Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Winterthur
Sunday - May 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WNT-1   05/04/2025 17160ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 5UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOROLLA Mar30 Oct14 Aug11 Jul06 Jun03 (boniface k)KORRELL VIRGINIA 160   5% 19.00    
  (by SEVILLE out of BROAD OUTLINE by SMART STRIKE)
2  DE GREY GUY (IRE) Mar30 Nov02 May05     (mckenna to)BESWICK HARRISON 165   ★    
  (by KINGSTON HILL out of NIKKEI RIDGE by SHAHRASTANI)
SCR  LIGHTNING RIDGE Mar30 Jul18 Jun25 Mar30 Nov12 (neilson san)GALLIGAN GERARD 160   5% 19.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of FAREENA by POINT GIVEN)
4  HEY TEACHER (GB) Mar30 Nov05 Oct08 Oct02   (neilson kathy)BOUCHER MELL 160   28% 2.50    
  (by FASCINATING ROCK out of SEE EMILY PLAY by GALILEO (ARG))
5  SHOFAR Nov10 Sep27 Sep01 Aug16 Jul26 (davies g)MILLER ZACH 165   ★    
  (by PAYNTER out of SINGING SISTER by RED BULLET)
6  ANZIO Nov02 Aug12 Jul11 Aug11 May06 (webb sandra)PROCTER FREDDIE 160   ★    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of K'S BAR BEE by PRIDE OF BURKAAN)
7  TAKE PROFIT Aug10 Jul27 Jun26     (dowling will)CANAVAN JORDAN 160      
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of CAVANAUGH PARK by GALILEO)
8  MINELLA PLUS (IRE) Aug12 Jul18       (garner thomas)DWAN EVAN 165      
  (by WALK IN THE PARK out of VIOLIN DAVIS by TURGEON)
9  RIPTIDE ROCK Nov04 Sep08 Aug25 Aug06 Nov06 (morris r)BARGARY JAMIE 165      
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of IRISH INFLUENCE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
10  BLACKSTAIR ROCCO (IRE) May07         (dowling wi)SCULLY ELIZABETH 160   46% 1.20    
  (by SHIROCCO out of CAPTAIN SUPREME by CAPTAIN RIO)
SCR  THE KID ROCKS         (morris meriwether)NO RIDER 165      
  (by RED ROCKS out of MISTY NORTH by NORTHERN IDOL)
SCR  STRAW INTO GOLD Jul14 Nov11 Oct13 Aug11 Jul15 (gomens julie)TIERNEY CONOR 160      
  (by HARD SPUN out of STRIKE IT RICH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  LYING JEFF Oct25 Aug19 Jul13 Jun21 Jun02 (garner thomas)DWAN EVAN 165      
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of ZEENUT by MINGUN)
 
WNT-2   05/04/2025 17160ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($25K) 5UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABSAM Jul14 Oct15 Aug20 Jul30 Jul15 (dowling will)CANAVAN JORDAN 155   ★    
2  CREALION (FR)         (garner thomas)DWAN EVAN 165   ★    
3  TRACK AND TRACE         (beecher mark)NEVIN DAN 160      
4  HARD GAME Mar30 Mar30 Nov13 Oct29 Oct02 (neilson kat)PROCTER FREDDIE 165   22% 3.50    
5  GLENCORRIB SKY (IRE) May05 Mar31       (neilson kat)GALLIGAN GERARD 160      
6  THEDA'S BOY Mar30 May05 Mar31     (boniface kevin)OWINGS BRETT 160   49% 1.00    
7  HUYANA May05 Mar30 May13 Apr22   (dowling william)PORETZ ERIC 165      
 
WNT-3   05/04/2025 17160ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse ($15K) 5UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER SEVILLE May07 Apr22 Apr15 Oct22 Mar27 (beecher mark)NEVIN DAN 170   ★    
2  STORM TEAM Nov02 Nov04 Apr08 Oct08   (dowling willi)BATOFF JUSTIN 170   33% 2.00    
3  CHOSEN MATE (IRE) Mar30 Nov02 Mar31 Oct14 Apr22 (hendriks rich)TIERNEY CONOR 170      
4  CITY OF GRACE May07         (pinkard casey)PINKARD CASEY 158   31% 2.20    
5  FAST VISION (FR) Nov02 Mar30 Nov04 May13 Nov05 (young leslie)CANAVAN JORDAN 170      
 
WNT-4   05/04/2025 7920ft TURF RC10 Allowance Purse   3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO TAKE CHARGE Oct16 Sep14 Aug24 Aug16 Jul27 (neilson kathy)HOLM HUNTER 150   23% 3.30    
2  KING OF TSAVO (GB) Mar30 Aug29 Jul18 May14 Apr30 (young leslie )CARBERRY LUKE 155   5% 19.00    
3  TRIP SWITCH Apr18 Mar08 Dec29     (bentley fenneka)NEVIN DAN 150      
4  GALATIANS Feb22 Jan31 Jan18 Nov16 Oct27 (davies g)SECOR CHELSEA 150   26% 2.90    
5  TREVESSO Mar20 Oct12 Sep14 Aug04 Jun24 (lynch cathal)TIERNEY CONOR 155   15% 5.60    
6  AUTUMN Nov16 Oct20 Sep21 Aug25 Jul27 (young lesl)KORRELL VIRGINIA 150      
7  SORAMOND (GER) Nov05 Oct29       (morris r)PORETZ ERIC 150      
8  CARBON MAST         (voss elizabeth)NEVIN DAN 150      
9  AFT Sep05 Aug10       (boucher lilith)BOUCHER MELL 150      
10  LE BILBOQUET         (young leslie)CANAVAN JORDAN 140      
11  TAKE THE PLEDGE Mar20 Feb21 Dec11 Nov20 Sep13 (lynch cathal)TIERNEY CONOR 155   16% 5.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.