Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Thursday - December 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/22/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYZANTINE EMPIRE Dec07 Nov26 Oct02 Sep11 Aug14 (burns patrici)MARTIN MATTIE 117 8.00    
2  CASARENA HOTTIE Dec02 Oct01 Jun19 Jan30   (lusk r)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 30.00    
3  RANSOMS REWARD Dec02 Oct28 Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 (dobber arnoud )SUAREZ ANGEL 124 1.40 53% 0.90    
4  SHE IS ROYALTY Apr16 Mar18 Mar12 Feb20 Feb05 (calixto ivan)DIAZ S 121 15.00 6% 14.80    
5  REDZILLA Dec10 Apr06 Mar05 Feb23 Jan22 (paragallo jenn)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50 12% 7.30    
6  BLACK KARMA Nov30         (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  WICKED SAUCY Dec16 Dec02 Sep24 Sep17 Sep02 (carvajal l)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 2.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   12/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 2 F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMIN' AMANDA         (lorito mario)ARROYO S 119 8.00 7% 13.30    
2  K D STRONG         (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 5.00 ★    
3  BEAST BUNNY         (dominguez lui)CARDOSO DAVID 119 3.50 10% 9.00    
4  UNCAPTURED DREAMS         (dominguez lu)ALENCAR WALBER 119 3.50 ★    
5  DESTINY COCO Dec03         (morales guill)ALICEA JEREMY 112 10.00    
6  PRETTY'N AWESOME         (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 1.40 46% 1.20    
 
TAM-3   12/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH VALOR Dec10 Oct28 Oct08 Oct02 Jul01 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  LUCKY LOVER BOY Dec09 Oct21 Sep30 Sep10 Aug28 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 30.00    
SCR  FLIPPING FISH Dec09 Oct22 Sep23 Sep05 Aug15 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00 12% 7.60    
4  SAVVY LAYLA Nov26 Sep05 Aug27 Aug08 Jul17 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00    
5  STRONG ENDING Sep13 Sep05 Aug23 Jun28 Jun13 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 120 1.40 22% 3.50    
6  BLAKENSTEIN Dec09 Oct18 Oct03 Aug22 Jul20 (guciardo kat)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 8.00 ★    
7  TAPSOLUTION Dec09 Oct25 Oct11 Sep19 Sep12 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
 
TAM-4   12/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TITHED Sep12 Aug22 Aug15 Jul28 Jul14 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 12.00    
2  PARTNER'S HOPE Nov06 Oct07 Sep10 Jul30 May19 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 2.00 73% 0.40    
3  GOLDEN TONE Nov22 Jun17 May21 Mar18 Feb02 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 120 3.50 ★    
4  ANY MINUTE Nov25 Oct26 Oct13 Sep08 Aug17 (posadas pedro)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 ★    
5  THAT'S MY BOI TOY Oct12 Sep08 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 118 20.00    
6  I'LL FINISH Nov25 Oct22 Sep10 Aug20 Jul17 (delgado jorg)ARROYO S 118 4.00 ★    
7  THEJIGISUP Dec07 Nov23 Oct04 Sep27 Aug25 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 120 5.00 ★    
 
TAM-5   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRO         (laurato )STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 20.00    
2  THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Dec07 Nov23 May31     (potts g)ALLEN D 119 10.00 9% 9.90    
3  WHISKEYMAC Oct18 Sep27 Sep07     (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  COPAZO Dec03 Aug01       (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 119 4.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  PERSONAL FINANCE         (sacco gregory)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00    
SCR  CLASSIC BOURBON Dec03 Sep18 Aug27     (antonucci m)FERRER C 119 10.00    
7  PLEASANT VALIANT Nov25         (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 10.00    
8  BALLINDINE Dec03 Oct07       (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  ANTONOV Oct28 Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Jul31 (ryan s)BATISTA A 119 4.50 16% 5.30    
10  JAY BIRD Dec03         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 20.00    
11  RED OCTOBER Dec07         (escobar alison)MARIN SAMUEL 119 20.00    
 
TAM-6   12/22/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY CITY GIRL Nov26 Oct18 Oct06 Sep28 Sep14 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 121 12.00 13% 6.60    
2  TEN PIN ALLY Nov26 Oct28 Sep17 Sep11 Aug20 (orseno f)CENTENO E 121 6.00    
3  CLASSY OF COURSE Nov26 Oct14 Sep05 Aug15 Aug08 (mcgoey monica)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 25% 3.00    
4  FLATOUTANDFOXY Oct16 Sep30 Sep03 Aug05 Jul17 (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
5  CHARGE IT JENN Nov25 Oct15 Sep16 Aug11 Jul06 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 121 6.00    
6  DIXIELAND DANCER Dec02 Nov26 Oct15 Sep28 Sep16 (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 121 10.00    
7  BEAUTIFUL TIZ Nov26 Oct21 Oct12 Oct05 Sep14 (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 5.00 7% 13.60    
8  NEVISIAN SPIRIT Dec14 Nov25 Oct12 Sep22 Sep13 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 121 8.00    
9  MIZZEN AIR Dec02 Sep29 Jun11 Apr20 Mar18 (arnett g)FERRER C 121 8.00 11% 8.00    
 
TAM-7   12/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL FRONT Dec02 Sep04 Aug06 Jul15 Jun24 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 121 8.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  PLATINUMCENTS Dec10 Nov23 Jul01 May06 Apr24 (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 30.00    
3  ROSE'S CAUSE Nov25 Aug19 Jul15 Jun18 Jun02 (romero raf)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 6.00    
SCR  LOVE'S MISERY Nov23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug05 Jul02 (delgado jose)ALENCAR WALBER 121 15.00    
5  TIMELESS GLORY Nov15 Oct26 Oct06 Aug30 Aug16 (granitz anthony )FERRER C 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ENTWINE (IRE) Nov26 Oct13 Sep10 Jun17 Apr09 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 121 2.50    
SCR  NOVELERA Dec02 Oct22 Oct01 Aug06 Jul23 (garcia rodolfo)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50 8% 10.90    
SCR  UP HER SLEEVE Dec02 Oct22 Sep04 Aug06 Jun25 (delgado jose )JIMENEZ MANNY 118 15.00    
9  READY TO FILM Oct13 Sep23 Aug07 Jul23 Apr02 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.50 9% 10.10    
SCR  WINNING AT EASE Dec02 Oct23 Aug20 Jul23 Jul08 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 8.00 43% 1.30    
11  BIONDA SUPRISE Nov23 Oct07 Aug31 Aug02 Jul13 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 15.00    
SCR  JEFF'S ANGEL Oct23 Jun30 Jun17 May04 Apr08 (exposito j)LOPEZ E 118 8.00    
 
TAM-8   12/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN BASTET Oct23 Mar25 Feb12     (heming)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 5.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  POSH PLAYDAY Oct06 Sep14 Aug03 Jul12 Jun21 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 120 8.00 15% 5.80    
3  JIM'S BRONZE STAR Jun21 May22 Apr27 Feb20 Jan15 (o'connor rober)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
4  DANNYHILL Oct29 Oct09 Sep05 Aug22 Jul26 (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 120 20.00    
5  PINK SHOELACES Jun18 Mar12 Jan16     (wilson tony)CENTENO E 120 2.50 ★    
6  SHE'S PEACHY KEEN Oct12 Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 Apr09 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
7  PLATINUM GEM Jul18 Jun06 May17 Apr16 Jan15 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 8.00    
8  ABOVE PAR Nov25 Sep10 Aug20 Jul29 Jun05 (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 35% 1.80    
 
TAM-9   12/22/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST THE SKY         (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  LIGHTRESS         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00    
SCR  SKYVIEW DRIVE Sep24         (brown chad )QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00    
SCR  GALILEO'S JEWEL (IRE) Nov04         (dutrow anthony )CENTENO E 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
5  SHE'S SO BEARRISH Dec03 Sep11 Aug20     (dini mike)FERRER C 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EIN GEDI (IRE) Dec03 Oct08       (motion graha)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00    
SCR  FANCY DRESS         (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 20.00    
SCR  VOLATILITY Nov19         (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00    
9  LEXA (FR) Nov12         (beckman )GALLARDO A 119 30.00    
10  EMBRACE ME Nov19 Oct27       (albertrani t)BATISTA A 119 10.00    
SCR  IN THE KNOW         (delacour arnau)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.00 6% 14.80    
12  CALISUE Dec03 Oct22 Sep11     (sacco gregor)ARROYO S 119 5.00    
SCR  COFFEE HOUSE Oct28 Sep23       (harty eoin)CASTANON L 119 6.00 11% 7.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.