Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - March 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (6/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7)-(6/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/2/7)-(6/7/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/7)-(6/7/8/2)-(9/5/2/7/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/2)-(6/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/2)-(6/7/8/2)-(6/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/2)-(9/5/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/2)-(9/5/2/7/4)-(3/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-5   WIN (9/5/2/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/7/4)-(9/5/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/7/4)-(9/5/2/7/4)-(9/5/2/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/2/7/4)-(3/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/5/2/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(9/5/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-6   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(9/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/4)-(9/5/7/4)-(5/3/4/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (9/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/7/4)-(9/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/7/4)-(9/5/7/4)-(9/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/7/4)-(5/3/4/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/5/7/4)-(5/3/4/1/8)-(9/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/3/4/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/4/1/8)-(5/3/4/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/4/1/8)-(5/3/4/1/8)-(5/3/4/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/4/1/8)-(9/10/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-9   WIN (9/10/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/5)-(9/1/10/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/5)-(9/1/10/6/5)-(9/1/10/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   03/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Jan25 Jan08 Dec30 Dec16 Sep15 (evans )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 2.50 13% 6.90    
2  DON'T LET ME DOWN Dec31 Oct13 Sep22 Aug24 Aug10 (anderson g)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 5.00 9% 10.40    
3  PAID IN FULL Jan28 Dec12 Nov20 Oct13 Sep01 (brown allen)KRIGGER K 124 12.00    
4  LANSDOWNE (GB) Feb11 Jan23 Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 (ortiz isa)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
5  RACE HOME Feb18 Oct19 Oct06 Apr17 Mar18 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50    
6  WHAT A DUDE Feb12 Jan16 Dec30 Dec03 Nov18 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
7  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Feb12 Dec31 Dec11 Nov18 Sep07 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   03/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INXPRESS Jan06 Dec18 May04 Apr11   (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 121 5.00    
2  MOONLIGHT GREY Sep06 Aug18 Aug09     (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  EXPECT LOVE Jan16 Dec06 Nov17 Oct26 Sep28 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 3.00    
4  MISS DOUBLE DOWN         (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 121 6.00    
5  HAZAEL         (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
6  MAXIMUM SPARKLE Sep14 Aug31 Aug10     (rarick wade)MONTALVO C 121 3.50 61% 0.60    
7  SALEEN G T Jul06         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50 15% 5.70    
8  C'S LILLY DANCER         (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   03/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMMY'S WILD BOY Aug22 Apr17 Feb07 Dec31   (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00    
2  WHO IS PAVEL Feb22 Feb05 Dec31 Dec11 Nov27 (bean a)MOJICA O 124 10.00 7% 14.00    
3  THE SCENT Feb12 Dec15 Nov16 Oct13 Aug25 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 15.00    
4  OBSIDIAN GOLD Jan29 Nov26 Oct27 Oct19 Sep22 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  CHICKEN WING Feb13 Jan23 May02 Apr02 Mar12 (story chad)MAWING A 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
6  DEVILNTHEBLUEGRAS Feb11 Jan22 Jan04 Dec07 Oct26 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
7  THIRSTY FRIEND Feb22 Jan05 Dec18 Nov24 Oct20 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 124 8.00 6% 15.90    
8  SHUDDER Nov13 Sep29 Sep08 Jun01 Mar12 (barraza s)GARCIA F 124 5.00    
9  JUSTIN AZTECA Jan29 Jan08 Dec17 Nov26 Nov14 (lund valor)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 4.50 45% 1.20    
 
TUP-6   03/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($22.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOUSE OF LORDS Feb20 Jan15 Dec30 Dec02 Nov13 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00    
2  THIEF IN THE NIGHT Jan23 Sep06 Sep02 Aug17 Jul20 (scott larry)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 15.00    
3  WODETON (FR) Feb05 Jan09 Dec28 Nov12 Sep28 (fuentes ruben)MOJICA O 122 4.50 50% 1.00    
4  CIBERTRUCK Feb05 Dec30 Dec23 Dec03 Nov20 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 6% 17.00    
5  EL JOY Jan09 Dec27 Dec08 Oct13 Aug10 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 122 6.00    
SCR  ATHENS MOON Feb05 Dec30 Dec17 Nov27 Nov17 (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00    
7  NEON LIGHTS (IRE) Feb09 Jan16 Jan01 Oct20 Aug15 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
8  HIT SCENE Feb05 Jan15 Dec26 Apr19 Mar15 (owens kor)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
 
TUP-7   03/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHANAGOLDEN Feb19 Jan05 Jun16 May27 Apr14 (tamayo isidro)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
2  SMOOTH PAPA Jan30 Jan13 Dec26 Nov30 Nov13 (fearon )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
SCR  HANDSOME HARRY Feb11 Jan30 Jan08 Dec07 Sep26 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00    
4  RELAXED ARTIST (IRE) Feb05 Jan13 Nov30 Nov20 Nov12 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  WESTPHAL Feb10 Jan13 Dec27 Dec19 Dec10 (toye joe)BARNES JOSE 124 4.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  ESTIFRAAD Feb19 Feb10 Jan25 Dec05 Nov13 (hodgson barry)CRUZ M 124 20.00    
7  BEL RAGAZZO Feb18 Jan30 Jan15 Jan02 Dec16 (kereluk edward)GARCIA F 124 8.00 7% 12.90    
8  PANZER PRIDE Feb10 Jan08 Dec19 Oct31 Sep27 (ortiz isa)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
9  LYKAN Jan25 Dec31 Oct09 Aug24 Jul10 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 1.20 52% 0.90    
 
TUP-8   03/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOCK TALK Feb10 Jan22 Jan02 Sep21 Aug05 (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUPER CLASSIC Feb20 Nov26 Sep02 Aug16 Aug10 (duarte javier)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
3  NORTHCUT Feb18 Jan13 Jul08 Jun25 Apr08 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
4  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Feb18 Jan30 Jan08 Dec12 Nov30 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
5  MY INDY Feb10 Feb14 Dec09 Nov12 Oct21 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Feb10 Jan25 Jan02 Dec10 Nov30 (christian)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
7  CALIFORNIA SWING Feb19 Jan30 Jan08 Nov14 Sep25 (gleason)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
8  BRANNIGAN Feb05 Jan23 Dec17 Nov30 Nov15 (lavanway dayson)BARNES JOSE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  SIDE STREET DAVE Jan30 Jan15 Jan02 Dec10 Aug19 (sanderson b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 8.00    
 
TUP-9   03/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOM AND JAZZY Dec27 Dec14 Nov22 Oct27 Oct19 (silva pab)REYES R 122 4.00 ★    
2  MUAY THAI (IRE) Feb24 Jan23 Dec26 Dec13 Nov15 (whitehouse wilton )GARCIA F 122 15.00    
3  CLASSIC RUNNER Feb12 Jan27 Jan02 Nov15 Oct25 (hodgson bar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
4  PASSION OF JOE'S Feb10 Jan21 Nov06 Oct12 Sep21 (rarick )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
5  BLUES RAPPER Feb24 Jan23 Dec30 Dec12 Nov27 (hernandez m)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOLLYWOOD HERO Feb24 Jan23 Jan01 Dec23 Nov27 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 4.50 ★    
7  DIXON TUFF Feb12 Jan23 Jan01 Dec10 Nov27 (matt wend)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 20.00    
8  UNUSUAL WIN Feb12 Feb04 Jan01 Dec23 Dec09 (martinez o)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 15.00    
9  RUN SMITTY RUN Feb20 Jan01 Dec09 Nov11 Sep10 (mckinney d)KRIGGER K 122 3.00 74% 0.40    
10  MIDNIGHT KID Feb12 Jan24 Nov11 Aug24 Aug16 (castillo joe)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  BIG BLUE CAT Nov16 Sep29 Aug24 Aug17 Jul27 (guadarrama o)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.