Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - March 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/6/2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/6/2/3/5)-(4/6/2/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4)-(3/9/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4)-(3/9/5)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/5)-(3/9/5/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/9/5)-(3/9/5/10)-(3/9/5/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/9/5)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/9/5)-(3/5)-(3/2/6/7/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/2/1)-(3/5/2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/5)-(3/2/6/7/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/2/6/7/1)-(6/4/9) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/2/6/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/7/1)-(3/2/6/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/7/1)-(3/2/6/7/1)-(3/2/6/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/6/7/1)-(6/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/7/1)-(6/4/9)-(1/8/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/9)-(6/4/9/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/9)-(6/4/9/7/3)-(6/4/9/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/9)-(1/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/9)-(1/8/4/6)-(4/7/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/4/6)-(1/8/4/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/4/6)-(1/8/4/6/5)-(1/8/4/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/4/6)-(4/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4/6)-(4/7/9)-(3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/9)-(4/7/9/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/9)-(4/7/9/10)-(4/7/9/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/9)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7/9)-(3/2)-(9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/7/4/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/7/4/6)-(3/2/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2)-(9/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
CT-9   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3)-(9/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS LAUREN Jan05 Dec03 Nov02 Oct06 Sep15 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
BAYS CASTLE Feb25 Feb01 Jan19 Jan06 Nov30 (petty kris)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 8.00    
FEEL THE LOVE Feb24 Feb01 Dec10 Nov03 Oct22 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00    
MIDNIGHT BRASS Feb01 Jan19 Oct22 Sep30 Sep16 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 57% 0.80    
BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Feb01 Nov30 Nov02 Oct08 Sep15 (jackson ang)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
AIM'S JUBILEE Feb08 Jan06 Dec14 Nov30 Nov02 (reggetts s)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.50    
RIVER REWARDS RVF Feb18 Sep22 Aug06 Jun10 May19 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 6.00    
 
CT-2   03/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALAMINA Feb25 Jan15 Dec29 Dec03 Nov12 (juarez cali)RAMGEET R 124 12.00    
SCR  RAVIOLI MAMA Jan21 Jan04 Dec10 Nov23 Oct19 (spriggs tosc)LEWIS M 117 10.00    
MIZZEN Feb16 Jan27 Dec10 Nov23 Nov05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 61% 0.70    
ROSELEE Feb16 Jan25 Dec31 Dec10 Nov18 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
BET THE QUEEN Feb17 Jan28 Jan11 Nov30 Nov02 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 8.00 7% 14.10    
RIDE ON BEAUTY Feb17 Jan28 Nov26 Oct08 Sep11 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 20.00    
I B NASTY Feb11 Jan26 Jan04 Dec10 Nov30 (racanelli ma)BATISTA A 126 15.00    
SCR  GRAM'S GAL Feb17 Jan11 Dec14 Nov23 Nov09 (pennella m)BAEZ M 117 20.00    
AWESOME INCENTIVE Feb16 Jan27 Jan06 Nov30 Oct29 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 7% 12.90    
10  PRACTICALLY THERE Feb16 Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Nov30 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 8.00    
11  CHRISTINE'S COSMO Jan07 Nov30 Oct22 Sep28 May25 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
SCR  GOSSIPING Feb22 Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 Nov23 (conn p)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATING GAL Feb25 Feb04 Jan28 Jan15 Nov30 (rodriguez jesus)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
 
CT-3   03/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYPTIC CODE Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Nov16 Oct15 (shanle)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 10.00    
SECRET SANCTUARY Feb04 Jan28 Jan14 Dec31 Dec10 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50    
FULL AHEAD Jan15         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.80 57% 0.80    
SPARKLING SHIRE Feb15 Jan04 Dec08 Oct14   (runco c)LEWIS M 119 6.00    
SLOE GIN BIZ Feb09 Jan20 Jan04 Dec07 Nov21 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
BAL ROBINSON Feb04 Jan14 Dec09     (shanley mark)CECIL Y 116 20.00    
SCR  CHROME HEIR Feb18 Jan13 Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 (runco jeff)RIVERA R 111 10.00 9% 9.60    
WILLIAM'S CAUSE Feb15 Jan25 Oct21 Sep30 Sep04 (reynolds )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 10.00    
SCR  HOPPERNESS Feb17 Jan14 Nov27 Nov11 Oct27 (capuano)NUNEZ ANAHI 116 12.00    
 
CT-4   03/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE JEOPARDY Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 Dec06 Oct15 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOST IN MANHATTAN Feb17 Jan12 Nov16 Oct27 Oct06 (farrior an)RIVERA R 117 10.00 28% 2.50    
NORTHERN RIDGE Jan18 Dec14 Oct29 Oct06 Sep29 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
CHARITABLE VISIT Feb01 Jan11 Sep30 Sep24 Sep08 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.00    
MINECRAFTER Feb19 Jan29 Jan06 Dec11 Nov16 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
LIQUID LOUIE Feb17 Jan06 Dec02 Nov02 Sep08 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 6.00 6% 15.50    
TAPPIN FOR GLORY Feb17 Jan28 Jan06 Dec14 Nov03 (joy j)LEWIS M 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
THE IRON BANK Jan11 Dec08 Nov16 Oct26 Sep30 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 115 30.00    
DUNLUCE CAISSLE Feb01 Oct26 Sep30 Sep14 Aug18 (davis r)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 20.00    
10  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 Dec16 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 117 10.00    
 
CT-5   03/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  S S FOUR QUEENS Feb16         (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 124 20.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of ALASKA MISS by OFFICER)
XPOSED SECRET Feb04 Jan06 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of MORE SWEET SECRETS by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
POLISH THE DIAMOND Jan26 Jan06       (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 10.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of STONECUTTER by GRINDSTONE)
DREAMY SONDE         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of SOME SAY by CHELSEY CAT)
CARMELIZED Feb24 Feb16 Jan26 Jan06 Dec02 (lewis r)LARROSA G 124 12.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of TRULY THERESA by BWANA CHARLIE)
JUBASLILBALLERINA Feb16 Jan06       (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 124 1.80 46% 1.20    
  (by JUBA out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
OUR GREAT NOTION Feb16         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of RISTRETTA by WAR FRONT)
SCR  UNALTERED         (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of RITE OF PASSAGE by PRIZED)
PATTI BLUE EYES Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 Sep17 Sep02 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 8% 12.10    
  (by RACE DAY out of BLUSHING DAMSEL by ORIENTATE (GB))
 
CT-6   03/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR TINGLES Feb02 Jan21 Jan13 Nov04 Oct14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 39% 1.60    
GOT FLOFFY Feb22 Feb10 Jan19 Dec03 Nov11 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 12.00    
WIZARD OF ODDS Feb16 Jan27 Jan04 Nov30 Oct28 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 124 30.00    
GRAND FIBER Feb08 Jan06 Nov26 Nov09 Oct14 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00 10% 9.20    
BIG HAMBONE Jan25 Dec16 Nov26 Nov12 Jul30 (lee a)CECIL Y 124 12.00    
IMPETUOUS Feb16 Jan27 Nov30 Oct21 Sep30 (santillana )RAMGEET R 122 20.00 9% 9.80    
STAR LUCK Feb16 Jan27 Jan13 Dec17 Nov29 (volpe john)CULLUM W 124 15.00    
MOSS BOSS Jan25 Dec17 Nov30 Oct21 Sep08 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
ALWAYS DRINKING Feb16 Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 (montilla car)LEWIS M 119 8.00    
SCR  SILENT SERVICE Dec17 Dec08 Nov26 Nov11 Sep25 (serey jr)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
 
CT-7   03/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURB THAT TIGER Feb15 Jan06 Dec17     (sigler g)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ARCH TIGER by ARCH)
DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Jan27 Jan04 Dec14 Dec08   (boykins kevin)ACOSTA D 124 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
TIME TO CHOOSE Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Nov23 Nov02 (petty kristy)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of TIME'SONYOURSIDE by MALIBU MOON)
LOVETHEBAND Feb15         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
  (by BANDBOX out of LOV'EMNRUN by NOT FOR LOVE)
CRUSH 'N RUN Feb15         (lewis r)LARROSA G 124 30.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of EXECUTIVE DRIVEN by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Dec14 Nov23 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
JUST MURPHY (IRE) Feb15         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of REYKJAVIK by SCAT DADDY)
DE'S CASTLE Feb15 Dec14 Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 (sigler ron)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 8.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of DEMAY by DEHERE)
BROAD IMAGINATION Feb15 Jan27       (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.00 8% 12.20    
  (by IMAGINING out of BROAD BUT NICE by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
10  FUNKLE Feb15 Jan25       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of JULIE B by EASTOVER COURT)
SCR  JUBAY Feb15 Jan06 Dec17     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 30.00    
  (by JUBA out of LANGFORD BAY by LANGFUHR)
SCR  HE'S CLEVER Feb15 Jan06       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of CLEVER by SMARTY JONES)
 
CT-8   03/09/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($30.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET US MAKE GOLD Feb10 Jan26 Nov23 Nov02 Sep29 (johnson r)ACOSTA D 122 10.00    
MR HOOVER Feb17 Jan26 Oct22 Oct12 Sep10 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 18% 4.40    
HOBE SOUND (IRE) Feb17 Jan20 Dec08 Oct19 Sep10 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.60 51% 0.90    
BRIGHT DAWN Feb01 Jan07 Dec17 Nov16 Oct05 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
SANTO Feb18 Jan07 Dec06 Nov03 Oct07 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
DR. FERBER Feb01 Nov19 Oct22 Oct09 Sep18 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
RRACE DAY WARRIOR Jan20 Dec08 Nov12 Oct22 Oct06 (boggs joanna)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00    
 
CT-9   03/09/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FESSIN UP Feb15 Dec03 Nov11 Oct21 Oct13 (stahlin joh)MCKENZIE CONNIE 117 10.00    
RED LIL SHIPMENT Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 May04 Mar23 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 126 8.00    
MIDNIGHT PASS Feb24 Jan25 Dec16 Dec03 Aug30 (tsiamis w)CECIL Y 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
SUDDEN FLARE Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Dec17 Dec02 (dollinger-sthr )RODRIGUEZ V 126 20.00    
NANNY'S MISSION Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Dec03 Oct21 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 119 30.00    
MIDSUMMER NIGHTS Feb25 Jan25 Jan13 Dec02 Nov17 (shanley)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 3.50    
RIGHT TO ASSEMBLE Feb10 Jan14 Dec14 Nov25 Aug30 (dillon ja)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00    
MY BEST GIRL Feb15 Dec16 Jul29 May11 Apr15 (hamlin kathl)LEWIS M 117 20.00    
HOLY HIP Feb24 Feb15       (jones e)BAEZ M 119 1.20 60% 0.70    
10  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 Dec02 Oct15 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 124 6.00    
SCR  F F HELL CAT         (doran carl)THORPE DARIUS 118 3.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  GOT MORE Mar01         (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 1.80 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIVE STAR FRAN Feb25 Feb12 Jan15 Dec29 Dec04 (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.