Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/6/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/6/7/3)-(2/1/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(6/3/4)-(4/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRX-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/2/1/4)-(6/3/2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(4/2/5)-(1/2/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-3   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/3)-(4/2/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(1/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(1/2/3/6)-(4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-4   WIN (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/3/6)-(4/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/6)-(4/8)-(5/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-5   WIN (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/8)-(4/8/1/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/8)-(4/8/1/6/2)-(4/8/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/8)-(5/1/7)-(3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRX-6   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/6/7/4)-(5/1/6/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(3/4)-(1/5/6/3/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PRX-7   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/2/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/2/7/5)-(3/4/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4)-(1/5/6/3/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(1/5/6/3/8)-(2/8/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PRX-8   WIN (1/5/6/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/3/8)-(1/5/6/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/3/8)-(1/5/6/3/8)-(1/5/6/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/6/3/8)-(2/8/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/3/8)-(2/8/5)-(1/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PRX-9   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5/7)-(2/8/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/8/5)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5)-(1/2)-(4/8/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRX-10   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/2)-(4/8/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PRX-11   WIN (4/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1/5)-(4/8/6/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT-11:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAPING FOR CANDY Jan20 Dec20 Nov16 Oct12 Sep28 (kirby t)BOWMAN ADAM 121 4.00 8% 11.00    
BABKA Dec29 Oct30 Sep18 Aug07   (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 2.00 63% 0.60    
CANDY FLASH Jan16 Dec12       (chacon gustav)RIVERA D 121 15.00    
SCR  LA CHANCE Oct23 Sep23 Sep01 Aug08 Jul15 (romero rafael)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 5.00    
HEAD AND THE HEART Dec20         (servis ty)RAMOS C 116 10.00    
THEYCALLMELEE Jan16 Nov04 Sep28 Sep01 Jul28 (simoff andrew)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00    
TELL ME IM AWESOME Feb08 Jan04 Dec12     (velazquez d)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 4.50    
 
PRX-2   02/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT-12:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINGINTHRUTHESTORM Jan16 Jan02 Dec13 Sep27 Aug31 (mccaslin)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 6.00    
JACK GAVE BACK Jan08 Dec13 Nov21 Nov02 Sep23 (bentley fe)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50    
CAPE HEDGE Jan31 Dec05 Nov16 Oct05 Sep27 (soto- martin)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 18% 4.60    
D BLACK MAMBA Jan26 Jan16 Dec12 Nov16 Oct18 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
MISCHIEVOUS JONES Jan23 Dec28 Nov08 Jun15 May09 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 4.00    
HE'SSOSUBTLE Jan31 Jan16 Nov16 Oct19 Sep07 (linder loui)NUNEZ Y 121 3.00 41% 1.40    
TEMPESTUOUS Jan16 Jan04 Dec07 Nov21 Oct26 (flor)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 8.00    
 
PRX-3   02/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT-12:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAR HEART Nov16 Oct10 Sep23 Sep17 Sep03 (servis ty)RAMOS C 116 3.50 14% 6.00    
SWEETER (BRZ) Jan25 Dec13 Nov10 Oct13 Sep18 (diaz jorge)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 14% 6.00    
DELIGHTFUL DREAMER Jan25 Dec08 Nov26 Nov10 Oct22 (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 6.00    
ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Feb08 Jan25 Jan16 Dec05 Nov22 (farro patri)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
IMAGISM Feb08 Jan25 Jan16 Dec20 Nov21 (farro patrici)RIVERA D 121 10.00 13% 6.50    
JACKIE B GOOD Jan24 Jan09 Nov15 Oct25 Sep23 (pino v)BOWMAN ADAM 121 4.50    
MONSTER RISING Dec21 Nov22 Nov02 Oct19 Oct12 (guerrero melecio)CASTILLO A 121 20.00    
 
PRX-4   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBEER Jan12         (beattie m)PENNINGTON F 121 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by MO TOWN out of RESTLESS ANGEL by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
GO EAST Jan24 Dec06 Nov16     (servis ty)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 3.00 11% 8.40    
  (by EASTWOOD out of MARINA VIEW by INTO MISCHIEF)
CHECK MY SIX Jan24         (reid rober)SANCHEZ J 121 3.50 8% 12.10    
  (by DIALED IN out of CHECK YOUR SIX by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
PROFESSOR KOOL Jan24 Jan02 Dec06     (padilla hugo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 6.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of C J'S LITTLE GIRL by ATTORNEY)
NINJA PRIZE Jan24         (curry dee)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 10.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of LEMON STRUDEL by RIMROD)
COMMINGLING         (smylie timoth)RIVERA D 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of RHYME N RHYTHM by YONAGUSKA)
SCR  GAMBLER'S RUN         (dunn john)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LIFE'S A GAMBLE by MALIBU MOON)
 
PRX-5   02/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REFUND RIGLER Feb07 Jan17 Jan03 Dec14 Nov22 (guerrero melecio)CASTILLO A 121 4.50    
MR. TUTTLE Feb07 Jan11 Dec19 Nov28 Nov07 (arce josue)RAMOS C 116 12.00    
VERO SUN Jan31 Dec21 Dec05 Nov21 Nov02 (maymo alejand)RIVERA D 121 5.00    
LUCKY AS A SEVEN Aug05 Jul09 Jun26 May28 Apr01 (avila ca)GUERERE ANGEL 121 1.20 42% 1.40    
DOUGIE Jan11 Dec19 Nov21 Nov02 Oct11 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00    
CLASSY UNION Aug26 Aug13 Jul29 Jun25 May08 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 6.00    
DON'T RECALL Jan31 Jan17 Dec21 Nov21 Oct10 (polachek janet)MARIANO ABEL 121 12.00    
MR. BRIGGS Feb01 Jan17 Jan09 Dec12 Dec01 (brennan regin)TREJOS JOSEPH 121 6.00 29% 2.50    
 
PRX-6   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD JOAN Jan17 Oct29 Oct01 Sep17 Aug14 (castillo sanchez)CASTILLO A 124 1.60 8% 11.50    
CHARLYS WILD ANGEL Feb07 Jan17 Jan09 Dec06 Nov16 (farro patric)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 8.00    
PEACEMON Feb07 Apr22 Apr06     (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 124 15.00    
CHARLY'S CHOO CHOO Jan24 Dec20 Dec06 Nov16 Oct10 (tzortzakis )OCASIO JONATHAN 124 8.00    
MAGNOLIA ROAD Jan17 Nov16 Nov01 Oct25 Sep28 (wyner harold)SILVERA RUBEN 124 2.50 54% 0.80    
ESCANDALO Jan24 Jan09 Dec20 Dec07 Nov21 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 6.00    
TREASURE SEEKER Jan24 Jan17 Dec20 Dec06 Nov21 (wilson brenda)ADORNO ABNER 124 15.00 6% 14.60    
 
PRX-7   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISHES AND DREAMS Nov07 Oct26 Sep20 Sep06 Aug17 (caban carlo)DE KEMICH 114 10.00    
PEAK OF CHIC Jan03 Dec14 Dec03 Oct17 Aug30 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 5.00    
FLASHING DIAMOND Feb08 Jan03 Dec05 Nov02 Oct17 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 121 1.80 39% 1.60    
DILLY DILLY PHILLY Jan16 Jan03 Nov25 Nov02 Oct11 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
IMPERIAL MOON Feb01 Jan09 Dec14 Oct26 Oct17 (schistl rafael)BISONO J 121 10.00    
BUCKS SOME Aug01 Jul09 Jun06 May10 Apr12 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.50    
LOVE ON FIRE Feb08 Jan03 Dec14 Nov23 Oct26 (flores-coba fe)TORRES JOMAR 121 12.00    
 
PRX-8   02/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOW FORECAST Jan17 Dec14 Oct31 Sep28 Sep14 (lake a)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 6.00 36% 1.80    
PROSPERA Jan24 Jan17 Dec05 Nov02 Oct17 (padilla hugo )RIVERA D 121 6.00    
REITERATE Jan17 Dec14 Nov23 Oct21 Oct01 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00 6% 15.50    
SENSE A MILLION Feb06 Jan02 Dec07 Nov15 Oct04 (arce josue)SANCHEZ J 124 3.00    
CAUSE I SAID Dec06 Nov21 May25 Apr27 Mar21 (brown ho)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 4.50 21% 3.90    
EPICUREAN Jan02 Nov30 Nov09 Sep21 Aug29 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 3.50 11% 8.20    
VICS COOL CAT Nov21 Oct27 Oct05 Sep14 Sep06 (collazo da)BOWMAN ADAM 121 10.00    
LIVE AID Jan24 Jan17 Nov21 Oct26 Oct05 (kirby t)ADORNO ABNER 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-9   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PONTIFFANY Jan30 Jan10 Dec19 Dec05 Nov10 (crowell su)SANCHEZ J 121 15.00    
STARSHIP LAOBAN Jan27 Apr24 Apr05 Mar08 Feb16 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  JEZEBEL JADE Jan16 Dec14 Nov28 Aug31 Aug08 (padilla-preci)RIVERA D 124 3.50    
SCR  KINGDOM QUEEN Jan18 Dec21 Dec06 Nov15 Sep13 (schistl rafael)BISONO J 121 8.00    
ET'S MOON MAIDEN Feb06 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Oct19 (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
DARLING DONNA Nov28 Sep30 Sep02 Aug07 Jul24 (moore michael )PENNINGTON F 121 4.50    
ARUMA Nov28 Oct25 Sep19 Aug31 Aug18 (padilla-prec)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 8.00    
EMPRESS DEONA Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 Oct19 Sep15 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
PRX-10   02/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($62K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCO EBO Jan24 Dec10 Nov21 Oct07 Aug22 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
CENTRE COURT CHAMP Jan24 Jan04 Dec12 Oct31 Oct14 (mosco robert)OCASIO M 121 4.00 15% 5.50    
THISTLEFIELD Jan24 Jan05 Oct19 Sep20 Aug13 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 121 5.00    
SCR  BILLIEANNE Nov09 Nov01 Oct19 Sep27 Sep13 (farr)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 15.00 13% 6.90    
HEY MAMALUKE Jan24 Oct19 Aug22 Jun27 Jun17 (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 3.00    
SHERO Jan24 Nov23 Oct21 Oct03 Sep02 (smith everto)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 5.00    
 
PRX-11   02/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRY CAPTAIN         (dominguez mario )CASTILLO A 124 8.00 6% 15.50    
SOCIAL JOE Jan09 Nov30 Nov22 Oct18 Oct03 (bouchard les)ORTIZ JONATHAN 114 12.00    
KING SWANSBORO Feb01 Jan16       (hawthorne bobbi)BOWMAN ADAM 124 15.00    
ALMOND CIDER Feb01 Jan17 Jan02 Dec14 Oct22 (schistl rafael)BISONO J 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
DOUBLE DEALER Jan09 Nov13 Oct06 Sep22 Aug05 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 124 2.50    
DISENGAGE Nov21 Nov10 Sep30 Sep15 Jul31 (parker joseph)PANAIJO JORGE 124 8.00 8% 11.50    
ALIGNMENT Feb01 Jan02 Dec14 Nov22 Nov05 (farro patricia)CEDENO CAROL 124 5.00    
DUBROVNIK Jan17 Jan09 Dec19 Nov30 Nov07 (avila ca)GUERERE ANGEL 124 8.00 24% 3.10    
STAFF SERGEANT Jan17 Jan09 Dec19 Nov21 Oct18 (hogan william)OCASIO M 124 4.50    
10  SIR CUPID Feb01 Jan17 Dec14 Nov22 Oct26 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.