Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - January 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/7/6/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/7/6/8)-(4/3/7/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3)-(4/8/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(4/8/3/6)-(5/1/3/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/7/6)-(4/8/3/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/3/6)-(5/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/6)-(5/1/3/2)-(8/3/5/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2)-(5/1/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/2)-(8/3/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/2)-(8/3/5/6/4)-(4/1/8/5/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (8/3/5/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/6/4)-(8/3/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/6/4)-(8/3/5/6/4)-(8/3/5/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/5/6/4)-(4/1/8/5/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/6/4)-(4/1/8/5/7)-(5/2/8/9/3) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-5   WIN (4/1/8/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/5/7)-(4/1/8/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/5/7)-(4/1/8/5/7)-(4/1/8/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/1/8/5/7)-(5/2/8/9/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/5/7)-(5/2/8/9/3)-(3/4) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/2/8/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/9/3)-(5/2/8/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/9/3)-(5/2/8/9/3)-(5/2/8/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/8/9/3)-(3/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/9/3)-(3/4)-(11/4/10) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/8/7)-(3/4/8/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/4)-(11/4/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-8   WIN (11/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/4/10)-(11/4/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (11/4/10)-(11/4/10)-(11/4/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($21.2K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISHING FOR SPRING Nov24 Nov11 Oct21     (petty kristy)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
2  S S FRONTIER ANGEL Jan06         (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
3  APPEALING ROAD Jan06 Dec02 Nov11 Oct13 Sep23 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 5% 18.40    
4  ISLE BE THERE Nov24 Oct06       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 70% 0.40    
5  LOCKDOWN VANNA Jan06         (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
6  SHOWTHEMONEYHONEY Jan06 Dec02       (petty krist)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 ★    
7  AWESOME MOON Jan06 Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02 (jones michael )ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 ★    
8  AFLEET PENGUIN Dec15 Sep23       (runco c)LEWIS M 115 8.00 ★    
 
CT-2   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNIMPEACHED Dec02 Nov11 Oct05 Sep02 Aug12 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
2  LUNAR IMAGE Jan05 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 (pyke joseph)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
3  TAPIT TO THE WIRE Dec09 Nov11 Aug29 Aug22 Aug02 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 5.00 6% 16.50    
4  SCINTILLIO Dec02 Nov19 Oct27 Oct06 Sep09 (robb j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
5  INGREIDO Jan05 Dec01 Nov24 Nov05 Oct22 (cruz jaime)ADAMS L 115 10.00    
6  WORLD OF FOOLS Jan04 Dec11 Dec01 Nov19 Nov04 (smith lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  URBAN WARRIOR Jan04 Dec02 Oct21 Oct12 Sep15 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 ★    
8  MAD GENIUS Jan01 Dec10 Nov24 Nov07 Oct29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
9  FIVE STAR PHIL Dec11 Aug28 Jul31 Jul23 Jul04 (pennella m)BAEZ M 115 12.00    
10  EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR Jan05 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 20.00    
 
CT-3   01/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLEGE KID Jan05 Nov02 Oct08 Sep16 Jul08 (spriggs to)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 10% 8.70    
2  AT THE HALF Nov30 Nov23 Nov02 Oct13 Sep28 (davis russell )MONTANO JOSE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  COACH RUBE Jan05 Dec09 Nov03 Oct22 Oct08 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 5% 17.90    
4  LIME AFTER LIME Jan14 Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 Oct15 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
5  TIZ THE REASON Jan05 Nov10 Oct12 Oct01 Sep21 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 0.80 52% 0.90    
6  THUNDER PUNCH Dec08 Nov24 Sep23 Sep03 Aug12 (pennella m)BAEZ M 113 12.00    
7  VICTORY ROYALE Dec12 Dec04 Nov06 Oct07 Aug04 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 120 15.00    
8  DISTORTED SPLENDOR Nov23 Nov03 Sep21 Aug19 Aug15 (stehr j)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 20.00    
SCR  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Jan07 Dec10 Dec03 Nov10 Oct20 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 6% 16.70    
 
CT-4   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALID REASON Jan05 Nov10 Oct12 Sep21 Sep02 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
2  MY JUBA Jan05 Dec10 Nov04 Sep21 Aug25 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 20.00    
3  TARGE Dec03 Nov25 Nov11 Oct22 Oct02 (perri gina)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
4  CHINA CAT Jan05 Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 Sep10 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HIDDEN IDENTITY Jul01 Jun22 May18 Feb10   (cash norman )LEWIS M 113 10.00 13% 6.60    
6  DIVINE FASHION Jan14 Jan07 Dec03 Nov18 Nov04 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 5% 17.90    
7  BETCHA BY GOLLY Jan05 Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 Sep25 (andreadakis )BARBOSA JEIRON 115 6.00    
8  DULCIMER DAME Jan05 Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 Sep01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.80 30% 2.30    
 
CT-5   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLATINUM FROLIC Jan06 Nov23 Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 (runco c)LEWIS M 115 6.00 12% 7.10    
2  SKYFLY Jan06 Dec10 Oct22 Oct07 Sep22 (locklear james)BAEZ M 117 20.00    
3  MS. MALEVOLENCE Dec31 Nov12 Oct21 Oct01 Sep10 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
4  MISS WAVE Jan07 Dec09 Oct25 Aug19 Jul14 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.60 26% 2.80    
5  CLEARLY VISIBLE Dec16 Nov02 Oct12 Sep21 Sep01 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 10% 9.30    
6  LADY KAZA Dec17 Dec02 Nov05 Oct22 Sep10 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
7  MAE SAI PRINCESS Dec02 Nov10 Oct22 Sep23 Sep10 (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 9% 10.80    
8  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Oct29 Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jun30 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.50 12% 7.30    
9  RAVIOLI MAMA Jan04 Dec10 Nov23 Oct19 Sep28 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
10  MARKETABILITY Jan05 Dec02 Oct19 Sep23 Sep03 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 10.00    
SCR  THEA'S THEME Dec31 Dec02 Nov05 Oct21 Oct12 (ramirez a)MONTANO JOSE 122 15.00    
SCR  TORCH CARRIER Jan14 Dec17 Nov25 Nov18 Oct27 (frock l)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00    
SCR  RAVENEL Dec10 Nov18 Oct06 Sep22 Jul01 (harting chri)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
SCR  FASHION ICON Jan05 Dec10 Nov12 Oct22 Sep17 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
 
CT-6   01/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D TACHYON Nov10 Oct26 Sep30 Jan04   (davis billy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
2  MI GUSTO ES Dec28 Dec09 Nov04 Oct19   (rodriguez angel)BOCACHICA O 124 4.50 22% 3.60    
3  BELMULLET Dec09 Nov17 Oct21 Sep30 Sep15 (runco c)LEWIS M 113 15.00 8% 12.00    
4  LION OF THE SEA Jan04 Dec16 Nov25 Sep10 Jul10 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
5  SAAFEN Dec01 Oct22 Sep23 Sep07   (rodriguez jesus)PELTROCHE F 122 1.40 24% 3.20    
6  AMERICAN ROCKY Nov16 Oct25 Oct14 Sep17 Jul29 (hillegass a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
7  WAYNE'S HOPE Jan05 Dec09 Nov12 Sep24 Jun10 (locklear james)BAEZ M 117 20.00    
8  FOREST FROST Dec09 Oct28 Sep14 Aug05 Jun30 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
9  JOHNNY SWISH Dec15 Nov19 Oct20 Sep08 Aug19 (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00 8% 11.30    
10  LOVED AGAIN Jan04 Dec19 Nov28 Nov16 Oct13 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
 
CT-7   01/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 4UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FATHER WALSH Dec17 Nov23 Oct11 Sep14 Aug29 (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 10.00    
SCR  RULING Jan04 Dec16 Dec01 Sep29 Sep22 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 ★    
3  STORM BOARDER (CHI) Oct12 Sep14 Aug06 Jul08 May30 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 120 2.50 69% 0.40    
4  NITRO TIME Dec16 Nov05 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 (santillana )MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 8% 11.90    
5  GOLDEN G Jan13 Dec16 Nov25 Nov05 Oct09 (gillespie ryan )PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
6  NOVA BOY Nov17 Oct27 Sep29 Sep10 Aug27 (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
7  HEY CONGRATS Dec17 Nov05 Oct21 Sep29 Sep22 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 ★    
8  MR TINGLES Jan13 Nov04 Oct14 Sep09 Aug12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 ★    
9  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
 
CT-8   01/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN LEGACY Dec17 Dec02 Nov17 Jun11   (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00    
2  LICENSE TO CARRY Jan04 Dec17 Dec02 Nov02 Sep23 (espinosa victo)LOPEZ DERECK 112 20.00    
SCR  BLUE BONNIE Jan04 Dec17 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 (schottroffe e)THORPE DARIUS 124 20.00    
4  MANGORITA Dec02 Nov05 Oct15 Aug13 Jul23 (walters l)BAEZ M 115 1.80 21% 3.70    
5  OUR GOLDEN COLLEEN Jan04 Jun16 May26 May11 Feb23 (hummer richard )PELTROCHE F 124 12.00    
6  WHY LEA Dec17 Dec02 Nov05 Oct14 Sep23 (gazzier kristy)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.50    
7  KOKOLORES Dec16 Nov17 Oct07     (runco c)LEWIS M 115 8.00    
8  NOBLE PRESENT Jan04 Dec09 Dec03 Nov17 Oct21 (rodriguez angel)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00    
9  BODIE'S STORM Dec01 Nov11 Oct15 Sep30 Sep14 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
10  CAN'T FIGURE Dec17 Dec01 Nov18 Nov02 Oct07 (stahlin)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 3.00 6% 15.80    
11  SWEET VALERIA Dec02 Nov17 Nov03 Oct03 Sep18 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 1.40 31% 2.30    
SCR  UNBRIDLED IRISH Jan13 Dec29 Nov21 Oct13 Sep14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 5% 19.00    
SCR  DOOMSCROLLER Jan15 Dec11 Oct23 Oct02 Sep16 (mcmullen mar)BATISTA A 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.