Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/4/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/4/2/1)-(7/6/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6)-(2/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(2/6/8)-(4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/3/7)-(2/6/8/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/8)-(4) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8)-(4)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/3/7/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/3/7/2/6)-(4/3/7/2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4)-(4/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/5/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/5/1/3)-(4/6/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(3/2/6)-(2/8/4/1/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/4/1)-(3/2/6/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(2/8/4/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(2/8/4/1/3)-(4/5/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/8/4/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/1/3)-(2/8/4/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/1/3)-(2/8/4/1/3)-(2/8/4/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/4/1/3)-(4/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/1/3)-(4/5/2)-(1/7/10/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2/1)-(4/5/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(1/7/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(1/7/10/4)-(5/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/7/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/10/4)-(1/7/10/11/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/10/4)-(1/7/10/11/4)-(1/7/10/11/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/10/4)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-9   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/8)-(5/2/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT-12:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND MACALLAN Dec03 Nov06 Oct08     (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 3.50 ★    
2  ALTAIR Dec30         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 ★    
3  GOD GIVEN RIGHTS         (seale chris)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 10.00    
4  CRUISING DEREK Dec30 Nov25 Sep18 Sep10 Aug27 (mazza w)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00 ★    
5  PERSONAL FINANCE Dec28         (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
6  ROLLERCOASTER MAN Aug28 Jul31 Jul16 Jul03   (raven kerri)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 20.00 15% 5.50    
7  CAJUN OCCASION Dec02 Nov12 Oct07 Sep09 Aug06 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 1.20 59% 0.70    
 
TAM-2   01/18/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASPROPODIA Jan08 Apr24 Apr16 Apr03 Mar13 (roque elis)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 15.00    
2  TOOLEGITTOQUIT Jan08 Nov15 Oct26 Sep10 Aug22 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
3  TIZ LOTTIE Dec21 Dec10 Jun30 Jun21 Jun01 (bowersock maria)FELICIANO R 121 20.00 ★    
4  TIMELESS GLORY Dec22 Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 Aug30 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 121 5.00    
5  LADY WOOD Dec23 Jul16 Jun17 May25 May07 (hardesty lesl)DELGADO DAVID 121 15.00    
6  FOXGLOVE Oct22 Aug28 Jul31 Jun30 Jun09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 2.00 24% 3.20    
7  GIRL PRO Jan01 Dec10 Nov25 Apr15   (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 123 3.00 ★    
8  BELLSWILLBERINGING Dec21 Dec10 Nov05 Oct22 Oct05 (lopez r)SOSA LAUREANO 114 8.00 9% 10.20    
 
TAM-3   01/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3 F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER CARO Nov30 Oct16 Sep17 Sep02   (dini mike)ALLEN D 120 1.80    
2  LUCKY FREEDOM Jan01 Oct29 Oct20 Sep28 Aug31 (rigattieri jo)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00 ★    
3  PEEP'S DAY Jan01 Dec14 Nov25 Oct26 Sep07 (rini anthony)CENTENO E 118 5.00 ★    
4  LADYNESS Jan01 Dec03 Nov25 Oct22 Oct12 (cruz jesus)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00 68% 0.50    
5  SUMMER NITRO Dec16 Dec03 Sep30     (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00    
6  IMPERIOUSLY Sep09 Aug03 Jun17 Apr21   (lightner ma)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 4.50 ★    
7  BODE'S HERITAGE Nov21 Sep09       (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 ★    
 
TAM-4   01/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEY HAULER Oct24 Oct12 Aug31 Aug16   (wismer s)ALLEN D 120 4.50 ★    
2  K D STRONG Dec22         (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00    
3  NOBLE ATTITUDE         (manchan be)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 12.00 ★    
4  R SWIRVIN GIRVIN Oct28         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.40 38% 1.60    
5  FACCIA BELLA Sep15 Sep03 Aug20 Jul30   (raven kerri)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 ★    
6  STORMIN' AMANDA Dec22         (lorito mario)ARROYO S 120 5.00 33% 2.10    
7  SONG OF AMERICA Dec23 Dec03 Oct14 Sep06 Jul13 (campbell)GALLARDO A 120 10.00    
 
TAM-5   01/18/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT SPEIGHTY Oct23 Sep13 Jun25 May21 May07 (wright michael)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 6.00 ★    
2  OCEANS MAP Dec17 Oct15 Sep10 Aug24 Jul29 (sacco gr)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 29% 2.40    
3  BULLET FORCE (IRE) Dec30 Dec07 Nov05     (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 40% 1.50    
4  NEVER EXPLAIN Jan01 Oct19 Sep23 Sep03 Jul09 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.80 ★    
5  AZURE SKY Dec30 Dec02 Oct20 Sep22 Sep07 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 118 20.00    
6  MR. KRINGLE Dec24 Nov05 Oct09 Aug27 Aug10 (terranova john )CENTENO E 122 4.50 8% 10.80    
7  ORIGINAL Dec30 Oct27       (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 118 6.00    
 
TAM-6   01/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUDREY Jan06 Feb19 Jan12 Jan05   (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BARBARA Jan01 Dec07 Oct05 Sep20 Sep05 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 121 2.50 38% 1.70    
3  TAPIT BABY         (chain pea)HERRERA R 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOFTYSHIPSLOWSAILS Dec30 Dec16 Nov25 Oct09 Sep30 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 4.50 9% 10.40    
5  RAW HONEY Jan07 Dec14 Nov25 Nov13 Oct10 (brownlee davi)MORALES PABLO 121 4.50    
6  SASSY CHARLEE Dec24 Jul04 Jun18 Jun03 Apr22 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 121 15.00    
7  G G'S DARK STAR Dec24 Dec09 Sep24 Apr01 Mar16 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 4.00    
8  LIKING IT TWISTED Jul07 Mar25 Feb05     (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 10% 8.60    
 
TAM-7   01/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AZTEC PRINCESS Oct26 Oct12 Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 (hamm timothy)MENESES MARCOS 118 15.00 ★    
2  TALL GIRL Dec16 Nov06 Oct12 Sep11 Aug13 (clement chris)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  DANCE STEP Dec17 Aug21 Jul16     (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00 ★    
4  MISSION OF JOY Dec03 Sep11       (motion h)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  GRAND OAK (IRE) Oct28 Oct03 Sep06 Aug20 May20 (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 1.80 24% 3.20    
6  ANOTHERDAYGONEBY Jan04 Dec08 Nov20 Oct01 Sep15 (brooks e)CENTENO E 118 8.00    
7  A NITE IN CAIRO Dec17 Oct03 Aug20 Jul26   (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 12.00    
8  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Oct24 Sep27 Sep05 Aug08   (ferraro anth)COA J 118 20.00    
 
TAM-8   01/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN RED Nov27 Oct29 Aug21 Jul29 Apr27 (d'ange)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
2  HEAVY WEIGHT Jan06 Dec23 May06 Apr03 Mar26 (negrete javie)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 20.00    
3  WARP SPEED BEAST Jan08 Dec29 Dec14     (dobber arnou)MENESES MARCOS 122 12.00    
4  DEACON ELI May31         (tsirigotis j)ALENCAR WALBER 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  TAKEOVER KASH Jan08 Mar19 Feb26     (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
6  RUM NOT BOURBON Apr20 Apr01       (jones douglas)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
7  POSEIDONS MYTH Dec30 Dec02 Apr27 Apr15 Mar30 (ubide max)ARROYO S 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
8  IT'S ME AGAIN Dec31         (machado an)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 20.00    
9  GENESIS ONE Dec09 Nov10 Oct22 Sep30   (dutrow anthony)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.00    
10  CALZONE Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 Oct22 Sep15 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 5.00 9% 9.70    
11  ANDY WALKS WITH ME Dec30 Nov30 Oct22     (vinson john )BATISTA A 122 3.00 ★    
 
TAM-9   01/18/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILY'S LEAD Dec16 Dec10 Oct28 May26 May06 (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 119 5.00    
2  MYSTIC DREAMS Jan07 Dec10 Dec02 Sep17 Sep10 (mazza w)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00 15% 5.80    
3  HARDSPUN WOMAN Dec23 Nov25 Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 (mckanas leon)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00 9% 10.20    
4  KISSES FOR HANNAH Jan01 Nov25 Oct14 Oct06 Sep15 (lopez r)FLORES ADRIAN 121 10.00    
5  STELLARATOR Dec30 Dec09 Sep30 Sep17 Aug21 (varsi anna)CENTENO E 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  BLUE NEITH Oct24 Sep17 Sep02 Jul15 Jun23 (sanchez )GALLARDO A 119 5.00    
SCR  CHALLENGE PRINCESS Dec23 Oct27 Sep22 Aug21 Jun24 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 8.00 14% 6.30    
8  WATER WITCH Jan01 Dec16 Oct27 Apr27 Apr02 (sillaman richa)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 5.00 ★    
9  MISTY GALE Jan01 Nov07 Oct24 Sep21 Aug24 (falk jacqu)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.