Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - January 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/1/5/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/1/5/3/6)-(2/1/5/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2)-(3/2/4/5/7) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (2)-(3/2/4/5/7)-(8/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/2/4/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/5/7)-(3/2/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/5/7)-(3/2/4/5/7)-(3/2/4/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/4/5/7)-(8/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/5/7)-(8/2)-(5/3/7/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2/7/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/2)-(8/2/7/6/1)-(8/2/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2)-(5/3/7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/2)-(5/3/7/4)-(1/2/9/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/4)-(5/3/7/4/2)-(5/3/7/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/7/4)-(1/2/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/4)-(1/2/9/5)-(4/1/8/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/5)-(1/2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/5)-(1/2/9/5)-(1/2/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/9/5)-(4/1/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/9/5)-(4/1/8/2)-(6/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/2)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/2)-(6/4)-(10/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/8/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/8/5/2)-(6/4/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4)-(10/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/2)-(10/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/6/2)-(10/6/2)-(10/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKS LODGE Jul21 Jun30 Jun18 Jun10 May19 (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 2.50 ★    
2  ASTRAL RIDE Oct16 Aug21 Jun11 May12 Mar27 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.40 72% 0.40    
3  TRICKY STRONG Aug20 Jul17       (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 10.00 ★    
4  WAYNE'S HOPE Dec09 Nov12 Sep24 Jun10 May07 (locklear james)BAEZ M 115 6.00    
5  MOTIVATED SPEAKER Dec09 Oct28 Oct01 Sep24 Sep14 (covello andrea )PELTROCHE F 122 5.00 ★    
6  BROTHERFROMANOTHER Nov25 Nov08 Oct04 Sep09 Aug24 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 ★    
7  RIDUNCULOUS Nov04         (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
 
CT-2   01/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETCHA BY GOLLY Dec03 Nov13 Oct22 Sep25 Sep09 (andreadakis )BARBOSA JEIRON 115 5.00    
2  SHERIFF'S KID Nov10 Oct22 Sep28 Sep10 Aug04 (price r)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
3  DULCIMER DAME Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 Sep01 Jul15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 32% 2.10    
4  CHINA CAT Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 Sep10 Aug06 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 120 6.00 9% 10.60    
5  MAGIC IN ME Dec20 Nov12 Oct19 Sep28 Sep15 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 8% 11.60    
6  SAX Dec17 Nov25 Nov05 Oct22 Sep10 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
7  MARKETABILITY Dec02 Oct19 Sep23 Sep03 Aug13 (johnson jamey )ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   01/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JESS FOR KICKS Nov23 Nov02 Sep30 Sep14 Jul29 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 ★    
2  HOLY PINK Dec14 Nov23 Oct21 Jul29 Jun17 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 19% 4.40    
3  SUPERSNAKE Dec14 Nov23 Nov11 Nov02 Oct13 (sandoval michael)BAEZ M 115 15.00    
4  BALLYMENA (GB) Dec14 Nov23 Nov11 Nov04 Oct28 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
5  ULTIMATE BREEZE Dec10 Nov09 Oct28 Sep23 Sep14 (sandoval michae)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
6  AMERICAS WOMAN Dec14 Nov27 Nov13 Oct27 Sep18 (barr h)THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00 ★    
7  RED PRIESTESS Dec17 Dec03 Oct23 Oct02 Sep10 (bailes rober)ARAUJO DENIS 122 2.00 ★    
8  MI YAYIS Dec09 Nov19 Oct16 Oct02 Sep15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
9  MY BRIDGET VERDOT Dec12 Oct30 Oct17 Oct04 Sep25 (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
 
CT-4   01/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARDIN Dec17 Nov05 Sep28 Jul08 Jun17 (harrison gl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
2  ROCKET BALLAD Nov30 Nov16 Nov05 Oct19 Sep08 (conn p)BAEZ M 115 30.00 ★    
3  CRISTIANO BOY Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
4  CHARTERED COURSE Dec17 Oct29 Oct19 Sep28 Aug20 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00 14% 6.00    
5  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Nov30 Nov05 Oct19 Sep28 Aug27 (atkins michael)ARAUJO DENIS 122 2.00 26% 2.90    
6  COLONIAL ROAD Dec17 Nov26 Nov18     (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 15.00    
7  MISTER DEEKS Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 Sep28   (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 122 1.80 18% 4.60    
 
CT-5   01/05/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALK A FINE LINE Dec10 Nov18 Oct01 Aug04 Jun17 (contrer)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 6.00 28% 2.60    
2  DYLADDIE Nov23 Oct29 Oct07 Sep08 May28 (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00 21% 3.90    
3  EXCUSES EXCUSES Dec10 Nov26 Oct29 Oct17 Sep09 (pickett cry)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 12.00    
4  WEST VIRGINIA PAM Dec03 Nov10 Sep15 Aug25 Aug06 (lucas anthony)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00    
5  JALEBI BABY Dec06 Nov08 Oct21 Oct05 Sep14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 5% 19.00    
6  BOCA BIRDIE Dec10 Nov23 Oct29 Oct05 Sep17 (pickett crys)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
7  MY JUBA Dec10 Nov04 Sep21 Aug25 Aug04 (hurley jack)MORALES KELVIN 124 3.00    
8  FASHION ICON Dec10 Nov12 Oct22 Sep17 Aug31 (locklear james)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
9  MISS LAUREN Dec03 Nov02 Oct06 Sep15 May25 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
10  MAGNIFICENT ROCKET Oct29 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 Aug25 (perez ernesto)BAEZ M 117 30.00    
SCR  LADY WHISTLEDOWN Dec10 Nov19 Nov07 Oct08 Sep24 (mancilla carlos)MONTERREY R 122 3.50 7% 14.20    
 
CT-6   01/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNGLE WARRIOR Dec17 Nov24 Nov03 Sep29 Aug18 (joy kevin)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
2  NEVER COMPROMISE Dec08 Oct27 Aug25 Aug06 Jul15 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 124 4.50 15% 5.60    
3  UNCLE JEROME Dec20 Nov26 Oct15 Sep30 Aug27 (smith lawrenc)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
4  SIR ROCKPORT Dec16 Nov29 Nov04 Oct14 Sep22 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
5  ELVIRUS Dec13 Nov13 Oct22 Sep29 Sep14 (gazzier kristy)ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00    
6  CLASSY SOLUTION Nov17 Nov03 Oct18 Oct01 Sep16 (castro jeremi)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 10.00    
SCR  BUTTONED UP Nov11 Oct29 Sep30 Sep17 Aug31 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 ★    
8  POSITIVE PHIL Dec09 Nov12 Oct29 Oct06 Sep07 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
CT-7   01/05/2023 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WILLOW MOON Dec08 Oct22 Oct01 Sep09 Aug04 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
2  SUPER WILDCAT Dec16 Dec02 Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00 ★    
3  UNLOCK Nov23 Nov05 Oct11 Sep12 Jul27 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
4  R WORKING GIRL Dec16 Dec01 Nov21 Nov02 Oct19 (hillegass al)BATISTA A 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
5  COLLEGE KID Nov02 Oct08 Sep16 Jul08 Jun03 (spriggs toschia)BOCACHICA O 120 4.00 ★    
6  TIZ THE REASON Nov10 Oct12 Oct01 Sep21 Jul23 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
7  FLAT DISCOUNT Dec12 Dec04       (smith osborne)SIMPSON JASON 124 15.00    
8  VALID REASON Nov10 Oct12 Sep21 Sep02 Jul02 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 ★    
9  COACH RUBE Dec09 Nov03 Oct22 Oct08 Jul14 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
 
CT-8   01/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIP THE BULL Dec15 Dec04 Nov16 Oct26 Oct01 (sanche)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
2  ICE BAR Dec01 Nov23 Nov03 Oct22 Oct13 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 122 4.50 9% 10.50    
3  REY O REYES Dec15 Dec09 Nov23 Nov04 Oct14 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00    
4  INGREIDO Dec01 Nov24 Nov05 Oct22 Oct13 (cruz jaime)BAEZ M 115 5.00    
5  EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Sep08 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
6  TWEET THIS Dec10 Nov19 Nov10 Oct12 Sep14 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.50 26% 2.80    
7  FEISTY KITTEN Dec01 Nov10 Oct29 Oct22 Sep30 (downie loff)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 30.00    
SCR  OFFICER APPEAL Dec09 Dec01 Nov10 Oct27 Oct13 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 8.00    
9  LUNAR IMAGE Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Aug18 (pyke joseph)ADAMS L 113 30.00    
10  SULEMAN Dec14 Dec06 Nov22 Nov09 Oct28 (viands gregory)BOCACHICA O 122 1.80 30% 2.30    
SCR  NEVER SILENCED Dec29 Dec04 Nov14 Nov07 Sep04 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 15.00    
SCR  MR. AGRO Dec13 Nov27 Nov11 Oct27 Sep18 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  CAPTAIN CARDO Dec20 Nov29 Nov05 Oct21 Oct02 (volpe john)LEWIS M 115 6.00 ★    
SCR  FROSTED WHITE FACE Aug17 Jul20 Jul05 Jun26 May29 (ewell s)SIMPSON JASON 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.