Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Tuesday - May 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(4/5/2)-(4/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(4/3/1)-(4/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(1/3/4)-(1/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-8   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   05/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRENNAN'S WAR Apr28 Nov26 Nov12 Oct24 Oct14 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 124 10.00    
DON ANTONIO Nov12 Oct15 Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 (monserrate )CAMILO D 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
ROCKIBLE Apr03 Mar09 Jan02 Nov02 Sep29 (shaffer ric)FLORES JEREMIAS 119 2.00    
WAFLR Nov25 Oct30 Oct02 Sep02 Aug18 (muller t)DAVIS A 124 5.00    
THE MIGHTY DON Sep25 Sep04 Aug13 Jul31 May20 (monserrate mari)ROHENA JR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
GO GET THE BAG Nov26 Nov12 Oct14 Sep30 Sep17 (bireta donna)CRUZ JOEL 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
FL-2   05/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOURNEY OF FIVE Nov25 Nov13 Oct23 Oct07 Sep18 (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 124 2.50 71% 0.40    
POSITIVELY Mar25 Mar03 Feb05 Dec17 Dec04 (vasquez ramon)FRET STEVEN 124 5.00 6% 16.30    
IMALOTTALADY Nov27 Nov13 Oct28 Oct16 Oct08 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 124 3.50    
IMPERMANENCE Nov05 Oct07 Jul30 Jul01 Jun05 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.00    
FLORALOATS Feb21 Feb06 Jan02 Nov21 Jun26 (gutters)NAVARRO J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
JOYFUL DEPARTURE Nov19 Nov05 Oct22 Oct01 Aug19 (grusmark k)DE EMANUEL 124 10.00    
 
FL-3   05/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RHYMES LIKE DIMES Nov26 Oct28 Oct02 Sep16 Aug19 (mur)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.50    
1A  TACONY ROAD Nov27 Nov13 Oct08 Sep23 Aug28 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 4.50    
FINALIST Oct30 Oct07 Aug23 Jul19 Jun25 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
COURAGEOOUS OH LA Jan30 Jan11 Dec15 Nov20 Nov11 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 2.00    
LADY'S GOLDEN GUY Oct21 Oct08 Sep23 Jul10 Jun12 (breed a)ALVARADO R 124 1.60 32% 2.10    
NO CONFESSION Oct28 Oct05 Sep02 Aug22 Jun17 (davis d)COA J 124 3.50 31% 2.30    
 
FL-4   05/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATERI EMPIRE Nov20 Nov04 Oct23 Jul24 Jul10 (cabrera)NAVARRO J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SUPER SLIDE Nov12 Oct30 Oct15 Sep25 Aug28 (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 122 3.50    
TRIVIA Nov11 Oct30 Oct15 Oct08 Sep24 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 2.00 14% 6.10    
WEDONTBELIEVEHER Aug27 Aug12 May28 May07 Dec13 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
KAUFY FUTURES Nov20 Nov04 Oct07 Sep23 Aug19 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 8.00    
TRUE DESTINY Nov06 Sep11 Jul31 Jul02 Jun19 (reed a)COA J 122 5.00    
 
FL-5   05/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($11K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOW BANK         (davis ed)DAVIS A 119 5.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  BRIGHT ANGEL (IRE) Sep28 Sep07 Aug18     (davis d)ALVARADO R 120 5.00    
STIMULI Apr24 Apr11 Mar08 Feb08   (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 3.50    
WISECRACKER Nov27 Jun27 May10 Oct13 Sep04 (ree)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.00    
MONOMOY BEACH Apr28 Mar22 Feb23 Jan18 Dec28 (ferraro anthony)CRUZ JOEL 120 1.60 32% 2.20    
DREAMALONGWITHME Apr28 Mar08 Jan24 Dec29   (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 15.00    
WAITING FOR A. I. Mar22 Jan18 Nov27     (grusmark karl)VIVES SOFIA 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-6   05/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INTERSTATE Nov05 Oct01 Sep18 Sep10 Aug21 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 15.00    
MACDONOUGH Nov25 Oct28 Oct16 Sep30 Sep17 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 5.00    
SCR  STONE GUITAR Oct29 Oct08 Sep24 Sep04 Aug06 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00    
ANYTHING PAZIBLE Oct28 Oct16 Sep30 Sep16 Sep04 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 12.00    
GOLDINI Nov13 Oct29 Oct14 Sep29 Sep14 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00 9% 9.60    
C J'S GRAND SLAM Nov20 Nov05 Oct07 Sep03 Aug07 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
BROKENHEARTED Nov20 Nov11 Oct28 Oct14 Oct01 (murphy p)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
HOT ROD LINCOLN Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug06 (areche thali)BERRIOS C 124 6.00    
 
FL-7   05/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARS N STONES Nov19 Oct30 Oct14 Sep16 Aug20 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
STJAMES Mar21 Feb27 Jan31 Dec28 Apr06 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 122 2.50    
COIN JAR Nov20 Oct23 Oct07 Sep02 Aug06 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
AUTUMN GLORY Mar02 Jan12 Dec14 Oct10 Sep13 (brown r)VIVES SOFIA 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
STORMIN SAMMY Apr28 Mar13 Mar01 Jan24 Dec08 (sells rachel)CRUZ JOEL 120 3.50    
TONY O Feb26 Jan24 Dec28 Nov09 Sep27 (gut)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 10.00    
 
FL-8   05/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOMMY THE TORCH Feb27 Feb07 Jan29 Dec19 Nov20 (albright amy)CRUZ JOEL 124 2.00 55% 0.80    
1A  BOTTOMLESS REFILL Nov13 Oct29 Oct14 Oct01 Sep17 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 2.00    
HEREBY Aug18 Jul16 May29 May15 Apr22 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 6.00    
BENCH WALK Nov27 Nov19 Nov05 Aug14 Jul16 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 6.00    
MATTY'S EXPRESS Nov25 Nov13 Oct29 Oct16 Oct02 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  FIGHTER KITE Nov20 Nov11 Oct14 Sep18 Sep03 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 124 3.00    
NORGAY Nov20 Sep25 Sep11 Aug20 Jul23 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Nov13 Oct29 Oct09 Sep18 Aug29 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.