Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - March 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (6/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1)-(6/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/1)-(2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/1)-(2/5)-(9/7/8/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(9/7/8/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(9/7/8/3)-(5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/8/3)-(9/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/8/3)-(9/7/8/3)-(9/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/8/3)-(5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/8/3)-(5/2/7)-(5/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/1/7)-(5/2/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(5/4/3)-(2/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-5   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(2/6/3)-(3/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-6   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(3/6/5)-(7/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-7   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(7/4/2)-(4/3/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-8   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(4/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-9   WIN (4/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/2)-(4/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/2)-(4/3/1/2)-(4/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO JUICE Feb07         (sarson b)FLORES E 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
ECLIPTICAL GINA Mar07 Feb20       (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 3.00 16% 5.40    
DIAMOND ESSENCE Mar07         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 2.50 16% 5.30    
QUEEN KHALEESI Feb20 Jan28 Dec17 Nov14   (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 123 6.00    
VINO AMORE Mar07 Feb20       (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 10.00    
BRAMWELL Mar07 Feb20 Feb07     (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
MAKING MISCHIEF Feb26 Jan04 Dec14 Dec07 Nov09 (jones mic)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00    
 
PEN-2   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BO'S BOURBON May30 May15 Mar27 Mar07 Feb03 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 1.60    
CAJUN VIBES Feb28 Feb20 Jan31 Jan09 Nov28 (murillo ric)INIRIO J 123 1.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  MAJESTIC TIGER Mar11 Feb28 Jan26 Jan14 Nov15 (richards)DAVIS A 121 6.00    
SCR  GOING AT IT Feb28 Feb06 Dec27 Nov13 Oct24 (wolfe jr)TORRES JOMAR 121 30.00    
CAPT. CANDY Feb06 Dec12 Sep20 Aug29 Jul19 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 5.00 8% 12.30    
YES IT'S ROO Mar13 Feb27 Feb06 Jan03 Dec12 (rideout ronal)ROJAS MARTINA 121 8.00    
 
PEN-3   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSIC BOX DANCER Jan02 Dec18 Dec06 Nov13 Oct25 (cifarelli fran)AGUILAR JEAN 123 4.00    
SYLVIA I AM Mar06 Feb07 Jan09 Dec27 Dec12 (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 8.00    
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Mar07 Feb07 Nov21 Oct24 Oct02 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SEPARATE WAYS Feb11 Dec16 Nov18 Oct16 Sep18 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.00    
SCR  CHASIN' WHISKEY Dec20 Nov07 Oct21 Sep24 Sep03 (martinez jose)TUNON JORDANO 123 20.00    
ON THE RIM Jun19 Jun04 Mar15 Dec13 Nov30 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00    
WHISKEY ROW Mar07 Feb21 Jan08 Dec20 Nov30 (chircop ste)INIRIO J 123 4.50 19% 4.20    
STRASSE Mar07 Feb27 Dec03 Nov11 Nov04 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 8.00 12% 7.30    
BEARING DOWN Feb28 Feb07 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 123 5.00 34% 2.00    
 
PEN-4   03/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRONX BOYS Feb07 Jan09 Dec02 Nov11 Oct14 (kulp l)RUIZ ELISEO 123 4.00    
KAZMIKE Mar06 Apr06 May30 Apr23 Mar31 (kazamias )HERNANDEZ A 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
ANNA'S GOT STYLE Jan27 Dec27 Dec06 Nov15 Sep12 (stites w)AGUILAR M 121 3.50    
BOOSTER SHOT Mar08 Feb10 Dec31 Nov19 Oct28 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
WARRIOR TED Feb10 Jan02 Dec18 Dec06 Jul01 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 40% 1.50    
TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE Feb10 Dec31 Dec09 Nov05 Oct16 (lake a)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00    
MIDNIGHT TEMPESTA Mar13 Feb21 Jan25 Dec27 Dec15 (chircop ste)INIRIO J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   03/21/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH COCO Feb03 Nov29 Nov07 Oct04 Sep11 (merryman eliza)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.00    
CHANNEL LOOP Feb24 Dec19 Nov02 Sep28 Aug24 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 4.50    
CRUZIN ANNA Feb19 Dec13 Aug23 Aug15   (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
WARRIOR'S DEFENSE Jan03 Nov29 Nov07 Jul25 Jul10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 31% 2.20    
GOURMET Feb27 Jan31 Jan08 Nov21 Oct31 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  CHARISSE Feb27 Jan03 Nov02 Jun27 Jan18 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 15.00    
SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Jan31 Nov25 Oct29 Sep20 Aug24 (linder louis )OCASIO M 123 4.00    
 
PEN-6   03/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG TOM Feb21 May22 May04 Mar30 Mar06 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 119 50.00    
MAT MATTERS Feb21 Jan24 Jan02 Dec18 Nov15 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 2.50 38% 1.70    
JMR SPEEDY ESCAPE Feb21 Jan31 Jan02 Dec13 Nov17 (chircop ste)INIRIO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PAYNTER'S PRODIGY Feb28 Feb13 Jan29 Dec16 Nov22 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 125 3.00    
TACTICAL HUMOR Feb21 Jan08 Dec19 Dec06 Nov15 (kreiser c)FLORES E 121 2.00    
PENTATONIC Feb06 Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 Sep23 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 121 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
PEN-7   03/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HATMAKER GIZMO Feb24 Jan07 Nov29 Nov01 Oct18 (linder louis )RIVERA D 123 4.50    
VALORE Feb21 Jan16 Jan08 Dec12 Nov29 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 121 4.00    
BALLROOM EYES Feb14 Jan09 Dec05 Oct24 Aug21 (kelly bla)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50 53% 0.90    
RUNAWAYTOTHEMOON Jun18 May31 May17 May02 Mar14 (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 3.50    
THE MAN TO SEE Oct31 Sep16 Aug28 Aug21 Aug31 (dowling willia)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
KAZ CREED Feb07 Dec27 Dec07     (kazamias peter)CHIAPPE R 123 2.50 18% 4.40    
 
PEN-8   03/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE MUSIC Mar12 Feb11 Feb03 Jan15 Dec18 (bravo-e)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 10.00    
R SERENITY         (montford leslie)LLOYD W 125 12.00 5% 18.20    
GO CHLOE GO Mar12 Feb06 Jan15 Dec13 Oct15 (hamilton stephen)CARTER T 125 4.50    
RED BETTY Feb28 Feb06 Jan09 Dec18 Nov29 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 125 3.50 12% 7.70    
SCR  ONE EYED JACKIE Sep23 Aug21 Jul17 Jun18 May23 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 4.00    
HONEY FUN         (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 12.00    
NOBODY'S ZAPPER Mar13 Feb28 Apr17     (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 125 1.40 56% 0.80    
 
PEN-9   03/21/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECLIPTICALS BEAR Feb27 Feb07 Dec12 Nov01 Sep10 (agnew naoise)ROJAS MARTINA 125 2.50 6% 15.80    
LOADED SNIPER Mar07 Jul02 Jun20 May31 May24 (smith lawrence )BEATO INOEL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
VINNIE VAN GO Feb28 Oct15 Sep10 Jul07 Jul01 (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.50 16% 5.40    
NOLO CONTESTO Jan09 Dec19 Dec11 Nov14 Nov01 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 125 1.50 56% 0.80    
MIGHTY MINION Mar07 Feb21 Dec04 Nov13 Aug23 (bobadilla j)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 20.00    
SCREEN STAR Feb27 Feb07 Aug23 Jul26 Jul03 (cifarelli fran)MONGAN COREY 115 30.00    
MY BLUE EYES Mar07 Feb07 Jan25 Nov13 Oct18 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 125 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.