Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (2/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/7)-(5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/7)-(5/4/2)-(4/7/9/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(4/7/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(4/7/9/3)-(8/5/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (4/7/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/9/3)-(4/7/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/9/3)-(4/7/9/3)-(4/7/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/9/3)-(8/5/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/9/3)-(8/5/3/2)-(6/7/3/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (8/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2)-(8/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/3/2)-(6/7/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3/2)-(6/7/3/10)-(8/4/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (6/7/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/10)-(6/7/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/10)-(6/7/3/10)-(6/7/3/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/10)-(8/4/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/10)-(8/4/1/3)-(7/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (8/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3)-(8/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/1/3)-(7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/3)-(7/6/3)-(9/5/12/13) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(9/5/12/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (9/5/12/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/12/13)-(9/5/1/11/12/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/12/13)-(9/5/1/11/12/13)-(9/5/1/11/12/13) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T FOOL ME Sep11 Aug03 Jul19 Jun04 Nov07 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
2  SCYTHIAN Aug30 Nov01 Oct06 Aug30 Aug04 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.40 51% 1.00    
3  FOXY CARA Sep25 Aug29 Jul27 Jun28 Jun14 (figueroa carlo)LUZZI J 122 30.00    
4  NORTH END LADY Sep11 Jul26 Jul05 Jun12 Apr13 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
5  COLLABORATION Sep01 Aug03 May25 Nov14 Oct27 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
6  BOBBY M'S GIRL Aug30 Aug06 Jun04 Apr26 Nov17 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SNOWY EVENING Sep11 Aug24 Aug06 Jun20 Jun04 (donk david)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KAY CUP Aug21 Jun04 Apr27 Aug30   (abreu r)RIDER TBA 120 1.60    
SCR  ROYAL BOBBIE Aug06 Jul26 Jul10 Jun14 Mar23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  EMBRACEABLE GAL Aug30 Jul30 Jun26 Jun06 May16 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
SCR  FAST AND FRISKY Sep01 Jun26 Apr05 Feb27 Jan17 (abreu r)RIDER TBA 124 6.00    
SCR  SWEETEST PRINCESS Oct03 Aug30 Apr05 Mar16 Jan19 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50    
 
BAQ-2   10/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL GRANDE O Aug29 Feb09 Dec28 Dec06 Oct24 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00    
2  NOVA RAGS Sep12 Aug09 May08 May26 Mar07 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  ACOUSTIC AVE Aug30 Jul04 Jun08 May10 Mar14 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50    
4  RUNNINSONOFAGUN Jul12 Mar01 Feb01 Dec28 Nov29 (charle)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 8.00 19% 4.20    
5  SPIKEZONE Sep14 Aug16 Aug07 Jul11 May21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 44% 1.30    
6  OVER AND OLLIE Aug23 Jul04 Jan18 Dec05 Nov10 (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 123 2.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/09/2025 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAT STORMY         (mott wil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of BODEGA KAT by CITY ZIP)
SCR  LUPINE Mar08         (clement )SANTANA JR 121 6.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of FLOWER MART by STREET SENSE)
3  LADY ANGELINA Jul25         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THEATRICAL (IRE) out of GO ZAPPEM by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  NO ORDINARY LOVE Aug21 Jul18 Jun04     (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by EXPELLED out of MORE THAN LOVE by MORE THAN READY)
5  RARE SOCIETY Feb22         (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MARVELOUS MARTINA by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  BANK ON BEBE Sep20 Aug23 Jul13 Jun05 May24 (davis ro)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 121 50.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of RAFFIE'S BEBE by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
7  SASSETTI Aug24 Jul26 Jun29 May03   (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 121 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SCHEME by TIZWAY)
8  TWIRLING LULU Dec28 Nov22 Oct26 Aug04   (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 4.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MISS HOT STONES by BUSTIN STONES)
9  APERITIF Aug21 Jul18 Jun19 Apr27   (merryman eliza)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 7% 12.70    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of BIG THRILL by BIG DRAMA)
 
BAQ-4   10/09/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAVE BEAR Sep13 Jul06 Jun14 May24 May17 (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
2  CONFABULATION Aug14 Aug03 Jan23 Dec28 Nov29 (nevin mich)RIVERA R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LEADING CONTENDER Sep13 Jul05 May16 Apr17 Jun07 (barrera oscar)SILVERA RUBEN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  VIGANO Sep15 Jul26 May08 Mar20 Feb21 (zito nicholas )LUZZI J 124 15.00    
5  LEFTEMBEHIND Aug10 Jul17 Jun20 May11 Mar27 (kantarmaci )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
6  WHO'S THE KING Sep13 Jul25 Jun05 Apr12 Feb16 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00    
7  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Sep29 Aug26 Apr23 Mar28 Mar12 (paragal)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 30.00    
8  FRIZZANTE Sep13 Aug17 Jun29 Jun06 Apr13 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
BAQ-5   10/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIGHTFORALLEGIANCE         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  GONNA MAKE IT         (duarte j)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
3  WIT STORM         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  FORT GRIFFIN Sep14         (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
5  MO CURLS         (rice kevin)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
6  NEIGH BABY Aug30 Aug08       (englehart j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 3.50 49% 1.00    
7  HONG KONG PHOOEY Aug30         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
8  BOD BEACH Sep14 Aug08 Jul13 Jun08   (delgado )SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
SCR  FIRST BLESSING         (jimenez j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 30.00    
10  LIFE IS GRAVY (IRE)         (summers )ELLINGWOOD A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADRIAN Sep11 Aug01 Jul06 Jun19 May17 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 5% 19.00    
2  THAT'S FUNNY Aug15 Jul16 Jun20 May17 Apr17 (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
3  BABY SASSICAIA Sep20 Sep11 Aug15 Jun06 Apr18 (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BIG AIR Sep20 Aug13 Jul14 Jun18 May10 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 32% 2.10    
5  TOWER TWENTY TWO Sep01 Aug10 Jul24 Jul06 Jun15 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00    
6  PURLOIN Sep11 Jun19 Jun05 Apr23 Jan23 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50    
7  CIRCUIT COURT Aug15 Jul25 May17 Mar26   (bartkowski lis)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
8  CARARRA Sep11 Jun22 May26 Mar15 Feb15 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 37% 1.70    
 
BAQ-7   10/09/2025 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REYNOLDS CHANNEL Aug22 May26 Apr08 Jan25 Dec07 (nevin m)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 6.00 ★    
2  BLOWN COVER Sep19 Aug28 Jul18 Jun22 May26 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
3  MUSICAL MAESTRO Sep19 Jun12 May02 Apr09 Feb26 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TYPHOON FURY Sep11 Aug17 Jun27 May02 Oct18 (charlerie grego)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00    
5  SPOKEN BLUNTLY Sep11 Aug16 Jun12 Dec29 Nov07 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00    
6  DEVIL IN DISGUISE Sep11 Jul10 Apr17 May19 Mar31 (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 123 4.50 18% 4.40    
7  LET IT RIDE Apr30 Apr09 Jul26 May10 Mar02 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 54% 0.80    
8  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) Sep11 Aug22 Aug08 Jul10 May16 (brown r)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00    
SCR  THREE B'S Sep13 Aug08 Jul16 May26 Apr25 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  TRUST ISSUES Sep13 Aug17 Jul23 Jun12 May11 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 123 4.00    
SCR  EXPLORATION Sep27 Aug16 Jul16 Jun15 May17 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-8   10/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNDAY BOY Sep21 Aug15 Jul18     (ryerson)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 6.00 ★    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LADY DAPHNE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  JACK'S WORLD Sep26 Aug15       (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of KERRY MONTBRETIA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  BOLD LOVE Aug31         (summers ch)RIVERA R 119 15.00    
  (by NOT FOR LOVE out of BOLDEST BLADE by HIGHLAND BLADE)
4  TUSCAN THUNDER Sep28         (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of GERALDINE'STHUNDER by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
5  A LITTLE AT FIRST Aug31         (de horacio)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 7% 13.80    
  (by WAR DANCER out of BRAZO DE ORO by FIRST DUDE)
6  SMARTKENZIE Sep11 Aug27 Jul18     (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UNCLE JUNIOR by ARTIE SCHILLER)
7  ROSCOMMON         (ryan derek)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 30.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CORATINA by MORE THAN READY)
8  JACK'S MAC         (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
  (by VENEZUELAN HUG out of POSITIVELY JEAN by MIDSHIPMAN)
9  COACH RYAN Aug30         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50 66% 0.50    
  (by SLUMBER out of ELEVATOR SHAFT by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR  ESSENTIALLY FAST Aug03 Jul04       (contessa gary)SILVERA RUBEN 119 30.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of STORM CROSSING by TIZNOW)
11  NEWLYN Sep26 Aug15       (weaver g)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of C'EST LA VIE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
12  MAKE A PREDICTION Sep21 Aug22 Aug08     (ferraro james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of TAINTED ANGEL by YES IT'S TRUE)
13  JAXER Aug30 Jul16       (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SLUMBER out of LOST TICKET by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ROYAL RIDDLE Sep13         (sharp j)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 2.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of QUEEN'S SECRET by DEMIDOFF)
SCR  PRIDE OF THE UNION Aug15         (abreu r)RIDER TBA 119 3.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of TANGLEWOOD TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.