Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Sunday - October 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   10/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 2 F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T TELL DEREN Sep30 Jul23       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 119 3.50 ★    
2  MUSICMANSANDY Sep02 Jul14 Jun22     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 2.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  GOLDEN NEVE Aug13 Jul20 Jul01     (robb j)CRUZ ANGEL 119 4.00 39% 1.50    
4  LADY SERENITY Sep30 Sep11 Sep02 Aug20 Aug07 (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  MISS FUSSY PANTS Sep05 Aug12 Jul23 Jul02   (smith hamilt)BARBOSA JEIRON 110 5.00 ★    
6  MO CO GOLD Sep15 Sep02       (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00    
 
LRL-2   10/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCENIC VIEW Sep05 Aug03 Jun24 Apr01 Feb25 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 123 2.00    
2  HEART LIGHT Oct07 Sep17 Sep05 Aug17 Aug03 (morgan carla)MONTERREY R 119 12.00    
3  EARLEY ROSE Sep25 Jul28 Jun24 May22 May03 (frock charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.00    
4  YIRA Sep25 Aug31 Aug15 Jul28 Jul02 (salazar marco)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
5  MISSAWLET Sep25 Aug13 Jul23 Jun12   (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00    
6  SWEET SENSATION Sep11 Aug11 Jul15 Jun09 May15 (dilodovico )LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 10.00    
7  MI YAYIS Oct02 Sep15 Aug27 Jul27 Jul07 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 8.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  ESPERANNNA Sep24 Sep05 Jul13 Jun17   (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.50    
SCR  LOVE MY CAT Sep25 Aug21 Jun19 Mar20 Feb27 (allen fer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAMBA QUEEN Sep11 Aug15 Jul28 May19 Apr30 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00 8% 12.10    
11  GHOSTLY NIGHT Sep16 Aug21 Jul23 Jun24 May29 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 123 10.00    
12  BLAME THE IRISH Sep18 Aug13 Jul23 Jun18 May30 (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
SCR  HEARTBURN Oct01 Sep09 Aug30 Aug21 Aug13 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 119 4.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  EPHEMERAL Sep22 Sep02 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 (rubley kelly)NO RIDER 126 15.00    
SCR  GOGO CHANEL Aug24 Jul31 Jun18 May29 Apr21 (dilodovico r)NO RIDER 123 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  TALKS IN HER SLEEP Sep22 Sep02 Aug04 Jun22 Jun08 (neilson c)PARISH R 122 15.00    
 
LRL-3   10/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL CRUSADER Aug13 Jul01 May21 Apr28 Mar11 (cole wayne )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 6.00 ★    
2  MAMAIGOTTHIS Aug20 Jul29 Jul03 May26 Apr29 (cortez a)RODRIGUEZ A 112 20.00 5% 18.20    
3  OUR HOISTED MAST Sep04 Aug03 Jul02 Jun24 May19 (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  CAMP PENDLETON Oct08 Sep18 Sep02 Aug20 Jul22 (sanchez-salo)BATISTA A 119 4.00    
5  ALBERTANO Sep29 Sep16 Sep07 Aug27 Aug12 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 119 3.00 ★    
6  SPITBALL Sep25 Aug28 Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 2.00 21% 3.80    
 
LRL-4   10/16/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO POKE THE BEAR Sep30 Sep04 Aug06 Jul08 Jun19 (juarez calixto)DELGADO A 119 20.00    
2  ONE TWO KID Sep30 Sep16 Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 10.00    
3  U S CONSTITUTION Sep30 Aug19 Jul21 Jun26 May20 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOMBOLONI Sep25 Aug14 Jul15     (capuano dale)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
5  PAPAL LAW Sep23 Aug13 Aug04 Jul08 Jun16 (wolfe jr)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00    
6  STRONG HEADED Aug29 Aug09 Jul20     (fout dougla)ALVELO C 123 6.00    
7  BATTALION Sep30 Aug21 Jun25 May28 Apr24 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 126 4.50 6% 16.30    
SCR  CARIBBEAN (AUS) Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jun26 (sanchez-salo)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 3.00 16% 5.30    
9  TOE CURLIN' KISS Sep16 Aug23 Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 (magana j)RUIZ JORGE 119 20.00    
10  DANCING TIL DUSK Sep30 Aug19 Aug03 Jun25 Jun05 (white alexa)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 15.00    
11  FERMAT Sep30 Aug20 Aug09 Jul17 Jun26 (mcmullen marily)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
SCR  WELLING Sep30 Sep09 Aug27 Aug05 Jun12 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 2.50 47% 1.10    
13  RESIDENT LIBERAL Sep30 Sep16 Sep01 Aug05 Jul22 (walters )RODRIGUEZ A 112 20.00    
14  SMILE BRYAN Sep30 Sep14 Aug09 Jul11 Jun25 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNCONQUERED SPIRIT Sep16 Aug19 Aug04 Jul13 Jun16 (bennett juanit)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 5.00    
 
LRL-5   10/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELLIE VICTORINA Sep25         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 3.50 60% 0.70    
2  GENIEINABRIDLE Sep25 Aug09 Jul15     (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 6.00 ★    
3  IMAGINETHEODDS         (voss katharin)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 10.00    
4  ELIKA Sep17         (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 111 10.00    
5  MEET ME AT SUNSET         (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.50 ★    
6  MUNNIS PRETTY Aug03 Jul12       (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 20.00    
7  MYSISTERNANCY Sep25 Aug28 Aug12 Jul15   (salzman joh)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.50 ★    
8  BOSSYNESS Sep28 Sep11 Sep02 Jul28   (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.50 8% 11.00    
 
LRL-6   10/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN EFFECT Aug17 Jul13 Jun26 Jun01 Apr08 (morris r)ACOSTA D 123 8.00    
2  ROCKET ONE Apr29 Mar20 Feb20     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 5.00 ★    
3  SEARCH FOR TRUTH Sep23         (dickinson mich)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 4.00 5% 18.00    
4  ALIFEROUS Sep09 Jul28 Jun12 May21 May01 (keil st)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 20.00    
SCR  BATON Sep24 Aug19       (pino michael )KARAMANOS A 120 15.00    
6  WICKED PRANKSTER Jul08 Jun24 Apr28 Apr03 Mar19 (davis g)MONTERREY R 123 6.00    
7  WISH ME HOME Sep25 Aug17 Aug05 Jul18 Jan22 (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 4.50 37% 1.70    
8  TOM HAGEN Sep25 Aug17 Jul19 Jun18   (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
9  CELTIC SEA Oct09 Aug17 Jul30 Jul13 Jul01 (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 113 20.00    
10  CRISPER Sep24 Aug04 Jul13 Jun07 Jan18 (woolley tim)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 5.00 17% 5.00    
11  SWING LOW Sep11 Aug12 Jul30 May28 Apr24 (sweezey j)CARRASCO R 123 8.00    
 
LRL-7   10/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC MULE Sep24 Aug14 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (hohlbei)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 8.00    
2  OUR LUCKY MAN Sep25 Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 Jun24 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 123 4.50 49% 1.00    
3  JUDGE DAVIS         (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
4  PHARAOH'S TRIUMPH Sep25 Aug07 Jun26 May20 Apr14 (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 10.00    
5  FRIENDLY FELLA Sep03 Aug19 Aug01 Jul08 Jun10 (gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 10.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  TENEBRIS Sep18 Aug13 Jun25 Jun03 Apr20 (hemingway mi)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 8.00 10% 9.10    
7  CRITICAL THREAT Sep04 Aug07 Jun26 May30 Apr09 (de horac)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 6.00    
8  JELLY NOUGAT Sep24 Aug13 Jun30 May30 Apr22 (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00    
9  SEICHE Sep25 Sep13 Aug25 Jul12 Jun24 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 ★    
 
LRL-8   10/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 35 M/F PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL ME VIVIAN Sep10 Aug20 Jul17 Jun17 May05 (merryman edwi)ALVELO C 123 6.00    
2  AMARETTO SOUR Sep17 Aug29 Aug13 Jul23 Jul03 (maldonado jo)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 15.00    
3  FORETELL Aug08 Jul11 Jun15 May12 Apr15 (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 19% 4.20    
4  BRZINA Sep18         (wyatt j)DELGADO A 123 20.00 17% 5.00    
5  FANCY SCEPTER Aug01 Jul13 Jun15 May25 May03 (shaw j)ADORNO ABNER 123 12.00 8% 12.00    
6  LADY MOSLER Sep18 Sep03 Aug14 Jul22 Jul03 (corrales)RODRIGUEZ A 116 8.00    
7  SELF ASSURED (IRE) Aug14         (jenkins r)CARRASCO R 126 4.00 29% 2.50    
8  ANILEATE         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.00    
9  ROO Oct06 Sep24 Aug19 Jul07 May27 (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 119 50.00    
10  THE SWEATY FOX Sep10         (brion keri)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.