Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - March 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/7)-(8/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/6/7)-(8/6/7)-(8/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/6/7)-(6/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7)-(6/2/4/3)-(8/7/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3)-(6/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/3)-(8/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/3)-(8/7/4/5)-(8/4/9/6/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/4/5)-(8/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/4/5)-(8/7/4/5)-(8/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/4/5)-(8/4/9/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/4/5)-(8/4/9/6/5)-(2/9/4/5/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-4   WIN (8/4/9/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/9/6/5)-(8/4/9/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/9/6/5)-(8/4/9/6/5)-(8/4/9/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/9/6/5)-(2/9/4/5/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9/6/5)-(2/9/4/5/7)-(2/7/1/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (2/9/4/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/5/7)-(2/9/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/5/7)-(2/9/4/5/7)-(2/9/4/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/9/4/5/7)-(2/7/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4/5/7)-(2/7/1/4)-(1/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/4)-(1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/4)-(1/2/7)-(6/5/9/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7/4)-(1/2/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/7)-(6/5/9/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7)-(6/5/9/8/3)-(6/9/8/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/5/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/8/3)-(6/5/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/8/3)-(6/5/9/8/3)-(6/5/9/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/9/8/3)-(6/9/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/8/3)-(6/9/8/4)-(4/7/10/2/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-9   WIN (6/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/4)-(6/9/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/4)-(6/9/8/4)-(6/9/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/8/4)-(4/7/10/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-10   WIN (4/7/10/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/10/2/6)-(4/7/10/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/10/2/6)-(4/7/10/2/6)-(4/7/10/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   03/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOUVEAU RICHE Feb19 Feb02 Jan26 Jan10 Nov03 (cascallares n)IORIO MELISSA 120 30.00    
SCR  TARIBA DREAM Dec21 Nov30 Nov10 Oct13 Sep15 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 122 2.00    
COSMIC SYMPHONY Feb19 Feb05 Jun08 Apr14 Jan28 (rivera fra)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 30.00    
SCR  PIZZICATO Feb19 Feb02 Jan10 Dec24 Dec13 (rivera francis)GIL CIPRIANO 122 6.00    
FINAL NOTE Feb19 Feb02 Nov24 Nov04 Oct23 (gardea abraham)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00    
HUGE G Feb02 Dec21 Nov30 Jul19 May01 (lilly jam)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
LITTLE CARLEY Feb19 Jan26 Jan10 Dec24 Nov30 (kutt m)HESS SARA 113 6.00 18% 4.50    
PRACTICAL VALE Feb19 Oct26 Oct05 Sep08 Aug24 (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
TAM-2   03/09/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA JEAN Feb26 Feb16 Jan24 Jan05 Dec24 (ga)LUNA PAUL 120 6.00    
LIZZIE BABY Jul22         (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 10.00 10% 9.20    
ENDLESS FASHION Feb16 Feb05 Jan24 Jan12 Dec07 (mendieta alejandr)HESS SARA 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
WINNING SHOT Feb12 Jan15 Jul04     (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 120 8.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  SLEW CROWN Feb12 Jan12 Sep09 Aug14 Jul23 (rini anthony)CENTENO E 120 3.50    
SHE STOPPED SHORT Feb05 Jan03 Dec07 Nov20 Oct30 (campbell joel)LEON SONNY 120 2.00 61% 0.60    
BAJA DE ORO Feb12 Jan19 Jan05 Dec29 Dec13 (vazquez jo)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 120 30.00    
THUNDER PRINCESS Mar01 Feb16 Jan24 Jan05 Nov14 (rigattieri j)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 2.50    
 
TAM-3   03/09/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORT ATTITUDE Feb19 Jan31 Jan24 Dec22 Dec13 (yanez reynal)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00    
ADMIRAL'S WAVE Feb15 Feb02 Jan17 Nov01 Oct11 (avila car)GIL CIPRIANO 122 3.00    
CHASENTHEONE Feb21 Feb05 Dec29 Dec04 Sep29 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 10.00    
INDULGE Feb05 Jan18 Jan10 Dec29 Dec11 (simone micha)BATISTA A 118 8.00 12% 7.70    
STREET VENDOR Feb26 Feb05 Jan19 Sep22 Sep07 (smith robe)LEON SONNY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
KALINBA Feb23 Jan29 Jan10 Dec08 Nov25 (cascallares nesto)HESS SARA 111 30.00    
BRAGGADOCIOUS Mar02 Feb15 Feb01 Dec22 Nov29 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
ESTILO MAGICO Feb26 Jan29 Jan04 Dec11 Nov23 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
FENWICK Mar05 Jan29 Jan05 Oct24 Sep27 (yanez)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
 
TAM-4   03/09/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WE GOT THIS Feb21 Dec11 Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 (curto beve)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 113 20.00    
RIGHT ON TARGET Feb07 Jan12 Jun19 Apr20   (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 125 6.00    
MY RIGHT HAND Jan19 Dec15       (mcgoey mon)INFANTE A 125 30.00    
ETERNAL GLORY Feb23 Feb14 Feb07 Jan19 Dec29 (contessa c)HESS SARA 118 4.50 12% 7.10    
BIVOL Feb23 Feb07 Jan19 Dec29 Dec11 (kutt m)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
STARSHIP AUGUSTO Feb23 Dec29 Dec08 Nov17   (ferraro ant)IORIO MELISSA 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
FRANKIE R. Feb21 Nov27 Nov13 Oct17 Apr19 (ferraro m)MALDONADO GABRIEL 125 15.00    
ICONIC ROCK Feb23 Feb07 Jan19 Dec29 Dec14 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
SNOVEMBER Mar01 Feb07 Dec27 Apr19 Mar03 (barron rory)MARIN SAMUEL 125 3.00 7% 12.70    
10  DETERMINED FREEDOM Feb07 Jan03 Dec11 Nov03 Oct26 (smith crai)FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 125 20.00    
11  LAO WAY Feb21 Jan17 Nov02     (hennessy joseph)BUSH V 125 30.00    
12  KENRIC Feb21 Feb05 Jan12 Dec22 May04 (lilly jam)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 30.00    
SCR  PROTEST Oct04 Sep16       (march william)BUSH V 123 10.00    
 
TAM-5   03/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITY TIME Mar02 Dec22 Nov27 Oct11 Aug22 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50    
RED SKY MORNING         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 54% 0.80    
LITTLE PATITO Mar01 Feb19 Feb02     (cascallares n)IORIO MELISSA 120 30.00    
LOYAL CLEMENT Feb22         (ocasio osvaldo)COTTO L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SECRET POWER Mar01 Feb01 Jan12     (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SPARTACUS'S DUDE Jan29 Jan05 Nov27 Nov10   (canegata james)FERRER C 120 3.50    
MONEYLOVE Feb01 Jan12 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 (ma)LUNA PAUL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
GREY SHADOW Feb22 Dec22 Oct12 Sep07 Aug30 (rodriguez ange)GIL CIPRIANO 120 10.00    
KING PLUTUS Feb15 Jan10 Nov30     (amaya gustavo)CENTENO E 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
10  ARES KASHI Nov20 Nov01       (ocasio osva)CLEMENTE ALFRED 120 20.00    
 
TAM-6   03/09/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUDER THAN WORDS Feb14 Jan03 Oct15 Oct02 Sep05 (granitz anthon)GIL CIPRIANO 117 10.00 14% 6.00    
DRIFAROS Jan02 Jun22 May13 Apr04 Feb21 (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
BROKEN HEARTS BAY Feb08 Jan22 Dec04 Oct03 Sep09 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
SHE'S FIRE Feb14 Oct18 Sep20 Aug04 Jul08 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
HOPESNDREAMS Feb14 Jan31 Jan10 Dec24 Oct03 (dini mike)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
DREAM CONCERT Feb14 Jan11 Dec14 Nov24 Oct19 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 4.00    
POSITANO SUNSET Nov23 Oct25 Sep14 Aug24 Jun22 (wilkes r)MORALES PABLO 119 1.80 18% 4.60    
 
TAM-7   03/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET HAZELY Jan01 Dec07 Oct15     (barboza vict)BATISTA A 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
BREEZEY BELLA Feb07 Dec29 Aug05     (yates michael)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
SEXARITO Jan12 Dec14 Nov03 Oct15 Aug27 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00    
AWESOME PIC Feb14 Jan31 May03 Apr03 Feb03 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00    
ATHENA'S WISDOM Feb14 Jan12 Dec06 Aug03 May04 (cahill f)BUSH V 118 4.00    
MORETASTIC Feb21 Jan24 Jan01 Dec18 Nov04 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.00    
PRETTY'N AWESOME Feb23 Jan18 Dec04 Oct06 Sep20 (padilla tim)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.50 13% 6.40    
 
TAM-8   03/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAS IST ALLES ALLY Feb05 Dec22 Nov17 Oct20 Oct05 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 122 4.00    
KANJENG Dec13 Sep28 Sep07 Jul27 Jun28 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 15.00    
STEP LIGHTLY Feb05 Jan11       (he)LUNA PAUL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
LA GATA SALVAJE Feb26 Feb09 Jan15 Jan01   (mckathan kevin)GIL CIPRIANO 122 15.00    
ALIEN PRINCESS Feb19 Jan15       (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 29% 2.50    
FLORIDA FLOWER Feb19 Jan29 Jan17 Dec13 Nov29 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 3.00 32% 2.20    
O K TO DANCE Jan12 Dec22 Nov09 Oct10   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 12.00    
CLASSICALS FINALE Feb28 Jan31 Jan24 Dec28 Dec06 (contessa c)SPIETH S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPARKLING RUBY Feb28 Dec07 Oct03 Sep14   (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
 
TAM-9   03/09/2025 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET GLIDE Feb01 Jan10 Dec20 Oct04 Sep14 (arnett g)TOHILL S 120 6.00    
POST FACTO Feb01 Jan12 Sep15 Aug25 Jul06 (torres pab)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 15.00    
SILENT AND VIOLENT Feb26 Dec01 Nov23 Nov02 Sep14 (mcgoey mon)INFANTE A 118 30.00    
HOLIDAY FANTASY Feb22 Feb01 Jan10 Sep28 Sep14 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUPREME DOMINANCE Feb15 Jan29 Jan17 Dec22 Nov29 (goodwin g)FERRER C 118 15.00    
COPPERLITE Feb01 Dec28 Nov09 Sep20 Aug30 (ramsey nolan)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.20 46% 1.20    
SCR  LORD KNOWS Feb23 Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 (barron r)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
SWEEPING GIANT Jan10 Dec20 Oct03 Sep11 Aug21 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 118 8.00 12% 7.00    
SHIVAREE (GB) Feb01 Jan18 Dec21 Nov27 Nov20 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  JABRAN Mar01 Feb21 Jan10 Jun21 May09 (spanabel r)HESS SARA 111 12.00    
 
TAM-10   03/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTHENA Feb15 Jan15 Jan08 Dec20 Dec04 (paragallo )FUKUMOTO DAISUKE 122 30.00    
TERRIE T         (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 122 20.00 8% 11.60    
GAMBI Feb02 Jan15 Dec06 Nov13 Sep26 (alessi jame)BELL BARRINGTON 122 30.00    
PALACE LIGHTS Feb05 Jan03 Dec11 Sep29   (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
HOLDER CLOSE Feb15 Jan29 Jan01 Dec15 Nov16 (cascallare)URDANETA J 122 4.00    
FAR ABOVE Feb15 Jan29 Jan08 Dec22 Dec04 (dobber arnoud )CAMACHO SAMY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
DOWHATEVERITTAKES Feb05 Dec20 Oct16 May31 May03 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
A FANCY SOLUTION Feb07 Mar01 Feb02 Dec09 Oct28 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00    
SUNNYRIDGE JAIME Dec20 Dec04 Sep27 Aug25 Jul06 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 122 6.00    
10  FOREVER AGAIN Feb15 Jan29 Jan03 Dec21 Nov30 (schuh ti)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 11% 7.90    
11  FIREDINI Jan18 Dec27 Dec07     (cheeks k)RODRIGUEZ O 122 30.00    
SCR  ENNEREILLY (IRE) Feb07 Dec22 Oct01 Sep01 Nov11 (kintz matthe)COTTO L 122 15.00    
13  FORTUNE DREAMS Feb19 Feb07 Jan19 Dec21 Nov30 (lopez mari)INFANTE A 122 30.00    
SCR  NO DOUGH NO GO Jan29 Nov12 Oct06     (reed r)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.