Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - May 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(2/4/1)-(6/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(6/3/2)-(2/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-6   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3/6)-(2/4/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/4)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(5/4/2)-(4/1/2/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
FL-7   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2/3)-(5/4/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(4/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (4/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   05/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHTER KITE Nov20 Nov11 Oct14 Sep18 Sep03 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 122 8.00 8% 11.60    
G MUNNING Apr28 Jan12 Dec27 Nov27 Nov20 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 5.00    
SCR  KING PHOENIX Mar23 Feb23 Jan17 Nov23   (dutrow r)ELLINGWOOD A 118 2.50    
HAY HAY HARRY May12 Apr29 Nov25 Nov12 Oct30 (mur)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 5.00    
SHARPAZ Apr28 Nov27 Nov05 Sep24 Sep03 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 1.50 52% 0.90    
PASCHAL MOON Apr13 Mar13 Feb19 Jan30 Dec20 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 10.00 7% 12.60    
 
FL-2   05/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPERMANENCE May06 Nov05 Oct07 Jul30 Jul01 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
FLORALOATS May06 Feb21 Feb06 Jan02 Nov21 (gutters)NAVARRO J 124 6.00 7% 13.80    
SOL EMPERATRIZ Nov19 Nov05 Oct07 Sep18 Aug21 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
JOURNEY OF FIVE May06 Nov25 Nov13 Oct23 Oct07 (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 124 4.50    
SWEET LILAC Apr29 Mar29 Mar08 Jan25 Jan01 (saul da)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 2.50    
JOYFUL DEPARTURE May06 Nov19 Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 (grusmark karl)VIVES SOFIA 124 10.00    
 
FL-3   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEREBY May06 Aug18 Jul16 May29 May15 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
PUCKISH May05 Feb28 Nov18 Oct28   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 2.00 39% 1.50    
CAST A COIN Nov18 Oct16 Sep23 Sep09   (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 118 3.50    
STARS N STONES May06 Nov19 Oct30 Oct14 Sep16 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 1.60 38% 1.70    
STJAMES May06 Mar21 Feb27 Jan31 Dec28 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 122 5.00    
 
FL-4   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENOFALLMYDREAMS Apr05 Mar12       (ciaio charles )ALVARADO R 124 10.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of HOUSE MONEY by CRUSADER SWORD)
1A  E COMPLICATO Apr09 Mar28 Mar16     (ciaio charle)BERRIOS C 120 10.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of GREYTWENTYSIX by HE'S HAD ENOUGH)
THRILLSWITHNOBILLS Apr28         (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MECKE'S MADALYN by DESERT PARTY)
TALE OF THE TAIL Feb28 Feb15 Jan23 Dec29 Dec07 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
  (by VEKOMA out of GOLDEN MISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
CHUKATUCK May05 Nov25 Oct29     (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
  (by DESTIN out of CINCO by PANCHO VILLA)
BETTER BE SMART Jan16 Dec29 Nov17 Oct12 Aug28 (bak)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BETTER YOU THAN ME by BERNARDINI)
EKWANOK Apr28 May25 Apr21 Jan28 Sep28 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by MITOLE out of KATS GIRL CALA by LEMON DROP KID)
 
FL-5   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE EMPRESS Apr05 Mar14 Feb09 Jan10 Nov05 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 3.50    
SANDY'S GARDEN May02 May27 Jan26 Dec29 Nov14 (grabowski john)COA J 124 2.00 70% 0.40    
FABULOUS FOX Mar01 Feb13 Jan04 Dec07 Nov25 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 4.00    
EASY PLAY Mar29 Mar01 Feb08 Sep17 Sep02 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
A MAIZE ZING DOTIE May02 Apr05 Mar14 Feb09 Nov21 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 7% 14.00    
EROS'S GIRL May05 Apr02 Feb07 Jul02 Jun10 (ferraro antho)VIVES SOFIA 124 6.00    
 
FL-6   05/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROPHETIC Nov11 Oct21 Oct01 Sep16 Sep02 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 123 6.00    
1A  REVIVALISM Apr28 Apr03 Mar09 Feb23 Jan26 (buckley )DAVIS A 119 6.00    
KITTY HAWK (GB) Apr16 Mar29 Sep10 Aug06 Jul06 (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
NOTFANUTIN Nov18 Oct23 Oct08 Sep17 Aug27 (kintz matthew)PEREZ E 119 4.00    
SENEGAL Apr19 Mar08 Feb15 Jan11 Dec15 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 2.00 31% 2.20    
SKYLER'S ARTEMIS Mar22 Feb14 Oct03 Sep16 Jul23 (ferraro anth)COA J 123 8.00    
HE HAS IT ALL Mar15 Feb15 Jan11 Nov30 Aug15 (barrow)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00    
IN THE BLUE Apr27 Apr19 Nov03 Oct25 Sep13 (diaz-mendez felip)PENA LUIS 123 20.00    
 
FL-7   05/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T STAND DISCO Apr28 Nov07 Oct31 Sep27 Sep01 (ferraro anthony)CRUZ JOEL 124 5.00    
DAVID'S TUITION Jan19 Feb23 Jan25 Jan12 Dec14 (grusmark karl)VIVES SOFIA 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SOLO'S FURY Apr28 Mar21 Feb07 Oct12 Sep16 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50    
KING'S LEAP Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 Aug03 Jul12 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCALES OF GOLD May05 Sep25       (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
RESISTANCE FUTILE Apr28 Mar11 Feb03 Dec28 Nov15 (ronen assaf)FRET STEVEN 120 6.00    
JAKE'S ORCHARD Nov18 Nov04 Oct15 Oct01 Sep16 (torelli stac)HARKIE K 124 6.00    
 
FL-8   05/19/2025 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURN NOTICE Nov10 Sep27       (clement christ)COA J 119 3.00 12% 7.50    
  (by TONALIST out of MRS. GOT ROCKS by LEMON DROP KID)
1A  BREAK THE FALL Apr17 Feb28 Jan24 Jan02 May11 (ferraro michael)VIVES SOFIA 123 3.00    
  (by MASTERY out of MINEFUL by MINESHAFT)
THREE POINT STRUT Apr28 Aug22 Jul15 Jun22 May16 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 6.00 11% 8.20    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of STRUT THE CANARY by MINESHAFT)
FOREST MANAGER Apr09         (shaffer rich)HARKIE K 123 15.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of SHAMROCK ROLL by PRIME TIMBER)
ALLOFASUDDENLEE Apr24 Mar21 Feb28 Feb02 Dec12 (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by SUPERESTRELLA out of STOP THE SPENDING by POMEROY)
ANANIAS Mar12         (ashley julius)ROHENA JR 119 12.00    
  (by TEMPLAR KNIGHT out of DREAM WYLDE by SEATTLE SANTA)
NEPTUNE BEACH Feb28 Feb21 Feb02 Dec15 Nov30 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 123 10.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of PAPER KITE by FLY A KITE (IRE))
SMEAUXKINITUP Feb23 Jan31 Jan10     (thompson m)DE EMANUEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of SMEAUXKININTHELANE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
SCR  HONOR THE BULL Mar21 Jan08       (sacco )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 4.00    
  (by FLATTER out of RASTA FARIAN by HOLY BULL)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.