Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(4/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-2   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(5/4/6)-(7/1/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-3   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FON-4   WIN (7/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (3/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/7)-(1/3/6)-(7/4/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-6   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(7/4/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-7   WIN (7/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/9)-(7/4/9/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/9)-(7/4/9/1)-(7/4/9/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUSKER LEGACY Apr21 Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 6.00 11% 8.00    
2  DIAMANTE JOSE Apr21 Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00 17% 4.80    
3  CHIEF TY HE Apr21 Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 Jun10 (hemmer terrell)MARTINEZ A 125 1.00 38% 1.70    
4  LITTLEBIT DON Apr14 Mar26 Mar17 Apr24 Apr03 (rivera gregorio )MARTINEZ R 125 1.80    
5  BIG BEND BUCKAROO Apr21 Apr02 Mar19 Jun10 May28 (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
6  PRINCE B Apr21 Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 (rivera gregor)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
 
FON-2   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW YEARS LOVE Apr14 Mar31 Mar03 Feb17 Sep19 (lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00    
2  BOLD LEGEND Apr08 Mar24 Mar10 Feb25 Sep19 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00    
3  D'WILD MUFFIN Apr08 Mar03 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 12% 7.10    
4  AMERICAN REALITY Mar26 Mar12 Oct27 Oct02 Sep20 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 37% 1.70    
5  DIVA'S DIVA Oct03 Sep13 Aug28 Aug21 Jul31 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
6  CALL THE SHOTS Mar03 Oct03 Sep20 Aug29 Jul30 (rushton stacy)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
FON-3   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALM COURT Apr07 Apr01 Feb25 Feb04 Dec11 (lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 5.00    
2  BREW CASA Feb25 Sep29 Sep16 Aug15 Jul16 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00    
3  UNUNDERSTANDABLE Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Feb17 Dec30 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00    
4  CYCLONE SORORITY Apr14 Apr02 Mar17 Dec30 Nov23 (ecoffey w)RAMOS B 125 4.50 21% 3.70    
5  DOLLY DIMPLE Apr14 Mar24 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  SABER QUEEN Apr08 Mar25 Mar12 Feb25 Feb11 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 17% 4.90    
 
FON-4   04/30/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GRAY DEHERE Apr08         (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 22% 3.50    
2  GENES FEATHER Apr16 Mar19 Mar10 Feb17 Dec20 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 11% 8.20    
3  B T'S BAD BOY Mar31 Mar18 Feb19 May14 Feb27 (hall l)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00    
4  FELLER Dec07 Nov10 Oct19 Jun24 May28 (gourneau jerry)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00    
5  SHAQ'S MY DADDY Apr16 Mar31 Mar12 Mar03 Aug10 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.00    
6  TOP HAT CAT Apr16 Mar19 Dec30 Dec01 Nov04 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
7  HOLIDAY TICKET Apr15 Nov22 Nov14 Oct24 Sep21 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 38% 1.60    
 
FON-5   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEETNESS TO Mar31 Mar18 Feb12 Jan27 Dec11 (anderson david)LUARK T 125 3.50    
2  QUALITY BOW Apr16 Apr01 Mar25 Feb02 Jan19 (castillo sa)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50 15% 5.70    
3  TALLANDLONG Apr16 Apr07 Mar19 Sep26 Sep12 (burns dale)RAMOS B 125 2.50 38% 1.60    
4  QUEENS HOLIDAY Apr15 Mar10 Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 121 1.60    
5  SERENGETI SIX Mar24 Feb25 Feb16 Feb02 Jan07 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00 14% 6.00    
6  GIVE EM SHADE Apr07 Mar19 Sep07 Aug27 Jul30 (smith george )FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
7  I CINC EYE LUV U Mar31 Mar19 Sep15 Aug28 Aug14 (dolphus juni)BETHKE A 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-6   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HULEN Apr15 Apr02 Mar11 Mar04 Feb11 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  CRIMSON ZIP Apr08 Mar12 Feb16 Feb03 Jan06 (martinez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00    
3  LOVETHATCAUSE Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 Jan26 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  SCOOTER'S BOY Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 8.00    
5  DRINK Apr08 Mar25 Feb25 Feb11 Dec28 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50    
6  GOOSE DRANK WINE Apr08 Mar25 Mar11 Sep25 Sep11 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 125 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
FON-7   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT IRENE Apr14 Mar25 Mar10 Feb25 Feb10 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 ★    
2  S C ANGEL Apr14 Apr02 Mar25 Feb24 Feb10 (condon schuyle)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
3  MILLI STARR Apr14 Mar31 Mar18 Oct03 Sep19 (radford raymon)LUARK T 125 15.00    
4  GIGGLES AND SMOKE Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Sep26 Sep20 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 21% 3.80    
5  JOY FOREVER Apr16 Mar25 Mar03 Feb12 Jun11 (hoffman robert)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
6  DAKAMO ROSE Apr07 Mar21 Feb17 Sep14 Aug19 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00    
7  HARLONS COMMISION Apr22 Apr14 Apr01 Dec03 Sep16 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 36% 1.70    
8  MIZZANNA Apr14 Mar26 Feb26 Aug28 Aug18 (stankey jannae)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
9  CYBER SNEAKER Mar17 Feb23 Jan14 Dec19 Nov09 (donlin larry)BETHKE A 125 5.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  DIVA DE KELA Jul24 May18 May01 Feb18 Jan28 (haar j)RAMOS B 125 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.