Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Thursday - January 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DED-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/2)-(2/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(2/8/1)-(7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-2   WIN (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/1)-(2/8/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1)-(2/8/1/5/6)-(2/8/1/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/8/1)-(7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1)-(7/3)-(3/9/8/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-3   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/6/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/6/10)-(7/3/6/10) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/3)-(3/9/8/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(3/9/8/7)-(3/9/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
DED-4   WIN (3/9/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/8/7)-(3/9/8/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/8/7)-(3/9/8/7/2)-(3/9/8/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/8/7)-(3/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/8/7)-(3/9/6)-(6/2/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-5   WIN (3/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/6)-(3/9/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/6)-(3/9/6/8/1)-(3/9/6/8/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/9/6)-(6/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/6)-(6/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DED-6   WIN (6/2/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/3)-(5/3/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DED-7   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(2/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(2/7/3/4)-(2/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/3)-(5/3/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/3)-(5/3/6/1)-(6/8/10/1/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
DED-8   WIN (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1/4)-(5/3/6/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/6/1)-(6/8/10/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DED-9   WIN (6/8/10/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/10/1/7)-(6/8/10/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/10/1/7)-(6/8/10/1/7)-(6/8/10/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  START WELL Jan06 Dec20 Dec08 Nov26 Oct14 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 1.60 62% 0.60    
SCR  BRI Dec15 Nov03 Aug27     (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 1.60    
2  T R'S FIRST Jan07 Dec29 Dec15 Nov18 Nov03 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 120 5.00 11% 8.30    
3  ST MARIA Jan04 Dec19 Dec09 Nov26 Nov18 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 6.00    
4  MYLIES STAR Jan06 Dec15 Dec02 Nov18 Nov03 (dussette alvin)COLON H 120 3.50 ★    
5  CAJUN ACES Jan07 Nov18 Oct12 Sep11 Aug30 (antwine michae)BACA L 120 10.00 ★    
6  OVERLY SWEET Jan06 Oct27 Oct12 Sep26 Jul21 (zeno benjamin)VARGAS P 120 10.00    
SCR  ARCTIC GUITAR Jan04 Dec16 Dec01 Nov09 Aug24 (bernard john)BOURQUE J 120 6.00 ★    
 
DED-2   01/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIBLEMAN Dec27 Dec10 Nov30 Nov03 Oct12 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 9% 10.10    
2  COROT Dec15 Dec02 Nov22 May19 May11 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 4.50 39% 1.60    
3  MY MAN LOUIE Dec07 Oct07 Aug28 Aug20 Jul22 (degeyter ra)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 12.00    
4  THE FEATURE Dec07 Nov10 Aug24 Jul14 May08 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 10.00    
5  PLATINUM EQUITY Jan05 Nov23 Nov12 Apr24 Feb12 (lorefice matt)ROMAN KEVIN 117 5.00 ★    
6  GIMMEASOUND Dec10 Nov10 Oct29 Jul13 Jun08 (ramirez edua)BARRERA J 109 6.00 ★    
7  SPEEDY G Dec29 Dec08 Oct29 Oct06 Sep20 (mojica a)THORNTON G 117 10.00    
8  LODE OF BLARNEY Dec15 Nov18 Oct22 Oct02 Sep11 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
DED-3   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MO DEAL         (kanhai joseph)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 12.00 33% 2.00    
2  SARA'S SAPPHIRE Jan04 Dec16       (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
3  DREAMED I AM FAST Jan04 Dec10 Nov30 Oct21 Aug10 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 115 8.00 5% 17.70    
4  EASY ACT Dec02 Aug20       (segura kearney)THORNTON G 120 20.00    
SCR  GATSBY'S GIFT Dec10 Nov12       (larrosa a)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
6  MEGANS MILLIONS Dec22 Dec02 Nov05 Oct22   (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 3.00 ★    
7  R T'S GEM Dec16 Dec02 Nov05 Oct08 Aug20 (sam thomas )DEL-CID VICENTE 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
8  TECHE SOLUTION Oct21 Aug10       (meza m)BOURQUE J 120 20.00    
9  DAT GUITAR Jan05 Dec09 Nov18     (derousselle p)VARGAS P 120 4.50    
10  MOSHINYFUTURE Dec02 Oct15 Sep04     (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 6.00 ★    
 
DED-4   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPTIMISTIC Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 Nov16 Jul01 (gallaway eddie)TORRES HUGO 115 6.00    
2  GOLD BEAR Dec03 Jul17 Jun11 May16 Apr13 (tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 ★    
3  MASTERLY (ARG) Dec21 Dec03 Nov19 Oct13 Aug13 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  SHAE'S DAY Jun10 Apr09 Feb26     (senegal dal)LEDET THEODRICK 117 20.00    
5  LUNAR LIGHT Dec28 Dec03 Oct14 Aug17 Jun30 (cox l)BACA L 120 8.00    
SCR  TUNE MY GUITAR Dec03 Nov23 Oct28 Jun19 Jun06 (west henry)DAVID J 117 15.00    
7  SUCH Dec02 Nov12 Aug24 Aug06 Jul16 (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  MORRICONE Jul02 Jun06 May20 May06 Apr07 (morris)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.50 11% 8.10    
9  LIKEN IT Dec28 Dec09 Nov02 Jun27 Jun11 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 4.50 19% 4.40    
 
DED-5   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA'S GATSBY Dec19 Nov22 Sep18 Jul23   (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 118 6.00 ★    
2  ELIJAH'S MOVE Nov22         (gonzalez jaim)VARGAS P 123 20.00    
3  PRESUMPTIVE CLOSER Dec02 Nov18 Apr02 Feb23 Jan07 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 1.80 54% 0.80    
4  R T'S IRON MAN Dec14 Nov23 Aug12 Jul27 Jul09 (sam thomas )DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
5  NEPHI Nov26         (west henry)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
6  T D Z HI COURT Dec20 Nov26 Oct27 Oct12 Sep13 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00 6% 17.20    
SCR  SHANKINSTINE Dec28 Dec14 Nov22 Nov02 Oct05 (lara j)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
8  MIDNIGHT OIL Dec19 Oct21 Sep10 Jul26 Jul03 (landry ray)STOKES J 123 3.50 ★    
9  SHOETRICK Dec19 Nov22 Oct21 Aug17 Jul22 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 123 5.00 13% 6.50    
 
DED-6   01/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOT STOVE LEAGUE Jan08 Dec17 Dec07 Nov24 Aug25 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  MAGEEZ Dec20 Nov19 Nov11 Oct21 Aug20 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 114 1.80    
2  HOT LE ROY Jan05 Dec17 Dec03 Oct13 Aug26 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 114 6.00 7% 13.80    
3  SOUTHPINE GIFT Jan04 Nov09 Oct14 Aug24 Aug05 (west henry)BOURQUE J 114 20.00    
4  ALWAYS A CATCH Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 Oct19 Sep18 (birzer bonnie)ROMAN KEVIN 117 15.00 6% 16.70    
5  HELLUVA LIFE Jan11 Dec28 Dec15 Dec03 Oct19 (ramirez eduardo)TORRES HUGO 112 8.00    
6  TEMPRANO Jan07 Dec09 Nov23 Oct19 Oct05 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 114 10.00 8% 11.80    
7  MIAS MOONBEAM Dec17 Dec07 Nov16 Oct19 Aug17 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 6% 14.90    
8  GETCHA Dec27 Dec17 Nov12 Oct08 Aug10 (mojica edit)MORALES ROBERTO 123 12.00    
9  HOLY EMPEROR Dec17 Nov17 Oct08 Sep11 Jul31 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00    
 
DED-7   01/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FISH N CHICK Dec19 Dec10 Nov10 Oct19 Aug11 (gustafson aust)COLON H 117 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  PAISLEY CROSS Dec30 Nov19 Mar05 Jan20 Jan08 (gustafson austi)POMPELL L 114 2.50 ★    
2  JUS MY IMAGINATION May07 Mar11 Feb26 Feb18 Jan26 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 114 5.00 20% 3.90    
3  GOLDEN SMILES Dec01 Oct28 Sep13 Aug13 Jul05 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  SCARLETT O'HARA Dec17 Nov16 Sep21 Aug20 Aug06 (alberto antoni)BACA L 114 6.00 ★    
5  BIND ON EARTH Apr15 Apr06 Mar03 Feb16 Feb05 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 114 10.00    
6  OLIVIAN Jan06 Dec07 Sep14 Aug27 Aug14 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00    
7  TUGBOAT Dec28 Dec01 Oct20 Sep24 Aug26 (ramirez eduard)THORNTON G 120 5.00 10% 8.70    
8  DIAMOND INDY SKIES Dec20 Nov23 Nov12 Jun17 May06 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 117 20.00    
9  SAVANNAH'S HERE Dec08 Nov11 Oct19 Sep25 Aug28 (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 114 12.00    
 
DED-8   01/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MATTS FIRE N ICE Jan05 Dec02 Nov18 Oct19 Sep17 (richard chri)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 7% 13.40    
2  THUNDERTAKESDALEAD Jan05 Dec21 Dec02 Nov10 Oct12 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 12.00    
3  LIFE IS A BANQUET Dec31 Nov10 Oct19 Jun15 Apr09 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 117 4.00 25% 2.90    
4  CAMEO DANCER Dec29 Aug16 Jul03 Jun04 May17 (gomez c)BACA L 114 8.00 ★    
5  FIGURETI (CHI) Nov25 Nov06 Oct15 Sep03 Jul16 (sanchez ama)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 1.80 33% 2.00    
6  UN OJO Dec31 Apr02 Feb26 Feb05   (courville rick)THORNTON G 117 3.00 13% 7.00    
7  DREWMAZING Dec21 Nov16 Aug03 Jul09 Jun10 (briley lonnie)STOKES J 114 8.00    
 
DED-9   01/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA LA LATTE Jan06 Sep13 Jul18 Jun19   (thomas lee)TORRES HUGO 115 3.50 8% 11.00    
2  TALTY Dec27 Dec02 Nov03 Oct07 Jul23 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 123 12.00    
SCR  TIME TO SLEEP Dec19 Nov18 Oct07 Aug24 Jul28 (bernard john)TAYLOR BETHANY 120 8.00    
4  MY LITTLE GUERA Dec19 Dec09 Nov09 Oct26 Oct07 (zeno benjamin)STOKES A 123 15.00    
5  RACE DAY MAE Dec27         (garza joaq)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
6  CHAOS MAGIC Dec27 Dec14 Dec02 Nov16 Nov03 (dixon tim)VARGAS P 123 2.50 29% 2.40    
7  ROARING QUINN Jan06 Dec07 Oct28 Oct06 Aug27 (gustafson austi)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 5% 17.40    
8  OUR CLOVER GAL Jan05 Dec21 Jun06 May27 May13 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 6.00 22% 3.50    
9  YES I'M A LADY Jan06 Dec27 Dec08 Nov18 Nov03 (melancon don)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
10  MAGGIE'S RETURN Dec18 Dec01 Mar16 Feb06 Jan14 (schmidt deni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.