Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - February 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1/5)-(2/3/6/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/6/1)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/1)-(5/2/1)-(6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/6/4)-(5/2/1/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(6/2)-(1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-3   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/5/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/5/1/4)-(6/2/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(1/4)-(7/10/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/4)-(7/10/8/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(7/10/8/2)-(2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRX-5   WIN (7/10/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/8/2)-(7/10/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/10/8/2)-(7/10/8/2)-(7/10/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/10/8/2)-(2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/10/8/2)-(2/7)-(3/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-6   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/7)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(3/2/4)-(3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-7   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/6/5)-(3/2/4/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/1)-(7/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-8   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/4/5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/4/5/8)-(3/1/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(7/1/2)-(7/8/10/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-9   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2/3)-(7/1/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(7/8/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-10   WIN (7/8/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/10/2)-(7/8/10/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/10/2)-(7/8/10/2)-(7/8/10/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   02/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT-11:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUIE'S LAW Jan25 Jan13 Dec12 Nov08 Oct28 (lake scott )NUNEZ Y 121 5.00 9% 10.30    
2  FRENCHBORO Feb06 Jan16 Dec29 Oct29 Oct02 (beda)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  ITWASTHEDEVILSIDEA Feb06 Jan09 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 2.00 14% 6.10    
4  STEVIE T Feb06 Jan10 Dec12 Nov08 Sep14 (catalano m)SANCHEZ J 121 5.00    
5  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Feb06 Nov10 Oct06 Aug18 Jul22 (perez ru)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 10.00 ★    
6  CATTY'S UNCLE Jan25 Jan10 Aug12 Jul19 Jul13 (pattershall )LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 3.50 14% 6.40    
 
PRX-2   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3 F PT-12:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY SICARIA Jan23         (castillo sanchez)CASTILLO A 121 3.00 8% 12.10    
2  BIONIC KAT         (pino michae)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
3  THE BAWSE'S LADY Jan16 Dec05 Nov14 Oct24 Oct04 (whylie herold)RIVERA D 121 15.00    
4  TEMPTED TO TOUCH Feb06 Dec14 Dec05 Nov15 Oct12 (whylie hero)RAMOS C 116 4.00 ★    
5  AZTEC QUEEN Jan16         (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00 39% 1.60    
6  DONS LAST CALL         (dandy j)MOYA F 121 6.00 ★    
7  BLUE SKY TUNE Jan17         (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 5.00    
8  THENDARA'S LOST Feb08 Jan04 Dec20     (soto c)DE KEMICH 114 12.00    
 
PRX-3   02/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT-12:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOTPOT Jan17 Jan10 Dec19 Nov21 Nov01 (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 3.50 ★    
2  DOCTOR DOOM Feb06 Dec19 Nov30 Nov02 Oct05 (servis john)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 4.00 8% 11.00    
3  ICONIC LEGACY Jan17 Nov22 Oct19 Sep14 Aug23 (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 5.00    
4  ROMANTIC GAMBLE Jan25 Jan11 Dec09 Nov27 Oct23 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 ★    
5  CRAFTY JACK Jan25 Jan02 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 (catalano l)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00 ★    
6  UNIMPEACHABLE Jan18 Nov15 Sep20 Aug24 May30 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
 
PRX-4   02/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA PHAROAH Jan23 Dec19 Nov27 Oct19 May21 (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00 51% 0.90    
2  POSITIVELY AWESOME Jan18 Jan03 Dec07 Oct29 Oct08 (bullock )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.00 ★    
3  MAHOMES MONEY Feb06 Jan09 Dec21 Nov16 Oct19 (martinez al)RAMOS C 116 4.50 ★    
4  GUSHING OIL Jan23 Jan03 Dec13 Nov28 Nov02 (rodriguez migu)PENNINGTON F 121 6.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  CHAMPION BY DESIGN Feb06 Jan03 Dec19 Nov28 Nov07 (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50 9% 10.60    
6  GO FOR THE KILL Feb07 Oct26 Oct10 Sep26 Aug29 (velazquez al)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 6.00    
7  HOPE FOR GOLD Jan23 Jan04 Dec19 Nov29 Nov14 (lee r)OCASIO M 121 6.00    
 
PRX-5   02/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TRAIN Dec20 Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.50    
2  AHSAD Feb13 Jan31 Jan11 Dec12 Nov30 (crowell susa)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 8.00 6% 17.10    
3  ILLUSTRIOUS Feb08 Jan31 Dec21 Nov02 Oct19 (diaz jorge)MILAN GERARDO 121 20.00    
SCR  SKILLFUL Feb13 Feb01 Jan16 Nov09 Oct12 (wyner harold)CASTILLO A 121 6.00 6% 14.60    
5  LOOK OUT LAMBO Feb06 Jan10 Dec20 Dec05 Nov08 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 121 5.00    
6  MELINA'S DREAM Jan18 Dec31 Sep30 Sep18 Sep04 (diaz jorge)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00    
7  SPEIGHTSTER RED Feb02 Jan09 Dec20 Oct17 Oct01 (lake scott )NUNEZ Y 121 3.00 19% 4.20    
8  MAGNETRON Feb08 Jan10 Nov30 Nov08 Oct19 (bravo-estrada )ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00 15% 5.80    
9  WHAT'S TO BLAME Jan10 Dec06 Nov16 Oct31 Oct03 (dandy ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50    
10  EXCURSION Jan31 Jan03 Dec21 Dec06 Nov28 (aristone phi)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00 17% 4.80    
 
PRX-6   02/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WINGED FOOT         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 5.00 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of CONQUERING by WAR FRONT)
2  BALANTYNE Jun04         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.60 39% 1.60    
  (by TAPIT out of GRAEME SIX by GRAEME HALL)
3  NICKY DA FOX Nov16 Oct25 Sep21 Aug22 Jul11 (wilson brenda)ADORNO ABNER 124 10.00    
  (by JUMP START out of RAGING RAPIDS by ROANOKE)
4  TEQUILAMADEMEDOIT Feb08 Jan16 Dec19 Nov02 Sep06 (pollara fran)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 10.00 ★    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of PARTY FEVER by STORMIN FEVER)
5  WINDSOR GOLD Jan23 Nov16 Oct25     (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 4.50 ★    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of ENGLISH MUM by CONGRATS)
6  VIRAL VIDEO Jan23 Dec05 Nov16     (marquez cesar)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of CYBER CAFE by SKY CLASSIC)
7  MARVELOUSMOONDANCE Jan23 Nov29 Oct31 Oct03 Sep13 (aristone phil)RIVERA D 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by HARD SPUN out of NIJI'S GRAND GIRL by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
PRX-7   02/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPLITZVILLE Feb06 Jan23 Jan02 Dec19 Dec05 (hogan william)PEREZ M 121 12.00    
2  CUNEO Feb14 Dec19 Oct11 Sep14 Sep05 (flores-coba f)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 2.00 25% 2.90    
3  HIDE THE RANSOM Feb14 Jan30 Jan23 Jan02 Dec09 (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
4  DANGNABBIT Jan31 Jan23 Jan11 Dec14 Nov21 (guerrero mele)RIVERA D 124 5.00 12% 7.70    
5  JACKS AMERICAN PIE Jan09 Dec19 Nov07 Oct17 Sep26 (dandy ronal)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 12.00 ★    
6  GRAVEL ROAD Feb14 Nov09 Sep07 May17 Jan31 (allen randy)ADORNO ABNER 121 2.50 ★    
7  CALCULATED BREEZE Jan23 Jan03 Dec19 Nov28 Oct31 (aro michael )ORTIZ JONATHAN 111 8.00    
 
PRX-8   02/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLES CONUNDRUM Jan02         (reid e)PENNINGTON F 121 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of VILLETTE by PETIONVILLE)
SCR  JSK PHARAOH'SREIGN         (lee r)RANGEL JOEZER 121 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MISS BEAN WAH by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
3  TATUM Feb07 Jul30 Jul09     (velazquez dani)ADORNO ABNER 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CROON by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  ONE BITE Jan25 Dec03 Oct18 Sep24   (servis tyl)TORRES A 114 4.50 ★    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of STAR IN THE CORNER by HOLY BULL)
5  KAIQUE Feb07 Jan03       (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 12.00 ★    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BOUNDING BI by OUTFLANKER)
SCR  MY IMAGINATION Feb07 Jan14 Dec17 Nov13 Oct19 (morey willia)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00    
  (by LEA out of LA CONTESSA by CONGRATS)
SCR  IT'S A PITY Feb07 Jan24 Jan03 Dec14 Aug03 (whylie herol)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 20.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TAKE CHARGE by TAKE ME OUT (IRE))
8  FIRST TO LAST         (lake a)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00 ★    
  (by ACCELERATE out of POOL LAND by SILVER DEPUTY)
 
PRX-9   02/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONBOOTS Nov22 Nov01 Aug29 Jun11 May16 (morgan carla)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  IN MY OPINION Jan18 Dec14 Nov06 Oct19 Oct01 (beda)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 8.00 11% 7.80    
3  LASSIE'S NOTION Jan23 Nov28 Aug28 Jul30 Jun26 (martin ramon)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.00 ★    
4  ARGENTINA GIRL Dec20 Nov28 Oct25 Oct04 Sep21 (romero rafae)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 5.00    
5  PERFECT DIRECTION Jan23 Dec07 Jul17 Jun28 Jun11 (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 121 8.00    
SCR  FLASHY CHARGE Dec30 Nov27 Jun02 May05 Jan22 (frazier ma)SANCHEZ J 121 2.50 ★    
7  THAT'STONY'SSISTER Jan24         (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
PRX-10   02/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKIN FREEBEE Dec20 Nov22 Nov14 Oct24 Sep20 (romero alexis)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 15.00    
2  LARGE Jan31 Jan16 Dec12 Oct26 Oct18 (jones c)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  EXPLAIN Feb01 Jan18 Dec19 Dec06 Nov22 (ashton patric)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
4  TRUE DAKOTAN Jan31 Jan17 Jan02 Dec13 Nov07 (castillo sanc)OCASIO M 121 15.00    
SCR  FIRE'S FINALE Jan31 Jan04 Dec21 Dec07 Oct19 (kirby t)BOWMAN ADAM 121 12.00 5% 17.70    
6  MUSK Jan23 Jan02 Dec07 Nov21 Oct26 (flores-coba fe)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
7  CRISTIANO'S DREAM Jan04 Dec21 Dec14 Nov22   (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 121 4.00 45% 1.20    
8  BIRD RULER Oct26 Oct18 Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 (bouchard les)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 5.00 13% 6.80    
9  I SAW IT ALL Feb07 Jan31 Jan11 Jan04 Dec14 (gonzalez-mili)PEREZ M 121 20.00    
10  HORSE BE WITH YOU Jan23 Jan04 Dec07 Nov15 Oct19 (dominguez m)RAMOS C 116 3.50 11% 8.00    
11  FORMAL ORDER Feb07 Jan18 Nov14 Oct24 Aug24 (lake a)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.