Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - November 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   11/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT DAYS AHEAD         (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00 ★    
2  VASY SAYS NYET Oct02         (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.00 18% 4.40    
3  BUCK WILD Sep30 Sep09 Sep03 Jul28   (frock l)DELGADO A 118 4.50    
4  SUPER DREAMER         (pickett )BUTTERFLY L 122 15.00 12% 7.30    
5  SEEING RED         (pecoraro )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 4.50 15% 5.80    
6  RUFFLESNFLOURISHES Sep07 Aug23       (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 118 12.00    
7  HOPPERNESS Oct27         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
LRL-2   11/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT-12:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCOMMON VALOR Oct27 Oct06 Sep17 Sep11 Aug19 (corrales jose)ALVELO C 122 8.00 11% 8.10    
2  LOOKIN FOR JUSTICE Nov04 Oct13 Sep18 Aug21 Jun25 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.00 15% 5.60    
3  SKATING DATE Oct22 Sep08 Aug18 Jul23 Jun29 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 10.00    
4  MANKLIN CREEK Oct27 Oct06 Aug26 Jul29 Jun17 (corrales j)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 10.00    
5  NOTION TO TAPIT Oct22 Oct01 Aug20 Aug06 Jul20 (smith hamil)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
6  GIVE IT A GO Oct27 Oct06 Sep11 Sep03 Aug26 (gonzalez claud)ARAUJO DENIS 120 6.00    
7  SIMILAR TASTE Nov02 Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Aug24 (gladden damon)DELGADO A 120 20.00 ★    
8  SAINT MARCO Oct27 Sep10 Aug12 Jul17 Jul04 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 2.50 22% 3.50    
9  CAIRO BOOGIE Oct18 Sep11 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 (demario )RODRIGUEZ A 117 12.00    
 
LRL-3   11/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STELLA'S TOUR Oct18 Sep21 Aug31 Feb15 Feb02 (farro patricia)CEDENO CAROL 122 15.00    
SCR  DYNA MAST Oct21 Sep06 Aug15 Jul13   (fout dougla)KARAMANOS A 124 6.00    
SCR  CASAMO Oct21 Sep28       (mcdermott )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 117 10.00 ★    
SCR  MAYBE IT'S TIME Oct13 Oct06 Aug31 Jul28   (gorham mich)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 15.00    
SCR  CONSTITUTIONAL BID Oct22 Apr24       (crook-demas)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 8.00    
6  CROSSLAND Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 Jul17 Jun25 (eppler mary )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  STRATEGIC (AUS) Oct15 Aug13 Jul04 Jun04   (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 2.00 16% 5.20    
8  LOVE MACHINE Oct26 Oct01 Sep09 Aug25   (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 8.00    
9  RARE BREED Oct23 Oct02       (graham l)MONTERREY R 124 20.00    
SCR  MINTENON         (delacour arnaud)RUIZ JORGE 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  THE LAST SCIP Oct29 Sep30 Sep09 Aug23 Jul16 (geralis emanuel )CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
12  SPIRITUAL GHOST Oct29 Oct09 Sep06 Aug09 Jul16 (buckley rick)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00    
13  PERFECT PEACE Oct06 Sep18 Aug21     (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 20.00    
14  OFF THE CUFF Feb16         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 124 15.00    
15  ESPRESSO LUNGO Oct15 Oct02 Aug14 Jul15 Jun25 (salazar marco)ACOSTA D 124 20.00    
SCR  RUN SMITTY RUN Oct08 May29 Apr10 Mar19 Mar05 (barker edward)KARAMANOS A 126 6.00    
 
LRL-4   11/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THORNY TALE Sep16 Aug27 Jul21 May25 Apr01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  BOSS LOGIC Sep30 Sep15 Jul21 Jul07 Jun12 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.00    
2  MY MAN POTS N PANS Oct12 Sep29 Jun15 May25 May13 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SICILIA MIKE Oct28 Oct08 Sep17 Jul28 Jul09 (corrale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  EKATI'S VERVE Oct28 Oct01 Sep09 Aug27 Aug06 (trujillo elvis)MONTERREY R 126 3.50 ★    
5  YES SIR ROBERT Oct14 Sep02 Aug13 Jul23 Jun25 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00    
SCR  FUEL THE BERN Oct26 Oct03 Sep19 Sep12 Aug14 (rogers michael)ACOSTA D 123 6.00 6% 16.90    
7  ERAWAN Oct09 Sep30 Sep04 Aug21 Aug12 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ A 116 10.00    
 
LRL-5   11/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPITBALL Oct16 Sep25 Aug28 Jul29 Jul16 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00 14% 6.30    
2  CAMP PENDLETON Oct16 Oct08 Sep18 Sep02 Aug20 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 123 4.00 40% 1.50    
3  ACOSTA Oct28 Oct08 Sep14 Jun16 Apr27 (moysey che)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 6.00 ★    
4  SHOULDA HAD IT Oct14 Oct02 Aug05 Jul22 Jul16 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 20.00    
5  MAMAIGOTTHIS Oct16 Aug20 Jul29 Jul03 May26 (cortez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 20.00    
6  MAID THE JOURNEY Oct22 Sep04 Jul29 May15 Apr28 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 12.00    
7  NO MORE TALK Oct22 Sep16 Aug03 Jul21 Jun24 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
8  TOMMY SHELBY Oct22 Sep25 Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50    
9  BOONDOGGLE Oct15 Oct02 Sep16 Sep03 Aug12 (maldonado )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 6.00    
10  OXIDE Oct22 Aug26 Jan29 Jan21   (gaude)LABARRE GRACE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-6   11/11/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITCH A RIDE Sep30 Aug19 Jul10 Jun18 May08 (capuano gary)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  QUIET IMAGINATION Oct19 Sep30 Aug14 Jul06 Jun19 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 6.00    
SCR  SPARKLE SPRINKLE Nov02 Sep30 Jan29     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 8.00    
SCR  ISLAND PHILO Oct22 Sep07 Aug19 Jul30 Jul19 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
5  FACTORINTHEHEAT Oct21         (eppler m)RODRIGUEZ A 116 20.00    
6  SHE'SAROLLINGSTONE Oct07 Sep16 Aug19 Jan16   (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50    
7  TARGE Oct22 Oct02 Sep17 Sep02 Jul22 (perri gina)CRUZ ANGEL 126 15.00 8% 11.50    
8  FUHGEDDABOUDIT Oct30 Oct07 Sep05 Aug19 Jun22 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IN VAIN Oct28 Sep16 Aug29 Aug14 Jul22 (trombetta mic)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 6.00    
SCR  PEACE OUT Oct20 Sep11 Aug19 Jul10 Jun15 (meister s)DELGADO A 126 15.00    
11  WINKED Sep30 Aug28 Jul31 Jul09 Jun17 (merryman w)ACOSTA D 123 6.00 8% 11.50    
12  TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK Oct29 Sep25 Sep17 Aug19 Jul28 (hohlbei)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 12.00    
SCR  BRUSHING Oct22 Sep28       (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00    
 
LRL-7   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME VIEW Nov03 Oct21 Oct13 Sep22 Sep07 (sepulveda carl)ROSADO JOHAN 123 10.00    
2  LADY JEAN Oct27 Oct13 Oct01 Jul28 Jul16 (sepulveda)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 12.00 13% 6.60    
3  CANADIAN GINGER Oct21 Oct02 Aug16 Jul27 Apr10 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00 16% 5.20    
4  PROPER ATTIRE Oct13 Sep23 Jul30 Jun26 May19 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 3.50 19% 4.20    
5  BEHIND THE COUCH Oct23 Oct02 Sep02 Jul17 Jun26 (salzman jo)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 3.00    
6  DANCER'S MELODY Oct27 Oct01 Sep10 Sep02 Aug13 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 119 4.50 18% 4.50    
7  UNREQUITED LOVE Oct22 Oct01 Aug27 Jul31 Jul09 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 5.00 ★    
8  BAHAMA PEARL Oct22 Oct13 Sep23 Sep03 Aug22 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 122 8.00    
 
LRL-8   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOODY WOMAN Sep24 Aug26 Aug06 Jun26 May19 (mcmull)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 3.50 9% 9.70    
2  BANDITS WARRIOR Oct21 Sep25 Aug19 Jun22 Jun12 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 4.00 53% 0.90    
3  HALO CITY Oct27 Oct01 Sep04 Aug14 Jun23 (lyn)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 10.00    
4  SPICY MARGARITA Oct02 Sep17 Aug12 Jul13 Jun23 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 124 4.50 6% 17.00    
5  PLANE DRUNK Oct24 Sep27 Sep08 Jul30 Jul13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 ★    
SCR  BOURBON WILDCAT Oct22 Oct07 Sep17 Aug29 Aug19 (magana j)RUIZ JORGE 126 15.00    
7  HOPE HAS A NAME Oct30 Jun05 Apr23 Mar25 Feb10 (voss kathari)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 15.00    
8  RESPONSE TIME Oct23 Oct02 Sep02 Aug06 Jun04 (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  CANOODLE Oct23 Oct02 Sep10 Aug12 Jul23 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 10.00    
SCR  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Oct14 Jun19 May07 Mar27 Feb25 (barker edward)KARAMANOS A 121 15.00    
 
LRL-9   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERNIE'S ON FIRE Sep25 Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 1.20 36% 1.80    
2  BAD GUY Jul30 Jun18 May06 Mar31 Mar04 (klesaris rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  OUR HOISTED MAST Oct16 Sep04 Aug03 Jul02 Jun24 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 118 10.00    
4  JETTIN OUT Oct26 Oct07 Sep03 Aug26 Aug19 (brooks m)CRUZ ANGEL 126 4.50 13% 6.70    
5  SILENT SERVICE Sep25 Sep05 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 (serey jr)ARAUJO DENIS 126 8.00 ★    
6  CONFUSION BABY BOY Oct21 Sep25 Sep04 Aug28 Aug05 (frock ch)RODRIGUEZ A 116 12.00 ★    
SCR  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 Jul22 Jul07 (kravets bru)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.