Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - January 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/6)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/6)-(6/4)-(6/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/4)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(6/7/3)-(1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-3   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3/4/5)-(6/7/3/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(1/5)-(5/7/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-4   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/3/6)-(1/5/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/5)-(5/7/8/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(5/7/8/6)-(7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
DED-5   WIN (5/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/6)-(5/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/6)-(5/7/8/6)-(5/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/8/6)-(7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8/6)-(7/3)-(7/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-6   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/4/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/4/2/6)-(7/3/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(7/5/6)-(3/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-7   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(3/1/7)-(9/10/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-8   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7/2/6)-(3/1/7/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/7)-(9/10/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-9   WIN (9/10/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/6/5)-(9/10/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/6/5)-(9/10/6/5)-(9/10/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   01/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKY BIG DADDY Jan11 Dec20 Dec01 Nov10 Oct27 (west henry)BOURQUE J 120 6.00    
SHOT ON WINDY HILL Dec22 Nov19 Oct27 Oct15 Jun30 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 115 5.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  CARLOS'S MAMA Dec20 Oct29       (breaux dewa)RAMIREZ PAULINA 113 8.00 21% 3.80    
HALF A BUCK Dec27 Dec08 Nov17 Nov02 Oct21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 1.80 26% 2.80    
CALLEN FEELS GOOD Jan06 Dec16 Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 (pedigo randy)BACA L 120 4.00 9% 9.70    
JUDGMENTAL Sep24 Aug30 Aug06 Jul16 Jun19 (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 120 3.00 7% 13.50    
 
DED-2   01/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($37K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IMPRESSED Jan14 Dec31 Dec11 Nov06 Sep25 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 4.00 27% 2.70    
MIDNIGHT FIRE Dec10 Aug04 Jul21 Jul02 Jun08 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
HAIL STATE Dec10 Nov19 Nov05 Apr22 Mar26 (landry ray)STOKES J 114 8.00    
WILD BERT Dec22 Dec01 Nov05 Jul22 Jun06 (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 10.00 17% 5.00    
SCRAPPY ARTIE Jan07 Dec01 Oct07 Aug13 Jul28 (landry r)THORNTON G 117 10.00    
SUPER OCHO (CHI) Jan07 Nov05 Oct01 Sep04 Jun22 (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 0.60 32% 2.20    
 
DED-3   01/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOSIE'S GRIP Jul23         (castille rickey)BOURQUE J 123 15.00    
  (by TIGHT GRIP out of JOSIE RAY by LLAMA LOVER)
SCARLET STORM Jan14 Dec20 Oct13 Aug19 Jul23 (courville rick)BACA L 123 5.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of SCARLET HALL by GRAEME HALL)
CECE WAVE Dec20 Nov26 Nov05 Oct12 Aug17 (larrosa ju)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIDAL WAVE out of DONE DONE IT by JOE'S SON JOEY)
GYPSY JACKPOT Jan14 Dec08 Nov22 Oct27   (pomier chase)BARRERA J 118 4.50    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of JACKPOT MISS by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
LITTLE Z Jan14 Dec22 Dec08 Nov05 Oct12 (nelson r)STOKES J 123 8.00    
  (by MR. Z out of AHORITA by WOODMAN)
SHE'S WAYNE'S Dec20 Sep12 Jun03 Apr16   (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 1.50 54% 0.90    
  (by MO TOM out of HOLY HAZAAM by SUN BULL)
WHO DAT GINGER Jan14 Dec22       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 3.50 17% 4.90    
  (by MO TOM out of GINGER TEE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
 
DED-4   01/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD GOLD Jan14 Dec08 Nov02 Oct15 Jun10 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 117 1.80 56% 0.80    
1A  OGA BEAR Jan13 Dec27 Dec16 Dec03 Nov05 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 1.80    
SCR  SYNTHETIC JOE Dec29 Apr19       (dixon tim)VARGAS P 117 5.00 9% 9.80    
GENIUS Dec30 Dec16 Nov23 Nov10 Oct06 (pomier chas)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 3.00    
SILKY'S DANCE Jan14 Sep03 Aug20 Jun21 May31 (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 112 8.00    
TARGET PRACTICE Jan14 Dec29 Nov30 Nov04 Aug20 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 109 4.00 11% 8.40    
CLERIC Jan14 Dec29 Dec08 Nov26 Sep19 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 10.00    
PAT ME DOWN Jan14 Dec30 Dec21 Dec14 Nov26 (west henry)STOKES A 114 15.00    
 
DED-5   01/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALIANT DEFENDER Dec28 Dec16 Nov30 Nov19 Nov05 (zenon charles)VARGAS P 123 6.00    
SCR  J P CORNETTA Dec28 Dec01 Nov05 Oct16 Sep25 (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.00 56% 0.80    
MACHO MARK Dec30 Dec01 Nov09 Oct08 Mar04 (melancon don)BARRERA J 112 20.00    
DALLAS GOLD Jan12 Dec27 Dec15 Nov04 Oct02 (hibdon)RUIZ GARCIA 117 6.00    
BODE'S LIGHT Dec21 Dec09 Nov11 Oct06 Jul29 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00 11% 8.50    
CHAPEL OF DREAMS Jan14 Dec19 Nov19 Nov09 Oct20 (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCREENPLAY Jan12 Dec27 Nov30 Oct15 Aug27 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.50 6% 16.50    
VEGAS GUY Jan06 Dec09 Nov16 Oct08 Sep03 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
DOUBLE PRIORITY Jan06 Dec19 Nov19 Nov02 Aug14 (beavin judy)HERNANDEZ V 114 8.00    
 
DED-6   01/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL OF US         (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
  (by WHENCE out of MINE YOURS AN OURS by HALF OURS)
BUCK'S GLORY Jan13 Dec30 Dec01 Nov11 Oct06 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 4.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of MISS JAZEBEL by TALE OF THE CAT)
KAJUN KARMA Jan13 Dec10 Nov19 Oct14 Aug27 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of CAJUN CONOSEIR by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
RACY BILLE Dec01 Oct14 Jul02 Jun18   (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 6.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of LUTE SONG by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
MARVINS' POSSE Oct20         (gelner j)ROMAN KEVIN 120 15.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of POSSE UP by POSSE)
FLASH N CLASS Dec31 Nov30       (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GRAND FACILE by ZUPPARDO'S PRINCE)
MANLY DEEDS Jan13         (chatters benard)BIRZER E 120 2.50 57% 0.80    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOLLY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
EL IT Jan05         (breaux samu)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00    
  (by EL DEAL out of THEYANKEEFUSE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
 
DED-7   01/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A LUCKY MAN Dec30 Jun30 May18 Apr14 Mar04 (kanhai joseph)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 20.00    
F J'S GEM Dec30 Dec01 Aug27 Aug18 Jun30 (maturin chad)BACA L 117 5.00    
DATSWHATILIKE Jan06 Jun20 Jun05 May10 Jan07 (romero j)STOKES J 114 20.00    
NUGGET OF GRACE Jan11 Dec28 Dec16 Nov30 Nov19 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.50    
BOTTOMLESS Dec30 Dec16 Nov25 Nov05 Oct20 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
INDEFENSIBLE Jan06 Nov25 Oct20 Jul21 Jul02 (melancon donald)MCMAHON J 117 8.00 13% 6.90    
TROPHY DADDY Dec30 Dec01 Sep24 Aug29 Jul31 (antwine mich)BARRERA J 112 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  HELIOCHROME Dec27 Nov26 Oct29 Oct08 Sep03 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 15.00 7% 12.60    
FLIT N FLOT TIME Jan14 Dec27 Nov09 Oct12 Aug25 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 114 10.00    
 
DED-8   01/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL CONSORT Jan05 Dec17 Jun18 May29 Apr23 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 17% 4.90    
COLONEL KLINK Dec10 Nov03 Oct05 Sep07 Aug17 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.50    
CREEKMORE Jan05 Nov19 Oct22 Sep23 Sep09 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00 53% 0.90    
JUSTIN SPEIGHT Jan14 Dec21 Dec01 Oct29 Oct14 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 117 12.00    
HEZA WAY MAKER Jun30 May05       (ladner marvin )THORNTON G 117 6.00    
MCLEAN Nov03 Sep20 Aug16 Jun21 May30 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 114 6.00    
DANCIN WITH ANGELS Jan05 Dec10 Nov11 Jul28 May05 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 5.00 8% 12.30    
 
DED-9   01/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILDERSLEEVE Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 May23 May07 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 10.00    
DA'MONEY ALARM Jan19         (journet albert)MCMAHON J 120 8.00    
PRICED RIGHT Sep27 Sep13 Aug13 Mar03 Feb03 (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00    
BIG SESSY Dec22 Dec08 Nov04 Sep27 Aug25 (washington richa)STOKES A 120 12.00    
AMAZING AMERICAN Dec22 Dec08 Oct15 Jan22   (meza m)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 20.00 6% 16.40    
ETBAUER'S SECRET Jan04 Dec07 Oct12 Aug20 Jul29 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00 10% 9.50    
CORN SOUP Jan13 Dec27 Dec16 Nov17 Aug25 (patt roland )BARRERA J 115 3.00    
SOUTH AL SPARKY Jan13 Dec08 Nov10 Oct20 Sep13 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 5.00    
CLASSIC RED RACER Jan13 Dec30 Dec20 Dec07 Nov18 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00 33% 2.00    
10  SPRY CHARLIE Dec30 Dec16 Nov25 Aug13 Jul15 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  BERNIE SPECIAL Jan06 Dec01 Oct14 Sep05 Jul15 (delahoussaye g)BACA L 120 15.00 10% 9.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.