Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - November 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUG THE MUNNY Sep17 Aug28 Aug16 Jun21 Jun06 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
2  BETTER WATCH OUT Oct28 Sep18       (singh s)SINGH R 121 20.00 ★    
3  FLASHY BREW Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 Jan16   (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 4.00 ★    
4  IMPACT PLAYER Aug18 Jul30 Jun09 May04 Apr16 (ladner chad)MELANCON G 121 8.00 11% 7.90    
5  UNDERDOG Oct26 Aug11 Jul24 Jul09 May25 (gelner scott)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 8.00    
6  POPULIST Sep10 Aug17 Jun21 Jun06 Mar27 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 1.60 53% 0.90    
7  MAINTAINANCE MATT Nov03 Jul22 Jun09 May20 May07 (charles k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 9% 9.80    
8  DREWZANO Sep23 Aug24 Aug04 Jun08 Apr30 (wiggins lon)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50    
 
FG-2   11/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IZEONPOINT Oct15 Aug19 Aug05 Jul20 Jul01 (gelner jayde)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.00 ★    
2  ROMANTIC BEAST Nov09 Oct26 Oct08 Sep19 Sep06 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
3  TOTAL MALICE Oct13 Sep19 Aug05 Jul07 May28 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
4  VITA Sep19 Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 Jun04 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 5.00 ★    
5  J Z'S FIRST Oct27 Aug03 Jul20 Jul01 May19 (schwandt em)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00    
6  BELLAMY CAY Sep04 Jul04 Mar20 Mar01 Feb05 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
FG-3   11/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER WISE Sep27 Sep04 Aug20 Aug02 Jul05 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 ★    
2  POST CLOSE Oct12 Sep18 Aug13 Jul19 Jun29 (tracy greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 65% 0.50    
3  ROCKDALE Oct14 Aug20 Jul13 May30 May10 (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50    
4  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Oct12 Sep27 Sep18 Sep05 Aug14 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
5  GREELEY WENT WEST Oct12 Aug30 Aug08 Jul13 Jun26 (schwandt emile)COHEN DAVID 117 3.50 ★    
6  MAU MAU (BRZ) Sep27 Sep04 Aug08 Jul19 Jun19 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 ★    
7  TIO BLAS Oct15 Sep08 Aug24 Jul02 May28 (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
8  EXCHEQUER Oct12 Aug22 Jul29 Jul09 Jun17 (delgado j)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 8% 11.40    
 
FG-4   11/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORT POLK Sep27 Aug06 Jul09 Jun20 Mar27 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.50 ★    
2  A G'S CHARLOTTE Oct07 Aug06 Jul09 Jun11 May21 (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 115 8.00    
3  MISS KENNEDY Oct13 Aug01 Jun21 May30 May07 (duke steven)CULP BRIANNE 118 20.00    
4  SHELLI'S ANGEL Mar18 Feb26 Feb13 Jan28   (ladner chad)MELANCON G 118 20.00    
5  WINNING ROMANCE Oct07 May06 Mar27 Feb05 Jan07 (calhoun william )PARKER L 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  SHE'S GONE D'WILD Oct07 Jun04 May06 Mar27 Feb23 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 ★    
7  WHOLELOTTAMO Jun04 Apr15 Mar26 Feb25 Feb05 (gelner jayde)BESCHIZZA ADAM 115 8.00 12% 7.50    
8  CHEAPSKATE DIVA Aug06 Jul03 Jun11 May14 Mar25 (felks jos)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
FG-5   11/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MICHELLES LIL STAR         (calhoun w)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  MADISON'S SCREEN         (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 5.00 ★    
2  TAP IRON FIST Aug10 Jul15 Jun17     (flint steve)THERIOT J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY Jul19         (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
4  GUITAR WOMAN Oct14 Sep20 Aug06 Jul17 Jun20 (duhon josep)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
5  SHES A LUCKY REBEL         (wilson sha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
6  HIGHLY WICKED         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
7  STRAWBERRY SUNDAE Aug26 Aug10 Jul19     (faucheux ron)COHEN DAVID 120 10.00 ★    
8  JAZZ JAZZ JAZZ         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00    
9  DAT GUITAR         (deroussell)ALBERT S 115 15.00    
10  NORAH G         (west g)PARKER L 120 8.00    
11  AGAMI Sep20         (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
12  QUEEN TRIGGER         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 9% 9.90    
 
FG-6   11/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 6:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOLLY'S GUITAR Sep17 Aug10 Jul15     (schwandt emi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
2  CCED FOR STEPH Aug20         (ducoing j)GRAHAM J 122 4.50 9% 9.70    
SCR  JANET IS READY Oct14 Aug26 Aug06 Jul08 Jun17 (pomier chase)MAGNON H 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
4  ADDI BUG Nov05 Sep17 Jul19 Jul04   (gomez c)GILLIGAN JACK 122 15.00    
5  STARSHIP JAMBALAYA Oct08         (gelner scott)PARKER L 122 6.00 ★    
6  PURSUIT L'HARMONIE         (camejo jo)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 15.00    
7  FREE DROP MADDY Oct14 Sep15 Jul17 Jun10   (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
8  DON'TCALLMEPATSY Sep04         (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00 ★    
 
FG-7   11/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 7:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEED WARNING         (stidham mich)THERIOT J 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
2  MO MOVES Jul12 Jun19       (richard c)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
3  PRINCE COSMO Sep17 Aug16       (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 ★    
4  WOLF HUNTER Oct29 Oct08 Aug20     (dorochenko gennad)VEGA JOSE 120 20.00    
5  MOTIVATING Sep07 Aug24       (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 20% 4.10    
6  LA BOUCANE Sep27         (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
7  NATURAL RED Oct14         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 15% 5.50    
8  LUCKY AIN'T ENOUGH Sep30 Aug29       (tracy tanner)HEBERT J 120 10.00 19% 4.10    
9  DE SAIX         (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
10  MYREDWHITEANDBLUE Sep10         (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00    
 
FG-8   11/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS JANA Apr15 Mar26 Feb25 Feb05   (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 115 12.00    
2  SNOWBALL Oct07 Aug27 Aug06 Jun23 Jun04 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 11% 7.80    
3  SPIRITED BEAUTY Oct05 Aug06 Jun04 Mar27 Mar03 (camejo jos)URDANETA J 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
4  OVA CHARGED Mar27         (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 0.60 38% 1.60    
5  LAKE MARIE Sep18 Jul08 Jun24 May04 Apr14 (hargrave kennet)COHEN DAVID 115 20.00 ★    
6  FAME FEATHER Aug06 Jun04 Mar27 Feb28   (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
7  SUMITUP Jun04 Apr21 Mar17 Feb06 Jan14 (dandridge cou)GILLIGAN JACK 118 30.00    
8  DROP DEAD SEXY Oct05 Sep11 Aug06 Jul12 May28 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 115 8.00 7% 13.80    
9  MEDLEY Feb05 Jan13       (asmussen )PEDROZA MARCELINO 115 10.00    
 
FG-9   11/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORBIDDEN FRUIT Sep29 Sep09 Aug23 Jul29 Jun29 (wiggins lon)COHEN DAVID 122 1.40 8% 11.90    
SCR  SERIOUSLY SASSY Oct28 Sep25 May07 Mar13 Feb21 (singh s)SINGH R 120 20.00 ★    
3  GALAXY THIRTYSIX Aug19 Jul28 Jun01 May14 Apr20 (ney john)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 3.00 ★    
4  SHACKLELACKALACKA Oct19 May30 May21 May07 Feb18 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
5  ZYDECO MUSIC Oct13 Sep06 Aug13 Jun28 Jun10 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 1.80 62% 0.60    
6  OURPERFECTPRINCESS Sep20 Aug01 May21 Mar03 Jan17 (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 119 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.