Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Monday - February 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/1/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/1/5/7)-(4/6/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6)-(7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(7/4)-(5/8/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-2   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/8/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/8/3/2)-(7/4/8/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4)-(5/8/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(5/8/6/3)-(5/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
HOU-3   WIN (5/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/3)-(5/8/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/3)-(5/8/6/3/4)-(5/8/6/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/6/3)-(5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/3)-(5/6/1)-(6/11/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-4   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(6/11/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(6/11/1/2)-(3/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-5   WIN (6/11/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/11/1/2)-(6/11/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/11/1/2)-(6/11/1/2/4)-(6/11/1/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/11/1/2)-(3/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/11/1/2)-(3/8/1)-(4/1/5/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-6   WIN (3/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/1)-(3/8/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/1)-(3/8/1/7/5)-(3/8/1/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/8/1)-(4/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/1)-(4/1/5/6)-(3/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-7   WIN (4/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/6)-(3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-8   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/8/9)-(3/5/8/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 45 ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT TOM Feb04 Jun05 May15 Apr08   (padilla car)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.00 ★    
2  MAN IN THE MIDDLE Feb04 Jan16 May20 Apr30 Apr09 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 20.00    
3  MO HAWK MAN Feb09 Mar31 Mar13 Feb19 Jan22 (rangel raul)HAMILTON WESTON 123 30.00    
4  LIBERTY SPIRIT Feb04 Dec16 Nov30 Nov03 May24 (buehrer w)DIEGO V 123 0.60 67% 0.50    
5  SUPER LIAISON Nov22 Aug25 Aug09 Jul07 May16 (love alan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00 ★    
6  NEPHI Jan19 Nov26       (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 4.50 7% 12.90    
7  BLACKHEATH Feb04 Jan15 Jun03 May22 Apr18 (k)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 123 30.00 ★    
 
HOU-2   02/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZONEZESTREET Sep07 Aug20 Jul07 Jun26 Jun05 (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 123 20.00    
2  ALL AFLUTTER Dec10 Nov30 Nov18 Nov07 Oct27 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 123 12.00 ★    
3  ANGEL AND ME Feb01 Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 Apr09 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 6.00 ★    
4  GANGSTER RAP Feb05 Jan27       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 8.00 22% 3.50    
5  CALI Feb11 Jan14 Dec01 Nov22 Sep24 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50    
SCR  INPENDING BREEZE Jan20 Dec27 Dec14 Jul25 Jul09 (c)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
7  TRUE BLUE SKY Feb25 Jan29       (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 3.00 48% 1.10    
8  GETONOUTTAHERE Feb05 Jan14 Nov14 Nov02 Oct08 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 2.00 ★    
 
HOU-3   02/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHARME'S PHAITH Jan27 Sep27 Sep19 Sep03 Aug15 (j)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
2  RESOLUTIONIST Jan14 Dec10 Nov18     (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 123 3.50    
3  UNORTHODOX Dec19 Nov14 Oct28 Oct07 Sep14 (rubley kell)WETHEY JR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHAMAYIM Feb03 Jan15 Dec08 Nov18 Oct22 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 ★    
5  CLIFF DIVER Oct15 Oct01 Aug27 Jul24 Jul04 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
6  SILENT POWER Nov04 Jul23 May21 Apr30 Mar26 (gelner )GONCALVES R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  MANOR BORN Jan08 Nov03 Oct05 Sep24 Sep03 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00    
8  DECLARE WAR Oct26 Oct08 Sep05 Jul16 Jun25 (govea ces)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 4.50 17% 5.00    
9  DYNA STRIKE Oct26 Oct08 Sep17 Sep01 Jul10 (eoff terry)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00    
10  SILVER AND GOLD Feb11 Jul24 Jul02 Jun23 May29 (jacks karen)MELANCON JANSEN 123 30.00    
 
HOU-4   02/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERNIE BANKER Feb04 Jan15 Jan01 Nov07 Oct12 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 12% 7.10    
2  DAME PLATA Sep10 Aug27 Jul27 May18 May03 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 119 20.00 ★    
3  PRINCE RAMA Sep10 Aug17 Jul16 Jun30 Jun12 (bravo f)GONCALVES R 119 15.00    
SCR  IT MAKES SENSE Nov22 Sep25 Sep01 May30 May06 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 119 6.00 9% 10.10    
5  EMPIRE OF GOLD Jan07 Nov22 Sep25 Sep01 Jul16 (eoff terry)LUZZI J 121 1.20 33% 2.00    
6  PIKNITUPLAYNITDOWN Jul03 Jun09 May14 Apr13 Mar24 (hjort donna)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
7  CHIEF RON Jan15 Oct27 Oct06 Sep23 Aug17 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 10.00    
 
HOU-5   02/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRL'S ON FIRE Nov19 Oct12 Sep16 Aug17 Jul28 (rubley kelly)LUZZI J 119 4.00 11% 8.10    
2  BRODIE BABY Feb03 Jan07 Dec05 Nov15 Oct24 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  HUSHED COURT ROOM Feb12 Nov07 Oct22 Oct08 Sep19 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00    
4  MINNESOTA NICE Jan13 Dec10 Nov11 Oct22 Oct07 (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 8.00 ★    
5  IRISH BIZ Oct22 Sep30 Sep10 Jul08 Jun16 (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 119 10.00    
6  SKYKAT Feb12 Jan07 Oct22 Oct13 Sep29 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.00 37% 1.70    
7  CHATON ROUGE Jan13 Dec10 Nov25 Oct27 Sep25 (glover tr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 15.00    
8  SUFFRAGETTE Jan29 Jan22 Jan06 Dec11 Nov09 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 119 30.00    
9  PRESSLY'S HOPE Dec09 Oct15 Jul08 Jun23 May19 (diodoro robert)CIVACI SAHIN 119 8.00    
10  GHOST BAYOU Jan21 Nov14 Sep03 Aug06 Jul08 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 123 20.00    
11  GET SERIOUS Jan13 Oct19 Apr24 Mar12   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 6.00 26% 2.80    
 
HOU-6   02/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORO TRENDSETTER Jul23 Jun26       (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 20.00 7% 13.20    
2  EAGLEFORD Jan27         (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 15.00    
3  FORT HOOD Jan21 Jan07 Dec07     (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 122 1.20 56% 0.80    
4  NIGHT GUARD Jan21 Jan07       (k)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 122 30.00    
5  RED DRAW Jan21 Nov03 Sep24 Sep02 Jul17 (young scott )PIVARAL GERBER 122 8.00 ★    
6  MARVINS' WARRIOR Jan21 Jan07 Nov16 Oct21   (gelner jayd)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00    
7  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Jan14 Nov25 Jul23 Jun05   (gelner j)DIAZ RENE 122 3.00 ★    
8  GUCCI BLING Feb10 Jan14 Nov26 Nov07 Oct27 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 4.00 12% 7.70    
 
HOU-7   02/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAIRAMA Feb05 Jan08 Dec11 Apr30 Apr10 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.50 14% 5.90    
SCR  ROSIE'S OUTLAW Jan16 Dec10 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00 ★    
3  HEAVENLY RHYTHM Jan16 Aug05 Jul17 May30 Apr28 (hurley re)LANDEROS C 114 20.00    
4  DEAN'S LIST Jan15 May14 Apr09 Mar05 Jan08 (ashford r)HAMILTON WESTON 121 1.60 56% 0.80    
5  TIZ LIFE Nov19 Oct27 Aug19 Jun19 May22 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 119 4.00 5% 18.50    
6  AMERICAN CODE Dec22 Jul22 Jul10 Jun24   (ruggeri nicole)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  RED N WILD Jan16 Dec03 Oct12 Sep14 Sep01 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00    
8  IMPLICATOR Nov19 Oct27 Oct20 Jun19 May22 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 119 12.00    
 
HOU-8   02/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSISZIPPY BLING Jan21 Jan08 Nov22 Nov04 Oct14 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 6.00    
2  MY GOLDEN BLING Feb04 Jan21 Dec09 Nov18 Oct19 (chacaltana )OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 5.00    
3  HARRIET'S DREAM Jan14 Dec27 Sep24 Aug17 Jul21 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 121 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  TOP TEN DUCHESS Sep25 Sep10 Jul25 Jul11 May11 (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00    
5  FORBIDDEN FRUIT Jan06 Dec16 Nov18 Sep29 Sep09 (wiggins lon)LUZZI J 119 4.00 12% 7.50    
6  COLD NIGHT AIR Jan27 Aug07 Jul25 Jul09 Jun23 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 20.00    
7  FADED MEMORIES Jan07 Nov04 Oct19 Sep29 Aug20 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 15.00    
8  STALEMATE Jan21 Nov22 Oct20 Sep29 Sep14 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MY BABYS GONE Jan21 Nov12 Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 119 6.00 ★    
10  DIFFERENTBUTOK Feb04 Dec15 Sep29 Aug10 Jul19 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 10.00    
11  BEBOP BABY Feb04 Jan16 Nov30 Nov12 Jul21 (dupuy allen)HAMILTON WESTON 119 30.00    
SCR  SCARLET POSITION Jan21 Dec17 Nov22 Nov12 Nov03 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.