Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - January 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1/5/7)-(6/2/1/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(3/6)-(3/5/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-2   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/7/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/7/5/1)-(3/6/7/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6)-(3/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(3/5/8)-(1/2/5/3/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
DED-3   WIN (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/8)-(3/5/8/1)-(3/5/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/8)-(1/2/5/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8)-(1/2/5/3/7)-(1/8/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-4   WIN (1/2/5/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/3/7)-(1/2/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/3/7)-(1/2/5/3/7)-(1/2/5/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/5/3/7)-(1/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/3/7)-(1/8/4)-(8/2/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-5   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(8/4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(8/4/7/2)-(8/4/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(8/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4)-(8/2/6)-(3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-6   WIN (8/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/6)-(8/2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6)-(8/2/6/5/7)-(8/2/6/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/6)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6)-(3/6)-(6/1/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-7   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6/5/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/6/5/2/1)-(3/6/5/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6)-(6/1/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(6/1/5/2)-(4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
DED-8   WIN (6/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2/4)-(6/1/5/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/5/2)-(4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
DED-9   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/8/2/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/8/2/5)-(4/8/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   01/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO MOVES Nov18 Jul12 Jun19     (amoss thoma)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 1.80 10% 9.30    
  (by MO TOWN out of CLOSING MOVE by BERNARDINI)
HALF BROTHER Jan07 Dec19 Oct27 Oct06 Sep17 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
  (by HALF OURS out of DANA'S LUCKY LADY by LUCKY LIONEL)
TRIPLE RED ACES Jan07         (landry r)THORNTON G 120 10.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of CLANDESTINE by GRAND SLAM)
COOL SPIRIT Oct28 Aug03 May24 May05   (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of COOL JAZZ by HENNY HUGHES)
BRITE OUTLOOK Dec20 Nov16 Oct28 Oct06   (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 5.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of BETTY BRITE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
AWESOME CAJUN Dec20 Nov25 Oct28 Oct06   (landry ray)STOKES J 120 4.50 35% 1.90    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of ABSOLUTE MADNESS by WEST ACRE)
UXMAL Jan07 Dec20 Nov25     (guillory henry )ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BONITA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
DED-2   01/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERBIAN SAILOR Jan08 Dec18 Dec09 Oct12 Sep16 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
UNCLE BRAD Dec10 Nov22 Oct21 Sep24 Aug01 (ward ronnie)HERNANDEZ V 120 8.00    
DARE TO FAIL Dec22 Oct21 Sep11 Aug27 Aug13 (gonzalez is)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
CABOCHON TREASURE Jan05 Dec09 Nov25 Nov02 Jul29 (reeves jeffery )TORRES HUGO 112 5.00    
SONG SPECTACULAR Dec27 Oct19 Jun22     (gonzalez jaim)VARGAS P 117 8.00    
MR. WIMBLEDON BAY Dec22 Oct14 Sep11 Aug16 Jul01 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
TWIRLING CHIEF Nov19 Oct01 Sep11 Aug15 Jul16 (guillory j)FUSILIER C 120 4.00    
 
DED-3   01/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A. P. STYLE Jan05 Dec08 Oct28 Aug28 May10 (dison m)BOURQUE J 123 5.00    
UMATILLA Jan07 Dec08 Sep17 Aug26 May05 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 10.00    
VALID BREAK Dec21 Nov22 Aug24 Jun15 Apr29 (washington richa)STOKES A 123 4.00 37% 1.70    
OLD TIME GIRL Mar04 Feb12 Jan22 Jan08   (barber jame)RAMIREZ PAULINA 123 10.00    
ROADSIDE GIRL Jan11 Dec08 Nov22 Nov03 May29 (fontenot curle)BACA L 123 2.50 15% 5.80    
DON'T BLINK TWICE Dec08 Nov09 Sep27 Aug14 Jul26 (lara jorge)TORRES HUGO 118 8.00    
ELLIE'S TOUCH Jan05 Dec08 Nov11 Oct19 Aug24 (segura kearne)VARGAS P 123 15.00    
CALL ME DARLIN Dec29 Dec09 Nov17 Oct19 Aug04 (zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 123 15.00 14% 6.20    
ROSE OF CIMARRON (FR) Dec21 May15 Feb26     (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 15.00    
10  CHATAIN'S EAGLE Jan05 Nov25 Nov09 Oct19 Sep27 (lara jorge)BARRERA J 118 6.00    
SCR  CAT HAIR FLYING         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 10.00 13% 6.80    
 
DED-4   01/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABER STORM Dec15         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
PETEY Dec10 Nov04 Oct12 Jul02 Mar04 (baker cebur)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 3.00 20% 3.90    
CHAN Dec20 Dec08 Nov17 Oct22 Aug25 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 4.50 10% 9.20    
MIDGE'S TIME Dec01         (rubin donald)THORNTON G 120 10.00    
K V TARGET Jan07 Dec28 Dec14 Dec01 Nov02 (larrosa a)STOKES J 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
TRIPLE Dec28 Dec15 Nov02 Sep24   (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00    
FLAT OUT FABIO Dec28 Dec15 Nov22 Oct19 Sep24 (gomez c)MCMAHON J 120 5.00 6% 16.90    
MIDNIGHT HUNTER Dec10 Nov25 Jul10 May28   (hernandez leone)BENAVIDES D 123 8.00    
 
DED-5   01/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PROPERLY CONNECTED Dec20 Dec01 Oct14 Sep27   (broberg karl)COLON H 120 2.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  LUNAR MODULE         (broberg karl)COLON H 120 2.00    
MADELYN'S SOLDIER         (latour nicho)BARRERA J 112 6.00    
2B  A SOLDIER'S WAY         (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00    
WINNY'SSPECIALSTAR Nov07 Aug20 Jul23     (alberto antonio)STOKES J 120 15.00    
MORO OUTLAW Dec29 Nov16 Oct21 Sep13 Aug27 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 120 3.50 9% 10.30    
ALL COUNTRY Dec20 Aug19       (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 117 15.00    
RED RAIDER XPRESS         (nelson eri)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 10.00    
GOLDEN REMEDY Dec19 Sep27 Aug27     (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 6.00    
IN DETAIL Jan07 Dec19 Oct20 Sep10 Jul21 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 115 4.50 15% 5.60    
 
DED-6   01/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLIE THE MAN Dec21 Dec07 Nov25 Nov11 Oct27 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 117 8.00    
HOLIDAY DIAMOND Jan05 Dec08 Nov25 Oct26 Aug24 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 112 4.50 23% 3.40    
SOULOLOGY Dec16 Nov17 Oct26 Oct05 Aug17 (segura kearney)MCMAHON J 117 6.00    
SCR  JOSAN Jan05 Dec02 Nov10 Oct19 Aug24 (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 117 12.00    
KING OF CONTRABAND Jan05 Nov25 Feb16 Feb05 Jan21 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 123 5.00    
JAMAICAN ME Dec16 Dec02 Nov04 Oct07 Jul09 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 3.50 7% 13.80    
GOTMY MO JO WORKIN Nov30 Oct26 Feb26 Feb05   (roberts roy)ROMAN KEVIN 117 12.00    
HEZA PICKLE Dec16 Nov25 Nov02 Aug10 Jun24 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
DED-7   01/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN LOVE Dec16         (gelner scott)MAGNON H 120 6.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of LIVE AND LOVE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ALABAMA QUEEN Dec30 Dec09       (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
  (by DIVIDE AND CONQUER out of ALLUVIALS PRINCESS by ALLUVIAL)
MISS LONELYHEARTS Dec16         (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MY FOOLISH HEART by SKY MESA)
HELLO MARYLOU         (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 115 12.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of MARYCASEY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
FREEBRITNEY Dec30 Aug20       (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.50    
  (by KLIMT out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)
FOLLOW THROUGH         (pomier chase)BARRERA J 115 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by BIRD SONG out of BIRD MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
THROWBACK         (roberts kenneth)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
  (by DESTIN out of VIVIAN DA BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
CALIFORNIA BELLE Dec16 Oct08 Sep14     (latour nichola)BACA L 120 6.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of ORDAIN by CONGRATS)
 
DED-8   01/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPPER JOHN Dec27 Nov16 Oct07 Aug13 Jul16 (tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 117 1.80 18% 4.60    
G DON'T KNOW Dec28 Dec10 Nov22 Oct29 Oct05 (shamsi)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 6% 16.10    
GUITAR DOCTOR Dec10 Nov16 Apr13 Mar24 Feb25 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 8.00    
MUCHO MARVIN Dec27 Nov16 Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 (courville ri)MAGNON H 117 3.00    
AZTAR Dec29 Dec02 Sep26     (nixon w)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00 15% 5.50    
IRON IN THE FIRE Dec29 Nov17 Oct19 May19 Apr21 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
DED-9   01/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSIN VICKIE Dec19 Nov18 Oct28 Sep19 Sep05 (de beauvill)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 12.00    
IN FOR A PENNY Jan06 Dec07 Nov03 Oct14 Aug24 (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 117 8.00    
RYAN'S GRACE Dec21 Oct22 Aug26 Jul01 Jun13 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 123 10.00    
SUMMER IS HOT Dec27 Dec09 May26 Apr30 Apr09 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.00 56% 0.80    
FANCY BLAZE Dec27 Dec02 Apr28 Apr08   (guillory henry )TORRES HUGO 115 6.00    
INPENDING BREEZE Dec27 Dec14 Jul25 Jul09 Jun19 (kanhai joseph)STOKES J 120 15.00    
MO DIXIE DIVA Jan06 Nov17 Nov03 Oct06 Sep05 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 15.00    
MILA'S KAT Jan04 Dec15 Oct29 Apr08 Feb04 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 117 4.00    
THURSDAY MORNING Jan04 Dec01 Nov09 Oct26 Oct07 (espino)RUIZ GARCIA 120 8.00    
10  CABO SUNSET Dec19 Nov23 Nov09 Sep03 Aug17 (zenon shelton)VARGAS P 120 5.00    
SCR  MISS MIRACLE GIRL Jan07 Dec19 Nov18 Oct07 Aug17 (melancon don)BARRERA J 112 15.00    
SCR  SO SOFTLY Jan06 Sep24 Sep16 Sep11 Aug04 (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.