Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - March 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (2/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/4)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/4)-(5/1/3)-(3/5/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(3/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(3/5/8/2)-(8/2/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-3   WIN (3/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/8/2)-(3/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/8/2)-(3/5/8/2)-(3/5/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/8/2)-(8/2/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/8/2)-(8/2/9/5)-(1/2/7/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-4   WIN (8/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/9/5)-(8/2/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/9/5)-(8/2/9/5)-(8/2/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/9/5)-(1/2/7/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/2/9/5)-(1/2/7/6/3)-(9/6/11/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FG-5   WIN (1/2/7/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/6/3)-(1/2/7/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/6/3)-(1/2/7/6/3)-(1/2/7/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/7/6/3)-(9/6/11/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/7/6/3)-(9/6/11/4)-(7/11/4/6/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-6   WIN (9/6/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/11/4)-(9/6/11/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/11/4)-(9/6/11/4)-(9/6/11/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/11/4)-(7/11/4/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/6/11/4)-(7/11/4/6/1)-(8/7/11/1/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
FG-7   WIN (7/11/4/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/11/4/6/1)-(7/11/4/6/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/11/4/6/1)-(7/11/4/6/1)-(7/11/4/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/11/4/6/1)-(8/7/11/1/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
FG-8   WIN (8/7/11/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/11/1/2)-(8/7/11/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/11/1/2)-(8/7/11/1/2)-(8/7/11/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/09/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAN ON ATTACK Feb14 Dec21 Oct13 Aug25 Aug04 (childers v)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00 10% 9.10    
2  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Aug17 Jul12 Jun08 May17 Apr19 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 3.50 56% 0.80    
3  MESA SPIRIT Feb14 Jan19 Dec29 Dec13 Jul13 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 1.80 11% 8.20    
4  ATRAS Feb14 Jan19 Dec29 Dec06 Nov16 (hewitt michael)SINGH R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ON YOUR MARK Feb14 Jun14 Mar20 Feb25 Mar16 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00    
6  SHUT UP MAN Feb14 Jan19 Jan03 Dec16 Nov09 (jeansonne justi)MCMAHON J 121 15.00    
7  UNCLE BERLEY Feb28 Jan31 Jan19 Jan10 Dec29 (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 121 20.00    
8  WE MISS ARLINGTON Feb14 Jan19 Dec26 Dec16 Dec06 (rodriguez )WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 15.00    
SCR  APPEAL DENIED Feb14 Dec29 Nov14 Oct09 Jul15 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.00    
 
FG-2   03/09/2025 5490ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHIVA Feb22 Oct10 Aug25 Aug08 Jul21 (dorochenko gennadi)MURGIA A 125 5.00 13% 6.60    
2  MCKINZIE MAGIC Jan25         (leonard ge)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 4.00    
3  PINK RUBY Dec29         (schultz lind)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MUSTIQUE Feb20 Jan25       (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 3.50    
5  ZAGHRUTA Feb20 Jan05 Dec06     (cox h)MORALES EDGAR 117 1.80 61% 0.60    
6  VINO BELLA Jan31 Dec26 Nov24     (forster gran)TORRES A 117 5.00    
 
FG-3   03/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR THAT DUDE Feb20 Feb08 Jan03 Dec19 Nov29 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50    
2  LOUISIANA NATIVE Jan30 Jan09 Dec19 Sep16   (dandridge courtn)RIQUELME J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MARDI GRAS MAMBO Feb08 Dec28 Dec08 Nov09 Oct10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 43% 1.30    
4  KOODIE Feb22 Dec19 Nov09     (melancon donald)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
5  SOPHIE'S PAINTER Feb21 Jan30 Jan09 Dec06 Nov05 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 119 6.00 17% 4.70    
SCR  TAP THE TEQUILA Jan30 Jan08 Dec13 Nov22 Nov09 (gelner sc)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 3.00    
7  POLITICAL AGENDA Feb27 Feb16 Oct10     (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 122 3.00    
8  NOVA'S RETURN Jan09 Nov02 Aug15     (schwandt e)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 6% 15.50    
 
FG-4   03/09/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOSIER Jan04 Dec06 Sep26 Aug05 Jul02 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 121 5.00    
2  TOTALLY ADDICTED Feb16 Jan25 Jan04 Dec15 Nov24 (david b)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Feb07 Jan17 Jan04 Dec14 Sep14 (ney john)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
4  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Jan04 Dec12 Sep18 Aug20 Jul10 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
5  PESO PESADO Feb23 Jan01 Dec05 Aug01 Jul04 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 121 8.00 5% 18.20    
SCR  MUFFIN NUTS Feb12 Jan28 Jan08 Dec18 Nov22 (turner patti)ROSIER R 121 20.00    
7  ELLS Feb05 Jan16 Dec20 Nov16 Oct29 (delany sarah)VARGAS P 121 6.00    
8  VENN Feb13 Dec19 Nov27 Oct25 Aug01 (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 121 4.00 38% 1.70    
9  MR. FOUR SEVENS Feb14 Feb01 Jan03 Nov30 Nov21 (dison phillip )MUNOZ SERGIO 121 6.00 9% 10.10    
 
FG-5   03/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EZ TREE ATES Feb16 Nov21 Oct27 Sep26   (casse w)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
2  CLASSIC EMBRACE Feb16 Jan01 Nov22 Sep24 Aug12 (jeansonne justi)MCMAHON J 117 3.00 17% 5.00    
3  MISS LOUISE Feb08 Jan20       (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  F J'S WARRIOR Nov29 Oct12       (maturin chad)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
5  LOLO'S GIRL Feb23 Jan31       (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
6  CHEVAL B Feb21 Jan31 Jan09 Dec15 Nov04 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  ACOUSTICAT Feb16 Jan24 Jan09 Dec15 Nov14 (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 4.50 7% 13.20    
8  EMBRASSER Feb16 Jan03 Dec15 Oct28 Oct09 (camejo jose )TORRES A 120 15.00    
9  FUEGO K Feb06 Sep25 Sep10     (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 120 15.00    
10  SELL THE BUFFALO Feb16 Jan04       (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 120 20.00    
 
FG-6   03/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCHIEF JOKE Feb16 Jan03 Dec06 Sep03 Jun24 (ladner herma)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00    
2  PRINCE JAMES Feb16 Jan26 Dec29 Nov14 Sep29 (terre david)CURTIS BEN 121 4.00    
SCR  GRAND DESIGN Jan25 Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 Sep22 (anderson m)WELLINGTON KYLIE 121 20.00    
4  DR. SNYDER Feb06 Jan16 Nov30 Nov01 Oct18 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INDIA INK (ARG) Feb13 Jan19 Dec29 Dec13 Oct10 (sanchez c)THORNTON G 121 12.00    
6  GOLDEN QUALITY Feb14 Nov27 Nov14 Oct18 Sep09 (ramirez eduardo)COHEN DAVID 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  FINDAWAY Feb13 Dec08 Sep26 Sep14 Aug18 (lopez elias)ASTUDILLO FELIX 119 10.00    
8  PREMIUM Feb13 Jan19 Dec29 Dec05 Oct23 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 121 20.00    
9  WENT WEST Feb28 Jan30 Nov20 Nov02 Oct13 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  MILITARY BEARING Feb07 Jan11 Nov13 Oct26 Sep25 (rivera nestor )PEREZ CARLOS 116 15.00    
11  B W P SPIRIT Feb16 Jan26 Jan03 Dec13 Nov22 (gelner sco)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  CASTILLE Feb07 Jan17 Dec28 Oct31 Oct11 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 20.00    
 
FG-7   03/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($30K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYMATE May25 Apr27 Apr06 Mar10 Feb29 (duhon paul)WELLINGTON KYLIE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  PEAK EARNINGS (GB) Feb16 Nov28 Oct17 Aug17 Jul07 (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
3  STORMS OF LIFE Feb16 Nov16 Sep28 Sep01 Aug03 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 12.00    
4  PURRING Sep11 Aug21 Aug02 Jul26 Jul06 (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
5  SUNDAY TIFF Feb16 Dec20 Nov30 Oct24 Jul14 (morley thoma)TORRES A 122 8.00    
6  WANNAWHOLELOTTALUV Dec29 Dec14 Aug31 Aug12   (jeansonne just)THORNTON G 111 12.00 6% 16.60    
7  PULA Feb16 Sep13 Aug15 Dec31 Nov24 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
8  KATHLYNS PHALANX Feb02 Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug05 (sharp j)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
9  STAR ANISE Feb21 Jan04 Dec07 Oct10 Sep21 (brinkman brett)CURTIS BEN 122 4.00    
10  TALKSALOT Feb07 Jan16 Jan02 Dec05 Nov24 (alonzo howard)MCMAHON J 114 20.00    
11  SO JORDAN Feb21 Feb05 Dec11 Jan27 Dec08 (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  LEGAL DECEIVER Feb06 Dec28 Nov12 Jun07 May24 (munoz yovani)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 20.00    
SCR  IN YOUR LIFE Feb12 Jan23 Nov29 Oct18 Sep13 (wong jonathan)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
SCR  CHARLUCHE Feb23 Jan26 Nov02 Oct17 Aug24 (brinkman bre)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00    
SCR  CURLS NITE OUT Feb16 Jan24 Jan03 Dec06 Oct20 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 114 8.00    
SCR  MISS HARMONIC Feb27 Jan27 Jan02 Dec12 May24 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
 
FG-8   03/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU GOOD Feb16 Jan25 Dec16 Nov28   (david sam)HERNANDEZ J 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  REXINATOR Feb16 Jan25 Dec28 Nov30 Sep16 (hatcher nat)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  C F JIMMY RAY Feb06 Jan16       (roberts roy)VARGAS P 117 20.00    
4  BATTLE FACE Feb27 Feb08 Jan27 Dec28   (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 20.00    
5  WITCHOLOGY Feb16 Jan25 Jan03 Dec18 Oct29 (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 125 5.00    
SCR  CESIUM Feb27         (zeringue j)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 8.00    
7  CONTRABAND EARLY Feb16 Jan25 Jan03 Jun22 May23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 125 3.50 24% 3.20    
8  MISTER DENNIS Feb20         (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
9  TEMPLE OF PEACE Feb20 Feb08 Jan25 Jan03 Dec16 (ducoing s)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 4.50    
10  PRINCE LIAM Feb06 Dec28 Nov02     (bourgeois ke)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 15.00    
11  ZESTINY Dec13 Nov29 Nov06 Oct11 Jul25 (dison phil)RAMIREZ JR 120 20.00 15% 5.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.