Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - January 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (8/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/2/5)-(8/9/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/9/2/5)-(9/4/8/6/7)-(2/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-2   WIN (9/4/8/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/8/6/7)-(9/4/8/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    DD (9/4/8/6/7)-(2/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/4/8/6/7)-(2/7/8)-(3/7/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-3   WIN (2/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/8)-(2/7/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8)-(3/7/6)-(9/11/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(9/11/6/8)-(2/5/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (9/11/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/11/6/8)-(9/11/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/11/6/8)-(2/5/4/8)-(6/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-6   WIN (2/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/8)-(2/5/4/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/8)-(6/5/4)-(5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-7   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(5/2)-(2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LRL-8   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/4/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LRL-9   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   01/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUNKY IRISHMAN         (eubanks anne)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
2  MOON SIGN Nov18 Oct20 Sep07 Aug23   (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 124 15.00 13% 6.90    
3  FARTLEK         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 8.00 ★    
4  CONJUROR         (eppler )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 15.00    
5  BUBBA CHROME Dec11 Nov20 Nov04 Aug29   (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BUCK WILD Nov25 Nov11 Sep30 Sep09 Sep03 (frock charl)PAREDES JHOVANY 110 15.00    
7  CITI CREEK Aug17 Jul20 Jun30 Jun16   (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 4.50    
8  ON THE MARK Dec11 Nov13       (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
9  MISS YOU AJAX         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
LRL-2   01/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMBO May29 May05 Apr14 Mar25 Feb18 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 126 4.50    
2  LADNEEDSAHANDLER Dec11 Nov04 Oct14 Sep25 Jun10 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 5.00    
SCR  FIVE STAR PHIL Dec11 Aug28 Jul31 Jul23 Jul04 (mancilla ca)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 15.00    
4  RAHMER Oct20 Jul10 Mar19 Feb20 Feb10 (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 4.50 20% 4.00    
5  FLAMING EAST Dec11 Nov27 Oct30 Oct08 Jun10 (gaudet lacey)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.00    
6  BILLINGSGATE Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 Oct15 Oct02 (magana j)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00 5% 18.50    
7  CHAUFFEUR Dec11 Nov21 Oct21 Sep30 Sep11 (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  MAD GENIUS Dec10 Nov24 Nov07 Oct29 Oct02 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 10.00 19% 4.20    
9  WHAT SAY YOU Dec11 Nov04 Oct19 Sep05 Aug06 (shuman mark)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.50 25% 3.10    
 
LRL-3   01/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD ACCELEBRATE         (deiter kell)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 4.50 ★    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of ACCELEBRATE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  HOW SWEET SHE IS Nov19         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  MARIANO         (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of SKY COPPER by SKY MESA)
4  LETITGOTOVOICEMAIL Oct28         (perkins jr)BOYCE FOREST 124 6.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of FROZEN MUSIC by LANGFUHR)
5  KENTUCKY KISS         (russell britta)CEDENO CAROL 124 6.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of REIKO (FR) by TARGOWICE)
6  RECKLESS KELLY Dec04         (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 8.00 ★    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of UNBRIDLED BETTY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  NEW ROME Dec04         (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50 18% 4.40    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of COMARE by STREET BOSS)
8  GRACE AND CHARM Nov06 Oct08 Sep11     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.50 18% 4.50    
  (by ACCELERATE out of CRUELMORE by FORESTRY)
 
LRL-4   01/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNADULTERATED Dec18 Nov19 Oct29 Oct01 Sep23 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 6.00    
2  ITALIAN DRESSING Dec02 Oct27 Oct09 Sep17 Aug27 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 123 5.00 ★    
3  HASHTAG LUCKY Dec04 Nov12 Oct20 Sep17 Sep06 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 28% 2.50    
4  BIG CHEEKS Nov30 Jul02 Jun01 May12 Apr06 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 123 3.50 ★    
5  HOW LUCKY Jul03 May27 May01 Mar04   (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00    
6  MIT MAZEL Dec16 Nov21 Nov06 Sep30 Apr01 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.00 21% 3.90    
7  PEYTON ELIZABETH Dec04 Nov21 Oct13 Sep10 Mar29 (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
LRL-5   01/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOUT ENSEMBLE Dec14 Dec02 Oct14 Sep23 Aug14 (viands grego)MORALES KELVIN 126 30.00 7% 14.10    
2  RED WINE TIME Nov25 Oct22 Mar19 Mar05   (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 122 6.00    
3  TORRE BRANCA Nov25 Oct27 Oct07 Sep24 Sep05 (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00    
4  NIBBLES Nov19 Nov05 Oct27 Oct06 Sep10 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 126 6.00    
5  TOSS A COIN Nov24 Oct27 Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 (keefe timothy)KARAMANOS A 126 15.00    
6  LADRO DI FICHI Dec09 Nov14 Oct06 Aug21 Jul28 (gonzalez claud)PEREZ XAVIER 126 8.00 11% 8.30    
7  LA SAMANA LAURA Dec03 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 Aug24 (salzma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 20.00    
8  LUNAR ICE Dec02 Nov13 Oct21 Oct06 Sep10 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00 8% 11.30    
9  PATTY CAKES Oct30 Sep17 Aug14 Jul31 Jun12 (cox kenneth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 5.00 35% 1.90    
10  ANILEATE Dec03 Nov19 Oct16     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.50    
11  CLASSIC LYNNE Oct07 Sep01 Aug12 Jul20   (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 126 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
LRL-6   01/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRESSING CONCERN Dec18 Dec10 Nov07 Nov02 Oct05 (mohan r)ACOSTA D 126 30.00    
2  TOP BOSS Dec17 Nov03 Oct15 Oct05 Jun04 (mohan david)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 6.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  CONFUSION BABY BOY Dec14 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep25 (frock a)HESS SARA 113 20.00    
4  E J'S REVENGE Dec16 Nov14 Nov03 Oct14 Sep17 (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 116 15.00 9% 9.90    
5  SPOTTED BULL Nov26 Apr21 Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 5.00 10% 8.60    
6  NOT A TRICK Oct28 Oct11 Aug31 Aug10 Jul31 (dunham berna)LEWIS M 116 10.00    
7  GREAT GO GO Nov26 Nov02 Oct05 Jul14 Jun16 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 5.00    
8  INSIDE RISK Dec16 Nov24 Nov02 Oct20 Oct08 (caison l)CECIL Y 123 12.00 7% 12.70    
9  PIT STOP MAN Dec11 Nov20 Nov04 Oct21 Sep25 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 8.00    
10  THE CAIRO KID Dec09 Oct14 Sep04 Aug28 Jun17 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.00 ★    
11  BOONDOGGLE Dec18 Dec02 Nov11 Oct15 Oct02 (kee willie )PAREDES JHOVANY 116 4.50    
 
LRL-7   01/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN EFFECT Dec02 Nov19 Oct07 Sep10 Jul31 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00    
2  I'M GITTIN THERE Dec09 Nov20 Oct22 Oct01 Sep03 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00    
3  ROCK ROSE Nov27 Oct30 Oct01 Sep11   (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00 ★    
4  VOLNAY Nov10 Oct19 Sep28 Sep09 Jul23 (perri gina)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00 6% 16.00    
5  FUHGEDDABOUDIT Nov11 Oct30 Oct07 Sep05 Aug19 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  SKIPPER SUE Nov18 Oct14       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
7  PROPER STORM         (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 123 20.00    
SCR  SPARKLE SPRINKLE Dec09 Nov02 Sep30 Jan29   (robb j)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 3.00 ★    
 
LRL-8   01/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON WILDCAT Oct22 Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 Aug19 (magana j)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
2  ICY STARE DOWN Dec09 Oct29 Sep15 Mar24 Feb26 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  PLANE DRUNK Dec12 Nov11 Oct24 Sep27 Sep08 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 ★    
4  SWEET GRACIE Dec04 Oct22 Sep24 Aug19 Jul30 (allen ferri)ALVELO C 123 3.50 ★    
5  BANDITS WARRIOR Nov11 Oct21 Sep25 Aug19 Jun22 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  STAND BY YOU Nov15 Oct12 Sep07 Jul18 Jul02 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 6.00 ★    
 
LRL-9   01/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 45 M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKO MISS Oct21 Sep03       (ambrogi j)LOPEZ DERECK 116 30.00    
2  TAP N GLO Dec11 Nov13 Oct29 Oct06 Jan28 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 3.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Oct29 Oct08 Oct02 Aug26 Aug12 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
4  M'LADY THATCHER Dec11 Nov13 Oct20 Aug31 Aug21 (gaudet lacey)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50 14% 6.40    
5  JUST ONCE MORE Nov21 Oct23       (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 122 15.00    
6  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Nov09 Oct19 Sep28 Aug06 Jul10 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.80 ★    
SCR  MADE IT Dec04 Nov19       (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 126 6.00 7% 13.60    
8  SIZZLING HOT Nov14 Sep16       (eppler e)CRUZ ANGEL 126 10.00 ★    
9  LADY GANGSTER Dec15 Dec04 Nov24 Nov03   (kee willie )PAREDES JHOVANY 116 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.