Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Friday - January 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DED-1   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/1/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/1/4/5)-(7/3/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(1/6/5)-(8/7/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
DED-2   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(6/5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(6/5/7/4)-(6/5/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(8/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(8/7/1)-(1/4/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-3   WIN (8/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/1)-(8/7/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1)-(8/7/1/3/6)-(8/7/1/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/7/1)-(1/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1)-(1/4/2/6)-(1/4/9/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-4   WIN (1/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/9/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/9/7/5)-(5/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DED-5   WIN (1/4/9/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/7/5)-(1/4/9/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/7/5)-(1/4/9/7/5)-(1/4/9/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/9/7/5)-(5/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/9/7/5)-(5/3/7)-(4/3/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
DED-6   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/6/7/8)-(5/3/6/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(4/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(4/3/8)-(8/1/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
DED-7   WIN (4/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/8)-(4/3/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/8)-(4/3/8/7/6)-(4/3/8/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/8)-(8/1/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/8)-(8/1/9)-(4/5/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
DED-8   WIN (8/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/9)-(8/1/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/9)-(8/1/9/7)-(8/1/9/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/1/9)-(4/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DED-9   WIN (4/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/2)-(4/5/3/2/8)-(4/5/3/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP IRON FIST Dec18 Dec02 Nov18 Aug10 Jul15 (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 3.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of AYALA STRAND by TIZNOW)
MOONLIGHTMADDY Dec10 Nov22 Oct21     (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 5.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MOONLIGHT LOVER by BERNARDINI)
MO SMOKING Dec18 Dec02 Oct15 Aug28 Jul30 (scherer gary)THORNTON G 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MO SMOKE by UNCLE MO)
TENSAS BERTIE         (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 120 8.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of HARBOR PRINCESS by BOSTON HARBOR)
MIDNIGHT FAITH Dec18 Nov22 Oct15     (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of ANTE UP ANNIE by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
MOR KISSES Dec02 Oct08       (delany sara)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of LOTTA CANDY KISSES by LEMON DROP KID)
EVERLYN'S ANGEL Dec31         (landry ray)STOKES J 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
  (by MO TOM out of BOND'S BABE by JOHANNESBURG)
 
DED-2   01/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PRINCESS TRINA Dec03 Nov23 Oct27 Sep26 Aug19 (gustafson aust)THORNTON G 120 4.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  TAKE ME AS I AM Dec28 Dec15 Nov09 Sep16 Sep03 (gustafson aust)THORNTON G 120 4.00    
KICK N KISS Dec29 Dec04 Nov19 Jul30 Jun29 (patt roland )BARRERA J 112 12.00    
MISS BILLIE K Dec28 Dec14 Sep19 Sep06 Aug01 (nelson r)HERNANDEZ V 117 10.00    
FOURSWEETNIECES Dec17 Dec03 Nov11 Oct06 Feb16 (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 112 6.00    
LOVE TO LEARN Dec14 Nov05 Oct13 Aug13 Jul01 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTRY DREAM Dec28 Dec14 Feb16 Jan29 Jan06 (godfre)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
HURRICANE TIZWAY Dec30 Nov02 Aug13 Jul10 Jun18 (turner patti)BACA L 120 2.00    
 
DED-3   01/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIKING LEGACY Dec27 Oct12       (woodley j)THORNTON G 123 4.50 6% 16.90    
  (by AWESOME BET out of I'MAVIKINGPRINCESS by I'MA HELL RAISER)
LOVE OURS Jan05 Nov12       (cormier houston)TORRES HUGO 118 15.00    
  (by THIRSTY GIANT out of BRIGHAMS LOVE by EARLY FLYER)
SILVER CHALICE Dec22 Dec10 Nov22 Nov11 Oct26 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 6.00    
  (by FLASHPOINT out of CROOKED HALO by HALO)
STYLING HOOK Dec27 Nov25 Nov11 Oct26   (guillory james)STOKES A 123 8.00    
  (by HOOKS CROSSING out of GOOD STYLE by GIROLAMO)
BOSS MAN ZONG Dec27 Dec07       (dison m)POMPELL L 123 15.00    
  (by ZONG out of OFFICE GOSSIP by STORMIN FEVER)
COLE'S SENSATION Dec22 Dec10 Oct29 Aug24 Aug06 (delahoussaye tom)FUSILIER C 123 5.00    
  (by UNBRIDLEDSENSATION out of CARLISLE by MENIFEE)
PITCH AND RUN Oct20 Sep18 Sep03 Aug01 Jun27 (dunn r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of SALESPITCH by ARCH)
PRINCE PERFECTA Jan05 Dec17 Nov23 Nov12 Oct28 (johnson henry )COTTO L 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by AWESOME AGAIN out of PRINCESS PERFECT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
 
DED-4   01/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWERSHOT Dec14 Nov19 Nov03 Sep18 Aug02 (gomez c)TORRES HUGO 113 3.00 28% 2.60    
MY BOBBY MCGEE Dec27 Dec01 Nov22 Oct30 Oct22 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 14% 6.20    
RUBIGINOUS Dec14 Nov10 Oct26 Sep25 Sep05 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 5.00    
ANDIAMO GIACOMO Dec21 Dec08 Oct28 Oct02 Aug20 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 115 1.80 17% 4.80    
SCR  NO PLANS Dec09 Jul28       (delahoussaye bre)FUSILIER C 115 15.00 5% 17.30    
HOT ARTIE Dec21 Dec07 Nov17 Oct29 Sep27 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00 7% 13.20    
TAPPED OUT Dec27 Dec01 Nov19 Nov02 Sep19 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00    
 
DED-5   01/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE OF GOLD Dec17 Nov23 Oct27 Aug14 Jul23 (bryant a)TORRES HUGO 112 4.00 21% 3.70    
PRETTY PRODUCTION Dec14 Nov25 Nov09 Jul20 Jul01 (zeno benjamin)BOURQUE J 114 20.00    
BE A BANDIT Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 Oct06 Aug20 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 109 15.00    
UNHERDOF Dec17 Nov09 Oct27 Sep19 Sep09 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 5.00 13% 6.60    
COLD HEARTED WENCH Dec17 Nov09 Jun10 May21 May04 (rochau l)FUSILIER C 117 20.00 5% 18.50    
HOLY WAR Dec15 Nov23 Oct21 Aug03 Jul01 (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 114 6.00    
GLORY TO ME Jan04 Dec16 Nov30 Oct27 Oct12 (broberg karl)COLON H 114 2.50 12% 7.50    
CAJUN SHOTS Nov25 Jul13 Jul01 Jun17 May13 (zenon shelton)MCMAHON J 114 8.00    
ANGELA'S CELERITY Dec28 Dec10 Nov19 Oct22 Oct12 (bryant geor)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 3.50 13% 6.70    
 
DED-6   01/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B B MOODY Dec21 Nov17 Feb24 Jan29 Jan15 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 115 20.00    
BROAD DECISION Dec27 Dec14 Apr08 Mar03 Jan07 (robbins han)RAMIREZ PAULINA 115 4.00    
CUSTOM KAT Dec03 Oct07 Aug11 Jun25 Jun01 (cox l)MCMAHON J 115 8.00 22% 3.60    
MY BOY GUS Dec14 Nov10 Oct26 Sep11 Aug20 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 118 8.00    
BOATING PARTY Dec07 Oct08 Aug13 Jul23 Mar16 (tracy greg)ROMAN KEVIN 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
FRIENDOFTHECOURT Dec14 Nov23 Oct26 Oct07 Aug05 (broberg karl)COLON H 115 4.50    
HIP FOUR O FOUR Dec14 Jul05 Jun18 May22 May09 (nelson eric)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 15.00 7% 13.60    
CUSTOMIZE MY QUEST Jan05 Dec14 Nov12 Aug20 Jul30 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 3.00    
 
DED-7   01/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 8:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREWNANIMOUS Dec26         (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 120 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SPANISH FLOWER by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SONYA KNOWS BETTER Dec01 Nov11       (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 120 5.00    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of I KNOW BETTER by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
KAJUN KARMA Dec10 Nov19 Oct14 Aug27   (flint steve)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by IRON FIST out of CAJUN CONOSEIR by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
SETTLE ON SOMETHIN Dec30 Nov30 Nov11     (devereux pa)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of FABLED FLYER by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
CLEARLY A JET Dec15 Nov25 Oct29 Oct14 Sep27 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of KAYLYNS FLOWER by SPRING AT LAST)
GOLDENLUTE Dec15 Nov19       (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LADY LUTIE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
BUCK'S GLORY Dec30 Dec01 Nov11 Oct06 Aug11 (landry ray)STOKES J 120 4.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of MISS JAZEBEL by TALE OF THE CAT)
MANLY DEEDS         (chatters benard)BIRZER E 120 6.00 6% 15.90    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOLLY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
DED-8   01/13/2023 4950ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DA DUE RUN RUN Dec16 Jul29 Jul07 May28 May14 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 4.00 7% 12.90    
1A  GOODNIGHTLOVING Dec02 Nov23 Nov02 Oct03 Sep20 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 117 4.00    
SCR  BLAZING CHARM Dec30 Dec02 Nov05 Sep04 Aug27 (broberg karl)COLON H 117 3.00 57% 0.80    
CAVE CREEK Jan01 Dec16 Nov05 Sep18 Sep04 (dussette alvin)MCMAHON J 123 15.00    
MALARTACH Dec28 Dec02 Sep04 Jul20 Jun29 (zenon shelton)ROMAN KEVIN 117 15.00    
GIRLS COUNT Dec16 Nov12 May27 May11 Feb24 (rubin donal)DEL-CID VICENTE 114 5.00    
FASTED Dec02 Nov19 Oct14 Aug27 Apr08 (mojica a)BIRZER E 120 5.00    
GIRL THIRSTY Dec16 Dec02 Nov05 Oct13 Sep04 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 114 10.00    
WILDWOOD MAGGIE Dec30 Dec19 Nov23 Nov09 Aug28 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 5.00 11% 8.40    
LIFE OF SATURDAYS Dec14 Nov23 Nov12 Oct13 Aug17 (melancon don)BARRERA J 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DED-9   01/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC RED RACER Dec30 Dec20 Dec07 Nov18 May25 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 15.00    
JUST PLAIN MAD Nov19 Nov02 Sep24 Aug13 Jul02 (degeyter randy )TORRES HUGO 112 20.00 10% 9.10    
JACKIE MOON Dec30 Dec08 Oct15 Aug11 Jul09 (derousselle p)VARGAS P 117 4.00 12% 7.20    
OGA BEAR Dec27 Dec16 Dec03 Nov05 Oct27 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
AHIMAAZ Dec30 Dec16 Nov18 Oct14 Jul21 (alberto an)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 4.50 23% 3.40    
MOONSHINE MAX Dec30 Dec08 Nov23 Nov10 Oct19 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 12.00    
SOUTH AL SPARKY Dec08 Nov10 Oct20 Sep13 Aug13 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 12.00    
CORN SOUP Dec27 Dec16 Nov17 Aug25 Jul27 (patt roland )BARRERA J 117 5.00    
LOOKIN FOR LARRY Dec30 Dec16 Dec01 Nov04   (derousselle pet)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00    
10  SUNSET WAR Dec27 Sep24 Aug30     (roberts kenneth)MCMAHON J 117 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.