (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 126 6.00 33% 2.00    
6  HEAVY WEIGHT Apr22 Apr08 Mar29 Mar04 Feb18 (negrete javier)FERRER C 124 6.00 12% 7.70    
SCR  TRUTH AND HONESTY         (hennessy j)MITCHELL RICHARD 126 10.00    
 
TAM-4   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFTER NOON KISSES Apr21 Mar31 Mar10 Mar01 Dec14 (spanabel kell)ALICEA JEREMY 113 30.00    
2  KANEM Apr08 Mar29 Mar10     (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 10.00    
3  ASHES TO ASHES Apr14         (rhone bernell)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 6.00    
4  ZULLY BELLA         (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 10.00 ★    
5  MISSMOLLYORBIT Apr15 Mar11 Feb11     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.00    
6  SHADY DAISY Apr12         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 113 10.00 17% 4.90    
7  SHUT IT CALI Apr14 Mar17 Mar01     (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
8  MO TRAFFIC         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
TAM-5   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DRAMA'S PRAYER Apr21 Jan29 Nov23 Oct06   (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 1.40    
2  ERUDITE (FR)         (burns patrici)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 20.00    
3  ABE HONESTLY Apr22 Mar11 Feb19 Oct03 Aug16 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 3.00    
4  TEDDY'S HONOR Apr22 Feb17 Jan28 Jan15 Dec07 (wasiluk peter)IORIO MELISSA 114 12.00    
5  SMARTHUMOR Jan13 Dec14 Nov30 Oct12 Sep23 (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 8.00 8% 11.80    
6  J T'S MY BOY Apr16 Apr01 Mar15 Mar03 Feb15 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 26% 2.90    
7  SIDNEY'S BID Apr22 Apr07 Mar24 Mar10 Feb22 (mcgoey monica)SOSA LAUREANO 117 5.00 22% 3.50    
8  SWILL MERCHANT Apr12 Mar24 Mar04 Jul27 Jun01 (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 12.00 10% 9.30    
 
TAM-6   05/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3 F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED PRINCES Apr12 Mar04 Jan21 Oct21 Sep16 (rodriguez angel )BRACHO A 119 12.00    
2  WATER FIGHT Apr02 Mar17 Feb17 Jan06 Nov30 (posadas pedro)MENA E 119 8.00 ★    
3  CAYMAN QUEEN Apr19 Apr05 Mar05 Feb03 Jan21 (orseno f)FERRER C 119 5.00    
4  ONE TOUGH DAME Apr01 Mar17 Feb26 Feb12 Jan25 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 50% 1.00    
5  ELSA'S ROCKET Apr12 Mar25 Mar04 Feb12 Jan29 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 3.00 9% 9.60    
6  INFLUENTIALOUS Mar25 Feb01 Dec15 Oct27 Sep01 (kintz matt)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  REDHAIREDCOLLEEN Mar17 Nov02 Oct05 Sep14 Aug23 (bennett ger)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00    
8  GO MIKA Apr15 Mar22 Feb17 Jan21 Jan04 (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.50    
 
TAM-7   05/03/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTANA JOYCE Apr16 Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 Jan28 (mcgoey monica)SOSA LAUREANO 117 6.00    
2  JEFF'S ANGEL Apr16 Mar18 Mar03 Jan28 Jan15 (exposito adolfo )FERRER C 124 4.50 ★    
3  HELEONORTIZ Jan08 Dec16 Dec09 Nov23 Oct06 (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
4  JUST LIKE INDY Apr15 Apr24 Apr09 Mar06 Feb23 (lusk brian)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 20.00    
5  WHAT A KNOCKOUT Apr16 Mar03 Jan22 Jan06 Dec02 (puckett dwig)MENESES MARCOS 124 6.00 7% 12.50    
6  BOURN WILD AGAIN Apr15 Feb23 Jan09     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 124 8.00 ★    
7  SUWANNEE CHICK Apr16 Mar15 Mar01 Feb15 Jan22 (parra)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 3.50 18% 4.40    
8  AUDREY Apr16 Mar25 Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 124 12.00    
9  LA BRODY Apr15 Apr07 Mar15 Jan27 Dec24 (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 126 10.00    
 
TAM-8   05/03/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYLLABUS Apr08 Apr01 Mar15 Feb24 Feb08 (dominguez )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 126 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  NEVER WALK ALONE Apr19 Jul10 Jun25     (mazza joseph )SOSA LAUREANO 119 15.00    
3  POWERFUL NATIVE Apr23 Apr05 Mar19 Feb08 Jul09 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 126 3.50 8% 12.30    
4  ANIMATED MISS Feb08 Jan22 Dec21 Nov30 Oct08 (paramo martin)MENA E 126 4.50    
5  MO TOWN ANNIE Apr14 Apr01       (mccarthy brenda )FERRER C 118 8.00    
6  BYZANTINE EMPIRE Apr15 Apr05 Feb24 Feb17 Jan22 (burns patricia)SUAREZ JESUS 126 10.00    
7  LIFENHOWULIVIT Apr05 Mar12 Feb24 Feb05 Jan22 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 126 8.00 ★    
8  MORENA DANCER Apr15 Apr01 Mar15 Mar01 Feb08 (marrero nesto)ALICEA JEREMY 119 6.00 30% 2.30    
9  POLITICAL ASTRAY Apr23 Mar29       (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 124 20.00    
10  LIEUTENANTS SEQUEL Apr01         (philipp karyn)BRACHO A 118 15.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  KEENE ON JENNY Apr19 Mar18 Mar01 Jan27 Nov07 (cordero anto)MENESES MARCOS 126 5.00    
SCR  BELLA'S CUPID Apr14 Mar10 Sep15 Aug10 Jul26 (davis scooter)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.