Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - April 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(7/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(7/6/1)-(2/5/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(2/5/6/3)-(6/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/3)-(6/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6/3)-(6/4/3/2)-(1/4/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2)-(6/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/2)-(1/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/2)-(1/4/5/6)-(3/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/6)-(3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/6)-(3/1/4)-(2/5/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4/7)-(3/1/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2/5/6/3)-(6/8/4/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/3)-(6/8/4/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/8/4/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/2/10)-(6/8/4/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/2/10)-(6/8/4/2/10)-(6/8/4/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONLY GET'N BETTER Mar18 Feb27 Dec17 Dec02 Nov12 (reed r)CEDILLO MAURO 126 1.60 50% 1.00    
2  GOLD BUCKLE Mar22 Mar06 Feb03 Jan13 Dec26 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50    
3  SMALL SAILOR Mar26 Mar11 Mar03 Feb08 Jan23 (gonzalez donacia)VIGIL NOEL 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  INHERENT POWERS Mar12 Feb26 Feb07 Dec11 Jun12 (adams l)BRACHO A 126 4.00    
5  ROYAL AIR FORCE Mar17 Feb27 Nov12 Oct30 Oct08 (yoder d)STOKES J 126 10.00    
6  BOURBON WISDOM Mar26 Mar13 Mar01 Dec19 Dec02 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
MVR-2   04/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABA LOOEY Mar25 Mar11 Oct02 Sep10 Aug29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Mar25 Mar11 Dec30 Dec16 Dec05 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50    
3  SWEET LEMON DROP Mar25 Mar11 Feb12 Jan25 Dec19 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 10.00    
4  VENTURE ON Jul29 Jun22 Jun05 May15 Dec13 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50    
SCR  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Mar12 Jan16 Dec30 Dec05 Nov02 (shanyfelt v)NUNEZ Y 124 6.00    
6  STONE COLD CAT Mar25 Mar12 Feb12 Dec19 Dec05 (calder)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
7  WEEKEND BUZZ Mar22 Mar11 Feb11 Jan25 Dec19 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
MVR-3   04/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SO CO MANHATTAN Feb26 Jan27 Dec26 Nov21   (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
2  SMOKIN JOE Sep20 Jul22 Jul03     (rone penny)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  MOONSHINE JOE Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 Jan28 (radosevich jak)DIAZ I 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  VERNON'S BEST Mar12 Dec26 Dec10 Nov02 Oct22 (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 126 8.00    
5  DUSTY BILLY Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Jan15 Dec28 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 116 3.50 27% 2.80    
6  SOULLESS Mar13 May21 Apr22     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
7  HIS ROYAL HIGHNESS Mar12         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 4.00    
8  WAR ON THE RIVER Mar13 Feb08 Jan09 Dec10 Nov11 (flores christian)AVILES YAN 124 12.00    
 
MVR-4   04/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR THE D Mar10 Jan23 Nov19 Sep21 Aug30 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
2  DOUGS MORNING PICK Mar22 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23 Dec19 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MUTINY Mar22 Aug12 Jul31 Jul09 Jun18 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
4  OAKEN Mar25 Mar11 Jan16 Dec19 Nov19 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
5  GIV'EM THE BIZ Oct30 Oct08 Sep19 Aug12 May30 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
6  SPIRIT OF AKRON Apr03 Mar19 Mar06 Feb12 Feb04 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
7  SERENDIPITOUS Mar19 Feb26 Feb11 Jan25 Dec19 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   04/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUB Mar27 Mar13 Feb08 Jan15 Nov27 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 5.00 44% 1.30    
2  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Mar27 Mar13 Mar04 Feb12 Jan14 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 12.00    
3  LITTLE VAQUERO Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 Feb13 Oct14 (gonzalez donac)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
4  DON'T STOP Apr01 Feb26 Feb06 Jan02 Dec11 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 21% 3.80    
5  COWBOY LUKE Mar25 Mar10 Feb11 Jan16 Dec20 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 126 3.50 13% 6.70    
6  DEUS EX MACHINA Mar27 Mar13 Feb08 Nov04 Oct14 (spiess shane )BRACHO A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DESTINO Mar27 Mar13 Feb08 Jan23 Jan07 (morales saul)TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00    
SCR  MONEY ROOM Mar01 Jan29 Dec28 Dec09 Oct22 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.50    
9  MSHINDI Mar13 Feb13 Jan28 Jan13 Dec27 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   04/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH LOVER BOY Mar26 Mar03 Feb08     (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 1.20 13% 6.90    
2  SOL OF VAQUERO Mar13 Dec10 Nov11 Oct07 Apr11 (campbell ant)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
3  BE AN EDDIE Mar04 Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 Nov27 (rone penny)RIVERA R 116 2.00 58% 0.70    
4  BOBBY ROB Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 Jan15 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 116 20.00 7% 13.40    
5  WEEKEND RETREAT Feb26 Feb11 Jan28 Oct07 Sep16 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50    
6  SEEKING FREEDOM Mar27 Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 124 15.00    
7  STRIKE PLATE Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 Jan27 Jan09 (langley joshua)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   04/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Mar27 Feb26 Feb10 Dec09 Nov21 (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 126 3.00    
2  MY GIRL KEW Mar01 Feb06 Apr13 Feb01 Dec14 (maker mich)WELLINGTON KYLIE 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  MOBIL ENSIGN Mar20 Feb27 Jan25 Jan06 Dec09 (faulkner ro)NUNEZ Y 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  HOT PRINCESS (GB) Mar31 Mar01 Feb06 Jan07 Apr24 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
5  DANCEHALL JUSTICE Mar11 Feb06 Jan25 Dec26 Dec09 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 116 4.00 22% 3.50    
6  MY KINDA PARTY Mar20 Mar01 Nov11 Oct26 Aug10 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.50 20% 4.00    
7  FLAME FOR REAL Mar31 Mar11 Feb26 Feb10 Dec27 (zielinski richar)VIGIL NOEL 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   04/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORMYBOYS Mar26 Mar12 Feb11 Jan28 Jan09 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 15.00    
  (by TAPIDOR out of NIPPY'S VENTURE by MAUK FOUR)
2  SILVER IS A GIFT Mar26 Mar04 Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 (andrade hugo)YARANGA Y 118 12.00 6% 15.80    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SILVER COIN LADY by OLD FASHIONED)
3  DUDE THE LEGEND Mar26 Mar12 Feb11 Jan28 Jan09 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 20.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
4  BLUE BLOOD COWBOY Mar26 Mar04 Feb08 Jan28 Jan15 (dacosta jason)PEREZ A 118 20.00 8% 12.30    
  (by ONE SIDED out of COWBOY'S PRINCESS by COWBOY CAL)
5  BUMPER STICKER Mar12         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.50    
  (by BIONDETTI out of OPIE by KOKAND)
6  FLARING SONG Mar26 Mar12 Feb08 Jan15 Dec16 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
7  SKUNK APE Mar26 Mar12 Jan28 Dec10 Nov21 (loudin-smith )TOLEDO S 126 20.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of QUEEN YELLENA by TOCCET)
8  HE IS DYNAMIC Mar26 Mar12 Feb08 Sep19   (andrade hugo)PAUCAR E 118 2.00 19% 4.40    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of AMERIBELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
9  HIDDEN HEART Mar26 Mar12 Feb11 Jan28 Dec26 (skerrett j)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 12.00    
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
10  REMIX FROM PHOENIX Mar26 Mar12 Feb08 Dec28 Dec12 (langley joshua)BOWEN ROCCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of HEATHERFROMPHOENIX by SAN PABLO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.