Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (6/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/3)-(6/2/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/3)-(6/2/5/3/7)-(6/2/5/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/5/3)-(4/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/3)-(4/3/7/8)-(2/1/5/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/8)-(2/1/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/8)-(2/1/5/8)-(1/8/2/3/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/8)-(2/1/5/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/8)-(2/1/5/8/3)-(2/1/5/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/5/8)-(1/8/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/8)-(1/8/2/3/6)-(7/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-4   WIN (1/8/2/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/2/3/6)-(1/8/2/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/2/3/6)-(1/8/2/3/6)-(1/8/2/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/2/3/6)-(7/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/8/2/3/6)-(7/2)-(8/4/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/6/1)-(7/2/6/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/2)-(8/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(8/4/3)-(5/8/2/11) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-6   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/2)-(8/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/3)-(5/8/2/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3)-(5/8/2/11)-(9/3/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/8/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/2/11)-(5/8/2/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/2/11)-(5/8/2/11)-(5/8/2/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/2/11)-(9/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2/11)-(9/3/4/1)-(9/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-8   WIN (9/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/1)-(9/3/4/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/1)-(9/3/4/1/8)-(9/3/4/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/4/1)-(9/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4/1)-(9/7)-(8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/7)-(9/7/2/8/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/7)-(9/7/2/8/4)-(9/7/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7)-(8/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TAM-10   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2/10/9/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/2)-(8/2/10/9/3)-(8/2/10/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE Dec24 Dec10 Nov27 Sep17 Aug27 (richards rena)IORIO MELISSA 110 15.00    
2  LUCKY LIZZIE Jan01 Dec16 Nov26 Oct20 Sep09 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 6.00 18% 4.50    
3  GLOVANNA Dec11 Dec04 Nov17 Oct01 Sep09 (lepiane p)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 120 20.00 10% 8.70    
4  KENYA SUN Jan11 Dec23 Dec10 Nov23 Oct15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 1.60    
5  VOODAYO Jan11 Dec24 Nov26 Oct22 Sep09 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
6  PURE ELEGANCE Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Oct24 Oct03 (torres r)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 24% 3.20    
7  LADY TEUFLESBERG Oct31 Oct21 Aug27 Aug05 Jun26 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SILVER GLEN Sep18 Jul29       (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.50 6% 14.50    
2  LADY WOOD Jan18 Dec23 Jul16 Jun17 May25 (hardesty l)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 20.00    
3  TRULY A DREAM Jan08 Dec14 Nov25 Sep16 Aug24 (posadas ped)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.50 23% 3.30    
4  BARBARA Jan18 Jan01 Dec07 Oct05 Sep20 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  TWELVE RED ROSES Jun25 Jun03 May06 Mar09 Feb19 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 10.00    
6  CSILLA Jan08 Dec10 Dec02 Oct15 Sep15 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 119 8.00    
7  RAPIDAMENTE Jan08 Aug31 Aug18 Jul16 Jul06 (lopez r)IORIO MELISSA 109 8.00 6% 15.50    
8  MAKIN IT LOOK EASY Nov27 Aug07 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 (sweezey j )ROWLAND MADELINE 114 5.00 5% 17.30    
 
TAM-3   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT A DANCE Jan11 Dec24 Dec02 Oct30 Oct07 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 122 2.00 11% 8.20    
2  STARSHIP MOZART Jan20 Nov21 Nov09     (ferrar)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
3  DEVIL'S MYTH Dec29 Jul16 Jun19 Apr23   (dobber w)WALES GARY 122 8.00 ★    
4  THUNDER ROLLED Mar25 Feb27 Jan02     (manning j)BRACHO A 122 15.00    
5  MISTER FERNANDO Jan22 Dec31 Dec23 Nov23 Sep30 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 6.00 8% 11.50    
6  BROADWAY RUCKUS Oct14 Sep25 Aug13 Jul30 Jul02 (dye steven)FUENTES MARIO 122 12.00    
7  G BUSTER BROWN Nov23         (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00    
8  ECCENTRICO Apr20 Apr03 Jan22 Jan01   (wirth kenneth )MBATHA LUCKY 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   01/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOVELERA Dec30 Dec02 Oct22 Oct01 Aug06 (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 34% 1.90    
2  BOCA Jan13 Aug17 Jul19 Jul06 Jun20 (falk jacqueli)SOSA LAUREANO 113 3.50 10% 8.90    
3  STYLE Dec30 Dec07 Oct26 Oct06 Sep02 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 10.00 5% 17.60    
4  MONTANA JOYCE Jan13 Dec23 Dec09 Nov12 Oct21 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 12.00    
5  LOVE'S MISERY Jan13 Dec30 Nov23 Sep17 Sep03 (delgado jose )MORALES PABLO 120 4.00    
6  BELLSWILLBERINGING Jan18 Dec21 Dec10 Nov05 Oct22 (lopez ro)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  TAKE TO THE SKIES Jan01 Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Aug10 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00    
8  CINDY'S SONG Jan01 Oct23 Oct02 Aug20 Jul23 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
9  FANCYSOUL Jan08 Dec10 Mar26 Mar06 Feb11 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 120 30.00    
 
TAM-5   01/28/2023 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Dec28 Oct23 Sep30 Sep04 Aug06 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 118 6.00 ★    
2  SHAQ DIESEL Jan14 Dec03 Oct30 Oct09 Sep03 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 13% 6.80    
3  COX CANYON Dec23 Nov30       (sacco gregory)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00    
4  CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED Dec07 Nov04 Sep10 Jul20 Jun30 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
SCR  FLAWLESS CAT Dec21 Oct20 Oct02     (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 4.50 10% 9.10    
6  POSSIBLEMENTE Dec21 Dec03 Sep24     (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 4.00 ★    
7  GRAND PICK Dec21 Oct30 Sep11 Aug13   (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50 51% 1.00    
 
TAM-6   01/28/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOW AND LATER Dec03 Oct18       (mcgaughey claude)FERRER C 120 8.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of VAGABOND by ARCH)
2  STARFORCE Dec17         (albertra)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 ★    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SUMMERSHINE by THREE VALLEYS)
3  OH CHIC Dec17 Oct18 Sep21     (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BERNINGBRIGHTLY by BERNARDINI)
4  E MINOR Jan07 Dec03       (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of THMORUPLATHLESUPAY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  NAGA'S BOY Jan07 Dec17 Oct15     (smith g)CENTENO E 120 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GOLD CELEBRITY by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  JUNIPERO SERRA Dec10 Sep01 Jul15     (casse mark)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of SUTIL by REDATTORE (BRZ))
7  STORM BRAVE         (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of FIGURE OF BEAUTY by STREET CRY (IRE))
8  MISSIONAIRE         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of DIVINITE by MR. SIDNEY)
 
TAM-7   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL POLICIA Jan08 Dec28 Dec14 Nov30 Oct05 (sacco d)FERRER C 118 4.00    
2  RUNAWAY TOM Jan08 Dec21 Nov23 Oct23 Aug20 (philipp karyn)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00 7% 13.00    
3  WOOTDAREITIS Jan08 Dec24 Dec10 Nov12 Aug02 (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 8.00    
4  TEDDY'S HONOR Jan15 Dec07 Nov23 Jul01 Jun18 (wasiluk peter)IORIO MELISSA 108 20.00    
5  MIL DOSCIENTOS Mar04 Jan22       (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 118 6.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  DUN RIGHT Jan15 Dec31 Oct17 Sep08 Aug09 (wismer glenn)ALENCAR WALBER 118 15.00    
SCR  AWESOME ENOUGH Jan15 Oct02 Sep10 Aug21   (rodriguez da)MENESES MARCOS 118 5.00 16% 5.10    
8  CONFIDENT N ELITE Jan20 Dec31 Nov26 Nov11 Oct21 (robillard jul)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.50 12% 7.50    
9  WILD IRISHMAN Jan08 Apr29 Apr03 Feb18   (ward dennis)MORALES PABLO 118 12.00    
10  LIL BULL Jan08 Dec23 Nov23 Nov04 Oct14 (wirth kenneth )MBATHA LUCKY 108 12.00    
11  AWKWARD PAUSE Jan15 Dec31 Jul30 Jul09 Jun19 (mcgoey)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   01/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE RED BUTTON Jan11 Dec02 Oct08 Sep17 Aug20 (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROSE'S CAUSE Jan13 Dec22 Nov25 Aug19 Jul15 (romero rafae)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
3  UP HER SLEEVE Dec30 Dec02 Oct22 Sep04 Aug06 (delgado h)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 13% 6.80    
4  MS BOOMBASTIC Jan13 Jan01 Dec16 Dec09 Nov25 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 123 6.00 5% 17.40    
5  JEFF'S ANGEL Jan15 Dec30 Oct23 Jun30 Jun17 (exposito ado)ARROYO S 120 3.50    
6  BIONDA SUPRISE Jan13 Dec22 Nov23 Oct07 Aug31 (yanez r)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
7  PLATINUMCENTS Dec30 Dec10 Nov23 Jul01 May06 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 120 20.00    
8  BALI KUTA Jan07 Dec10 Oct28 Sep10 Jul29 (raven kerri)MORALES PABLO 123 4.50 ★    
9  WINNING AT EASE Dec30 Dec02 Oct23 Aug20 Jul23 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.50 52% 0.90    
 
TAM-9   01/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON OVER ICE Jan11 Dec10 Oct27 Oct19 Oct08 (lopez rob)CENTENO E 118 15.00    
2  RIDGEPOINTE Jan13 Dec16 Aug20 Aug03 Jul17 (lopez ro)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 3.50 ★    
3  H P BIG HOPE Nov03 Oct21 Oct05 Sep05 Jul16 (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00    
4  KING CAIRO Jan06 Nov25 Oct22 Jul02 Jun10 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 118 4.50 ★    
5  SUNNY SAINT Jan13 Dec07 Nov05 Oct19 Sep15 (downing will)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00    
6  CAMPTOWN RACES Jan04 Dec17 Dec09 Nov23 Nov12 (torres r)FERRER C 118 6.00    
7  SOUTH SEA Jan06 Dec10 Oct25 Sep28 Aug06 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
8  INDIAN BUZZ Jan14 Dec23 Nov26 Sep24 Aug19 (poole jeffrey)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 5.00 ★    
9  OCEAN RIDE Jan04 Dec17 Nov23 Oct21 Sep30 (smith cra)CAMACHO JR 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
 
TAM-10   01/28/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING NATE Jan14 Dec24 Oct21 Sep17 Aug31 (rarick lynn)FERRER C 119 30.00    
2  WHISKEY PLANK Dec31 Dec10 Nov04 Oct08 Sep08 (cruz jesus)SOSA LAUREANO 112 3.50 5% 17.90    
3  MOONSHINE NOW Sep01 Jun23 Feb12     (smith craig )NICHOLLS KEVEH 119 8.00 ★    
4  GO MIKE Dec28 Oct15 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 (richards ren)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
5  VINTNER Jan11 Dec21 Nov30 Nov05 Aug30 (yanez r)ALLEN D 123 20.00    
6  FLY FLY AWAY Jan06 Dec10 Nov25 Sep29 May07 (cahill steven )SUAREZ ANGEL 119 15.00    
7  BEAR CREEK Jan06 Dec16 Oct18 Oct03 Sep12 (ward dennis)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
8  BIRD'S EYE VIEW Jan04 Dec10 Sep30 Sep18 Aug20 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 121 2.50 69% 0.40    
9  CENTERFOLDPROSPECT Jan04 Dec10 Nov26 Oct21 Sep05 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00 ★    
10  KOBLA MAS Jan15 Dec23 Nov26 Sep10 Jul30 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  ALBIE Jan04 Jun02 Mar30 Mar04 Feb13 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 20.00    
SCR  CALL BROS Jan06 Dec14 Sep30 Aug13 Jul23 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 30.00    
SCR  HOLD THE SPICE Jan15 Dec28 Nov25 Sep15 Aug31 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 20.00    
SCR  JAG Jan15 Dec16 Dec10 Sep14 Sep05 (lopez ro)MARIN SAMUEL 119 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.