Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   11/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS PALMER Oct29 Sep17 Sep10 Aug13 Jul22 (elamri hassan)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00    
SCR  BACKSTREET AFFAIR Oct19 Sep30 Sep05 Jul29 Jul08 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.50    
MADE IT         (keefe timothy)ALVELO C 124 15.00    
MADE MY WISH Sep05 Aug22 Jul23 Jul04 Jun12 (schoenthal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE HARPSTER Oct29         (smith hamilt)BATISTA A 122 20.00    
HOLY DELITE Nov05 Oct06 Sep03     (nixon justin)RUIZ JORGE 124 10.00    
MASHUA Oct29 Sep16 Aug07     (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 13% 6.50    
POLICE WOMAN Oct29 Oct14 Sep16 Aug20 Aug12 (woodit joseph)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
LOOKIN SPUNKY Oct29 Jul08 Jun17 May26 Apr28 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 124 15.00    
SCR  CATEGORYNINETYNINE Nov05 Oct20       (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 8.00    
11  BIZZY BIZZY Oct29 Sep16 Jul23 Jul17 Jul04 (haughton donn)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00    
SCR  COFFEE BEAN Nov04 Oct21 Sep17 Aug09 Jul04 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 124 6.00    
SCR  SAPPHIRE BEAUTY Oct29 Oct08 Oct02 Aug26 Aug12 (frock ch)RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00    
14  MIDNIGHT CHOIR Nov05 Oct20 Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 (hendriks richa)BOYCE FOREST 126 1.60 59% 0.70    
SCR  THE SWEATY FOX Nov05 Oct16 Sep10     (brion keri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 3.00    
SCR  LIKE N' EAGLE Nov06 Oct28 Sep17 Aug20 Jul23 (abramson n)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 6.00    
 
LRL-2   11/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANGELUS WARRIOR Nov05 Oct19 Sep16 Sep01 Jul21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50 64% 0.60    
MONYINTHEBANKSEY Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 Aug27 Aug12 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 122 3.00 6% 15.60    
ALBERTANO Oct16 Sep29 Sep16 Sep07 Aug27 (walters henry)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.00    
DR. FERBER Oct22 Oct09 Sep18 Aug20 Jul23 (shankle joan)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50    
GIOCARE Oct21 Aug25 Jul14 Jun03 May06 (rodriguez r)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50    
TOE CURLIN' KISS Nov07 Oct16 Sep16 Aug23 Aug13 (magana j)ARAUJO DENIS 119 15.00    
 
LRL-3   11/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRACE'S SECRET Oct29 Sep22 Aug10 Jul15 Jun12 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 16% 5.30    
STARTWITHABANG Oct22 Oct07 Sep30 Aug23 Aug14 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 16% 5.30    
MISS CHAMITA Nov04 Oct29 Oct14 Oct01 Jul30 (cash l)ACOSTA D 117 10.00    
GOLDEN EFFECT Oct07 Sep10 Jul31 Jul13 Jun12 (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
DRY WELL Oct22 Sep30 Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 (walters henr)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 8.00    
UNADULTERATED Oct29 Oct01 Sep23 Aug30 Aug03 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 2.50    
CHALK HILL Nov04 Oct05 Sep07 Aug11 Jul27 (ramirez jos)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 12.00    
NIBBLES Nov05 Oct27 Oct06 Sep10 Aug14 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 121 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
LRL-4   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVECOMMATWO Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 Aug20 Jul30 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
EXPECTATIONS MET         (duarte jorg)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50    
ANGEL ART         (shuman mark)CEDENO CAROL 122 15.00    
GOLDEN EMMA Oct28         (salazar marco)CRUZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
LEVISA Oct12 Sep06       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
CREOLE         (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
HOW SWEET SHE IS         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 6.00    
LA TRAVIESA Oct12 Sep02       (matz michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.50    
BEE MOUNTAIN Oct01 Sep07 Aug09 Jul12   (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 122 12.00    
 
LRL-5   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOBE'S GIRL Oct08 Sep10 Sep04 Aug07 Jul17 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 10.00 7% 12.70    
BOSS ANGEL Oct21 Oct07 Sep05 Jul08 Feb18 (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 6.00    
MI YAYIS Oct16 Oct02 Sep15 Aug27 Jul27 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 126 5.00 25% 2.90    
RAISE YOUR GAME Nov07 Oct14 Sep23 Aug21 Jul29 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 6.00    
REDWHITEANDTACOS Oct29 Oct08 Sep25 Aug21 Apr14 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 4.50    
HOT LOOKIN ROYAL Sep25 Sep11 May14 Apr28   (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00 11% 8.20    
BELLA BETTINA Oct21 Oct07 Aug12 Jul13 Jul08 (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 6.00 6% 15.30    
EXTRA CRUNCHY Oct29 Oct12 Sep18 Aug19 Aug13 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
BLAME THE IRISH Nov05 Oct16 Sep18 Aug13 Jul23 (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 12.00    
10  LADY WHISTLEDOWN Nov07 Oct08 Sep24 Sep16 Aug21 (mancilla carlo)PEREZ XAVIER 124 15.00    
 
LRL-6   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAM CHAR Oct21 Sep16       (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00    
SENSON Oct27 Oct01 Sep18 Aug21 Jul28 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 120 8.00    
LEXINATOR Jun30 Jun16 Jun06 Apr16 Mar10 (brooks bria)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 6.00 39% 1.60    
SPICY MARGARITA Nov11 Oct02 Sep17 Aug12 Jul13 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00    
SHINELIKEADIAMOND Nov09 Oct14 Sep24 Sep05 Jul28 (capuano dale)BARBOSA JEIRON 116 15.00    
SCR  KILLY START Oct28 Sep16 Aug24 Jul29 Jul02 (merryman michael)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
A GIRL NAMED JAC Oct09 Sep03 Aug03 Jul08 Jun18 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 123 6.00    
PREPAREFORTAKEOFF Oct29 Oct19 Sep30 Aug31 Aug14 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 20.00    
SIX O'CLOCK SARAH Nov03 Oct26 Oct09 Sep28 Aug29 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Oct09 Sep17 Jul30 May27 May08 (merryman m)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 116 10.00    
11  SONG SAVER Oct14 Sep10 Aug12 Jul13 Jun16 (crook-demasi )KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 29% 2.40    
 
LRL-7   11/19/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEACHY WEACHY Oct29 Oct06 Aug26 Jul31 Jul17 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
GIRL'S ON FIRE Oct12 Sep16 Aug17 Jul28 Jul12 (rubley kelly)ALVELO C 123 15.00    
GLOWSITY Oct29 Oct06 Sep24 Aug23 Jul31 (ness jamie)CRUZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
WITTY BANTER Oct30 Oct06 Aug29 Jul30 Jul11 (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 15.00    
AMAZON QUEEN Sep01 Aug10       (delacour arnaud)ACOSTA D 121 20.00    
CHORUS GIRL Oct29 Aug24       (matz michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
FULL COUNT FELICIA Sep06 Aug01 Jun24 May28 Apr09 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
COLOR CRUSH Sep18 Aug29 Jul13 Jun18 May05 (allen fer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 30.00    
SCR  AFANDI Sep17 Aug22 Aug04 Jul14 Jun19 (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 12.00    
10  GALILEI Oct30 Sep18 Aug08 Jul19 May15 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 121 15.00    
11  ANILEATE Oct16         (russell britt)LYNCH FEARGAL 121 12.00    
12  LISHEEN Oct23 Sep25 Sep02 Jul15   (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00 5% 17.60    
13  AMPLIO ESQUEMA Oct22 Sep07 Aug01 Jul11 Jun11 (milosevic mil)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00    
14  THISNAMEISOKAY Oct27 Oct01 Sep06 Aug18 Jul01 (cooper ste)MENDOZA JHONATAN 121 6.00    
SCR  BRUSHING Oct22 Sep28       (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 15.00    
SCR  ANOINT Oct10         (brion keri)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 20.00    
 
LRL-8   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R B'S THE BOSS Oct14 Sep05 Jul15     (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 119 4.50 12% 7.30    
EVENLY DIVIDED Sep06 Jul18 Jul01     (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 119 20.00    
SCR  NOAH CHANCE Oct27 Sep24 Sep05 Aug06   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 20.00    
SWIFTY DEVIL Oct29 Oct20 Sep15 Aug31 Jul20 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00 7% 12.40    
VALENZAN DAY Oct27 Sep22 Aug13 Jul16 Jun09 (rodriguez rud)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.80 16% 5.40    
SILVER PHANTOM Oct27 Oct13       (shuman)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 30.00    
BO'S BOURBON Oct22 Oct01 Sep05     (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 12.00    
PRINCE OF JERICHO Oct28 Oct07       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.60 38% 1.70    
LORD UHTRED Oct31 Oct12 Sep24 Sep05 Aug22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 15.00 7% 12.90    
 
LRL-9   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 2 F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL DREAMING Oct22 Aug31 Aug09 Jun19 May30 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  DAD GOT SHORT LEGS Oct25 Oct12 Sep27     (wilson faith)ROSADO JOHAN 122 15.00    
BAYLIS STREET Sep01 Aug13 Jul28 Jul09 Jun30 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 5.00 12% 7.50    
ONE LAS OLAS Oct23 Oct13 Sep18 Aug20   (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
MUSICMANSANDY Oct16 Sep02 Jul14 Jun22   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
LUCIDITY Oct13 Oct01 Aug23 Aug03 Jul26 (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00    
SECRET ANGEL (GB) Aug31 Aug04       (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.