Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - April 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(6/2/5)-(1/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(1/2/6)-(3/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(3/4/5)-(5/6/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(5/6/4)-(4/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-5   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(4/3/7)-(2/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-6   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(2/1/6)-(7/3/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-7   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(7/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
AQU-8   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   04/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASHING DELLA Mar28 Mar07 Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 (arenas marce)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00 13% 7.00    
2  FULIGNI Nov26 Nov17 Jul28 Jun30 May21 (bond ke)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 8.00    
3  POSEIDON'S MIST Apr03 Mar28 Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.00 50% 1.00    
4  FOXY CARA Apr11 Mar15 Mar02 Feb09 Jan10 (friedman mi)GONZALEZ MELVIS 117 1.60 16% 5.30    
5  MYSARIA Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 Dec12 Aug02 (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00    
SCR  LAST GLORY Mar28 Jan23 Jan10 Dec15 Nov10 (arenas m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00    
 
AQU-2   04/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONTAUK MYSTIQUE Mar28 Feb22 Jan01 Dec01 Jul05 (miceli michael)DAVIS KATIE 125 3.00    
2  POLITICAL SPIN Mar07 Feb02 Jan03 Dec13 Oct17 (rodriguez rudy)CEDENO CAROL 125 12.00 5% 17.60    
3  SANTAGATA Apr04 Mar09 Mar01 Jul07 Jun16 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 125 6.00    
4  FOCUS POCUS Mar28 Feb22 Jan12 Dec08 Nov09 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 125 1.80    
5  THAT'STHEFACTJACK Mar28 Mar07 Feb27 Jan24 Jan03 (schettino domi)LEZCANO JOSE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHE'S COOL Apr03 Mar09 Jan24 Jan12 Dec27 (potts wayne)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.00 64% 0.60    
 
AQU-3   04/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN Feb21 Jan19 Dec22 Dec06 Nov09 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
2  EQUUS Jan05 Nov14 Sep19 Sep04 Jun23 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00 19% 4.20    
3  LA VITA SOFIA Feb06 Dec29 Dec08 Nov14 Aug07 (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.50    
4  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Apr04 Jan30 Jan17 Jan02 Dec14 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
5  OUR LIBERTY BELLE Mar29 Jan30 Jan01 Dec08 Nov02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.00    
6  KISS ME HARDY Jan30 Dec31 Nov06 Sep05 Aug21 (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 121 6.00 7% 13.70    
 
AQU-4   04/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMMASGOTTAGUN Mar23 Jan24 Jun09 May16 Apr13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
2  RACING COLORS Mar15 Feb27 Jan17 Jan02 Dec07 (follett )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00    
3  P MUTTER PICKLE Feb27 Jan12 Dec07 Jun09 Dec14 (antonacci phi)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.80 46% 1.20    
4  CALL HER BLUFF Mar15 Feb23 Dec27 Dec07 Oct27 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00 14% 6.10    
5  MISS LAO Jan19 Jan10 Dec12 Nov07 Oct17 (lalman denn)GONZALEZ MELVIS 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BROWN SUGA BABE Mar15 Feb06 Jan11 Dec06 Nov07 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.00    
 
AQU-5   04/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORE THAN GRACE Mar22 Jan10 Nov08     (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 3.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TRACE OF GRACE by PETIONVILLE)
1A  LADY MCSPARKLES         (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 3.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of LADY DUDE by FIRST DUDE)
SCR  CARA'S CHIANTI         (friedman mi)GONZALEZ MELVIS 111 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ROSIE RED by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  CAHIRA'S SONG Mar15         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 8.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of YALETOWN by CHIEF HONCHO)
4  CANDY IS DANDY         (brown r)LUZZI J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RIVERINE by MAKALEHA)
5  LIMES DON'T LIE Aug04         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.00 32% 2.10    
  (by MCKINZIE out of CLOTHES FALL OFF by DAAHER)
6  I'M VERY SWEET Mar15 Nov24       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of SHE'S ROUGHIN IT by FOREST CAMP)
7  MILA CANDY         (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of FILIA by FOREVER SPARKLE)
 
AQU-6   04/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONCRETE FAZE Mar28 Mar09 Feb02 Dec29 Dec13 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00    
SCR  HOW SWEET SHE IS Apr09 Feb28 Dec29 Dec06 Nov01 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 5.00    
2  BROOKLYN DANTZ Mar23 Feb06 Jan24 Jan12 Dec15 (arenas )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 20.00    
3  SCARLET'S DREAM Feb27 Jan31 Dec15 Nov22 Jul24 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 15% 5.70    
4  PATTY VAN TWINKLE Mar23 Feb15 Jan24 Dec27 Nov30 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 1.20 53% 0.90    
5  STREET VIEW Mar21 Feb22 Jan31 Dec29 Dec08 (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 3.50    
SCR  CATCHPHRASE Apr03 Mar01 Jan31 Dec13 Nov22 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00    
7  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Mar01 Feb15 Jan23 Dec01 Nov21 (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   04/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($86K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVERYONELOVESLINDA Mar22 Feb01 Dec12 Oct19 Sep20 (dutrow richard )CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00 15% 5.70    
2  MISS JUSTIFY Sep21 Aug17 Jul12 Jun01 Mar15 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
3  MORNING MATCHA Sep21 Aug26 Jul07 Jun15 Apr22 (reid robert )CASTELLANO J 121 2.50    
SCR  EARLY EDITION Jan02 Nov27 Oct19 Sep03 Jul08 (mcmulli)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 20.00    
5  VINCEY GIRL Mar12 Sep22 Aug23 Aug03 Jul05 (d'angelo jose)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
6  RACHEL'S ROCK Feb06 Jan02 Dec07 Nov03 Oct06 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-8   04/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FARM HOUSE Mar28 Feb28 Jan30     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of STORM NOW by STORM CENTER)
SCR  MATERIAL GIRL Feb28 Dec14 Nov03 Oct05   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.80    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of TANMAWWY by CANDY RIDE)
3  CRIMSON QUEEN Mar16 Feb08       (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 34% 2.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of QUEEN VICTORIA by BOLD LACHEE)
4  GABBY'S LEGACY Feb28 Jan05 Dec14 Oct20   (morley thomas)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of FOURSCOREANDSEVEN by COLONEL JOHN)
5  CALISA Mar29 Mar08       (flores-coba)GONZALEZ MELVIS 111 15.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of QUITE DRAMATIC by UNUSUAL HEAT)
6  FULL POUR Mar08         (hennig)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of EXTRA IMPACT by HONOUR AND GLORY)
7  EAGLE RISING Mar09         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of AKILINA by LANGFUHR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.