Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - November 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   11/07/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBS WILD Sep18         (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00    
2  LOTSA SKY         (perkins france)HENRY WESLEY 121 12.00 ★    
3  BIG JACK         (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 ★    
4  CONSUMING Oct10 Sep24 Aug12     (baze robert)ANAYA V 121 8.00    
5  THIRSTY COWBOY Sep16 Jul31       (alvarez sergi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.00 ★    
6  JUSTIN AZTECA Apr13         (story chad)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 3.00 5% 18.10    
7  REIGN OF SPEED Oct15 Sep16 Aug20 Jul23 Jun04 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 121 1.60 65% 0.50    
 
TUP-2   11/07/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCY K Jul30 Jul11 May02 Apr11   (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
2  MUCH ABOUT ONE Sep10 Aug27 Jan31 Jan07   (rennie richard)ANAYA V 121 20.00    
3  YANKEE DOLLAR Sep30         (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00    
4  MIZHIPZLETUS Sep03 Aug07 Jul18 Jun18 Jun04 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 3.00 ★    
5  LITTLE LARA         (cerin vladimir)ZUNINO L 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
6  PRINCESS OF MALIBU Sep03 Jul13 Jun23 Mar24 Mar11 (vanwinkle david)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50 ★    
7  BARBIE WARS Sep29 Sep14 Jul24 Jun24   (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 121 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-3   11/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKAH LANE Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul10 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 4.00 7% 12.90    
2  FIRE WHEN READY Sep03 Aug14 Apr19 Mar18 Feb24 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
3  SWAMP SOUFFLE Sep18 Sep01 Jul28 Jul07 May22 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 ★    
4  OLYMPIC EXPRESS Sep10 Aug13       (ferguson curt)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
5  HYDROGEN Sep17 Aug26 Aug07 Jul17 Jun24 (baze lisa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
6  DR. TROUTMAN Oct14 Sep16 Aug20 Jul22 Jul01 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 ★    
7  PICK YOUR BID Sep17 Sep10 Aug27 Aug01 Jul18 (chattong vichien)LULL E 122 15.00    
 
TUP-4   11/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  APPRECIABLE Sep01 Aug03 Jul04 Jun26 Jun16 (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 119 8.00    
2  SEVEN SISTERS Sep25 Sep05 Jul29 Jan23 Jan01 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
3  INDY'S STAR Aug27 Aug04 Jun19 May02 Apr08 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.50 ★    
4  SO MUCH HAPPY         (howey quinn)VERGARA P 122 5.00 9% 10.50    
5  FIRE ESCAPE Aug27 Aug07 Jul01 May29 Apr23 (ro)MARTINEZ NAHERD 119 4.00 50% 1.00    
6  AMARETTO DI AMORE Sep15 Aug13 Jul28 Jul09 Jun19 (lund valorie)WADE LYNDIE 119 8.00    
7  SMILING THUNDER Sep30 Sep11 Aug21 Jun19 May15 (kereluk edward)LULL E 119 5.00 ★    
8  WAIT A SEC Sep30 Sep18 Jul30     (schnell don)CORBETT W 119 6.00    
 
TUP-5   11/07/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED NOON RISING Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 Jul10 Jun25 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 3.50 ★    
2  TICK TOCK Sep30 Sep18 Aug31 Aug20 Aug04 (hernandez mi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
3  SILLY NOTION Sep14 Aug28 Aug18 Jul09 Jun15 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00    
4  GUARDING ELK CAMP Oct11 Sep28 Aug24 Aug14 Jul04 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
5  MIDNIGHT GARDEN Sep14 Aug21 Jul09 Jun18 May21 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
6  DISCERNMENT Sep12 Sep03 Aug08 Apr02 Feb27 (evans justin)LULL E 122 4.00    
7  BORN TO REIGN Sep12 Jul23 Jun18 May21 Apr30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 7% 14.20    
8  ABBIE'S WAY Oct24 Aug27 Aug17 Aug06 Jun25 (valerio raymond)WADE LYNDIE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   11/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. WHO Sep08 Sep01 Aug18 Jul30 Jul17 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
2  RINGS OF SATURN Sep18 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul23 (potts ashle)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 5% 17.40    
3  PROVOST Sep24 Aug21 Aug06 Jul02 May02 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00    
4  NOBLE PURSUIT Sep17 Sep08 Aug14 Jul09 Jan03 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  DYNAMIC RULER Oct23 Jul30 Jun30 Jun16 May28 (woolley l)CARRENO J 124 8.00    
6  MY BOY LOLLIPOP Aug27 Jun04 May01 Mar05   (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 16% 5.40    
7  FINAL FINAL Sep19 Sep10 Aug15 Aug08 Jul23 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00    
8  UNBROKEN STAR Jul28 Jul10 Jul04 May15 Apr02 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00    
9  HEY SEQUOIA Oct14 Sep09 Aug27 Aug05 Jul22 (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 124 12.00 5% 17.90    
10  BLESSED JOURNEY Oct11 Sep25 Jul23 Jun11 May05 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  PAINT ME LUCKY Sep18 Aug27 Jul28 Jul08 Jun25 (pierce michae)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00    
 
TUP-7   11/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOLLY EXPRESS Sep17 Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 Jun25 (bullene mic)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 10.00    
2  ALLEVA Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 Jun26 May29 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 122 5.00    
3  LONELY PRIVATE Sep17 Aug17 Jul02 Jun18 May29 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 122 3.00    
4  CANDY ZIP Sep17 Sep04 Aug12 Jul24 Jul01 (baze lisa)CRUZ M 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
5  HI HO CHEERIO Sep17 Sep03 Aug21 Aug03 Jul16 (lund valori)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Jul09 May29 Apr24 Apr03 Mar20 (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00    
7  BEDROCK (GB) Jul24 Jul04 May06 Apr07 Mar11 (christian billy)LULL E 122 4.00 32% 2.10    
8  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Sep11 Aug28 Aug14 Jul29 Jul10 (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 ★    
9  UNLEASH THE BEAST Aug21 Jun23 Mar02 Feb03   (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 8% 11.70    
 
TUP-8   11/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WE ALL AGREE Sep19 Sep03 Jan28     (rollins sco)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
2  SPICY SOMMELIER Sep17 Aug29 Aug13 Jul23 Jul11 (rollins scott)LINDSAY CHAD 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
3  SPEEDY GIGI Sep12 Aug13 Jul23     (kereluk edward)LULL E 122 4.00 11% 8.40    
4  TOTHEMOONANDBACK Oct10 Sep30 Aug17 Aug06 Jul16 (lavanway da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00    
5  APPOINTED STAR Sep11 Aug20 Jul24 Jul08 May28 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
6  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Sep03 Aug22 May07 Apr26 Mar24 (gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 114 5.00    
7  KNOCKON Sep19 Aug29 Aug13 Jul30 Jul11 (barrio sergio)LEON A 122 12.00    
8  WAHASHA Oct10 Sep11 Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 122 10.00    
9  KID CAT Sep17 Aug29 Jul16 May03 Apr11 (whitehouse w)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00 8% 11.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.