Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (7)-(7/3/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GP-2   WIN (7/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/2/1)-(7/3/4/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/4/1)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-3   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(4/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-4   WIN (4/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/1)-(4/2/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/1)-(4/2/6/1/5)-(4/2/6/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/6/1)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-5   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6/8/2)-(1/5/6/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(8/1/3/10/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-6   WIN (8/1/3/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/10/4)-(8/1/3/10/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/10/4)-(8/1/3/10/4)-(8/1/3/10/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/1/3/10/4)-(4/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-7   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/2/7)-(4/5/1/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/11/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-8   WIN (3/11/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/11/10/9)-(3/11/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/11/10/9)-(3/11/10/9)-(3/11/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/11/10/9)-(13/8/14) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-9   WIN (13/8/14) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (13/8/14)-(13/8/14/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (13/8/14)-(13/8/14/2)-(13/8/14/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   02/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZOSTEROP Dec08 Nov11 Oct21     (spatz b)SUTHERLAND C 118 20.00    
LEAD PERFORMER Jan14 Oct24 Sep26 Sep14   (davis christo)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
PARDON MOI Jan27 Dec15 Nov10     (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
BODIL Dec30 Oct24       (romero rafael)REYES LEONEL 118 20.00    
PINK PARTY PANTS Feb03 Jan25 Dec07 Oct21   (abreu fernando)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
VALIANT SHI SHI Jan04 Dec08 Nov20 Oct23   (maragh)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
AVATAL HERO Jan25 Jan11 Nov20 Oct23 Sep23 (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 118 3.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  LOVE PARADOX         (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 118 4.50 10% 8.70    
SHE'S RED HOT Dec22 Oct07 Sep16 Aug05   (catanese jose)MORALES ANGEL 111 30.00    
10  WICKED ICE Jan07 Nov27 Sep16 Aug21   (sweezey kent)LEON SONNY 118 12.00    
11  JAZZY JAS Jan25         (hernandez sandi)PANICI LUCA 118 20.00    
SCR  SAINT FOXY         (brooks e)BAIN W 118 30.00    
 
GP-2   02/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT-12:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINATE THEMOMENT Dec22 Oct27 Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 (lee f)ROSARIO JOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
TAPSASIONAL Jan18 Dec30 Dec14 Jul01 Jun11 (o'connell k)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00    
GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR Dec31 Nov11 Sep15 Jul15 Jun19 (delgad)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 1.60 24% 3.20    
MALIBU UPROAR Nov25 Oct30 Sep17 Jul28   (attard kevin)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 10% 9.40    
MORNING STRIDE Apr10 Mar19       (mcgoey monica)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
UNIVERSAL PAYDAY Jan05 Oct16 Oct01 Aug28 Jul31 (perez lu)PEREZ EDGAR 122 15.00    
JOURNEYMAN Jan28 Dec22 Sep24 Aug13 Jul17 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
CHARLIE G Jan07 Nov26 Aug06 Jul16 Jun20 (thomas lee)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 20.00    
 
GP-3   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHES A GIFT Jan26 Jan13 Dec30 Dec14 Nov18 (pinchin jose)MORELOS E 122 5.00    
SCR  TANK TOP Jan19 Nov13 Jun09 May08 Apr10 (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 122 2.50    
PROVOCATIVA Jan26 Jan13 Dec28 Oct15 Sep23 (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 122 4.50    
BULLET ON TAP Jan19 Dec28 Nov25 Oct29 Sep30 (dobles eliza)ZAYAS J 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
CUPID AUSTIN Jan15 Dec28 Dec04 Nov13 Oct02 (romero rafael)MORALES ANGEL 115 4.00 53% 0.90    
SOPHIA'S STORM Jan26 Dec28 Nov18 Oct28 Oct02 (yanez reynaldo)SUTHERLAND C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S OUTTA HERE Jan26 Dec30 Dec23 Dec14 Nov25 (brownlee david)PEREZ EDGAR 122 20.00    
RANSOMS REWARD Jan26 Jan13 Dec22 Dec02 Oct28 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 122 15.00    
 
GP-4   02/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($39K) 3 ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSEBUILDER Dec30 Oct08 Aug28 Aug21 Jul31 (tharrenos)WILSON JAYNE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
COURAGEOUS COPPER Jan27 Apr22       (lightner mar)ZAYAS J 118 6.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  MAJESTIC PHAROAH Dec21 Nov30 Oct15 Sep17   (sweezey kent)PEREZ EDGAR 120 8.00    
CARABINERO Jan22 Dec04 Oct30 Sep04 Aug13 (de cerda)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.40 33% 2.10    
BOURBON THERAPY Jan26 Nov02 Oct09 Sep08 Jun27 (garoffalo )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
NATIONAL UNITY Jan18 Dec22 Dec03 Nov05 Oct08 (olivares luis)PANICI LUCA 118 10.00 16% 5.20    
D COLDEST Oct07 Aug28 Jul10     (o'connell kathlee)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
 
GP-5   02/15/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELUSIVE MISCHIEF Jan05 Sep07 Jul11 Feb02 Jan05 (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
SILARDI Nov24 Aug20 Apr01 Mar06 Jan30 (sweezey ke)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 20.00    
SILENT FLASH Sep16 Aug05 Jul08 Jun17   (drexler martin)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
SCR  TORETTO Jan21 Jan05 Dec23 Dec02 Oct16 (garoffalo jose)RUIZ JORGE 120 20.00    
READY TO REPEAT Mar05         (cox gail)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50 19% 4.10    
TOUGH CHARLIE Jul17 Jun09 May13 Feb10   (thomas lee)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 6% 14.60    
NAPA SPIRIT (IRE) Oct30 Oct16 Sep11 Aug25   (dunslow mike)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 12.00    
LITTLE JUANITO         (hess b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
SCR  FAMOUS GENT Feb02 Jan08 Nov26 Sep18 Sep04 (abreu fernando)PEREZ EDGAR 122 12.00    
 
GP-6   02/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THRILLING BABY Jan18 Dec29 Dec01 Nov19 Oct28 (sano antonio)REYES LEONEL 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
DOMINEERING Jan18 Dec04 Oct23 Sep10 Jul23 (labo frederick )PANICI LUCA 120 20.00    
HOT BODE Jan25 Dec29 Dec01 Nov12 Oct22 (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 14% 5.90    
DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS Jan27 Dec03 Nov10 Oct20 Sep25 (negrete javier)RIOS M 120 20.00 8% 12.30    
KHOSEA Jan18 Jan06 Dec09 Nov11 Oct28 (dibona s)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
MIDNIGHT PIRATE Jan07 Dec14 Nov26 Oct18 Oct04 (hayford jennif)BORACO DAVID 120 20.00    
LA RUSIA Jan18 Sep02 Jul30 Jun30 May26 (nunez )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
SHE'S SO PRETTY Jan18 Dec26 Oct28 Aug26 Jul15 (hernandez sandi)JARAMILLO E 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
MACHISIMA Jan18 Dec29 Nov04 Oct15 Sep29 (depaulo micha)MORALES ANGEL 113 12.00    
10  SERENADE A KITTEN Dec26 Dec04 Oct28 Oct02 Sep02 (sanchez m)RUIZ JORGE 120 8.00 11% 7.70    
 
GP-7   02/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPE COD Jan29 Nov13 Oct09 Sep18 Aug12 (attard kevin)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 8% 11.70    
VLADISLAV Feb04 Jan15 Dec02 Nov07 May07 (sano antonio)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
SOUPER ROYAL MOON Jan05 Nov23 Nov05 Feb10 Jan19 (trombetta michae)LEON SONNY 122 20.00    
HONESTO Nov05 Oct21 Sep23 Aug27 Jul29 (ramirez m)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
WORLDS ON HIGH Jan29 Jan05 Dec08 Oct20 Sep30 (o'conn)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
SIR SAMUEL Jan15 Dec26 Dec08 Nov05 Sep09 (morrison micha)REYES LEONEL 122 6.00    
BIRD WILDCAT Jan12 Dec16 Oct29 Feb03 Jan07 (spatz b)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
SON OF LIBERTY Nov20 Oct14 Feb26     (antonacci )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50    
 
GP-8   02/15/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($86K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS DOMINA Aug04 Jun25       (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
SCR  BABY'S DIALED IN Jan15 Dec14 May12 Apr21 Feb23 (deaton willi)ZAYAS J 120 20.00    
MISS SAKAMOTO Nov20 Oct08 Apr22 Mar24 Jan27 (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  LA CHICA LATERAL         (spatz ronald)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 15.00    
JOIN THE DOTS Nov20 Sep15 Aug27 Jul29 Jun11 (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
FROZEN SOLID Jan06 Mar13 Jan30 Jan09   (lynch a)KRIGGER K 120 15.00    
DOLL BABY Dec29 Mar10 Jan30     (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 120 20.00    
SAMMY'S TOWN Feb01 Jan04 Dec10 Nov20 Oct15 (lutchman padar)SUTHERLAND C 120 20.00    
DESIGNED BY KITTEN Jan14 Dec15 Oct25 Oct03 Sep09 (romans dale)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 9% 10.60    
10  CARDIO PRINCESS (JPN) Jul16 Jun18 May07 Mar26   (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 9% 9.50    
11  FIRENSPICE Jan15 Dec18 Apr16 Mar16 Feb11 (davis christop)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
 
GP-9   02/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR FORTUNE COOKIE         (trombetta mi)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
RUN FOR COVER Sep01 Aug05       (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
NOBLE LADY         (serpe phi)WILSON JAYNE 118 6.00    
MEETMEATTHEBEACH         (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
CAHUILLA Nov19 Oct29 Oct21 Oct01 Sep10 (sisterson ja)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 20.00    
FREE TO ROAM Jan18 Jul01 Jun02 May05   (nicks ralp)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
SCR  ALWAYS ROYAL Jan14 Dec22 Dec08 Nov06   (hess b)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
NO ACTION Jan18 Nov27       (cricht)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 3.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  DAN'S CANDI GIRL         (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 118 20.00    
10  MOONLIGHT VISION Jan27 Dec28 Dec07 Nov18   (gonzalez javie)REYES LEONEL 118 6.00    
11  BAHAMIAN SKY Jan08         (james geral)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 50.00    
12  MISS BIA         (catanese joseph)PANICI LUCA 118 30.00    
13  MEGAN MAKIN MONEY Jan18 Dec07 Sep19 Aug16 Jul26 (potts g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.50 38% 1.70    
14  FOREVER UNCAPTURED Jan18 Nov25       (garoffalo jose)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 10% 9.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.